Investment Rating - The investment rating for Geely Automobile is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - Geely Automobile reported a revenue of 239.48 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.4%. Total sales reached 2.17 million vehicles, up 45.7% year-on-year, with a core net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.62 billion yuan, an increase of 59% year-on-year [2][4] - The new platform has empowered Geely to enter a new product era, with the GEA architecture supporting a new vehicle cycle. The brands Zeekr, Lynk & Co, and Galaxy are all performing well, and the transition to new energy vehicles is progressing smoothly, leading to increased profitability [2][8] - The company’s strong foundation in fuel vehicles and innovative overseas expansion strategies are opening new markets. The intelligent driving strategy is accelerating the enhancement of driving capabilities, indicating significant profit elasticity in the new vehicle cycle [2][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Geely achieved a revenue of 89.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.5% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.7%. Total sales for Q3 were 761,000 vehicles, with significant growth in the Galaxy and Lynk & Co brands [8] - The Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59.3%, with a single vehicle profit of 5,000 yuan, up 11.8% year-on-year [8] Brand Performance - In Q3, Zeekr and Lynk & Co combined sales reached 140,000 vehicles, with total revenue of 31.56 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.1%. However, both brands reported a net loss of 460 million yuan for the quarter [8] Strategic Initiatives - Geely plans to launch 10 new energy models in 2025, with significant focus on electric and intelligent vehicles. The new models will feature advanced driving assistance systems, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the market [8] - The company is focusing on brand strategy, with a strong emphasis on electrification and intelligence, supported by a robust new vehicle cycle [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 20.38 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 101.8% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.5%. The gross margin was 20.1%, up 2.8 percentage points from the previous quarter. The net loss was 380 million, narrowing by 1.43 billion year-on-year, while the Non-GAAP net loss was 150 million, narrowing by 1.38 billion year-on-year [2][4][8]. - The company is expected to see accelerated sales growth due to its leading smart driving capabilities, a strong new vehicle cycle, channel transformation, and enhanced marketing systems. Financial improvements are anticipated from scale increases, cost reductions from platforms and technology, and the expansion of software profitability and overseas growth [2][8]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company reported a total delivery volume of 116,000 vehicles in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 149.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.4%. The automotive business revenue was 18.05 billion, up 105.3% year-on-year and 6.9% quarter-on-quarter, with a single vehicle revenue of 176,000, down 0.8% quarter-on-quarter. The automotive business gross margin was 13.1%, up 4.5 percentage points year-on-year [8]. - Service revenue reached 2.33 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 78.1% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 67.3%. The service business gross margin was 74.6%, up 14.5 percentage points year-on-year and 21.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8]. Cost Management - The company’s R&D expenses were 2.43 billion, a year-on-year increase of 48.7% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.1%, with an R&D expense ratio of 11.9%. Selling and general expenses were 2.49 billion, up 52.6% year-on-year and 15.0% quarter-on-quarter, with a selling and general expense ratio of 12.2% [8]. Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, the company expects delivery volumes between 125,000 and 132,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.6% to 44.3%. Revenue is projected to be between 21.5 billion and 23 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33.5% to 42.8% [8]. - The company is positioned for a strong new vehicle cycle with multiple new models expected to enhance sales. The advancements in AI technology and smart driving capabilities are anticipated to create a significant competitive advantage, with revenue projections of 77.3 billion and 130.2 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively [8].

证券研究报告 非银金融 | 多元金融 港股|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 11 月 20 日 证券分析师 陆韵婷 SAC：S1350525050002 luyunting@huayuanstock.com 沈晨 SAC：S1350525090002 shenchen@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 2025 | 年 | 11 | 月 19 | | 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | | | | | 15.03 | | | 一年内最高/最低（港 | | | | 20.30/6.84 | | | | 元） | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万港元） | | | | | 11,942.77 | | | 流通市值（百万港元） | | | | | 11,942.77 | | | 资产负债率（%） | | | | | 46.14 | | | 资料来源：聚源数据 | | | | | | | OSL 集团(00863.HK) 投资评级： 买入（首次） ——新业务不断开拓的数字资产 ...

