Political Landscape - The emergency presidential election in South Korea is scheduled for June 3, 2025, following political uncertainty due to the declaration of martial law and the impeachment of President Yoon Suk-yeol[6]. - Recent polls indicate that opposition candidates are leading, reflecting a favorable trend for the opposition party amid high public support for changing the current government[7][8]. Economic Policy Outlook - Key economic policy platforms focus on improving corporate governance and addressing the "Korea discount," with retail investors representing nearly 30% of the population[19]. - Major candidates propose four main categories of capital market policies: corporate governance reform, tax incentives, enhanced accessibility for capital markets, and establishing a fair market order[20]. Market Projections - The KOSPI 12-month target has been raised to 2900, indicating a 9% upside potential, driven by the elimination of political risks and advancements in capital market reforms[3][64]. - The potential reclassification of South Korea's MSCI status could attract approximately $20-30 billion in foreign investment, improving market accessibility[48][51]. Corporate Governance Reforms - Both leading candidates emphasize the importance of corporate governance reforms, which could play a crucial role in narrowing the Korea discount[22][23]. - Despite previous efforts, the valuation of the Korean stock market remains significantly discounted compared to regional and global peers, with a price-to-book ratio discount of 48% compared to developed markets[28]. Tax Incentives - Proposed reforms include changes to dividend and inheritance tax policies to encourage higher dividend payouts, which previously saw significant increases when similar policies were implemented in 2014[37][40]. - The inheritance tax reform aims to address undervaluation issues of listed company stocks, particularly for those with a price-to-book ratio below 0.8[38]. Market Order and Transparency - Candidates commit to strengthening penalties for illegal trading practices, such as insider trading, to enhance protection for minority shareholders and improve market transparency[52][53]. - The overall number of unfair trading cases has decreased, but there has been a rise in cases related to interest disclosures in 2024[53]. Sector-Specific Policies - Both candidates support strategic industries such as AI, renewable energy, and defense, with commitments to establish investment funds and incentives for domestic production[59][60]. - The focus on enhancing the competitiveness of the shipbuilding industry and advancing defense technology is also highlighted in their platforms[60].

28 May 2025 | 5:35PM BST CEEMEA Economics Analyst Kazakhstan — Lower Trend Growth Likely to Drive Medium-Term Inflation Higher Basak Edizgil +44(20)7774-9878 | basak.edizgil@gs.com Goldman Sachs International Clemens Grafe +44(20)7774-3435 | clemens.grafe@gs.com Goldman Sachs International Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating on selected companies within the MENA region, particularly focusing on UAE and Saudi Arabia [9][45]. Core Insights - The GCC markets exhibit resilience to macroeconomic uncertainties, with a focus on sectors less sensitive to oil prices, particularly in the UAE [2][54]. - A bearish outlook for oil prices is anticipated in 2025-26 due to increased non-OPEC production, but a bullish cycle is expected to follow from 2027 onwards [8][22]. - The report emphasizes the importance of economic diversification in the UAE, which is less exposed to oil price fluctuations compared to Saudi Arabia [27][55]. Summary by Sections Macroeconomic Overview - The US macro team has raised the growth forecast for 2025 by 0.5 percentage points to 1% and reduced the 12-month recession odds to 35% [15][20]. - The perceived de-escalation of tariffs is seen as an indirect positive for GCC markets, although oil price movements remain a more relevant driver for regional performance [17][21]. Sector Analysis - The UAE is highlighted as favorably positioned due to its economic diversification, with strong prospects in Real Estate, Energy, and Mobility sectors [3][54]. - In Saudi Arabia, the focus is on identifying resilient companies in the TMT sector and selective opportunities within Financials, Consumers, and Chemicals [3][54]. Investment Opportunities - Key sectors identified for investment include UAE Real Estate, Energy (specifically ADNOC), and Infrastructure/Mobility [10][12]. - In Saudi Arabia, companies like Saudi Aramco and SABIC are favored due to their strong fundamentals and strategic positioning [10][45]. Capex Cycle Insights - The report anticipates continued spending momentum across sectors in the GCC, particularly in Energy, Digital Innovation, and Clean Tech, despite a lower oil price environment [46][50]. - The GCC Capex Wave is expected to focus on non-oil sectors, with significant investments in digitization, metals & mining, and clean energy [39][40]. Company-Specific Recommendations - The report recommends a selective approach to investments in banks, favoring those with a balanced loan mix and strong deposit franchises, such as SNB and Riyad Bank [10][45]. - In the consumer sector, companies like Almarai and Lulu are under scrutiny for their ability to navigate current market pressures [10][12].

