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撒红包、促动销、争上桌……春节白酒动销战 行业已有底部信号
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2026-02-25 08:35
21世纪经济报道记者在春节期间注意到,各类酒企的春节经营重点进一步转向"推动C端开瓶饮用",无论是多达八家 酒企登上马年春晚,还是各家酒企集体推出开瓶扫码促销,营销活动的核心都是围绕开瓶率展开。 由于需求端疲软,外界原本对今年春节白酒消费不抱期待,但从近期国内外机构调研来看,普遍认为春节白酒销售略 好于预期。 证券分析师张伟敬对21世纪经济报道记者透露,从机构调研的情况来看,今年春节白酒整体动销预计同比仍然有两位 数下滑,但下滑幅度比去年下半年明显收窄,"行业已经有底部信号。" 头部品牌更是交出了超预期表现。 来源:21世纪经济报道 作者:肖夏 今年春节聚餐,不少人学会了在酒桌上扫码。 春节是一年一度的酒饮消费大节,尤其白酒最为重视,今年更是史上最长的春节长假,为创造更多酒饮消费场景提供 了可能性。 综合21世纪经济报道综合记者走访和券商调研的情况来看,今年茅台、五粮液等头部白酒继续占据家庭团圆、节庆宴 请等核心场景的C位。券商多预计茅台今年春节销量有两位数甚至更高的增长,五粮液有个位数至两位数的增长。 尤其是茅台,大单品500m53度飞天茅台今年通过直销渠道放量,春节期间"上桌率"大幅提升。21世纪经济报道 ...
19只白酒股上涨 贵州茅台1491.66元/股收盘
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-25 08:19
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive performance of the liquor sector, particularly the strong sales of premium brands during the 2026 Spring Festival, indicating a shift in consumer preferences towards well-known brands like Moutai and Wuliangye [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4147.23 points, up 0.72%, while the liquor sector index closed at 2250.28 points, up 1.22%, with 19 liquor stocks rising [1] - Specific stock performances include Moutai closing at 1491.66 CNY per share, up 1.69%, Wuliangye at 105.17 CNY per share, up 0.01%, Shanxi Fenjiu at 163.92 CNY per share, up 0.21%, Luzhou Laojiao at 112.92 CNY per share, up 0.37%, and Yanghe at 54.00 CNY per share, up 0.15% [1] Group 2 - Citic Securities' report indicates that the 2026 Spring Festival continues the trend of the past 2-3 years, with a significant increase in brand recognition among consumers, leading to better sales for premium liquor brands compared to lower-tier brands [1] - The report notes that liquor sales are heavily concentrated during the Spring Festival peak season, with a notable release of demand before the festival and stable demand during the festival, particularly for products priced below 300 CNY [1] - A strong Spring Festival is viewed as the foundation for stable sales performance throughout 2026 [1]
2025年中国酱酒销售收入预计达2350亿
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-25 08:19
北京商报讯(记者 刘一博 冯若男)2月25日,北京商报记者从权图酱酒工作室发布的2025—2026年度中 国酱酒产业和市场相关观察中获悉,据其统计,2025年,中国酱酒产能约50万千升,同比下降23%,约 占我国白酒整体产量354.9万千升的14%;实现销售收入2350亿元,同比下降2.08%;实现利润约980亿 元,同比上升1.03%。 权图酱酒工作室认为,虽然目前酱酒面临寒冬,但茅台作为龙头企业还是会保持较为平稳的高质量发 展,不会出现较大的业绩波动。通过本轮行业调整,茅台会进一步扩大市场占有率。茅台作为酱酒品类 的价值发动机,继续推动酱酒阵容的整体扩容,会继续带动其他主流酱酒企业更上一层楼。 对此,权图酱酒工作室认为,本轮白酒产业调整与上一轮白酒行业调整有着本质差异。从消费端的缩量 导致渠道端库存过剩,并进一步传导到了产业链上游,2025年第三季度头部酒企的真实业绩已经得到了 反映。预测2026-2027年本轮白酒产业调整有望触底。 ...