广告&电商略超预期，可灵收入超 3 亿元 2025 年 11 月 20 日 公司研究 分业务来看：1）线上营销服务业务略超预期：3Q25 实现收入 201 亿元，同 比+14%（vs 一致预期 198.7 亿元）。端到端生成式推荐大模型 OneRec 与 生成式强化学习出价模型 G4RL 协同提效，为国内线上营销服务收入带来约 4–5%增量；AIGC 营销素材推动消耗金额突破 30 亿元。UAX 全自动投放解 决方案在外循环的消耗渗透率达 70%以上；全站推产品的营销消耗占内循环 消耗比例提升至 65%以上。行业端，除生活服务行业外，以短剧为代表的内 容消费行业也是驱动外循环营销服务收入持续增长的主要动力。2）其他服务 （含电商）超预期：3Q25 实现收入 59 亿元，同比+41.3%（vs 一致预期 56.6 亿元）。电商 GMV 基本符合预期：电商 GMV 达 3850 亿元，同比+15.2%（vs 一致预期 3839 亿元），泛货架电商 GMV 占比超 32%。平台通过智能工具、 AIGC 素材生成能力、KOL 赋能以及多元场景运营，持续推动商家自然增长、 提升复购率并增强流量与销售转化；端到端生成式检 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][11] Core Views - The company has shown resilience in its external sales, with a notable recovery in overseas markets, while domestic sales are expected to stabilize [8] - The company's revenue for FY26H1 was HKD 8.045 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1%, but the decline has narrowed significantly compared to previous periods [7] - The gross profit margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to 40.4%, benefiting from cost control and operational efficiency [7][8] Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue forecast for the upcoming years is as follows: - 2024A: HKD 18.411 billion - 2025A: HKD 16.903 billion - 2026E: HKD 16.953 billion - 2027E: HKD 17.631 billion - 2028E: HKD 18.513 billion - The year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected to be -8% for 2025A, 0% for 2026E, 4% for 2027E, and 5% for 2028E [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted as follows: - 2024A: HKD 2.302 billion - 2025A: HKD 2.063 billion - 2026E: HKD 2.193 billion - 2027E: HKD 2.321 billion - 2028E: HKD 2.433 billion - The year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected to be -10% for 2025A, 6% for 2026E, 6% for 2027E, and 5% for 2028E [2] Market Performance - Domestic sales in the Chinese market for FY26H1 were HKD 4.203 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.5%, but the decline has significantly narrowed compared to FY25H2 [7] - Online sales showed strong performance with a year-on-year increase of 13.6%, while offline sales decreased by 12.3% [7] - The North American market revenue for FY26H1 was HKD 2.161 billion, a slight increase of 0.3%, demonstrating strong resilience amid rising international trade barriers [5] - Revenue from Europe and other markets for FY26H1 was HKD 0.765 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.3% [5] Cost and Margin Analysis - The overall gross profit margin increased to 40.4%, benefiting from a decrease in average unit costs of key raw materials such as leather, chemicals, and steel [8] - However, the company faced increased tariff costs for exports to the United States, which rose from HKD 6.65 million to HKD 78.83 million year-on-year [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in the affordable casual dining sector, focusing on high cost-performance ratio in new Huizhou cuisine, with a strong supply chain and direct operation model facilitating rapid expansion [8][19]. - The company has shown impressive financial performance, with a revenue of 2.71 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.5%, and a net profit of 380 million yuan, up 35.7% year-on-year [8]. - The casual dining market is highly fragmented, and the company is expected to increase its market share due to its competitive advantages [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, founded in 2013, specializes in affordable Huizhou cuisine, with a focus on quality ingredients and healthy cooking methods [13]. - As of the end of 2024, the company operates 667 stores, primarily in 14 provinces across China [13][19]. Industry Overview - The casual dining market in China is experiencing robust growth, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% from 2018 to 2023, outpacing the mid-to-high-end dining segment [39]. - The market for affordable casual dining is projected to grow at a CAGR of 8.9% over the next five years, driven by consumer demand for value [46]. Competitive Advantages - The company has established a comprehensive supply chain, ensuring high-quality and stable supply at low costs through centralized procurement [59]. - The direct operation model allows for consistent quality and service across all locations, with a focus on employee training and retention [19][59]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 6.08 billion yuan, 7.60 billion yuan, and 9.31 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 753 million yuan, 961 million yuan, and 1.20 billion yuan [7][8]. - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for these years are 15, 12, and 9 times, respectively [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target valuation of HKD 110 billion, corresponding to a 20x P/E for 2026 and 0.9x P/S for 2026, with a target price of HKD 77 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company has shown strong growth in both domestic and international markets, with Q3 sales reaching 174,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 102%, leading to a revenue growth of 97.3% to CNY 19.45 billion [1][2]. - The gross margin improved to 14.5%, up 6.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to scale effects, product mix optimization, and ongoing cost management [1]. - The company aims for a sales target of 1 million units and a profit of CNY 5 billion by 2026, supported by new model launches and an expanding sales network [2][4]. Sales and Revenue Growth - Q3 sales included 17,397 units exported and 156,000 units sold domestically, with the newly launched B01 model achieving over 10,000 deliveries for three consecutive months [2][3]. - The company plans to introduce four new models by 2026, enhancing its product lineup across various price segments [2]. International Expansion - The company is the leading new force in exports, with Q3 exports totaling 17,397 units and a cumulative export of 37,772 units for the first three quarters [3]. - Strong overseas demand is evident, with October orders reaching 12,000 units and expected to exceed 15,000 units in November [3]. - The company has established over 700 sales and service points across 30 international markets, with plans for local production in Malaysia and Europe by 2026 [3]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts sales of 610,000, 1,020,000, and 1,320,000 units for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with projected revenues of CNY 67.54 billion, CNY 112.95 billion, and CNY 151.02 billion [4][5]. - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are CNY 1 billion, CNY 5.07 billion, and CNY 11.28 billion, respectively, with net profit margins improving to 1.5%, 4.5%, and 7.5% [5][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Baidu Group is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Baidu's Q3 2025 profits exceeded expectations, with significant revenue contributions from AI [6][7] - The AI search transformation is stabilizing, and new business segments like AI marketing and cloud services are driving revenue growth [6][8] - The company has revised its non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 upwards, reflecting a positive outlook on AI and cloud contributions [6] Financial Summary - For Q3 2025, Baidu reported revenues of 311.