股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 [Table_Industry] 核电设备 FIA 发布 "欧洲聚变能源：行动倡议"， 四川"聚变产投" 正式运营 [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 ——可控核聚变行业周报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 黄龙(分析师) | 021-38031028 | huanglong@gtht.com | S0880525070027 | 本报告导读： 上周（2026/1/26-2026/1/30）可控核聚变领域动态：FIA 发布 "欧洲聚变能源：行动 倡议"，俄罗斯成功测试创纪录高温超导电缆；四川天府新区"聚变产投"正式运营， 今创集团联手核聚变专家布局聚变领域； 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 核电设备《韩国扩大聚变研发预算，General Fusion 拟借壳上市》2026.01.25 核电设 ...

证券之星消息，2月2日军工电子板块较上一交易日下跌1.75%，泰豪科技领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。军工电子板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300629 | 新劲刚 | -2415.80万 | 6.14% | -40.33万 | -0.10% | -2375.47万 | -6.03% | | 688776 国光电气 | | 2184.51万 | 7.07% | 50.28万 | 0.16% | -2234.80万 | -7.23% | | 301306 西测测试 | | 2095.47万 | 5.20% | 2450.56万 | 6.09% | -4546.03万 | -11.29% | | 002151 北斗星通 | | 2055.67万 | 2.03% | 2254.35万 | 2.23% | -4 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the power equipment and new energy industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The "14th Five-Year Plan" period saw slower-than-expected carbon reduction, prompting high-energy-consuming industries to accelerate carbon reduction commercialization during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, leading to a growth inflection point for green fuels [3][8] - The demand for energy storage is expected to grow significantly, with a forecasted 50% increase in energy storage installations by 2025, driven by the rapid growth of new energy [3][19] - The offshore wind power, perovskite, and space photovoltaic sectors are anticipated to exhibit high growth potential during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period [3][8] Summary by Sections 1. Wind and Solar Power Entering Maturity with High Growth in Sub-markets - The demand for new energy installations in China is expected to remain robust, with a target of 360 million kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity by 2035 [12] - The average annual installation space for wind and solar power is projected to exceed 400 GW from 2026 to 2035 [12][13] 2. Energy Storage and Nuclear Power with Stable Supply Attributes - By the end of 2025, China's energy storage installations are expected to reach 66.43 GW, with a year-on-year growth of 52% [19] - The construction speed of nuclear power is expected to accelerate, with a target of 70 million kilowatts of operational capacity by 2025 [21] 3. Carbon Reduction Goals and the Emergence of Green Fuels - The actual carbon reduction progress during the "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to fall short of the target, necessitating increased efforts in the "15th Five-Year Plan" [26] - Policies are encouraging the integration of green electricity with hydrogen, ammonia, and zero-carbon parks [29] 4. New Photovoltaic Technologies and Nuclear Fusion - Perovskite technology is expected to achieve mass production during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, with efficiency improvements anticipated [32] - The BEST project aims for completion by 2027, with significant investment expected in nuclear fusion technology [34]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "stronger than the market" indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [13]. Core Insights - Major technology and new energy companies are entering the nuclear power sector, creating a diversified new landscape for nuclear energy in China. Companies like Alibaba and Geely are investing in coastal nuclear power projects, focusing on stable energy to support computing power demands [3][4]. - The policy environment is increasingly favorable for private investment in nuclear power, with the proportion of private capital expected to rise to 10% by 2024. This trend is supported by the integration of AI and nuclear energy, which is anticipated to deepen as the demand for computing power grows [4]. - Small Modular Reactors (SMR) are highlighted as a key solution to meet the energy demands of AI, with significant interest from technology giants. Companies are developing tailored energy solutions for data centers using SMR technology [5]. Company Summaries - **Jingye Intelligent**: Plans to establish a subsidiary focused on SMR technology for AI data center power supply [6]. - **Jia Electric**: Its main helium fan is the only power device for the fourth-generation high-temperature gas-cooled reactor's primary circuit, leading in the nuclear power business segment [6]. - **Guoguang Electric**: Provides critical components for the ITER project, focusing on filter and cladding systems [6]. - **Lanshi Heavy Industry**: Covers the entire nuclear energy supply chain from upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. - **Kexin Electromechanical**: Produces high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products and has developed domestic alternatives for new fuel transport containers [6]. - **Hailu Heavy Industry**: Services various reactor types, including third and fourth-generation reactors and fusion reactors [6]. - **Jiangsu Shentong**: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly valves and ball valves for new nuclear power projects in China [6].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market," indicating that the overall return of the industry is expected to exceed the market benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 6 months [14]. Core Insights - The entry of technology and new energy giants into the nuclear power sector is creating a diversified new landscape, with companies like Alibaba and Geely participating in coastal nuclear power projects in China [3][4]. - The policy environment is supportive, with increasing participation of private capital in nuclear projects, projected to reach a 10% stake by 2024, and further support for private enterprises by 2026 [4]. - The integration of AI and nuclear energy is anticipated to deepen, with a focus on "computing power + nuclear energy" and the implementation of a "wind-solar-nuclear-storage integration" model in coastal bases [4]. Summary by Sections Industry Participation - Major technology companies are investing in nuclear power through equity stakes, focusing on stable energy to support computing needs, while new energy firms are providing storage solutions and core equipment manufacturing [3][4]. - The domestic nuclear equipment localization rate has reached 93.4%, establishing an ecosystem led by state-owned enterprises, empowered by private capital, and supported by technology [3]. Future Outlook - The demand for AI computing power is expected to drive the development of small modular reactors (SMR) as a key solution for energy needs, with significant interest from technology giants [5]. - Companies like Jingye Intelligent are advancing SMR technology, with plans to establish a subsidiary focused on powering AI data centers [6]. Recommended Companies - Jingye Intelligent: Plans to establish a subsidiary focused on SMR for AI data centers [6]. - Jiadian Co.: Leading position in the nuclear power sector with its helium fan products [6]. - Guoguang Electric: Key components for the ITER project [6]. - Lanshi Heavy Industry: Covers upstream nuclear fuel systems to downstream spent fuel processing [6]. - Kexin Electromechanical: Producing high-temperature gas-cooled reactor products [6]. - Hailu Heavy Industry: Services for various reactor types including third and fourth generation [6]. - Jiangsu Shentong: Secured over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade valves in new nuclear projects [6].

