Report Industry Investment Rating - Maintain a buy rating on FUTLAN/FTLNHDs [2] Core Viewpoints - China's export growth is expected to decelerate from 5.9% in 2024 to 2% in 2025, while import growth may mildly slow down from 1.1% to 0.5%. The USD/RMB rate may appreciate from the current 7.15 to 7.1 by year-end [2][14] - Seazen shows improving access to the CBICL-guaranteed bond market, with lengthened tenors and lower funding costs, and has relieved near-term refinancing pressure [7][8] Summary by Directory Trading Desk Comments - Yesterday, NWDEVL 27 - 31s and NWDEVL Perps rose 1.8 - 4.5pts and 1 - 1.5pts respectively on rumors and reports. CNH SWIPROs were largely unchanged. Swire Pacific 1H25 revenue rose 15.7% yoy to HKD45.77bn, while operating profit was down 62.4% yoy to HKD1.86bn. In Chinese properties, LNGFOR 27 - 32s/ROADKG 28 - 30s were 0.2pt lower to 0.1pt higher. Longfor begins phased early repayment of offshore syndicated loan. ROADKG failed to obtain bondholder consent. China IG was 0 - 2bps tighter. In Macau gaming, related bonds were 0.1pt lower to 0.1pt higher. Wynn Macau 2Q25 operating revenue was flat yoy, while MGM China 1H25 adjusted EBITDA slipped 1.4% yoy. TW lifers were 1 - 3bps wider. Japanese AT1s and insurance hybrids edged up c0.25pt, SOFTBKs were up 0.1 - 0.7pt. SoftBank Group 1Q26 net sales rose 7% yoy to JPY1.82tn. Korea space was largely unchanged, except HYNMTR 30s tightened 1bp [1] - This morning, the new CNH paper XYDXIV moved 0.5pt higher, while other CNH new issues remained largely unchanged. MTRC Perps were up c0.1pt. China IGs and Thailand BBLTB tightened 1 - 2bps, while LGENSOs widened 1 - 2bps [2] - Yankee AT1s continued to move up slowly. In SEA, VEDLN 28 - 33s were unchanged to 0.2pt higher. KBANK 31s were 2bps tighter and BBLTB unchanged. PETMKs were unchanged to 2bps wider [3] FUTLAN/FTLNHDs - The 8th tranche of CBICL - guaranteed bond. Maintain buy on FUTLAN/FTLNHDs. FTLNHD 4 5/8 10/15/25 was 0.2pt higher this morning [2] - Provide details of FUTLAN/FTLNHDs including Amt o/s, Maturity, Coupon, Offer price, and YTM [6] Seazen - On 4 Aug'25, Seazen issued the 8th tranche of CBILC - guaranteed bond with an issue size of RMB1bn, 5 - year tenor, and a coupon rate of 2.68%. The tenor has lengthened from 3 - year to 5 - year and the funding cost has trended lower. Proceeds will be used for project developments and repaying offshore debts. It has a RMB1bn bond maturing on 13 Sep'25 [7] - In Jun'25, Seazen completed partial tender offers and a concurrent new issue of 3 - year USD300mn bond, relieving near - term refinancing pressure. Its high - quality IPs, secured financing headroom, and growing recurring income offer financial flexibility for refinancing in the coming 2 - 3 years [8] China Economy - China's exports rebounded despite a contraction in exports to the US, with ASEAN and Africa making up for 129% of the US loss since Apr. Exports of motor vehicles and chips were strong, while ships, personal computers, and cell phones softened. Imports rebounded due to robust AI - related demand, and soybean imports from the US rebounded. However, there are headwinds in 2H25 for exports [9] - In July, exports edged up to 7.2% yoy, with exports to the US further slumping to - 21.7%. Shipments to Africa accelerated to 42.4%, and exports to ASEAN remained at 16.6%. Exports to the EU, Australia, Korea, and Canada rebounded. Trade surplus narrowed to US$98bn. Exports of transport equipment and tech products polarized. Imports increased to 4.1% yoy, with strong AI - related demand. Import volume of some energy products, machine tools, etc. dropped, while crops rebounded. Soybean imports from the US rebounded [11][12][13] New Issues - No offshore new issues were priced today [16] - There are no offshore new issues in the pipeline today [17] News and Market Color - Regarding onshore primary issuances, 152 credit bonds were issued yesterday with an amount of RMB148bn. Month - to - date, 501 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB507bn, a 17.6% yoy increase [19] - AVIC plans to take direct control of AVIC International Leasing via an equity restructure. SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics will be exempt from 100% US tariffs on semiconductors. Longfor begins phased early repayment of HKD9.3bn offshore syndicated loan. MGM China 1H25 adjusted EBITDA slipped 1.4% yoy to HKD4.9bn. Mongolian Mining expects a consolidated net loss of USD15 - 25mn for 1H25. New World Development dismisses take - private reports. ORIX 1QFY26 revenue rose 8.5% yoy to JPY768.6bn. Rakuten Group will early redeem JPY16.8bn RAKUTN 1.81 11/04/55 on 4 Nov'25. Road King fails to obtain bondholder consent. SoftBank Group 