10 October 2024 | 11:08PM HKT _ China Cosmetics: Double 11 pulse check: Expert call takeaways: Expect steady growth of tapering competition and easing cost On Oct 10, we invited a cosmetics expert specializing in providing e-com solutions for beauty brands in China to share some of the latest updates on the industry, especially the Double 11 Shopping Festival that starts from Oct 8 til Nov 11 which could account for 60%+ of 4Q online GMV or 20% of full year per historical average. We summarize the key highl ...

10 October 2024 | 1:35AM HKT NAURA (002371.SZ): Long-term demand solid; 3Q Rev/ NI up 31% / 36% YoY; Buy We are positive on Naura's long-term growth potential, driven by the strong expansion of China foundries and IDMs for domestic capacities. According to our latest forecast, China's Semis capex will grow to US$36bn / US$40bn / US$42bn in 2024E / 2025E / 2026E, further increasing from the high base of US$30bn in 2023 (read more in our report). As the domestic SPE leader, we expect Naura's competitive produ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Angel Yeast is "Sell" with a 12-month target price of Rmb30.3, reflecting a downside of 16.8% from the current price of Rmb36.42 [1][2][15]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve 23% year-on-year sales growth in Q3 2024, driven by a rebound in domestic bakery yeast volume and strong overseas demand, which is projected to grow over 20% year-on-year [1][3]. - Despite the sales growth, the company anticipates a contraction in gross profit margin (GPM) and net profit margin (NPM) due to rising logistics costs, with expected GPM/NPM contractions of 1.5 percentage points and 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, respectively [1][2]. - The management has raised the full-year sales growth estimate for 2024 from approximately 10% to 12.5%, with net profit growth now expected to reach 9% year-on-year [1][2][12]. Summary by Sections Sales and Growth - The company reported a year-to-date sales growth of approximately 12% and aims for over 20% sales growth in October [3][4]. - Domestic sales in the baking segment grew 7%-8% year-on-year in September, while overseas sales surged by 40% year-on-year [3][4]. Profitability and Costs - Logistics costs have increased significantly, impacting overseas profitability, although these costs are stabilizing [5][6]. - Raw material prices, particularly for molasses, have shown a downward trend, which may influence pricing strategies moving forward [7][8]. Capacity and Future Outlook - The utilization rate remains high at around 90%, with new production capacity expected from the Egyptian and Russian factories in Q4 2024 [9]. - The company is exploring mergers and acquisitions to enhance growth, although suitable targets are limited [9]. Financial Estimates - Revised financial estimates indicate a 2% increase in net profit estimates for 2024-2026, with expected sales growth of 12.5% and net profit growth of 9% for 2024 [12][14].

10 October 2024 | 2:39PM HKT _ China Sportswear: Key takeaways from expert call: Holiday sales healthy with marginal acceleration; discounts to be watched Deceleration in consumption growth amid China economy transitioning; A sustainable shift to value-focus and growing global presence On 9 Oct, we invited a sportswear distributor company to share some of the latest updates on the industry. We summarize the key highlights: 1) In 3Q24, Jul-Aug sales were under pressure at MSD-HSD% on average due to off-peak ...

11 October 2024 | 4:35AM KST _ Asia Pacific Technology: Semiconductors - Memory: Nanya Tech 3Q24 read-across; Hynix/SEC to see stronger ASP growth due to HBM/DDR5 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------------- ...

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10 October 2024 | 7:54AM CST Clean Technology: Solar: Data Update: Minor changes to estimates We make minor changes to estimates for our solar coverage, reflecting the latest industry trends in 3Q24 (for details see our newly launched monthly tracker). As a result, our 2024E-30E book values for main value chain players are fine-tuned by 2% on average, and our 2024E-30E EBITDA for Hangzhou First is tweaked by -1%. Accordingly, our 12m target prices change by -1% to 0%. We do not view these changes as materia ...

_ 10 October 2024 | 2:40AM HKT China Consumer Staples: Expert call takeaways: Spirits still through the cycle; Beverage improving into Sept On Oct 9, we hosted a virtual conference with a large-scale Spirits and F&B distributor located in Hunan province for the regional update. Key highlights included: 1) Spirits decline in National Day Holiday narrowed vs. MAF: The distributor believes that the policy stimulus will still take time to translate into enhanced sales momentum, despite observing somewhat of an ...

_ 10 October 2024 | 11:43AM EDT USA: Core CPI Above Expectations; Hurricane Helene Boosts Initial Jobless Claims; Estimating 0.24% for September Core PCE | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------- ...

Global Investment Research China Resilience ̶CATL (300750.SZ) Key enabler and pioneer of global electrification October 10, 2024 Eric Shen Qiying Wei Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. 852-2978-7954 eric.shen@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. 852-2978-6426 qiying.wei@gs.com | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ...