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【公用事业】25年市场化交易电量同比+7.4%,寒潮导致全国用电负荷持续创新高——公用事业行业周报(20260125)(殷中枢/宋黎超)
光大证券研究· 2026-01-26 23:03
点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户,用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便, 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 本周行情回顾: 本周SW公用事业一级板块上涨2.27%,在31个SW一级板块中排名第15;沪深300下跌0.62%,上证综指上 涨0.84%,深证成指上涨1.11%,创业板指下跌0.34%。细分子板块中,火电上涨2.71%,水电下跌0.89%, 光伏发电上涨7.21%,风力发电上涨2.82%,电能综合服务上涨4.56%,燃气上涨7.21%。 复。26年电力供需预期延续25年偏宽松态势,板块电价继续承压,但在绿电装机增长加持下,基荷电源火 电仍具备装机需求;因此我们认为火电、绿电投资回报应匹配社会的综合投资回报水平,进而满足两者可 融资性;若年度长协电价签署不及预期,依然有望提供其他措施(容量补贴提升、度电成本下行等)满足 板 ...
公用事业行业周报(20260125):25年市场化交易电量同比+7.4%,寒潮导致全国用电负荷持续创新高-20260126
EBSCN· 2026-01-26 06:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the public utility sector, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The public utility sector saw a 2.27% increase this week, ranking 15th among 31 sectors, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84% [21]. - The total electricity market transaction volume for 2025 reached 66,394 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, accounting for 64.0% of total social electricity consumption [2][15]. - The peak electricity load in the country surpassed 1.4 billion kilowatts for the first time in winter, reaching 1.417 billion kilowatts due to a cold wave [2][15]. - The report highlights significant profit growth for companies like Qianyuan Power, which expects a net profit of 567-633 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 160%-190% [10]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The public utility sector's performance this week included a 2.71% increase in thermal power, a 7.21% increase in photovoltaic power, and a 4.56% increase in energy comprehensive services [21]. - Domestic and imported coal prices have decreased, with domestic coal prices dropping to below 700 yuan per ton [2][12]. Key Events - The report notes that the annual long-term contract bidding results are being disclosed, with expectations of reasonable outcomes due to the decline in coal prices [3]. - The average on-grid electricity price for 2025 is projected to be around 513.29 yuan per megawatt-hour, reflecting a slight increase compared to the previous year [11]. Company Performance - Companies like Longxin Technology and Guangdong Power A are expected to see significant profit growth, while Guangdong Power A anticipates a decline in profits by 21.45%-40.12% [10][11]. - The report suggests focusing on national thermal power operators such as Huaneng International and Guodian Power, which are expected to maintain stable dividends [3].
黔源电力:1月22日召开董事会会议
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-01-22 09:16
(记者 王晓波) 每经头条(nbdtoutiao)——特朗普强要格陵兰岛,丹麦一养老基金率先清仓美债,美国资产全线下 跌!欧洲手握"金融核按钮",双方会"鱼死网破"吗?专家解读→ 每经AI快讯,黔源电力1月22日晚间发布公告称,公司第十一届第二次董事会会议于2026年1月22日在 公司23楼1号会议室以现场结合通讯(视频)的方式召开。会议审议了《关于开展2026年绿色电力中长 期交易业务形成关联交易的议案》等文件。 ...
黔源电力(002039) - 关于2026年度日常关联交易预计的公告
2026-01-22 09:15
证券代码:002039 证券简称:黔源电力 公告编号:2026-004 关于2026年度日常关联交易预计的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、日常关联交易基本情况 (一)日常关联交易概述 贵州黔源电力股份有限公司(以下简称公司)于2026年1月22日召开第十一 届董事会第二次会议,会议以6票同意,0票反对,0票弃权(其中关联董事杨焱 先生、戴建炜先生、冯荣先生、龚兰高先生、王贵来先生回避表决)的表决结果 审议通过了《关于2026年度日常关联交易预计的议案》。因经营需要,公司及子 公司将与公司控股股东中国华电集团有限公司控制的关联企业华电电力科学研 究院有限公司(以下简称华电电科院)、国电南京自动化股份有限公司(以下简 称国电南自)、贵州乌江清水河水电开发有限公司(以下简称清水河公司)等关 联企业在采购、提供服务等业务领域发生持续的日常经营性关联交易。预计2026 年度日常关联交易总金额为3000.00万元。 根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》的相关规定,本次关联交易事项已经 公司第十一届董事会第二次会议审议通过,关联董事均已回避表决,其余 ...