网传飞天茅台将提出厂价 贵州茅台:一切以官方发布为准
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-25 08:19
据了解,2023年11月1日 53%vol飞天茅台出厂价从969元/瓶上调至1169元/瓶,涨幅约20%,市场指导价 保持1499元/瓶不变。 对此,贵州茅台相关部门在接受北京商报记者采访时表示,请不信谣、不传谣。一切信息以官方发布为 准。 北京商报讯(记者 刘一博 冯若男)2月25日,北京商报记者从市场获悉,网传贵州茅台旗下53度飞天茅 台的出厂价将从现行的1169元/瓶提高至1299元/瓶,涨幅为130元/瓶,约11.1%,并计划自2026年2月24 日起实施。与此同时,1499元的官方建议零售价不做调整。 ...
动销“三管齐下”,加速去库存
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-25 08:17
Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Spring Festival is expected to be a significant period for the liquor industry, with a nine-day holiday and a focus on consumption recovery, although challenges such as inventory pressure and market differentiation persist [1][8]. Group 1: Spring Festival Impact on Liquor Sales - The Spring Festival is a critical sales period for the liquor industry, serving as a battleground for competition and a reflection of industry health [1]. - Major liquor brands are leveraging the CCTV Spring Festival Gala for brand exposure, with several companies sponsoring the event to enhance visibility [2][3]. - The sales peak for liquor during the Spring Festival is notably shorter in 2026, with a focus on the first half of February, compared to previous years [1][8]. Group 2: Strategies of Liquor Companies - Liquor companies are implementing a "three-pronged" approach to boost sales during the Spring Festival, including promotions, price control, and channel empowerment [5][6]. - High-end liquor brands like Moutai and Wuliangye are focusing on price stability and channel management to maintain brand value [6][7]. - Mid-tier and regional liquor companies are increasing promotional efforts to reduce inventory, with various campaigns launched to stimulate demand [7][8]. Group 3: Inventory Challenges - The liquor industry is still undergoing a prolonged inventory reduction phase, particularly affecting mid-tier and regional brands, which face significant inventory pressure [1][8]. - As of Q3 2025, the total inventory of 20 A-share liquor companies exceeded 170 billion, remaining above reasonable levels despite a 40% reduction from peak levels in 2023 [8]. - The average inventory turnover days are currently around 900 days, indicating a lengthy period required to clear existing stock [8][9]. Group 4: Market Performance and Valuation - The A-share liquor sector has experienced a valuation recovery, with major brands showing strong stock performance amid optimistic sales expectations for the Spring Festival [10][11]. - From early January to early February 2026, the China Securities White Liquor Index rose by 2.54%, with leading brands outperforming the average [11][12]. - Analysts predict a continued divergence in performance, with high-end brands expected to maintain growth while mid-tier and regional brands face ongoing challenges [12]. Group 5: AI Integration in the Liquor Industry - AI technology is increasingly being integrated into various aspects of the liquor industry, enhancing production, quality control, and marketing efforts [13][14]. - Companies like Luzhou Laojiao and Wuliangye are utilizing AI to optimize production processes and improve product quality, demonstrating the potential for increased efficiency and profitability [13][14]. - Despite the promising applications of AI, challenges such as data barriers and limited penetration in marketing and management remain [15][16].
大和:内地农历新年假期消费表现鼓舞 推荐古茗(01364)等
智通财经网· 2026-02-25 07:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the Lunar New Year holiday consumption performance is encouraging, with strong demand in the dining and tourism sectors [1] - The report suggests prioritizing stocks that benefit from dining and tourism demand, with top picks including Gu Ming (01364), Yum China (09987), Nongfu Spring (09633), Master Kong (00322), China Resources Beer (00291), and Kweichow Moutai (600519.SH) [1] - There are initial signs of re-inflation in the Chinese economy, primarily driven by service consumption, reflected in price increases and reduced promotional activities in dining, tourism, transportation, and accommodation [1] Group 2 - During the 2026 Lunar New Year period, dining sales outperformed market expectations, with average daily revenue growth of 8.6% in the first four days compared to a 4.1% increase in the same period of 2025 [1] - Since Yum China indicated signs of improving consumer confidence in November 2025, the pace of demand recovery has continued to accelerate [1] - The report continues to favor Gu Ming and Yum China as top picks in the dining sector, noting that if the recovery in dining expands, the recovery in alcohol consumption at dining venues may outperform market concerns [1]
大和:内地农历新年假期消费表现鼓舞 推荐古茗等
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-02-25 07:44
该行继续将古茗与百胜中国列为餐饮业首选股,并指出若餐饮复苏范围扩大,餐饮场所酒精消费复苏表 现可能优于市场所担忧。同时看好农夫山泉与康师傅,两者将成为强劲国内旅游需求的关键受益者。 报告指,注意到中国经济出现复通胀的初步迹象,主要由服务消费驱动,体现于餐饮、旅游、交通及住 宿领域的价格上涨与促销活动减少。2026年农历新年期间餐饮销售表现优于市场预期,节日首四日日均 营收同比增长8.6%,而2025年同期增幅仅为4.1%。自百胜中国2025年11月指出消费者信心初现改善迹 象以来,需求复苏步伐持续加快。 大和发布研报称,农历新年假期消费表现鼓舞,餐饮旅游需求强劲。建议优先配置餐饮旅游需求受惠 股,首选古茗(01364)、百胜中国(09987)、农夫山泉(09633)、康师傅控股(00322)、华润啤酒(00291)及贵 州茅台(600519)(600519.SH)。 ...
