Core Viewpoint - The public fund market is experiencing a new wave of purchase restrictions on QDII products, with over 80 announcements regarding adjustments to subscription limits made since November 1, primarily involving the suspension or limitation of large subscriptions [1][3]. Group 1: QDII Product Restrictions - As of November 20, four fund companies announced the suspension of large subscriptions for five QDII products, including notable funds like the Fuqua Global Consumer Select Mixed Fund and the Morgan S&P 500 Index Fund [3]. - Starting November 21, the subscription limits for various QDII products were set, such as a daily subscription cap of 1 million RMB for the Fuqua Global Consumer Select Mixed Fund and only 10 RMB for the Morgan S&P 500 Index Fund's RMB shares [3]. - Bond QDII products are also facing purchase restrictions, with specific daily subscription limits set for funds like the Southern Asia Dollar Income Bond Fund [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - The current round of purchase restrictions is concentrated in the US stock index sector, leading many investors to shift towards on-market purchases [4]. - Several QDII ETF products have recently reported significant premium trading situations, indicating potential risks for investors [4]. - Fund companies claim that the purchase restrictions are intended to "protect the interests of existing holders," with foreign exchange quota limitations being a significant factor in setting subscription limits [4]. Group 3: QDII Quota Overview - As of June 2025, the total approved quota for QDII products in the market is 170.869 billion USD, reflecting a growth of 3.08 billion USD compared to the end of 2024 [4]. - The allocation of these quotas is highly concentrated among leading institutions, resulting in a "structural shortage" of available quotas for other entities [4].

证 券 研 究 报 告 商品型上市基金：折溢价探讨与产品投资策略分析 ——ETF兵器谱、金融产品每周见20251121 证券分析师：奚佳诚 A0230523070004 蒋辛 A0230521080002 邓虎 A0230520070003 联系人： 奚佳诚 A0230523070004 xijc@swsresearch.com 2025.11.21 投资要点 www.swsresearch.com 证券研究报告 2 1. 商品型上市基金总览：黄金ETF、白银LOF、商品期货ETF ◼ 商品型基金是一类特殊的公募基金产品类型 表：目前市面上的商品型基金 ◼ 商品型基金是一类特殊的公募基金产品类型：市场上共有18只商品型基金，追踪黄金、白银、商品期货等不同商品资产，且全为上市基金 除国投瑞银白银期货为LOF外，其余17只产品均为ETF产品。 ◼ 黄金ETF与上海金ETF的产品，其底层黄金资产存在区别：上海金合约采用集中定价交易，每日仅形成两个时点的价格。黄金现货合约则 为现货实盘交易。两类合约的价格日内变化曲线上，会存在非常明显的区别。底层黄金资产的区别导致上海金ETF可能出现日内短期"账 面折溢价"。不过，两 ...

Core Viewpoint - The trading volume of the ChiNext Index ETFs increased significantly today, with a total trading volume of 8.887 billion yuan, marking a 74.94% increase compared to the previous trading day [1] Trading Volume Summary - The E Fund ChiNext ETF (159915) had a trading volume of 7.002 billion yuan, up by 2.780 billion yuan, representing a 65.83% increase [1] - The GF ChiNext ETF (159952) recorded a trading volume of 980 million yuan, an increase of 663 million yuan, with a remarkable 208.89% rise [1] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) saw a trading volume of 288 million yuan, up by 145 million yuan, reflecting a 100.75% increase [1] - The CCB ChiNext ETF (159956) and the ICBC ChiNext ETF (159958) had the highest increases in trading volume, with increases of 578.24% and 318.82% respectively [1] Market Performance Summary - As of market close, the ChiNext Index (399006) fell by 4.02%, while the average decline for related ETFs was 3.98% [1] - The ETFs with the largest declines included the Harvest ChiNext Enhanced Strategy ETF (159675) and the Bosera ChiNext ETF (159908), which dropped by 4.41% and 4.37% respectively [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in QDII fund market has led to a wave of purchase restrictions, primarily driven by tight foreign exchange quotas and saturated strategy capacities, prompting investors to be cautious of high premium risks and consider alternative investment channels [2][10]. Group 1: QDII Fund Purchase Restrictions - Since November, numerous QDII funds have announced purchase limits, with several popular products opting to stop accepting new investments [2][6]. - Notably, QDII products focused on U.S. indices have been heavily impacted, with major fund companies announcing limits on large subscriptions for several funds, including the 富国全球消费精选混合 (QDII) and 摩根标普500指数 (QDII) [4][5]. - As of November 20, over 80 announcements regarding adjustments to QDII product subscription limits have been made, indicating a widespread trend of limiting or halting large subscriptions [6]. Group 2: Performance and Premium Rates - Many of the restricted QDII