上美股份(02145):跟踪点评:品牌多点开花,多轮驱动迈向平台化
Western Securities· 2026-01-28 09:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return that exceeds the market benchmark by over 20% in the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The Chinese beauty industry is transitioning from "incremental expansion" to "stock game," with the market expected to reach a scale of 465.3 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting a 5.1% year-on-year growth, marking the maturity of the market [1][6]. - Domestic brands are gaining market share due to their understanding of local consumer needs and agile operations, shifting from market participants to leaders [1]. - The competition has evolved from traffic acquisition to a systematic comparison of brand strength, product technology, and sustainable innovation capabilities [1]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Performance - The company has successfully transitioned from a "single-core drive" to a "platform group" strategy, with its main brand, Han Shu, contributing 3.344 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, driven by the expansion into men's skincare and high-end hair care [2]. - The second growth curve represented by the "Yi Ye" brand has seen a revenue surge of 146.5% year-on-year to 397 million yuan [2]. Long-term Growth Strategy - The company has set a clear goal to achieve 30 billion yuan in sales by 2030, supported by three core drivers: scientific research outcomes, brand category expansion, and deepening global layout [3]. - The application of AI in production and marketing, along with talent development, is expected to enhance operational efficiency and support the long-term revenue target [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from 4.191 billion yuan in 2023 to 12.646 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 56.6% in 2024 and 27.4% in 2025 [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 461 million yuan in 2023 to 1.609 billion yuan in 2027, with a significant growth rate of 213.5% in 2024 [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 1.16 yuan in 2023 to 4.04 yuan in 2027, reflecting strong profitability [4].
思摩尔国际(06969):回购彰显长期信心,HNB业务稳步增长
Guotou Securities· 2026-01-28 09:09
2026 年 01 月 28 日 思摩尔国际(06969.HK) 回购彰显长期信心 HNB 业务稳步增长 两日耗资近 2 亿港元,连续大额回购彰显长期信心 根据公司公告,12 月 11 日与 12 月 12 日,公司进行了两次回购。11 日以 12.26 港元/股的均价回购了 814 万股、耗资 9977 万港元,12 日以 12.48 港元/股的均价回购 799 万股、耗资 9976 万港元,受托人 持有的股份占公司总股的比例从购买前的 1.2853%上升到了 1.5457%。此次大额回购彰显了管理层对公司价值和未来业务增长的 长期信心。 25Q3 营收创历史新高,HNB 持续放量反馈积极 公司 2025 年第三季度营收约人民币 41.97 亿元,同比增长 27.2%, 表现亮眼,主要受益于战略客户在全球主要市场成功推出加热不燃烧 (HNB)新品。同时全球监管趋严加速不合规产品出清,公司作为合 规龙头充分享受到了政策红利,电子雾化业务稳健增长。旗舰新品带 动自有品牌业务份额提升。Q3 经调整净利约 4.44 亿元,同比增长 4.0%。剔除股份支付后的期间费用增速低于收入增速,费用管控优异。 投资建议:思摩尔 ...
紫金黄金国际(02259):收购AlliedGold100%股权点评:AlliedGold收购彰显魄力、眼光,符合紫金风范
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 08:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase exceeding 15% over the next six months [5]. Core Insights - The acquisition of Allied Gold for CAD 5.5 billion (approximately RMB 28 billion) at CAD 44 per share represents a 5.39% premium over the closing price on January 23 [1]. - The acquisition is expected to increase the company's resource and reserve volumes by 25% and 33%, respectively, enhancing its production capabilities significantly [2]. - The report forecasts substantial profit growth for the company, with net profits projected to reach USD 15.4 billion, USD 39.9 billion, and USD 49.3 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 220%, 159%, and 24% [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from USD 2.26 billion in 2023 to USD 12.91 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 75.55% from 2024 to 2025 [4]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from USD 230 million in 2023 to USD 4.93 billion in 2027, indicating a significant upward trend in profitability [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from USD 0.42 in 2023 to USD 1.84 in 2027, showcasing strong earnings growth potential [4].
鸣鸣很忙(01768):多维领先,强者恒强,两万店龙头乘势而上
CMS· 2026-01-28 08:15
证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2026 年 01 月 28 日 鸣鸣很忙(01768.HK) 多维领先,强者恒强,两万店龙头乘势而上 消费/商业 量贩零食渠道效率大幅领先,预计行业规模持续增长;同时公司作为行业龙头, 团队优质,供应链、仓配、拓展、品牌等多维领先,规模效应下预计强者恒强, 份额进一步提升,利润逐步释放。首次覆盖给予"强烈推荐"评级。 ❑ 风险提示:拓店速度、同店增长不及预期,行业竞争加剧,食品安全风险等。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万元) | 10295 | 39344 | 64943 | 85987 | 99689 | | 同比增长 | 140% | 282% | 65% | 32% | 16% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 329 | 1132 | 3142 | 4557 | 5782 | | 同比增长 | 229% | 244% | 178% | 45% | 27% | | 经调整净利润(百万元) | 235 ...
潼关黄金:动态报告:乘势而上,大有可为-20260128
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2026-01-28 07:45
潼关黄金(0340.HK)动态报告 乘势而上,大有可为 glmszqdatemark [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 单位/百万港元 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 1,605 | 2,974 | 3,703 | 4,431 | | 增长率(%) | 7.2 | 85.3 | 24.5 | 19.7 | | 归母净利润 | 211 | 1,017 | 1,264 | 1,569 | | 增长率(%) | 310.3 | 381.8 | 24.2 | 24.2 | | EPS | 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.30 | | P/E | 88 | 18 | 15 | 12 | | P/B | 7.5 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 资料来源:Wind,国联民生证券研究所预测(注:股价为 2026 年 1 月 27 日收盘价,汇率 1HKD=0.92RMB) | 推荐 | 维持评级 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格: | 3.49 港元 | ...