茅台出厂价上调130元?纯属谣言
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2026-02-25 06:39
近日,网络上流传一则关于贵州茅台上调出厂价的消息,称"茅台宣布调整53度飞天茅台出厂价,从1169元/瓶上调至1299元/瓶,单瓶上涨130元,涨幅约 11%。2026年2月24日起开始执行。与此同时,官方建议零售价1499元/瓶保持不变"。对此,上证报记者向贵州茅台求证后获悉,该消息纯属谣言。 一位业内人士表示,对于上市酒企而言,调整核心产品出厂价格属于"重大事项",必须通过正式公告对外披露。截至目前,贵州茅台并无相关公告发布。 贵州茅台最近一次出厂价调整发生在2023年11月1日。彼时,公司发布公告称,经研究决定,自2023年11月1日起上调本公司53%vol贵州茅台酒(飞天、 (文章来源:上海证券报) 五星)出厂价格,平均上调幅度约为20%。此次调整不涉及本公司产品的市场指导价格。 ...
飞天茅台出厂价上调?贵州茅台辟谣
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2026-02-25 06:31
【导读】贵州茅台辟谣调价 中国基金报记者郑俊婷 日前,有市场传言称,茅台宣布调整53度飞天茅台出厂价从1169元/瓶上调至1299元/瓶,单瓶上涨130元,涨幅约11.1%。2026年2月24日起开始执行。与 此同时,官方建议零售价为1499元,保持不变。 对此,贵州茅台方面2月25日回复中国基金报记者表示:"请不信谣、不传谣!一切信息以官方发布为准。" 在此之前,记者向一位茅台酒经销商求证调价消息,其表示"没听说"。 "贵州国资背景的茅台酒代理商是茅台酒涨价的最大阻力,每一个贵州国资的代理商都是背景强大的,目前这些单位都依靠茅台酒差价发工资保运转。"中 国酒业独立评论人肖竹青接受记者采访时表示。他进一步认为,在当前大环境下,短期内茅台酒都不会涨价。 茅台酒最近一次出厂价调整是在2023年11月1日。当时贵州茅台公告称,确认将53%vol飞天茅台出厂价从969元/瓶上调至1169元/瓶,涨幅约为20%,但市 场指导价(零售价)保持在1499元/瓶不变。 截至记者发稿,贵州茅台上涨2.02%,报1496.37元/股,较辟谣前略有回落。 (文章来源:中国基金报) ...
大行评级丨大和:农历新年假期消费表现鼓舞,首选古茗、百胜中国等
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-25 06:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the consumption performance during the Lunar New Year holiday is encouraging, with strong demand in the dining and tourism sectors [1] - The company recommends prioritizing stocks that benefit from dining and tourism demand, specifically highlighting Gu Ming, Yum China, Nongfu Spring, Master Kong, China Resources Beer, and Moutai as top picks [1] - The report continues to favor Gu Ming and Yum China as preferred stocks in the dining industry, suggesting that if the recovery in dining expands, the recovery in alcohol consumption at dining venues may outperform market concerns [1] Group 2 - The report is optimistic about Nongfu Spring and Master Kong, indicating that both will be key beneficiaries of strong domestic tourism demand [1]