港股通 回购彰显成长信心，产品持续出奇创新 证券研究报告 泡泡玛特 (9992 HK) | 华泰研究 | | | 动态点评 | 投资评级(维持): | 买入 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026 年 | 1 月 | 22 日│中国香港 | 消费轻工 | 目标价(港币): | 410.00 | 公司近日开启股份回购，1 月 19 日、21 日两次回购合计 190 万股，回购金 额 3.1 亿港元。公司曾于 4M23-2M24 持续回购，累计约 2465 万股，金额 约 4.6 亿港元，平均单笔 36 万股。本轮回购的单笔金额及股数均超过以往， 彰显公司对成长前景信心。公司在门店运营精细度、场景氛围、情感体验等 方面不断精进，已长期论证的 IP 创新、品类创新能力持续发力，不断带动 新 IP、新玩法出圈。我们看好公司在 26 年加快 IP 结构多元化、均衡化， 乐园、动画内容、甜品、饰品等业态加快落地，培育新增长点并强化 IP 情 感连接，缓解市场对时尚风险的担忧。维持"买入"评级，继续重点推荐。 新品玩法、创意不断出新，持续验证 IP 运营能力 近期公司多 ...

周大福 FY2026Q3 主要经营数据点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘越男(分析师) | 021-38677706 | liuyuenan@gtht.com | S0880516030003 | | | | 宋小寒(分析师) | 010-83939087 | songxiaohan@gtht.com | S0880524080011 | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 14.12 | 本报告导读： 中国内地高毛利率定价产品占比提升。 同店销售提速，内地定价首饰高增 周大福(1929) [Table_Market] 交易数据 | 52 周内股价区间(港元) | 6.76-16.63 | | --- | --- | | 当前股本(百万股) | 9,865 | | 当前市值(百万港元) | 139,299 | [Table_PicQuote] 52周股价走势图 0% 30% 61% 91% 121% 15 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Baidu Group [2] Core Views - Baidu's operating cash flow is expected to remain positive in Q4, supported by prudent spending and the integration of AI tools in operations [4][13] - The listing of Kunlun Chip (KLX) is anticipated to unlock significant valuation for Baidu, with potential revenue comparable to Cambricon [5][14] - Apollo Go is set to accelerate its global expansion in 2026, which may further support Baidu's stock performance [15] Financial Summary - Baidu's revenue for FY25 is projected at RMB 128.7 billion, a decrease of 2.4% year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 18.6 billion, down 31% [3][11] - The core business is expected to generate an adjusted operating profit of RMB 14.1 billion, corresponding to a margin of 13.8% [11] - For Q4, total core revenue is estimated at RMB 25.8 billion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.9% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.5% [12] Valuation and Recommendations - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SoTP) valuation method, estimating a total market cap of approximately HK$481.8 billion or a target price of HK$178, corresponding to a 24x PE for FY26 [6][14] - The valuation breakdown includes traditional search ads, AI cloud, AI SaaS, AI ads, and other segments, with significant contributions from the Robotaxi and Kunlun Chip businesses [6][15]