products have shown strong performance, with some funds achieving returns exceeding 20% over the past year, leading to significant interest and inflows [7]. - Premium rates for some QDII funds have surged, with certain products experiencing premiums over 10%, and some even exceeding 20%, as investors shift to secondary market purchases due to restrictions [7][8]. - The 富国全球消费精选混合 (QDII) fund has reported a remarkable return of 44.31% this year, highlighting the performance-driven demand for these products [4]. Group 3: Reasons for Purchase Restrictions - The primary reasons for the current purchase restrictions include the limited quotas set by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) and the strategy capacity constraints faced by fund managers [10][11]. - Fund companies aim to prevent rapid scale expansion that could dilute investment returns and avoid performance degradation due to excessive inflows [10][11]. - The total approved QDII quota as of June 2025 was $170.87 billion, with a significant concentration among leading institutions, leading to a structural shortage of available quotas [10]. Group 4: Alternative Investment Channels - In response to the purchase restrictions, investors are increasingly turning to alternative investment channels, such as Hong Kong mutual recognition funds and cross-border wealth management programs, which offer more flexible quotas and a wider range of products [11]. - Experts suggest that the current wave of purchase restrictions may continue until mid-2026, indicating a need for investors to diversify their portfolios and consider products with more lenient subscription limits [11].

Core Points - Youche Technology's stock price dropped by 5.12% to 18.52 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 2.673 billion CNY as of the report date [1] - The company specializes in providing comprehensive automotive marketing and after-sales solutions, with revenue composition: software development and services (72.66%), system operation and maintenance services (26.30%), and smart device sales (1.04%) [1] Fund Holdings - According to data, one fund under Jianxin Fund has a significant holding in Youche Technology. Jianxin Flexible Allocation Mixed A (000270) increased its holdings by 25,430 shares in Q3, totaling 424,900 shares, representing 1.17% of the fund's net value [2] - The fund has experienced a floating loss of approximately 424,900 CNY as of the report date [2] Fund Manager Performance - Jianxin Flexible Allocation Mixed A (000270) is managed by Ye Letian and Guo Zhiting. Ye has a tenure of 13 years and 249 days, with a total asset scale of 7.488 billion CNY and a best fund return of 328.03% during his tenure [3] - Guo has a tenure of 1 year and 351 days, managing assets of 1.071 billion CNY, with a best fund return of 177.81% during his tenure [3]

Core Viewpoint - Hongquan Technology experienced a decline of 5.04% on November 21, with a stock price of 25.99 CNY per share and a total market capitalization of 2.594 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Hongquan Technology, established on June 11, 2009, and listed on November 6, 2019, is located in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province. The company specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of automotive intelligent networking devices and big data cloud platforms, utilizing cutting-edge technologies such as big data, artificial intelligence, and 5G [1] - The revenue composition of the company includes: Intelligent Networking (54.66%), Intelligent Cockpit (19.26%), Controllers (13.57%), Software Platform Development (12.07%), and Others (0.44%) [1] Fund Holdings - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Jianxin Fund holds a significant position in Hongquan Technology. Jianxin Flexible Allocation Mixed A (000270) held 270,200 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 1.16% of the fund's net value, ranking as the ninth largest holding. The estimated floating loss today is approximately 372,900 CNY [2] - Jianxin Flexible Allocation Mixed A (000270) was established on September 3, 2013, with a latest scale of 270 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 57.91%, ranking 443 out of 8,136 in its category; the one-year return is 53.1%, ranking 511 out of 8,056; and since inception, the return is 166.66% [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund managers of Jianxin Flexible Allocation Mixed A (000270) are Ye Letian and Guo Zhiteng. Ye Letian has a cumulative tenure of 13 years