Company Overview - The company is a high-end domestic cosmetics brand founded by renowned makeup artist Mao Geping in 2000, positioning itself as a luxury brand with a complete product line including makeup, skincare, and makeup training [24][25] - As of 1H24, the company has 387 SKUs across two brands: MAOGEPING (luxury) and Zhi Ai Zhong Sheng (mass market) [25] - In 2023, the company ranked 9th in China's high-end makeup market with a 3.9% market share, making it the only domestic brand in the top 10 [24][25] Financial Performance - The company achieved strong revenue growth of 58% YoY in 2023, with net profit increasing by 88% YoY [31] - In 1H24, revenue and net profit both grew by 41% YoY, maintaining strong momentum [31] - Gross margin and net margin remained at industry-leading levels of 80%+ and 20%+ respectively, showing an upward trend since 2022 [31][33] - Online revenue CAGR reached 49% from 2021 to 2023, with online sales accounting for 49.1% of total revenue in 1H24 [43][174] Product Strategy Makeup Line - The makeup line is based on light and shadow aesthetics and oriental aesthetics, with a strong competitive advantage in base makeup products [44][53] - Key products include the Fish Roe Cushion and Water Cream Foundation, with the Fish Roe Cushion ranking top 3 in Tmall's concealer and highlighter categories from 2021 to 2024 [132][136] - The company has successfully expanded its market share in foundation products, with its Tmall foundation category ranking rising to 5th in 2024 [132] Skincare Line - The skincare line focuses on pre-makeup care and post-makeup repair, with 50 SKUs as of 1H24 [143] - The Fish Roe Mask has become a star product, generating retail sales of 600+ million yuan in 2023 and 450+ million yuan in 1H24 [157] - Skincare revenue grew 50% YoY in 2023 and 35% YoY in 1H24, accounting for 41% of total revenue [150] Channel Strategy Offline Channels - The company operates 372 self-owned counters in over 120 cities as of 1H24, ranking second among all beauty brands in China [161][163] - Offline channels maintain high customer loyalty, with member repurchase rates reaching 32.8% in 2023, significantly higher than the industry average [166] - Same-store sales grew 36% YoY in 2023 and 18% YoY in 1H24, driven by professional makeup services and customer experience [169] Online Channels - Online sales grew rapidly, with revenue increasing from 529 million yuan in 2021 to 1.18 billion yuan in 2023, representing a CAGR of 49% [174] - Douyin sales surpassed Tmall in 2023, reaching 1.19 billion yuan in 1-11M24, an 85% YoY increase [177][182] - The company has built a balanced live-streaming ecosystem, with brand self-broadcasting and KOL collaborations driving growth [183] Marketing Strategy - The company leverages Mao Geping's personal IP and professional makeup techniques to create viral marketing campaigns, such as the collaboration with fashion blogger "Late Night Teacher Xu" in 2019 [189] - The brand has established a strong presence on social media platforms, with 909k followers on Bilibili, 895k on Xiaohongshu, and 668.9k on Tmall flagship store [190] - The company emphasizes educational content, providing free makeup tutorials and professional makeup services to enhance customer experience and drive conversions [184] Industry Trends - The facial makeup market in China reached 31.2 billion yuan in 2023, accounting for over 50% of the total makeup market, with an expected CAGR of 8.4% from 2023 to 2028 [43][119] - Domestic brands are gaining market share in base makeup categories, with makeup artist IP brands like Mao Geping and Caitang showing strong growth [122][123] - The skincare market is shifting towards premiumization, with high-end products like the Fish Roe Mask meeting the demand for luxury skincare alternatives [157]

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][34][38]. Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leading domestic sportswear brand focusing on the running segment, leveraging continuous R&D investments to achieve technological advancements in footwear and apparel, thereby establishing high competitive barriers. The company is also enhancing brand competitiveness through differentiated channel strategies and effective marketing, indicating significant long-term growth potential [6][34][38]. - The financial forecasts predict the company's net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 12.64 billion, 13.95 billion, and 15.99 billion RMB, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 22.73%, 10.36%, and 14.65% [5][34][41]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue for FY2023 is projected at 14.35 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 10.94%. For FY2024, revenue is expected to reach 14.86 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 3.61%. The forecast for FY2025 and FY2026 is 15.41 billion and 16.94 billion RMB, with growth rates of 3.69% and 9.91%, respectively [5][25][34]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 42.20% in FY2023 to 44.27% in FY2026, indicating a positive trend in profitability [5][25][34]. Market