内生外延驱动业绩提升，稳步释放龙头效应 glmszqdatemark [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 单位/百万人民币 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 2,572 | 3,020 | 3,986 | 4,584 | | 增长率（%） | 19.9 | 17.4 | 32.0 | 15.0 | | 经调整净利润 | 252 | 385 | 510 | 600 | | (+/-)(%) | 4.6 | 52.8 | 32.4 | 17.6 | | EPS(基于经调整净利润） | 1.00 | 1.53 | 2.03 | 2.38 | | P/E(基于经调整净利润） | 26 | 17 | 13 | 11 | | P/B | 7.0 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 3.1 | 资料来源：Wind，国联民生证券研究所预测（注：股价为 2026 年 1 月 22 日收盘价,汇率 1HKD=0.92RMB） 2026 年 01 月 22 日 推荐 维持评级 当前价格： 28.62 港元 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 港股研究丨公司点评丨小菜园（00999.HK） [Table_Title] 近期观点更新 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490517020001 SAC：S0490520080013 SFC：BUX176 赵刚 杨会强 马健轩 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 小菜园在 2025 年 7 月实现高铁冠名列车首发与香港首店装修启动，双措并举推动品牌迈上新 台阶，11 月公司门店总数（含子品牌）突破了 800 家，12 月小菜园自营门店总数突破 810 家， 超额完成全年目标。看好公司未来围绕全球化、数字化与可持续化三大核心方向加速布局，供 应链赋能小菜园品牌继续加密现有城市、进驻新城市，"菜手"顺应消费趋势，成为公司第二大 品牌。公司定位契合当下餐饮行业消费趋势，在行业复苏下，有望凭借科学的标准化管理、完 备的供应链、优越的单店模型抢抓发展机遇。 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 小菜园（00999.HK） cjzqdt111 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 19.40, corresponding to a FY27 PE of 22 times [6][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a retail revenue growth of 17.8% year-on-year for 3QFY26, with same-store sales growth (SSSG) accelerating across regions, particularly in mainland China and Hong Kong [1][2]. - The company is focusing on international expansion, having opened its first new image store in Singapore and planning further expansion into Thailand, Australia, North America, and the Middle East [4]. - The retail value of priced jewelry in mainland China has increased to 40.1%, supporting the resilience of the company's gross margin [3]. Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In 3QFY26, the company's retail revenue increased by 17.8% year-on-year, with same-store sales growth in mainland China and Hong Kong at 21.4% and 14.3% respectively [1][2]. - The growth was driven by rising gold prices and increased consumer enthusiasm for jewelry, particularly in mainland China [2]. Product and Brand Strategy - The company has successfully launched new products in its signature series, enhancing brand appeal and reaching younger consumers through collaborations, such as the blind box series with Hong Kong Disneyland [3]. - The retail value of priced jewelry in mainland China has risen by 10.7 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a strong consumer response to price adjustments [3]. Store Network and Expansion - The company is optimizing its store network by closing underperforming stores while opening new image stores, with a net closure of 228 stores in 3QFY26, a slowdown from previous quarters [4]. - The company has initiated international expansion, with plans to establish a retail presence in high-potential markets [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of HKD 81.2 billion, HKD 89.1 billion, and HKD 99.0 billion for FY26, FY27, and FY28 respectively [5][9]. - The report anticipates a PE ratio of 14 times for comparable companies in 2026, with the company positioned as an industry leader benefiting from ongoing same-store sales growth and channel adjustments [5].

买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 218.77 | 640.08 | 414.00 | 471.00 | 563.00 | | 同比(%) | 31.12 | 192.58 | (35.32) | 13.77 | 19.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (210.59) | 166.34 | (115.44) | (96.59) | (26.41) | | 同比(%) | 35.35 | 178.99 | (169.40) | 16.33 | 72.65 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.22) | 0.17 | (0.12) | (0.10) | (0.03) | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (45.43) | 57.52 | (82.88) | (99.05) | (362.23) | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·海外公 ...

买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 218.77 | 640.08 | 414.00 | 471.00 | 563.00 | | 同比(%) | 31.12 | 192.58 | (35.32) | 13.77 | 19.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | (210.59) | 166.34 | (115.44) | (96.59) | (26.41) | | 同比(%) | 35.35 | 178.99 | (169.40) | 16.33 | 72.65 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | (0.22) | 0.17 | (0.12) | (0.10) | (0.03) | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | (45.43) | 57.52 | (82.88) | (99.05) | (362.23) | 证券研究报告·海外公司研究简报·药品及生物科技(HS) 康宁杰瑞制药-B（09966. ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪研究|房地产Ⅱ 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 【广发地产&海外】华润万象生活 （01209.HK） | 盈利预测：（除非特别注明，否则报告货币为人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Table_ 单位:Finance] 人民币百万元 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 主营收入 | 14,767 | 17,043 | 18,026 | 19,218 | 20,434 | | 增长率（ % ） | 22.9% | 15.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | | EBITDA | 4,304 | 5,367 | 5,754 | 6,349 | 6,985 | | 归母净利润 | 2,929 | 3,629 | 3,928 | 4,361 | 4,824 | | 增长率（ % ） | 32.8% | 23.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | | EPS（元/股） | 1.28 | 1.59 | 1.72 | 1. ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪研究|房地产Ⅱ 证券研究报告 | & 海 外 】 华 润 置 地 | [Table_Title] 【 广 发 地 产 | | --- | --- | | （01109.HK） | | 销售稳居前三，购物中心租金双位数增长 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_ 单位 Finance] :人民币百万元 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入 | | 251,137 | 278,799 | 253,683 | 201,380 | 202,297 | | 增长率（ ） | % | 21.3% | 11.0% | -9.0% | -20.6% | 0.5% | | EBITDA | | 69,277 | 62,552 | 52,442 | 49,122 | 53,315 | | 归母净利润 | | 31,365 | 25,577 | 24,024 | 24,233 | 26,599 | | 增长率（ ） | % | ...