and 249 days, with a total fund asset size of 7.488 billion CNY and the best fund return during his tenure being 328.03% [3] - Guo Zhiteng has a cumulative tenure of 1 year and 351 days, managing a total fund asset size of 1.071 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 177.81% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in QDII fund market has led to a wave of purchase restrictions, primarily driven by tight foreign exchange quotas and saturated strategy capacities, prompting investors to be cautious of high premium risks and consider alternative investment channels [1][5][9]. Group 1: QDII Fund Purchase Restrictions - Since November, numerous QDII funds have announced purchase limits, with several popular products opting to stop accepting new investments [1][5]. - Major QDII products focused on U.S. indices have been particularly affected, with several funds setting strict daily purchase limits for both RMB and USD shares [3][4]. - The trend of limiting purchases is not only seen in equity funds but also in traditionally stable bond QDII products, indicating a broader market tightening [4][5]. Group 2: Performance and Premium Rates - Many restricted QDII products have shown strong performance, with some achieving returns over 20% in the past year, leading to significant interest and investment inflows [5][9]. - The premium rates for some QDII ETFs have surged, with certain products experiencing premiums exceeding 20%, driven by investors shifting to on-market purchases due to off-market restrictions [7][9]. Group 3: Reasons Behind Purchase Restrictions - Fund companies cite the need to protect existing investors' interests as a primary reason for implementing purchase limits, aiming to prevent rapid scale expansion that could dilute investment returns [9][10]. - The core issue is the limited QDII quotas set by the foreign exchange authority, which have become increasingly strained due to the strong performance of U.S. stocks since 2025 [10][11]. Group 4: Future Investment Strategies - Experts suggest that the current purchase restrictions may persist until mid-2026, as significant increases in QDII quotas are not expected in the short term [11][12]. - Investors are encouraged to diversify their investments, considering alternatives such as Hong Kong mutual funds, which are not subject to the same quota restrictions and offer a wider range of products [10][12].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of personal pension contributions, highlighting tax benefits and savings opportunities associated with investing in pension funds through FOF (Fund of Funds) strategies [1][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - On November 13, the Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high, marking the strongest performance in nearly a decade [3]. - FOF fund net values have also achieved new highs this year, indicating a positive trend in the market [3]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Pension funds can strategically invest in equity assets through FOF funds, which are designed for long-term growth and aim to reduce portfolio volatility while sharing in the long-term growth of the equity market [7]. - Over the past five years, the FOF fund index has shown relative advantages in controlling maximum drawdown and annualized volatility, while providing competitive long-term returns that align with the investment needs of pension funds [9]. Group 3: Fund Performance Metrics - The annualized volatility and maximum drawdown for various indices are as follows: - FOF Fund: 6.02% annualized volatility, -18.41% maximum drawdown, 13.97% total return - CSI 300: 18.04% annualized volatility, -45.60% maximum drawdown, 1.06% total return - Equity Funds: 18.97% annualized volatility, -47.80% maximum drawdown, 11.08% total return [10]. Group 4: Fund Offerings - Various FOF funds are available for different risk profiles, including: - Aggressive Strategy: Jianxin Youxiang Progress FOF (Y) [11] - Balanced Strategy: Jianxin Youxiang Balanced FOF (Y) [11] - Conservative Strategy: Jianxin Tianfu Youxiang Stable FOF (Y) [11]. Group 5: Tax Benefits and Cost Savings - The Y class shares for personal pension investments offer lower fees and tax benefits, allowing investors to save up to 5,400 yuan annually on taxes when contributing 12,000 yuan to their personal pension accounts [12][13]. - The article outlines that the fee rates for Y class shares are generally lower than those for A class shares, enhancing the overall investment value [12][14].