and Industry Insights - The running culture in China is growing, with a significant increase in marathon events and participants, which is expected to drive demand for running-related products. The number of certified marathon events in 2023 reached 699, nearing pre-pandemic levels, highlighting a robust recovery in the running community [136][139]. - The domestic sportswear market is witnessing a shift towards leading national brands, with the market share of top brands like Anta, Li Ning, and Xtep increasing significantly. The market concentration is expected to continue as consumer preferences evolve towards domestic brands [139][140]. Company Strategy and Development - The company has been focusing on expanding its online channels, which have shown a growth rate exceeding 20% year-on-year, contributing to over 30% of the main brand's revenue. This shift is expected to become a new growth driver for the company [21][22]. - The company actively sponsors marathon events and has signed multiple sports celebrities as brand ambassadors, reinforcing its professional image in the running segment and enhancing brand recognition among consumers [22][34]. Competitive Positioning - The company is strategically positioned in the running footwear market, with its main brand catering to both mass and elite consumer segments. The introduction of specialized brands like Saucony and Merrell targets professional runners and outdoor enthusiasts, further diversifying its market reach [34][126]. - The report highlights that the company's average PE ratio for 2024 is projected at 11.4X, which is lower than the industry average of 14.0X, suggesting potential undervaluation relative to its peers [34][41].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target PE multiple of 13x for 2024, indicating a 26% upside potential [157][158] Core Views - The company has successfully transitioned from an enterprise logistics provider to a logistics enterprise, leveraging its unique business model of integrating commerce and logistics [157] - The company's external business expansion has achieved remarkable results, with external customer revenue maintaining high growth trends [1] - The company's one-stop supply chain services are expected to have broad prospects in the future, especially in the non-integrated retail brand owner warehousing and logistics market [7] External Revenue Growth - The company's external revenue has been growing rapidly, with a CAGR of 70%-80% from 2019 to 2021, and maintaining high growth thereafter [1] - The proportion of external revenue has been continuously increasing, indicating significant success in external customer expansion [1] Cost Structure and Efficiency - The company's cost-to-revenue ratio has been declining overall since 2023, with a quarterly cost-to-revenue ratio of 88.3% in Q3 2023, down 3.9pct year-on-year [3] - The company's warehouse efficiency and capacity utilization have improved, driving significant revenue growth [16] Industry and Market Analysis - The retail logistics market is vast, with the total retail sales of consumer goods expected to maintain a 5% CAGR from 2024 to 2030 [8] - The company has proposed industry-specific solutions based on different industries, optimizing management through digital tools [7] Competitive Advantages - The company's high-quality service has led to strong brand recognition, with 90% of JD Group's online retail orders achieving same-day or next-day delivery [22] - The company's unique competitive barriers come from three aspects: strong infrastructure layout, advanced data and technology accumulation, and a unique ecosystem [30] Future Prospects - The company's new businesses, including cold chain, cross-border, express, and large-item logistics, are in the initial stages but have clear layouts [76] - The company's adjusted net profit is expected to reach 7.9 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit margin of over 4%, potentially reaching 5%-6% in the long term [168]

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for Inspur Digital Enterprise (0596 HK) [7] Core Business Analysis - Inspur Digital Enterprise's core business revolves around three major segments: cloud services, management software, and IoT solutions, which drive enterprise digital transformation [7] - Cloud services is the fastest-growing segment, with H1 2024 revenue reaching RMB 980 million, a 36% YoY increase, accounting for 45% of total revenue [7] - Management software provides stable support, generating RMB 1 202 billion in revenue, a 7 4% YoY growth, playing a key role in digital management scenarios such as finance, HR, and supply chain [7] - IoT solutions contributed RMB 1 959 billion, nearly 50% of total revenue, despite a 13% YoY decline, maintaining strategic importance in smart manufacturing and industrial IoT scenarios [7] Client Base and Market Position - Inspur Digital Enterprise serves 79 central state-owned enterprises, 29 Fortune 500 companies, and 190 China 500 companies across key industries such as energy, manufacturing, and transportation [7] - Representative clients include