安踏体育(02020):战略布局
citic securities· 2026-01-28 07:23
安踏体育 2020 HK 本文内容由 Ryan Lee (李昊谦) 提供 中信证券财富管理(香港) 产品及投资方案部 本文是由投资/产品专员而非分析师撰写的文章汇编。 它不构成研究报告,也不应被解释为研究报告,也不旨在提供 专业、投资或任何其他类型的建议或推荐。 CSIWM 个股点评 2026 年 1 月 28 日 中国消费品行业 电话:(852) 2237 9250 / 电邮:wminvestmentsolutions@citics.com.hk 战略布局 摘要 中信证券财富管理与中信里昂研究观点一致。根据中信里昂研究在 2026 年 1 月 28 日发布的题为《Strategic move》 的报告,安踏体育股价在 1 月 27 日上涨 2%,此前公司宣布以每股 35 欧元的价格(含税总对价 15.05 亿欧元/122.8 亿元人民币)现金收购 Artémis(皮诺家族)持有的彪马(PUMA)SE 29.06%股权,其资金全部来自内部资源。此 次交易符合安踏"单聚焦、多品牌、全球化"战略,鉴于彪马在大中华区销售额占比仅 7%(显著低于同业 17%- 30%水平),未来市场空间拓展潜力巨大。安踏管理层确认交 ...
潼关黄金(00340):动态报告:乘势而上,大有可为
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2026-01-28 07:23
潼关黄金(0340.HK)动态报告 乘势而上,大有可为 glmszqdatemark [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 单位/百万港元 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 1,605 | 2,974 | 3,703 | 4,431 | | 增长率(%) | 7.2 | 85.3 | 24.5 | 19.7 | | 归母净利润 | 211 | 1,017 | 1,264 | 1,569 | | 增长率(%) | 310.3 | 381.8 | 24.2 | 24.2 | | EPS | 0.04 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.30 | | P/E | 88 | 18 | 15 | 12 | | P/B | 7.5 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 资料来源:Wind,国联民生证券研究所预测(注:股价为 2026 年 1 月 27 日收盘价,汇率 1HKD=0.92RMB) | 推荐 | 维持评级 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格: | 3.49 港元 | ...
安踏体育(02020):拟收购PUMA股权助力全球化再下一城
HTSC· 2026-01-28 06:04
证券研究报告 安踏体育 (2020 HK) 港股通 拟收购PUMA股权助力全球化再下一城 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国香港 服装 安踏体育于 2026 年 1 月 26 日公告与 Pinault 家族(Artémis)签署购股协 议,收购 PUMA 29.06%的股权:交易对价为每股 35 欧元,总金额约 15.06 亿欧元(约 122.8 亿人民币),全部由公司自有现金支付。公司凭借"单聚 焦、多品牌及全球化"战略,通过此次收购成为 PUMA 最大股东,进一步完 善全球品牌矩阵。PUMA 在足球、跑步及赛车等专业领域的深厚积淀,与公 司现有品牌形成较强互补,此外依托安踏在中国市场的渠道与零售运营优 势,有望助力 PUMA 挖掘中国市场潜力。我们认为此次收购后公司将拥有 覆盖大众到高端、时尚到专业的全方位多品牌组合,进一步增强国际竞争力, 收购估值合理且公司预计不影响 25 年派息能力,看好协同效应有望支撑公 司长期价值提升,维持"买入"评级。 收购后成为 Puma 最大股东,推进单聚焦、多品牌及全球化战略 2026 年 1 月 26 日,安踏体育公告与卖方 Artémis 订立协议,同意以每股 35 ...
康耐特光学(02276):重大事项点评:配股募资14亿港元,强化XR业务布局,彰显成长雄心
Huachuang Securities· 2026-01-28 05:18
证 券 研 究 报 告 康耐特光学(02276.HK)重大事项点评 强推(维持) 配股募资 14 亿港元,强化 XR 业务布局,彰 显成长雄心 事项: 1)公司拟通过配售代理向不少于 6 名承配人配售 2700 万股,配售价格每股 52.00 港元。若悉数配售,预计筹集资金总额约 14.04 亿港元,净额约 14.00 亿 港元。配售完成后总股本预计由 4.80 亿股增至 5.07 亿股。2)根据 AR 圈报 道,字节跳动旗下的 AI 眼镜预计于"春节前后"的时间节点上市,或通过"限 量赠送"替代公开销售。 评论: [主要财务指标 Indicator_FinchinaSimpleHK] | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 2,061 | 2,347 | 2,835 | 3,380 | | 同比增速(%) | 17.1% | 13.9% | 20.8% | 19.2% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 428 | 564 | 696 | 869 | | 同比增速(%) | 31.0% ...
安踏体育(02020):收购 PUMA 29%股权,全球化布局注入新动力
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-28 02:43
股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.28 收购 PUMA 29%股权,全球化布局注入 新动力 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 盛开(分析师) | 021-23154510 | shengkai@gtht.com | S0880525040044 | | 钟启辉(研究助理) | 021-23185686 | zhongqihui@gtht.com | S0880125042254 | 本报告导读: 安踏出资 15 亿欧元收购 PUMA 29%股份,成为最大股东。PUMA 业绩面临短期压 力,当前正处清货节奏。我们认为此次收购是安踏推进"单聚焦、多品牌、全球化" 战略的关键一步。 投资要点: | 财务摘要(百万人民币) | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 70826 | 78410 | 85846 | 95707 | | (+/-)% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 9.5% | ...