Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for Anta Sports, with a target price trimmed to HK$ 119.08, based on a 24x FY25E P/E ratio [1][3]. Core Insights - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin is viewed positively, with the acquisition price considered attractive and significant potential for expansion in the mid-priced outdoor industry and European markets [1][11]. - Despite a slight decline in retail sales growth in March-April 2025, the outlook for Q2 2025 remains cautiously optimistic due to various growth drivers [11][12]. - The company's retail sales growth in Q1 2025 was satisfactory, with improvements in inventory management and a better-than-expected profit margin [10][11]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY25E are set at RMB 78,235 million, with a year-on-year growth of 10.5% [2][12]. - Net profit for FY25E is estimated at RMB 14,961.4 million, reflecting a decrease of 12.7% year-on-year [2][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for FY25E is projected at RMB 4.66, down from RMB 5.34 in FY24A [2][12]. Market Performance - The current market capitalization of Anta Sports is approximately HK$ 226.67 billion, with a current stock price of HK$ 83.85, indicating a potential upside of 42% to the target price [3][4]. - The stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 17x for FY25E, which is considered attractive compared to its 5-year average of 25x [1][12]. Acquisition Details - Anta Sports announced the acquisition of Jack Wolfskin for USD 290 million (approximately RMB 23.5 billion), with expected sales of EUR 325 million and adjusted EBITDA of EUR 12 million for FY25E [11][18]. - The valuation metrics for the acquisition indicate a P/S ratio of approximately 0.8x, which is lower than both Anta's group average and the global sports industry average [11][18].

交银国际研究 公司更新 | 内地房地产 目标价 | 收盘价 | | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 4 月 14 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5.31 港元 | 港元 | 6.30 | +18.6% | | | 中海物业 (2669 HK) | | | | | | 管理规模扩大支撑稳定增长，维持买入评级 | | | | | 我们更新对中海物业的财务预测，并提供了 2027 年的业绩预测。我们看到利 润率在 2024 年触底反弹，预计 2025-27 年将基本保持稳定。同时，我们认为 公司将继续从中国海外发展和第三方获得新项目，以支持其未来三年的稳定 增长。 个股评级 买入 1 年股价表现 4/24 8/24 12/24 4/25 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 2669 HK 恒生指数 股份资料 此报告最后部分的分析师披露、商业关系披露和免责声明为报告的一部分，必须阅读。 下载本公司之研究报告，可从彭博信息：BOCM 或 https://research.bocomgroup.com 资料来源 : FactSet 不断扩大的管 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨吉利汽车（0175.HK） [Table_Title] 吉利汽车 2025 年 Q1 业绩预告点评：新能源销 量强劲带动盈利提升，Q1 业绩超预期 报告要点 %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary] 吉利汽车发布 2025 年一季度业绩预告。2025 年一季度会计政策变更前预计归母净利 116-123 亿元，同比提升 640%-690%；会计政策变更后预计归母净利 52-58 亿元，同比提升 220%- 270%。新平台赋能，吉利汽车开启产品新时代。GEA 架构支撑新车周期，极氪、领克、银河 全面向好。各品牌新能源转型顺利推进，规模效应逐步凸显将带来盈利向上弹性。公司燃油车 基盘稳固，联营企业创新出海模式持续打开海外新空间。智能化战略开启，加速提升智驾能力。 整车强势新周期下盈利具备较大弹性。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 张扬 SAC：S0490517060001 SAC：S0490524030004 SFC：BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% 吉利汽车（0175.HK） cjzqd ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the company, indicating an expectation to outperform the benchmark index by 10%-20% over the next six months [2][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.384 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 54%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.347 billion yuan, a 134.8% increase year-on-year, although the adjusted net profit showed a loss of 2.33 billion yuan, worsening by 270 million yuan year-on-year [2][8]. - The company is experiencing rapid revenue growth driven by increased demand from downstream customers, with significant contributions from both product solutions and authorized services [8]. - The company is focusing on R&D investments to build a technological moat, despite facing losses in adjusted net profit [8]. - The report forecasts continued growth in both volume and price for the company's product solutions in 2025, with expectations of significant increases in average selling prices due to the introduction of higher-tier products [8]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 77.3%, up 6.7 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a shift in revenue structure favoring higher-margin authorized services [8]. - The company’s total expenses for 2024 were 4.746 billion yuan, accounting for 176% of revenue, with R&D expenses alone reaching 3.16 billion yuan, which is 132% of revenue [8]. - The financial projections for 2025-2027 estimate revenues of 3.67 billion, 5.66 billion, and 8.18 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 54.0%, 54.3%, and 44.4% respectively [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue decline of 12.45% year-on-year, with total revenue reaching 27.026 billion. The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 28.89% to 1.684 billion [1][12] - Despite the revenue pressure, the company’s gross margin improved by 0.7 percentage points to 27.0%, showcasing strong cost transmission capabilities [2] - The company is expected to see net profits of 2.165 billion, 2.398 