1QFY26 net sales rose 7% yoy to JPY1.8tn. Wynn Macau 2Q25 operating revenue was down 0.2% yoy to USD883.5m [19]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reported that Swire Pacific (00019) had a mid-term recurring underlying profit of HKD 4.7 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1%, which was 12% below their expectations, primarily due to lower-than-expected contributions from Cathay Pacific (00293) [1] Financial Performance - The group's mid-term dividend was HKD 1.3, representing a year-on-year increase of 4%, which was largely in line with expectations [1] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 1% to 5% to reflect changes in earnings estimates for Cathay, HAECO, and the beverage business [1] Management Strategy - Management reiterated their focus on long-term strategic investments and gradual dividends rather than share buybacks [1] - Future share buybacks will depend on stock price, debt ratio, and market conditions [1] Target Price Adjustment - UBS slightly lowered the target price for Swire Pacific from HKD 75 to HKD 74, maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that Swire Properties (00019) has a mid-term recurring core profit of HKD 4.7 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1%, which is 12% below the bank's expectations, primarily due to lower-than-expected contributions from Cathay Pacific (00293) [1] Financial Performance - The group's mid-term dividend is HKD 1.3, a year-on-year increase of 4%, which is generally in line with expectations [1] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 1% to 5% to reflect changes in earnings estimates for Cathay Pacific, HAECO, and the beverage business [1] Management Strategy - Management reiterated that they prioritize long-term strategic investments and gradual dividends over stock buybacks [1] - Future stock buybacks will depend on share price, debt ratios, and market conditions [1] Target Price and Rating - UBS has slightly lowered the target price for Swire Properties from HKD 75 to HKD 74, maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reported that Swire Properties' recurring underlying profit for the first half was HKD 4.7 billion, a year-on-year decline of 1%, which was 12% below the bank's expectations, primarily due to lower-than-expected contributions from Cathay Pacific [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The group's interim dividend was HKD 1.3, representing a year-on-year increase of 4%, which was generally in line with expectations [1] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025 to 2027 down by 1% to 5% to reflect revisions in earnings estimates for Cathay Pacific, HAECO, and beverage businesses [1] Group 2: Management Strategy - Management reiterated a focus on long-term strategic investments and a gradual dividend policy rather than stock buybacks; future buybacks will depend on share price, debt ratios, and market conditions [1] Group 3: Target Price and Rating - UBS slightly lowered the target price for Swire Properties from HKD 75 to HKD 74, maintaining a "Neutral" rating [1]

Company Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares of 高偉電子 (1415) at a current price of 29.86 HKD, with a short-term target price of 34.10 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 17.6% [7][9] - The company is expected to enter the rear camera module business in the second half of 2024, which is anticipated to drive revenue and profit growth in the first half of 2025, potentially leading to an earnings surprise [9] - The management's outlook on products in the smart driving and robotics sectors is also seen as a potential catalyst for growth [9] Valuation Insights - The current price corresponds to a forecasted P/E ratio of 17.6x for FY25E and 13.3x for FY26E, with FY26E valuation being 30% lower than the 5-year average [9] - The market expects a compound annual growth rate of 29.8% in revenue and 38.6% in net profit from FY24 to FY27E [9] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index has shown resilience, recovering above the 10-day and 20-day moving averages, closing at 25,081 points with a trading volume of 245.7 billion HKD [5] - The report notes that the overall market sentiment remains positive, with active trading across different sectors despite limited improvement in corporate earnings [5][6] Macro Focus - China's exports in July increased by 7.2%, surpassing expectations, although exports to the U.S. fell by 21.7%, indicating potential challenges ahead [10] - The People's Bank of China is expected to continue implementing liquidity measures to maintain a stable financial environment, including a recent 700 billion RMB reverse repurchase operation [10] Industry Developments - The report highlights the upcoming World Robot Conference and the anticipated launch of Apple's iPhone 17, which may impact the mobile device sector [6] - Companies like 中芯 (0981) and 華虹 (1347) have reported mixed earnings, with 中芯's quarterly profit down by 19.5% and 華虹's profit growth falling short of expectations [11]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's research report indicates that Swire Properties A's interim ordinary share dividend increased by 4% year-on-year to HKD 1.3, aligning with the bank's expectations, making it one of the few companies in their coverage to raise dividends [1] Financial Performance - Swire Properties A's recurring underlying profit was HKD 4.7 billion, representing a 1% year-on-year decline, which was below Morgan Stanley's estimates due to lower operating profit margins from intellectual property and reduced contributions from joint ventures and associates [1] Investment Rating - Morgan Stanley maintains a "Market Perform" rating on Swire Properties A with a target price of HKD 71, suggesting that the current price corresponds to a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 9 times for 2025, with a dividend yield of 5.2% [1]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 45.774 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 0.815 billion, showing a significant decline of 79% compared to the previous year [1] Revenue Breakdown - The beverage segment generated revenue of HKD 21.515 billion, up from HKD 17.139 billion in the same period last year [1] - Revenue from mainland China was HKD 13.031 billion, with an attributable profit of HKD 0.588 billion, reflecting an 8% increase year-on-year [1] - Revenue from carbonated drinks, juice drinks, and energy drinks increased by 4%, 2%, and 51% respectively, while tea drinks and bottled water saw declines of 24% and 5% respectively [1] - Overall sales volume increased by 1% [1]

Core Insights - Coca-Cola's bottling operator in China, Swire Properties, reported a revenue of approximately HKD 45.774 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16% [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately HKD 0.815 billion, a significant decrease of 79% compared to the previous year [1] Beverage Segment Performance - Within the beverage segment, revenue reached approximately HKD 21.515 billion, with mainland China contributing around HKD 13.031 billion [1] - The profit attributable to shareholders from the beverage segment was approximately HKD 5.88 billion, reflecting an 8% year-on-year increase [1] - Revenue from carbonated drinks, juice drinks, and energy drinks increased by 4%, 2%, and 51% respectively, while revenue from tea drinks and bottled water declined by 24% and 5% respectively [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The underlying profit for the company was $5.5 billion, and the recurring underlying profit was $4.7 billion, remaining close to the prior year [6][10] - Statutory profits decreased to $815 million, influenced by changes in the value of investment properties [10] - The company generated strong cash flow from operations, with a net debt of $71.3 billion and a gearing ratio of 23% [11][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Property division saw a 15% increase in underlying profit, driven by higher disposal gains, although rental income from Hong Kong offices was soft [14][15] - In Beverages, revenue from the Chinese Mainland increased by 3%, with EBITDA margin improving to 12.8% [20][25] - Aviation division reported a 40% increase in recurring profit for HAECO, with Cathay Pacific's passenger revenue up 14% [27][29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail market in the Chinese Mainland is performing well, offsetting softness in Hong Kong office markets [7][18] - The Chinese Mainland's gross rental income has shown a healthy CAGR of 11% from 2016 to 2024, with retail contributions now surpassing Hong Kong office contributions [18] - Southeast Asia faced challenges, including currency depreciation and intense competition, particularly in Vietnam and Cambodia [22][25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing HKD 100 billion over the next decade, with 67% of that already committed [2][15] - There are seven major property projects under construction in the Chinese Mainland, reflecting strong investment commitment [3][16] - The company is focusing on capital recycling and upgrading existing portfolios, with significant sales in Miami contributing to cash flow for new projects [14][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expects uncertainty in core markets to continue, particularly in Hong Kong office and Southeast Asia [34] - The retail market in the Chinese Mainland is anticipated to gradually improve, while challenges in beverage sales are expected due to subdued domestic spending [34] - The aviation sector is expected to maintain robust travel demand, although cargo market conditions remain uncertain [34][35] Other Important Information - The company has a progressive dividend policy, increasing the ordinary dividend per A share by 4% to HKD 1.30 [6][10] - Sustainability efforts are highlighted, with 60% of renewable energy usage in properties and 55% in beverages [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: Beverage ASP growth in Mainland China and outlook - Management noted that revenue grew by 3% and profit by 8% in the Chinese Mainland, driven by pricing initiatives, with a positive sparkling growth rate of 2.7% [39][41] Question: Southeast Asia challenges and share buyback program - Management acknowledged challenges in Southeast Asia but emphasized ongoing efforts to improve performance, while the share buyback program is considered but prioritized behind long-term investments [42][43] Question: Strategic focus for the next 3-5 years - Management highlighted a strong pipeline of investments in core divisions, particularly in aviation and property, with a focus on the Chinese Mainland and potential new projects in healthcare [47][49]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The underlying profit for the company was $5.5 billion, and the recurring underlying profit was $4.7 billion, remaining close to the prior year [10][12] - Statutory profits decreased to $815 million due to changes in the value of investment properties [10] - The company declared a 4% increase in ordinary dividend per A share to HKD 130 [7][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Property division saw a 15% growth in underlying profit, driven by higher disposal gains, while recurring profit was down 4% [15][16] - In Beverages, revenue from the Chinese Mainland increased by 3%, with EBITDA margin improving to 12.8% [22][26] - Aviation division's recurring profit increased by 40%, with Cathay Pacific's passenger revenue up 14% [28][29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The retail market in the Chinese Mainland is performing well, offsetting softness in the Hong Kong office market [8][20] - The Chinese Mainland's attributable gross rental income has shown a healthy CAGR of 11% from 2016 to 2024 [20] - Revenue from the Chinese Mainland and Hong Kong grew, while revenue declined slightly in Taiwan and Vietnam due to market challenges [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to investing HKD 100 billion over the next ten years, with 67% of that already committed [3][16] - There is a strong pipeline of projects in the Chinese Mainland, with several major developments underway [17][20] - The company is focusing on sustainability, with significant investments in renewable energy across its core divisions [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management expects continued uncertainty in core markets, particularly in Hong Kong's office sector and Southeast Asia's beverage market [34][35] - The aviation sector is anticipated to maintain robust travel demand, while cargo market conditions remain uncertain [36] - The company is optimistic about the performance of its healthcare investments, particularly in Indonesia and Shanghai [32][51] Other Important Information - The company has completed significant land sales in Miami, contributing to its capital recycling strategy [15] - The beverage division is expanding production capacity with new plants in China and Vietnam [6][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding beverage ASP growth in Mainland China and outlook - Management noted that revenue grew by 3% and profit by 8% in the Chinese Mainland, driven by pricing initiatives, with a positive sparkling growth rate of 2.7% [40][41] - The company remains cautious about the outlook in China, focusing on long-term strategic initiatives to adapt to consumer trends [42] Question: On Southeast Asia challenges and share buyback plans - Management acknowledged the challenges in Southeast Asia but did not provide a specific timeline for a turnaround [39] - The share buyback program was completed, with a focus on long-term strategic investments over short-term solutions [43][44] Question: Strategic outlook for the next three to five years - The company has a strong pipeline of investments across core divisions, particularly in aviation and property, with a focus on the Chinese Mainland [49][50] - In healthcare, the company is taking a cautious approach, focusing on existing investments before pursuing new opportunities [52]