Core Viewpoint - The number of stock mutual funds achieving positive returns continuously from 2022 to 2025 (up to October) is significantly low, with only 39 funds out of 4737 showing consistent positive performance, highlighting the challenges faced by fund managers in a volatile market environment [2][3][12]. Group 1: Fund Performance Overview - In 2022, only 132 out of 4744 stock mutual funds achieved positive returns, representing 2.79% of the total [2][3]. - The number of funds with positive returns increased to 541 in 2023, accounting for 11.41% [2][3]. - By 2024, the number surged to 3102, with a positive return rate of 65.47%, and in the first ten months of 2025, 4624 funds achieved positive returns, representing 97.59% [2][3]. Group 2: Consistent Positive Return Funds - Among the 4737 funds with performance data since 2022, only 39 funds maintained positive returns each year, which is a mere 0.82% [3][4]. - The 39 funds that achieved continuous positive returns had an average return of 7.96% in 2022, 8.14% in 2023, 11.74% in 2024, and 22.25% in the first ten months of 2025 [4]. Group 3: Top Performing Funds - The top three funds in terms of returns for the year 2025 (up to October) are: 1. "Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry Mixed A" managed by Wu Guoqing with a return of 75.66% [9][11]. 2. "Caitong New Horizons Mixed A" managed by Shen Li with a return of 68.43% [9][12]. 3. "Invesco Great Wall Shanghai-Hong Kong-Shenzhen Selected Stock A" managed by Zhang Zhongwei with a return of 59.81% [9][13]. Group 4: Fund Manager Insights - Wu Guoqing from "Qianhai Kaiyuan Gold and Silver Jewelry Mixed A" emphasizes the focus on the gold resource sector, which has benefited from rising gold prices due to geopolitical factors and economic conditions [11][12]. - Shen Li from "Caitong New Horizons Mixed A" highlights a focus on AI industry chains, semiconductor domestic substitution, and consumer sectors, reflecting a positive outlook on the economic recovery [12][13]. - Zhang Zhongwei from "Invesco Great Wall Shanghai-Hong Kong-Shenzhen Selected Stock A" believes in the potential of AI technology to drive innovation and growth in the market [13].

Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in limit purchases for QDII funds is attributed to multiple factors including overseas asset volatility, changes in fund flows, and the need for product scale management, reflecting a trend of continued capital attraction towards QDII this year [2][4]. Group 1: QDII Fund Purchase Restrictions - Several QDII products, particularly those focused on U.S. index assets, have recently announced purchase suspensions or restrictions on large purchases, indicating a cautious approach to managing inflows [2]. - On November 19, the Huatai-PineBridge Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF announced a suspension of purchases, with a scale of 1.474 billion yuan and a year-to-date return of 27.06%, ranking high among similar products [2]. - The Jianxin Nasdaq 100 Index (QDII) also suspended purchases on the same day, with a management scale of 1.561 billion yuan and a year-to-date return of 13.81% [2]. - The Huatai-PineBridge MSCI U.S. 50 ETF also suspended purchases, with a circulating scale of 706 million yuan and a year-to-date return of 15.51% [2]. Group 2: Detailed Purchase Limitations - Some QDII funds have implemented more nuanced "window-style" limits, such as the Changxin S&P 100 Equal Weight Index (QDII), which set a daily purchase limit of 100 yuan for RMB shares and 100 USD for USD shares starting November 19 [3]. - The Huaan Mitsubishi UFJ Nikkei 225 ETF also announced a suspension of large purchases, limiting daily purchases to 10 yuan per account [3]. - Several QDII funds had already closed purchases in mid-November, including the Fuguo S&P Oil and Gas Exploration and Production Select Industry ETF and the Huaxia Overseas Mixed Initiated Fund [3]. Group 3: Market Trends and Fund Management - As of September 30, the total number of QDII funds reached 265, with a total scale of 743.483 billion yuan, reflecting a 1.15% increase in number and a 27.32% increase in scale compared to the previous quarter [3]. - Analysts suggest that the recent purchase restrictions are not solely for risk aversion but are standard measures by fund companies to maintain operational stability and protect existing investors amid rapid scale growth [4]. - The significant differences in returns among various QDII funds this year highlight the importance of investors focusing on fund companies' scale management capabilities and long-term strategies rather than making decisions based solely on short-term market conditions [4].