证券研究报告·海外公司点评·专业零售(HS) 滔搏（06110.HK） FY25H1 业绩点评：需求疲软致业绩承压， 延续高分红 2024 年 10 月 27 日 买入（维持） | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |------------------------------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------| | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | FY2023A | FY2024A | FY2025E | FY2026E | FY2027E | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 27074 | 28950 | 26209 | 27813 | 29502 | | 同比 (%) | (15.07) | 6.93 | (9.47) | 6.12 | 6.07 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1837 | 2213 | 1330 | 1636 | 1907 | | 同比 (%) | (24.93) | 20.49 | (39.91) | 23.00 | 16.57 | | EPS- 最新摊薄（元 / 股 ...

证券研究报告 公用事业 | 电力 港股|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2024 年 10 月 27 日 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 证券分析师 事件：公司发布公告，1）拟现金收购控股股东国家能源集团旗下位于山东、江西、甘肃、广 西区域共计 8 家新能源公司股权（收购比例均大于 50%），对应在运和在建新能源装机合计 203.29 万千瓦，交易对价 16.86 亿元。2）控股股东出具关于避免与龙源电力同业竞争的《补 充承诺函（二）》，将存续风电业务整合期限延期 3 年至 2028 年 1 月 24 日，继续推动将优 质资产逐步注入龙源电力。 豆鹏超 doupengchao@huayuanstock.com 收购估值合理，标的资产质量较优。以 2024 年 6 月 30 日作为评估基准日，本次收购 PB 估 值约 1.13 倍，价格合理。标的资产质量方面，莒南新能源、湖口风电、甘肃风电、藤县能源 发展四家标的资产以在运风光项目为主，若假设 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Great Wall Motors [1][2] Core Views - Great Wall Motors' Q3 2024 core earnings align with estimates, and overseas sales growth is expected to support profitability in FY25 [1] - The company plans to launch seven new models in FY25, which may positively impact sales in the Chinese market [1] - The report anticipates a 29% year-on-year increase in overseas sales, targeting 580,000 units in FY25 [1][2] - The net profit for Q3 2024 was RMB 3.4 billion, which was 5.7 billion lower than expected due to unexpected foreign exchange losses and delays in VAT refunds [1][2] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY25 have been raised from 1.3 million units to 1.36 million units, with a 3% growth expected in China due to new model launches [2] - The net profit forecast for FY25 has been increased by 7% to RMB 14 billion, while the FY24 net profit estimate has been reduced by 5% [2] - The target price has been adjusted from HKD 14.00 to HKD 17.00, reflecting improved market sentiment [2][4] Performance Metrics - Revenue (in million RMB) is projected to grow from 204,470 in FY24 to 236,000 in FY25, and further to 258,850 in FY26 [3][10] - Net profit is expected to increase from 12,768 in FY24 to 14,023 in FY25, and then to 13,887 in FY26 [3][10] - The gross margin is projected to be 20.0% in FY24, improving to 20.3% in FY25, before slightly declining to 19.7% in FY26 [8][10] Market Position - Great Wall Motors aims to enhance its overseas market presence through local assembly plants and expects stable profit margins in overseas markets despite increasing competition by FY26 [1][2] - The company is focusing on launching new models in the electric vehicle segment, which is seen as crucial for maintaining competitiveness in the evolving automotive landscape [1][2]

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY rating for Great Wall Motor with a target price raised from HK$14.00 to HK$17.00, indicating an upside potential of 18.2% from the current price of HK$14.38 [2][3]. Core Insights - Great Wall Motor's 3Q24 core earnings were in line with estimates, with revenue about 5% higher than previous forecasts, although net profit was impacted by unexpected foreign exchange losses and VAT refund delays [2]. - The company is expected to achieve overseas sales growth of 29% YoY in FY25E, supported by new models and increased local content [2]. - A decline in sales volume in China is anticipated for FY24E, but the introduction of seven new models in FY25E could revitalize sales [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 173,212 million in FY23A to RMB 204,470 million in FY24E, reflecting an 18.0% YoY growth [1]. - Net profit is expected to rebound significantly from RMB 7,021.6 million in FY23A to RMB 12,768.3 million in FY24E, marking an 81.8% increase [1]. - The company's gross margin is projected to stabilize around 20.0% in FY24E, with a slight narrowing expected in FY26E due to increased competition in overseas markets [2]. Earnings Revisions - FY25E net profit forecast has been revised up by 7% to RMB 14 billion, while FY24E net profit has been cut by 5% due to the earnings miss in 3Q24 [2][5]. - Sales volume forecast for FY25E has been increased from 1.3 million units to 1.36 million units, indicating a 3% growth in China [2]. Valuation Metrics - The P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 16.5x in FY23A to 9.1x in FY24E, reflecting improved earnings expectations [1][7]. - The dividend yield is expected to rise from 2.2% in FY23A to 3.9% in FY24E, indicating a more attractive return for investors [1][7].