TBEA, CRRC Industrial, Shanshui Group in smart manufacturing, and Shandong Port Group, Shandong Expressway in data asset innovation [7] - The company has established a leading position in large enterprise client groups through customized digital solutions [7] Competitive Advantages - Inspur Digital Enterprise has built competitive barriers through its proprietary technology system, Haiyue PaaS platform, and intelligent ERP products [7] - The company differentiates itself through deep customization services and multi-scenario solutions, competing against domestic players like Yonyou and Kingdee, and international giants like Alibaba Cloud, Tencent Cloud, SAP, and Oracle [7] Market Outlook and Growth Potential - The "Digital China" strategy drives rapid growth in cloud computing, IoT, and smart manufacturing demand [7] - Cloud services maintain 36% high growth rate, accounting for 45% of revenue, expected to benefit from AI and cloud technology adoption [7] - Smart manufacturing upgrades and IoT applications provide growth opportunities for IoT solutions [7] - National policies supporting data assetization and domestic technology substitution create further market expansion potential [7] Future Strategy - Cloud services are expected to further expand market share, benefiting from AI and large model adoption [7] - Smart manufacturing and industrial IoT applications will open new market spaces for IoT solutions [7] - The company aims to consolidate its industry position through proprietary technology, innovative platforms, and differentiated products [7] - Inspur Digital Enterprise plans to expand its core client base, particularly in central state-owned enterprises and Fortune 500 companies [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a neutral investment rating to the company, indicating that the potential investment return based on the stock price is between -10% and 10% [13][25]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady growth in financing volume and scale, with total financing transactions reaching 18.5 billion RMB in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%. The number of financing transactions grew to 192,000, up 5.2% year-on-year, with used car transactions significantly increasing by 27.4% [3][6]. - The company is actively expanding its used car financing business, reflecting its competitive advantage against mainstream financial institutions, supported by policies promoting the used car market since 2022 [3][6]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China continues to rise, with financing transactions for NEVs increasing by 26.8% year-on-year to 53,000 in Q3 2024 [3][6]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue has shown significant growth, with actual revenues of 3,494 million RMB in FY21, 5,202 million RMB in FY22, and 6,686 million RMB in FY23, reflecting growth rates of 5.1%, 48.9%, and 28.5% respectively [5][24]. - Net profit has also improved, with figures of 29 million RMB in FY21, 371 million RMB in FY22, and 555 million RMB in FY23, showing growth rates of -102.5%, 1,180.7%, and 49.7% respectively [5][24]. - The company reported an adjusted net profit of 910 million RMB for 2023, a year-on-year increase of 32.2%, and an adjusted net profit of 510 million RMB for the first half of 2024, up 22.9% year-on-year [7][19]. Business Performance - The company has established itself as the largest internet automotive finance transaction platform in China, leveraging strategic investments from Tencent and JD.com to enhance its credit analysis capabilities [6][19]. - In Q3 2024, the financing amount facilitated under the fintech model reached approximately 5.6 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 87.2%, with NEVs accounting for about 60.6% of this amount [7][19]. - The company aims to capitalize on the strong demand from financial institutions in the automotive fintech sector, which is expected to drive performance upward [7][19].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 3.7, based on a 15x PE multiple for FY25/02 [3][4] Core Views - The company's retail and wholesale sales for FY25Q3 (Sep-Nov) declined by mid-single digits YoY, in line with expectations, but showed sequential improvement compared to FY25Q2 [3] - Online sales outperformed offline, with double-digit growth in online GMV, driven by promotional activities during the period [4] - The company continues to optimize its store structure, with a 4.4% YoY decline in gross sales area and a high-single-digit decline in store count, indicating improved store efficiency [4] - Inventory levels remain healthy, with a stock-to-sales ratio of 4-5 months and new products accounting for 70-80% of inventory [4] - Adidas performed strongly, with high-single-digit revenue growth in Greater China, while Nike is in a transition phase but expected to improve under new leadership [4] Financial Performance - Revenue for FY25/02E is projected at RMB 26,443 million, a decline of 8.6% YoY, with a recovery expected in FY26/02E and FY27/02E [4] - Net profit for FY25/02E is forecasted at RMB 1,339 million, a decline of 