29 May 2025 | 2:07AM SGT Indonesia Banks Apr bank-only data, margin pressure remains for most Apr Net Profit remained weak at +1%yoy with PPOP muted at 0%yoy... Apr 2025 bank-only financial data of our covered banks showed YTD 4M yoy growth in profitability slowing down to +1% from +3% in 3M25 with PPOP growth staying muted at 0%. ROEs also declined to 18.3% on average from 18.7% in 3M25 and 19.3% in 12M24. Driving the lackluster performance is the (1) Continued margin pressure stemming from elevated fundin ...

28 May 2025 | 5:53PM EDT US Economics Analyst The Impact of Tariffs on US Companies: A View from the Equity Market (Peng) Jan Hatzius +1(212)902-0394 | jan.hatzius@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alec Phillips +1(202)637-3746 | alec.phillips@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC David Mericle +1(212)357-2619 | david.mericle@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ronnie Walker +1(917)343-4543 | ronnie.walker@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Manuel Abecasis +1(212)902-8357 | manuel.abecasis@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Elsie ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a bullish view on AAA and A mall-oriented portfolios owned by Multiplan and Iguatemi, indicating strong performance and growth potential in these segments [1][2][6]. Core Insights - Multiplan malls outperformed Allos malls with an average rent growth of +5% year-over-year, aligning with inflation, while Allos malls experienced a growth of +3.4%, resulting in negative real rent performance [1][6]. - Sales growth for both Multiplan and Allos malls was impacted by the Easter shift, but they grew at the same pace as rent [6]. - AAA malls demonstrated the strongest performance, with a rent growth of +9.4% and nominal sales growth of +9% [7]. - Investor interest in malls has increased, with Brazilian mall stocks rising +26% year-to-date, outperforming the iBovespa index [2]. Summary by Sections Mall Performance Analysis - Multiplan's malls showed a +5% year-over-year increase in rent per square meter, while Allos reported +3.4%, indicating a -1.6% real rent growth for Allos [6][11]. - AAA malls, such as Morumbi Shopping and Barra Shopping, achieved +6% rent growth and +9% nominal sales growth, outperforming A and B tier malls [7][8]. - Allos had a higher percentage of malls with rent increases (90% of NOI) compared to Multiplan (80%), but Multiplan's rent growth for those malls was higher by +100 basis points [7][11]. Market Trends - The implied cap rate spreads for both Iguatemi and Multiplan have compressed significantly, indicating a tightening market, yet they remain above historical averages [2]. - Malls are perceived as rate-sensitive investments, with historical data showing that they were more sensitive to interest rate changes compared to homebuilders prior to the COVID-19 pandemic [2]. Tiered Mall Summary - The report provides a detailed tiered summary of mall performance, highlighting that AAA malls had a monthly rent of BRL 441 and monthly sales of BRL 3,801, with a rent growth of +9.4% [8]. - A tier malls had a monthly rent of BRL 199 and sales of BRL 2,289, with a rent growth of +4.6% [8]. - B and C tier malls showed lower performance metrics, with B malls experiencing a rent growth of +3.3% and C malls declining by -0.9% [8].