港股公司报告 | 公司点评 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|--------------------------------------------|----------------------------------------------------| | 裕元集团（ 00551 ） | | 证券研究报告 2024 年 10 月 27 日 | | | 投资评级 | | | 业绩超预期，上调盈利预测 | | 行业 非必需性消费 / 纺织及 服饰 | | | | | | 公司发布盈喜 | 6 个月评级 | 买入（维持评级） | | 公司预计 24Q1-3 净利同增 140-145% 至 3.3-3.4 ...

股 票 研 究 海 外 公 司 （ 中 国 香 港 ） 证 券 研 究 报 告 国泰君安版权所有发送给上海东方财富金融数据服务有限公司.东财接收研报邮箱.ybjieshou@eastmoney.com p1 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2024.10.27 新业务增长韧性足，静待利润率回暖 新东方-S(9901) [Table_Industry] 海外信息科技 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 ——新东方-S FY2025Q1 业绩点评报告 | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-------------------------------------|------------------------------| | | | | | | [table_Authors] 刘越男 ( 分析师 ) | 庄子童 ( 分析师 ) | | | 021-38677706 | 021-38032683 | | | liuyuenan@gtjas.com | zhuangzitong026312@gtjas.com | | 登记编号 | S0880516030003 | S088 ...

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating it is expected to benefit from the recovery in the industry and the ongoing high-end strategy [2][80]. Core Viewpoints - China Resources Beer has established itself as the largest beer company in China, with a significant focus on high-end products through its "3+3+3" strategy initiated in 2017 [1][15]. - The company has diversified into the liquor sector, enhancing its brand power and market presence through strategic acquisitions [1][23]. - The beer industry is stabilizing in volume while prices are expected to increase, particularly in the high-end segment, which presents substantial growth opportunities [1][2]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a high concentration of market share among the top five companies, with a CR5 of 92% in 2023 [1][46]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - China Resources Beer was founded in 1993 and has rapidly grown to become the largest beer producer in China, with beer sales reaching 11.15 million kiloliters in 2023 [1]. - The company has undergone several phases of development, including a focus on high-end product offerings and operational efficiency improvements since 2017 [1][15]. Beer Industry Analysis - The beer production peaked in 2013 and has stabilized since 2018, with expectations for future production to remain steady due to demographic trends [1][2]. - The high-end market segment is projected to continue expanding, particularly in the 6-10 RMB price range, which is seen as having the most growth potential [1][2]. - The competitive landscape is dominated by a few key players, with the top five companies holding a significant market share, indicating a concentrated market structure [1][46]. Brand and Product Strategy - The company has developed a "4+4" high-end brand matrix, combining local and international brands to cater to diverse consumer segments [1][15]. - The product portfolio covers all price ranges, with a strong emphasis on high-end products that have shown significant sales growth [1][59]. - The company has successfully launched several key products aimed at younger consumers, enhancing its market appeal [1][63]. Financial Performance and Projections - In 2023, the company reported revenues of 38.93 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, with beer and liquor revenues contributing 36.86 billion and 2.07 billion RMB, respectively [1][3]. - The forecast for net profit from 2024 to 2026 is expected to grow steadily, with projected figures of 5.28 billion, 5.87 billion, and 6.38 billion RMB, respectively [2][80]. - The company is anticipated to maintain a strong gross margin, benefiting from cost reductions in raw materials and operational efficiencies [2][76].

港股公司报告 | 公司点评 | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | 天立国际控股（ 01773 ） | | 证券研究报告 2024 年 10 月 26 日 | | | 投资评级 | | | 股权激 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 47.5 HKD, maintaining the rating for the next six months [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.44 billion USD for FY25Q1, representing a 31% year-on-year increase. Excluding the revenue from Dongfang Zhenxuan's self-operated products and live e-commerce, the revenue growth was 34% [1]. - The company achieved a net profit of 250 million USD, up 48% year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP net profit of 260 million USD, reflecting a 40% increase [1][2]. - The company continues to focus on enhancing service quality and operational efficiency to improve profitability while balancing growth and sustainability [1]. Financial Performance - The operating profit for the quarter was 290 million USD, a 43% increase year-on-year, with a Non-GAAP operating profit of 300 million USD, up 23% [1]. - The company reported a GAAP operating profit margin of 23.7%, an increase of 370 basis points year-on-year, while the Non-GAAP operating profit margin was 24.4%, up 220 basis points [2]. - The company generated a net operating cash flow of 183.2 million USD for the quarter, with total cash and cash equivalents amounting to approximately 4.9 billion USD at the end of the quarter [2]. Growth Projections - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for FY25-27, expecting revenues of 5.2 billion, 6.4 billion, and 7.5 billion USD respectively, with adjusted net profits of 560 million, 770 million, and 1.06 billion USD for the same periods [2].

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