39.5% YoY, with a rebound expected in subsequent years [4] - Gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 40% in the coming years, with net margin improving from 5.1% in FY25/02E to 6.9% in FY27/02E [4] - EPS is projected to grow from RMB 0.22 in FY25/02E to RMB 0.33 in FY27/02E [4] Operational Highlights - The company's online direct sales accounted for 40% of total direct sales, reflecting a shift towards digital channels [4] - Inventory turnover days improved to 130 days, indicating better inventory management [12] - The company maintains a high dividend payout ratio, with a dividend yield of 7.85% in FY25/02E, expected to rise to 12.14% in FY27/02E [4] Market Position - The company is the largest retail partner of Nike in China and has a strong partnership with Adidas, which is expected to benefit from Nike's recovery under new leadership [4] - The company is also expanding collaborations with domestic sports brands and other international brands, diversifying its brand portfolio [4]

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating for Hansoh Pharma with a target price raised to HK$25.24 from HK$24.11, indicating a potential upside of 37.6% from the current price of HK$18.34 [3][20]. Core Insights - Hansoh Pharma has successfully out-licensed its oral GLP-1 drug candidate HS-10535 to MSD, receiving an upfront payment of US$112 million and potential milestone payments up to US$1.9 billion, along with future sales royalties [1]. - The company has a robust pipeline of GLP-1 assets, including Fulaimei, HS-20094, and HS-10501, with ongoing clinical trials that position it competitively in the global oral GLP-1 drug development race [1][18]. - The safety profile of oral GLP-1 drugs is a critical differentiating factor, with various candidates showing promising weight loss data and varying safety concerns [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 10,104 million in FY23A to RMB 12,301 million in FY24E, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.7% [2][23]. - Net profit is expected to increase significantly from RMB 3,277.5 million in FY23A to RMB 4,382.9 million in FY24E, marking a growth of 33.7% [2][23]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from RMB 0.55 in FY23A to RMB 0.74 in FY24E, with a P/E ratio decreasing from 31.1x to 23.3x [2][23]. Pipeline Development - Hansoh's HS-20094, a GLP-1/GIP dual agonist, has initiated a Phase 3 obesity study in China, with Phase 2 trial results expected next year [1]. - The company is also advancing HS-10501 through Phase 1 trials, further expanding its GLP-1 drug portfolio [1]. - The collaboration with MSD is anticipated to accelerate the development of HS-10535 and unlock its global potential [1].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for RoboSense (2498 HK) with a target price of HK$38.18 [2][7][9] Core Views - RoboSense's MX product is expected to accelerate the penetration of ADAS LiDAR in the mid-to-low-end market, becoming a major growth driver in 2025 [6][7] - The robotics business is anticipated to become a second growth curve, with projected LiDAR shipments reaching 100,000 units in 2025 [6][8] - The company's LiDAR shipments are expected to grow significantly, with 2024E shipments forecasted at 589,900 units, a 127.2% YoY increase [9] - The average selling price (ASP) of LiDAR is expected to decline to RMB 2,000 in 2025 and further to RMB 1,800 in 2026 due to the increasing proportion of MX products [9][18] Financial Performance - RoboSense's revenue is projected to grow from RMB 1,721 million in 2024E to RMB 2,880 million in 2026E [11][18] - The company's gross margin is expected to improve from 16.3% in 2024E to 28.0% in 2026E, driven by economies of scale and cost reductions from in-house chip development [18] - RoboSense is forecasted to achieve positive adjusted net income in 2026E, reaching RMB 96 million [11][18] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - RoboSense ranked first in LiDAR installations in 2024, with 401,940 units installed, capturing a significant market share [7] - The company has secured partnerships with over 2,600 robotics companies, positioning itself well in the robotics sector [8] - RoboSense's ADAS LiDAR is widely adopted by major automakers, including XPeng, AITO, Zeekr, and BYD (Yangwang) [7] Valuation - The report values RoboSense at 7x P/S for 2025E, resulting in a target price of HK$38.18 [9][22] - Compared to peers, RoboSense is expected to command a higher valuation due to its leading market position, improving gross margins, and potential growth in the robotics industry [22][24] Industry Outlook - The LiDAR penetration rate in the Chinese new energy vehicle market reached 12.0% in 2024, indicating significant growth potential [7] - The robotics industry is in its early stages of rapid development, with increasing demand for sensors like LiDAR expected to drive future growth [8]