29 May 2025 | 12:11AM GST Turkey Banks We update our estimates for Turkish banks following 1Q25 reporting season to reflect the latest industry and macro trends. Following an (unexpected) rate hike in Turkey to 46% in April'25 (from 42.5%), we expect the NIM recovery for Turkish banks to be paused by one quarter (e.g. remain broadly unchanged) and continue to improve from 3Q25. Based on TCMB data, TL consumer/commercial loan yields have expanded by 4-5pp since the end of Mar'25, while TL deposit yields have ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Pony AI Inc. with a 12-month price target of US$26.00, indicating an upside potential of 21.8% from the current price of US$21.35 [12]. Core Insights - Pony AI is expanding its Robotaxi fleet in overseas markets, particularly in Dubai, and is experiencing rising commercialization in the Chinese market, which presents significant market opportunities and a path to profitability [1][9]. - The report highlights the advantages of Chinese robotaxi companies, such as lower Bill of Materials (BoM) costs due to a comprehensive automotive supply chain, which supports hardware cost reduction and breakeven achievement [3][8]. - The report anticipates that the fleet of robotaxis in China will grow from 1,000 in 2024 to 4,000 in 2025, and then to 11,000 in 2026, driven by lower hardware costs, improved software, and supportive regulations [9]. Summary by Sections Overseas Expansion Strategy - Key factors for robotaxi companies' market entry include population density, infrastructure quality, policy receptiveness, and local partnerships, which can facilitate market expansion and ease entry challenges [2][6]. Opportunities in Overseas Expansion - Chinese robotaxi companies benefit from lower hardware costs and extensive operational experience, which enhances user satisfaction. Pony AI has achieved an average of 15 orders per day in 2024, surpassing local ride-hailing drivers [3][7]. Challenges in Overseas Expansion - Key challenges include technology acceptance and consumer safety concerns, which require time for user trials and safety record accumulation. Fleet coverage must also increase to reduce waiting times [6][8]. Competition Dynamics - The robotaxi industry is still in its early stages with limited direct competition. Pony AI is expected to capture a 35% market share in China's robotaxi market by 2035, with various service offerings tailored to different passenger groups [7][9]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections indicate growth from US$75 million in 2024 to US$150.4 million in 2027, with expectations of breakeven at the gross margin line by 2026 [12].

28 May 2025 | 11:38PM IST Cohance Lifesciences Ltd. (COHA.BO) 4Q25 inline: FY26 to see an earnings rebound; retain Buy COHA.BO 12m Price Target: Rs1,275.00 Price: Rs1,107.75 Upside: 15.1% Cohance Lifesciences (COHA) standalone revenue/EBITDA grew +59%/+31% yoy, largely inline with GSe. CDMO segment grew 31% yoy (+20% qoq) while we also saw a sharp recovery in Spec chem (+75% yoy) following consolidating in 1H partially offset by API segment that reported flattish trends. EBITDA margin (adjusted, standalone) ...

Investment Ratings - Zomato: Buy [3][12] - MakeMyTrip (MMYT): Buy [5][13] - Bharti Airtel: Buy [6][14] - Info Edge: Buy [11][21] - Paytm: Neutral [10][19] - Nykaa: Neutral [10][20] - HCL Technologies: Neutral [16] - Wipro: Sell [17] - Tech Mahindra: Sell [18] - Indus Towers: Hold [22] - Vodafone Idea: Sell [15] Core Insights - Investor sentiment towards Zomato has improved compared to earlier in the year, with potential catalysts including improved profit margins and market share growth from Blinkit [1][3] - MakeMyTrip is favored due to strong growth prospects in the travel sector and lack of significant competition [5][6] - Bharti Airtel is viewed positively for its growth potential, although valuation concerns persist [7][14] - Indus Towers is expected to deliver strong short-term earnings and has multiple revaluation opportunities [7] - The IT sector is viewed neutrally, with expectations of improving news flow, but valuations remain unattractive [8][11] Summary by Sections Zomato - Investors are cautiously optimistic about Zomato, with expectations that stable profit margins may take time to achieve [3] - Blinkit's potential market share growth is not yet reflected in Zomato's current stock price, which could act as a catalyst [3][12] MakeMyTrip - MakeMyTrip is highlighted as a top pick in the TMT sector due to its strong execution and favorable growth outlook [5][13] Bharti Airtel - Bharti Airtel is appreciated for its execution capabilities, but investors express concerns over valuation and potential tariff increases [6][7][14] Indus Towers - Indus Towers is seen as having strong short-term earnings potential and opportunities for revaluation, with minimal operational disruptions expected for Vodafone Idea [7][22] IT Sector - The IT sector is generally viewed with neutrality, with expectations of improving news flow, although concerns about valuations and potential negative impacts from generative AI remain [8][11][16] Paytm and Nykaa - Paytm's outlook is neutral, with significant potential benefits if UPI payment service fees are realized [10][19] - Nykaa is also rated neutral, with growth in the BPC sector but valuations largely reflecting this growth [10][20] Other Companies - HCL Technologies and Wipro are rated neutral and sell respectively, with Wipro facing challenges in IT spending and competition [16][17][18]