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 7%, but slightly above Bloomberg consensus expectations [7] - Non-GAAP net profit for Q3 2025 was 37.7 billion yuan, down 36% year-on-year, yet better than the expected 26.3 billion yuan [7] - The core online marketing revenue decreased by 18% year-on-year, attributed to macroeconomic impacts and internal search transformation adjustments [7] - AI cloud revenue grew by 33% year-on-year to 42 billion yuan, with AI high-performance computing subscription revenue increasing by 128% [7] - The projected non-GAAP net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19.55 billion, 21.91 billion, and 24.82 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of -27.6%, +12.1%, and +13.3% [9] Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 15.0 for 2025, 13.4 for 2026, and 11.8 for 2027 [6][9] - The projected diluted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.8, 7.6, and 8.6 yuan respectively [9]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3] Core Insights - The company has shown significant improvement in profitability, with a net profit of 680 million yuan in Q3 2025, compared to a loss of 1.37 billion yuan in the same period last year [1][8] - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 22.026 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.34%, with a gross profit margin growth of 34.2% [1][8] - The advertising business has performed exceptionally well, with a revenue of 4.45 billion yuan in the first three quarters, up 20% year-on-year, driven by a significant increase in performance-based advertising [2][16] - User engagement metrics are strong, with monthly active users (MAU) reaching 376 million and daily active users (DAU) at 117 million, both marking historical highs [12][1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 7.69 billion yuan, reflecting a 5% year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth [1][8] - Adjusted net profit for Q3 was 786 million yuan, with a remarkable increase of 233% year-on-year and 40% quarter-on-quarter [1][8] - The company generated operating cash flow of 5.308 billion yuan, up from 4.614 billion yuan in the same period last year [1][8] User Metrics - The platform's MAU and DAU grew by 8% and 9% year-on-year, respectively, indicating strong user retention and engagement [12][1] - Average daily usage time per active user reached 112 minutes, a 6% increase year-on-year [12][1] - Monthly paying users increased by 17% year-on-year, totaling 35 million [12][1] Advertising and Gaming Revenue - The advertising segment's revenue in Q3 was 2.57 billion yuan, a 23% increase year-on-year, benefiting from a shift towards performance-based advertising [2][16] - Mobile gaming revenue for Q3 was 1.511 billion yuan, down 17% year-on-year due to high base effects from previous successful titles [2][18] - The company plans to launch new games to enhance its gaming portfolio, with promising titles expected in the near future [2][18] Future Outlook - The company has revised its profit forecasts upward, expecting net profits of 1.223 billion yuan, 2.041 billion yuan, and 3.251 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3][19] - The anticipated growth in advertising, gaming, and value-added services, supported by advancements in AI technology, suggests a positive long-term outlook for the company [3][19]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 89.40, up from the previous HKD 85.28 [7][5][23]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 performance slightly exceeded expectations, with revenue growth of 13% year-on-year to RMB 35.6 billion, surpassing consensus estimates by 1% [1]. - The adjusted net profit for Q3 increased by 26% year-on-year to RMB 5 billion, exceeding expectations by 2.3% [1]. - The management anticipates that the revenue for the company's AI product, 可灵, could reach USD 1.4 billion by 2025 [1]. - The report highlights a slowdown in e-commerce monetization, despite a strong performance in advertising and live streaming [1][5]. Summary by Sections Q3 Performance - Revenue for Q3 was RMB 35.6 billion, a 13% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin improvement of 0.3 percentage points to 54.7% [1]. - Adjusted net profit rose 26% year-on-year to RMB 5 billion, exceeding expectations by 2.3% [1]. - Revenue breakdown: live streaming, advertising, and e-commerce grew by 3%, 14%, and 41% respectively [1]. Advertising and E-commerce - Q3 advertising revenue increased by 14%, slightly above expectations, with a 16% growth when excluding overseas revenue [3]. - E-commerce and other revenues accelerated by 41% year-on-year, with GMV growth of 15% [4]. - The company invested RMB 18 billion in platform traffic incentives during the Double 11 shopping festival, which met expectations [4]. Future Outlook - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted, with a slight decrease of 0.6% for 2025 due to slowing e-commerce consumption, while 2026-2027 forecasts were increased due to AI-driven advertising growth [5][19]. - The adjusted net profit estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 20.6 billion, RMB 22.1 billion, and RMB 25.8 billion respectively [5][19]. Valuation - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, assigning a per-share value of HKD 89.40, reflecting the potential for increased revenue contributions from the AI product [23][24]. - The valuation for the advertising business is set at HKD 68.96 per share, while e-commerce and live streaming are valued at HKD 11.41 and HKD 9.02 per share respectively [23].