billion, and 2.618 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 5.7, 5.1, and 4.7 [1] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from various segments was as follows: plastic pipeline systems (22.819 billion), building materials and home products (2.271 billion), environmental protection (0.277 billion), supply chain services (0.930 billion), and new energy (0.223 billion), with year-on-year changes of -7.2%, -20.0%, -28.42%, -38.61%, and -77.96% respectively [2] - The core business of plastic pipeline systems saw sales of PVC and non-PVC pipes at 12.923 billion and 9.896 billion respectively, with total sales volume down by 6.2% to 2.4829 million tons [2] Profitability and Cost Structure - The company’s expense ratio increased to 19.32%, up by 1.22 percentage points year-on-year, impacting the net profit margin which fell to 6.23% [3] - The net asset return rate was reported at 7.11%, a decrease of 3.34 percentage points year-on-year [3] Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on high-quality development through smart and green manufacturing upgrades, with a designed annual capacity of 3.29 million tons and a utilization rate of 76.4% [4] - The company is expanding its international presence in Southeast Asia, Africa, and the United States, while also innovating in product offerings such as PE pipes for nuclear power plants [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [5]. Core Insights - The company has secured a total of HKD 650 million in term loans from two banks, reflecting its strong financing capabilities as a state-owned developer in Guangzhou [1]. - Revenue for 2024 reached CNY 86.4 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%, while core net profit significantly declined by 54.4% to CNY 1.59 billion due to impairment losses [1][2]. - The company has a robust land bank, with a total area of 19.71 million square meters across 25 cities, primarily in first and second-tier cities [2]. - The financing cost has improved, with a weighted average borrowing rate of 3.49% for 2024, down 33 basis points year-on-year [3]. - The company projects revenue growth of 1.2% to CNY 87.4 billion in 2025, with a target of CNY 120.5 billion in sales [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financing and Loans - The company has successfully signed term loans totaling HKD 650 million, indicating continued access to financing [1]. - The weighted average borrowing rate has decreased to 3.49%, showcasing improved financing costs [3]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company reported revenue of CNY 86.4 billion, a 7.7% increase from the previous year [1]. - Core net profit fell to CNY 1.59 billion, a decline of 54.4%, primarily due to significant impairment losses totaling CNY 39 billion [1][4]. Land Bank and Sales - The company holds a land bank of 19.71 million square meters, with a focus on major cities, and has added 24 new land parcels in 2024 [2]. - Sales volume decreased by 12% to 3.92 million square meters, with sales revenue down 19% to CNY 115.4 billion [2]. Future Projections - The company forecasts revenue growth of 1.2% in 2025, with a sales target of CNY 120.5 billion, indicating expectations of market stabilization [2][4]. - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are CNY 87.4 billion, CNY 91.4 billion, and CNY 97.0 billion, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 12X, 9X, and 7X [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the benchmark index [5]. Core Views - The company has successfully secured a total of HKD 650 million in term loans from two banks, reflecting its strong financing capabilities as a state-owned developer in Guangzhou [1]. - Despite a 54.4% year-on-year decline in core net profit to CNY 1.59 billion due to impairment losses, the company reported a 7.7% increase in revenue to CNY 86.4 billion for 2024 [1][2]. - The company has a robust land bank of 19.71 million square meters, primarily located in first- and second-tier cities, which supports its future sales and revenue growth [2]. - The financing costs have been optimized, with a weighted average borrowing rate of 3.49% for 2024, down 33 basis points year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved revenue of CNY 86.4 billion, a 7.7% increase from the previous year, while the gross margin decreased to 10.5%, down 4.8 percentage points [1][4]. - The core net profit for 2024 was CNY 1.59 billion, a significant drop of 54.4% due to impairment provisions totaling CNY 2.27 billion for development properties and CNY 1.63 billion for long-term assets [1]. Land Bank and Sales - As of the end of 2024, the company added 24 plots of land with a total construction area of approximately 2.71 million square meters, bringing its total land bank to 19.71 million square meters across 25 cities [2]. - The sales area for 2024 was 3.92 million square meters, a decrease of 12% year-on-year, with sales revenue of CNY 115.4 billion, down 19% [2]. Financing and Cost Structure - The company has diversified its financing channels, successfully issuing a total of CNY 2.5 billion in bonds