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [8] Core Views - The company's Q3 sales decline narrowed slightly compared to the first half of the fiscal year, with a mid-single-digit drop in total retail and wholesale sales for FY2025Q3 (9/1/2024-11/30/2024) [3] - E-commerce performance is expected to be better than offline, and direct sales are expected to outperform franchised sales [3] - The company continues to prioritize inventory health, aiming for optimization by year-end [3] - Direct sales channels are undergoing optimization, with a 4.4% YoY and 2.1% QoQ decrease in gross sales area for direct stores in Q3 2024 [4] - The company's brand partnership matrix remains strong, with Nike and Adidas being key partners, and new collaborations in outdoor, trail running, and IP culture sectors [5] - FY25/26/27 revenue is forecasted at -7%/+5%/+5% to 26.8/28.2/29.7 billion yuan, with net profit attributable to the parent company at -39%/+21%/+13% to 1.36/1.64/1.85 billion yuan [6] Financial Forecasts - FY2025E revenue: 26.8 billion yuan (-7.34% YoY), FY2026E: 28.2 billion yuan (+5.36% YoY), FY2027E: 29.7 billion yuan (+5.04% YoY) [6] - FY2025E net profit attributable to the parent company: 1.36 billion yuan (-38.61% YoY), FY2026E: 1.64 billion yuan (+21.05% YoY), FY2027E: 1.85 billion yuan (+12.62% YoY) [6] - FY2025E EPS: 0.22 yuan, FY2026E: 0.27 yuan, FY2027E: 0.30 yuan [6] - FY2025E P/E: 12.33X, FY2026E: 10.19X, FY2027E: 9.05X [6] Operational Highlights - Direct sales channels reduced by 331 stores in the first half of the fiscal year, with total sales area down 1.9% YoY but single-store sales area up 4.8% [4] - The company is focusing on opening larger stores and closing smaller ones to enhance the offline shopping experience [4] - Nike's new management team is expected to bring positive changes, reflecting the brand's emphasis on the Chinese and outdoor markets [5] - The company has expanded its brand portfolio with new partnerships in outdoor, trail running, and IP culture sectors, including HOKA ONE ONE, Kailas, Fanatics, and Norda [5] Valuation and Dividends - The company has maintained a cash dividend payout ratio of around 100% over the past three years [6] - The strong brand partnership matrix, healthy cash flow, and high dividend yield support the "Buy" rating [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Horizon Robotics-W (09660 HK) with a target price of HKD 3 82 per share, implying a 2026E P/S of 9 5x and a forward PE of less than 30x based on steady-state assumptions [2] Core Views - Horizon Robotics is a leading domestic intelligent driving solution provider, ranking fourth in China's ADAS and AD solution market in 2023 and first among Chinese companies [2] - The company holds a 35% market share in China's NOA high-end intelligent driving computing solutions, second only to NVIDIA's 49% [2] - The global intelligent driving solution market is expected to reach RMB 1 trillion by 2030, with high-end autonomous driving solutions dominating the market [2] - Horizon Robotics benefits from its strong software-hardware integration capabilities, first-mover advantage, and domestic substitution trends [2] Company Overview - Horizon Robotics generated RMB 1 55 billion in revenue in 2023, with automotive product solutions, licensing and services, and non-automotive solutions accounting for 33%, 62%, and 5% respectively [2] - The company's revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 47% from 2024 to 2026, reaching RMB 5 billion by 2026 [2] - Horizon Robotics' core management team has strong technical backgrounds, with founders holding significant voting power (53 64% and 12 09%) [80][93] Industry Analysis - The global intelligent driving solution market is expected to grow from RMB 61 9 billion in 2023 to over RMB 1 trillion by 2030, with a CAGR of 49 2% [106] - In China, the market is projected to expand from RMB 24 5 billion in 2023 to RMB 407 billion by 2030, with high-end autonomous driving solutions growing at a CAGR of 58 5% [108] - Key drivers include rapid technological iteration, increasing penetration of intelligent driving, rising ASPs for high-end solutions, and supportive government policies [113] Competitive Advantages - Horizon Robotics' strengths lie in its software-defined hardware approach, strong customer stickiness due to high switching costs, and its position as a domestic player benefiting from localization trends [2] - The company has established a comprehensive product portfolio, including Horizon Mono, Horizon Pilot, and Horizon SuperDrive, with the latter expected to contribute to revenue from 2024 [71][76] Growth Drivers - The company's hardware business is expected to benefit from the downward penetration of intelligent driving in the automotive sector, while its software business will gain from OEMs' increasing in-house R&D efforts [2] - Horizon Robotics' partnership with Volkswagen through the joint venture Coretronic is expected to drive growth in licensing and services [2] Financial Projections - Revenue is forecasted to grow from RMB 2 24 billion in 2024E to RMB 4 97 billion in 2026E, with non-GAAP net profit turning positive in 2026E at RMB 322 million [2] - The company's gross margin is expected to remain strong, ranging between 70%-80%, driven by the high-margin licensing business [99]