Core Viewpoint - Chengdu Guoguang Electric Co., Ltd. is expected to face a net profit loss of between 85 million to 105 million yuan for the year 2025 due to various external factors impacting its performance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company announced a pre-loss for 2025, indicating a challenging phase for its financial performance [1] - The expected loss is attributed to delays in procurement orders related to the nuclear industrial equipment business and project delays in the microwave device sector [1] - Revenue has decreased due to reduced customer orders and price adjustments, alongside increased credit impairment losses impacting overall performance [1] Group 2: Business Development and Strategic Positioning - Despite short-term performance fluctuations, the company continues to strengthen its core competencies in key business areas, particularly in nuclear fusion and commercial aerospace [1] - The company is actively involved in significant domestic fusion projects and has received industry recognition for its research achievements, including awards for technology advancements [2] - In the microwave device and commercial aerospace sectors, the company has established stable partnerships and is focusing on enhancing product performance and expanding market opportunities [2]

Core Viewpoint - Guoguang Electric experienced a decline of 2.23% in stock price on January 29, with a trading volume of 326 million yuan, indicating potential market volatility and investor sentiment concerns [1]. Financing Summary - On January 29, Guoguang Electric had a financing buy-in amount of 35.89 million yuan and a financing repayment of 28.63 million yuan, resulting in a net financing buy of 7.26 million yuan [1]. - The total financing and securities balance for Guoguang Electric reached 486 million yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 4.34% of the circulating market value, indicating a high level compared to the past year [1]. - The company had a securities lending balance of 1.27 million shares, with a securities lending balance of 1.31 million yuan, also at a high level compared to the past year [1]. Business Performance - As of September 30, Guoguang Electric reported a total of 8,431 shareholders, an increase of 47.58% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person decreased by 32.24% to 12,855 shares [2]. - For the period from January to September 2025, Guoguang Electric achieved an operating income of 254 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 44.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -40 million yuan, a significant decline of 192.41% [2]. Dividend and Shareholding Structure - Since its A-share listing, Guoguang Electric has distributed a total of 91.72 million yuan in dividends, with 41.73 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. - As of September 30, 2025, notable institutional shareholders include Guotou Ruijin National Security Mixed A, holding 1.73 million shares as the fourth largest shareholder, and Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 149,400 shares [3].

Group 1 - The company, Chengdu Guoguang Electric Co., Ltd., anticipates a significant net loss for the fiscal year 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company between -105 million yuan and -85 million yuan, representing a decrease of 15.205 million yuan to 13.205 million yuan compared to the previous year, which is a year-on-year decline of 323.16% to 280.66% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between -112 million yuan and -92 million yuan, reflecting a decrease of 15.69 million yuan to 13.69 million yuan year-on-year, equating to a decline of 349.45% to 304.90% [3] - In the previous year, the company reported a total profit of 51.44 million yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 47.05 million yuan, with a net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of 44.90 million yuan [4] Group 2 - The primary reason for the anticipated decline in performance is a decrease in sales revenue, influenced by external factors. The nuclear industry equipment business has been constrained by delays in the ITER project and the construction of major domestic scientific research facilities, resulting in postponed procurement orders. Additionally, in the microwave device business, some project milestones did not meet expectations, leading to delayed order placements [6] - The company also faced increased credit impairment losses due to lower-than-expected sales collections, which further impacted the anticipated performance [7]

Core Viewpoint - Guoguang Electric (688776.SH) has announced a projected net loss for the fiscal year 2025, estimating a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company to be between -105 million yuan and -85 million yuan compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects a significant decline in net profit for 2025, with estimates indicating a loss of between 105 million yuan and 85 million yuan [1] - The anticipated financial downturn is attributed to a decrease in sales revenue during the reporting period [1] Group 2: Business Operations - The decline in sales revenue is primarily influenced by external factors, including delays in the ITER project and the construction progress of major domestic scientific research facilities, which have affected the timely issuance of related procurement orders [1] - In the microwave device business, certain project milestones have not met expectations, leading to delays in order issuance [1] - The combination of reduced customer order volumes and price adjustments for some products has further contributed to the decrease in revenue [1]

Core Viewpoint - Guoguang Electric (688776.SH) is expected to report a net loss attributable to shareholders of the parent company for the year 2025, with estimates ranging from -105 million to -85 million yuan compared to the previous year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a decline in sales revenue for the reporting period [1] - The projected net loss is attributed to external factors affecting business operations [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The nuclear industrial equipment segment is impacted by delays in the ITER project and the construction progress of major domestic scientific research facilities, resulting in postponed procurement orders [1] - In the microwave device segment, delays in project milestones have led to postponed order issuance [1] Group 3: Market Conditions - The reduction in customer order volume, combined with price adjustments for certain products, has contributed to the decrease in revenue [1]