and debt instruments at competitive rates [3]. - The report forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027, with expected revenues of CNY 87.4 billion, CNY 91.4 billion, and CNY 97.0 billion, representing growth rates of 1.2%, 4.6%, and 6.1% respectively [4]. Valuation Metrics - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025-2027 are 12X, 9X, and 7X, indicating a favorable valuation outlook as earnings are expected to recover [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [7][15]. Core Views - The company reported Q4 2024 revenue of 6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.8%, exceeding the previous guidance of 1%-5% growth. However, adjusted net profit fell by 37.9% to 320 million yuan, primarily due to a 420 million yuan impairment loss from the DH business [1]. - For 2024, the company expects revenue of 23.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, and adjusted net profit of 3.72 billion yuan, a growth of 5.8% [1]. - The company anticipates a positive outlook for franchise growth in 2025, with expected revenue growth of 2%-6% and a focus on franchise and management income growth of 17%-21% [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q4 2024 revenue was 6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.8%. Adjusted net profit was 320 million yuan, down 37.9% due to impairment losses [1]. - For 2024, revenue is projected at 23.9 billion yuan, a 9.2% increase, with adjusted net profit expected to reach 3.72 billion yuan, up 5.8% [1]. Operational Metrics - The RevPAR for Huazhu China in Q4 2024 was 222 yuan, down 3.1% year-on-year, while the DH segment saw a RevPAR of 81 euros, up 11.0% [2]. - The company plans to open 2,442 new stores in 2024, exceeding the target of 2,400, bringing the total to 11,147 hotels by year-end [3]. Future Guidance - For Q1 2025, the company expects revenue growth of 0%-4%, with franchise income projected to grow by 18%-22% [4]. - The company plans to open approximately 2,300 new stores in 2025, with a net increase of about 1,700 stores after closures [4]. Shareholder Returns - The company plans to return 770 million USD to shareholders in 2024, including 500 million USD in cash dividends and 270 million USD in share buybacks [5]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 4.49 billion yuan, 5.13 billion yuan, and 5.94 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 17, 15, and 13 [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown stable operational performance in Q1 2025, with significant growth in brand revenues, particularly for the Anta and FILA brands, which recorded high single-digit growth year-on-year. Other brands experienced a remarkable revenue growth of 65%-70% [5][7] - The company plans to acquire the outdoor brand Wolfskin, which is expected to accelerate its internationalization process and enhance its product structure and retail efficiency through supply chain optimization [7] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at RMB 788.5 billion, RMB 878.5 billion, and RMB 970.2 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.3%, 11.4%, and 10.4%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be RMB 134.5 billion, RMB 154.9 billion, and RMB 172.5 billion, with corresponding growth rates of -13.8%, +15.2%, and +11.3% [7][9] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q1 2025, Anta brand revenue showed high single-digit growth year-on-year, while FILA also continued its positive trend with high single-digit growth. Other brands achieved a revenue increase of 65%-70% [5][7] Acquisition Plans - The company announced plans to acquire the European outdoor brand Wolfskin for USD 290 million in cash, which is expected to enhance its international presence and leverage Wolfskin's established network and brand strength in Europe [7] Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 788.5 billion, RMB 878.5 billion, and RMB 970.2 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of RMB 134.5 billion, RMB 154.9 billion, and RMB 172.5 billion. The projected P/E ratios are 16, 14, and 13 for the respective years [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5][4]. Core Insights - The company reported strong retail performance in Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in retail sales for its brands, including a 65-70% increase for other brands [1][2]. - The acquisition of Jack Wolfskin for $290 million in cash is expected to enhance the company's brand matrix and strengthen its outdoor sports segment [1][2][3]. - The integration of Jack Wolfskin is anticipated to provide synergies in supply chain, product development, and retail operations, leveraging its advanced materials technology and German engineering expertise [3][4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at RMB 78.6 billion, RMB 88.3 billion, and RMB 101.1 billion, respectively, with net profit estimates of RMB 13.5 billion, RMB 15.7 billion, and RMB 17.9 billion [4]. - The adjusted EPS for the same period is projected to be RMB 4.82, RMB 5.60, and RMB 6.39, with corresponding PE ratios of 17, 15, and 13 times [4].