黔源电力(002039) - 关于召开2026年第一次临时股东会的通知
2026-01-22 09:15
一、召开会议的基本情况 1.股东会届次:2026 年第一次临时股东会 2.股东会的召集人:董事会 3.本次会议的召集、召开符合《中华人民共和国公司法》《深圳证券交易 所股票上市规则》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 1 号——主板上 市公司规范运作》等法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件及《公司章程》 的有关规定。 4.会议时间: (1)现场会议时间:2026 年 02 月 09 日 15:30 证券代码:002039 证券简称:黔源电力 公告编号:2026-005 贵州黔源电力股份有限公司 关于召开 2026 年第一次临时股东会的通知 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 (2)网络投票时间:通过深圳证券交易所系统进行网络投票的具体时间 为 2026 年 02 月 09 日 9:15-9:25,9:30-11:30,13:00-15:00;通过深圳证券 交易所互联网投票系统投票的具体时间为 2026 年 02 月 09 日 9:15 至 15:00 的 任意时间。 5.会议的召开方式:现场表决与网络投票相结合。 6.会议的股权登记日:2026 ...
黔源电力(002039) - 关于开展2026年绿色电力中长期交易业务形成关联交易的公告
2026-01-22 09:00
证券代码:002039 证券简称:黔源电力 公告编号:2026-003 贵州黔源电力股份有限公司 关于开展 2026 年绿色电力中长期交易业务形成关联交易的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 贵州黔源电力股份有限公司(以下简称公司)于 2026 年 1 月 22 日召开了第 十一届董事会第二次会议,以 6 票同意、0 票反对、0 票弃权审议通过了《关于 开展 2026 年绿色电力中长期交易业务形成关联交易的议案》,根据《深圳证券 交易所股票上市规则》等的有关规定,公司关联董事杨焱先生、戴建炜先生、冯 荣先生、龚兰高先生、王贵来先生回避表决。现将有关情况公告如下: 一、关联交易概述 1.交易内容 根据公司经营发展需要,公司控股子公司贵州北盘江电力股份有限公司光照 光伏分公司、马马崖光伏分公司、董箐光伏分公司、控股子公司镇宁黔源新能源 有限公司拟与公司控股股东中国华电集团有限公司(以下简称中国华电)控制的 关联企业贵州华电乌江售电有限公司(以下简称乌江售电公司)开展 2026 年绿 色电力中长期交易业务。根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》等有关规 ...
黔源电力(002039) - 第十一届董事会第二次会议决议公告
2026-01-22 09:00
本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记 载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、董事会会议召开情况 证券代码:002039 证券简称:黔源电力 公告编号:2026-002 贵州黔源电力股份有限公司 第十一届董事会第二次会议决议公告 本次会议由公司董事长杨焱先生主持。会议召集、召开程序符合《公司法》 和《公司章程》的有关规定。 贵州黔源电力股份有限公司(以下简称公司)第十一届董事会第二次会议于 2026 年 1 月 22 日在公司 23 楼 1 号会议室以现场结合通讯(视频)的方式召开, 本次会议通知于 2026 年 1 月 14 日以书面形式送达各位董事,应出席董事 11 名, 实际出席董事 11 名(其中董事龚兰高先生、马云麟先生、苏春辉女士、祝韻女 士、李晓冬先生、王贵来先生以通讯(视频)表决方式进行了表决)。本公司高 管列席了本次会议。 根据《深圳证券交易所股票上市规则》等的有关规定,公司关联董事杨焱先 生、戴建炜先生、冯荣先生、龚兰高先生、王贵来先生回避表决。 (三)以 11 票同意、0 票反对、0 票弃权审议通过了《关于召开 2026 年第 一次临时股东会的议案》。(请详见 2 ...
2026年政策助力非化石能源提速,绿色电力ETF(159625)一键布局绿电资产机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 04:57
Group 1 - The National Development and Reform Commission emphasizes accelerating energy transition by developing non-fossil energy and enhancing the power grid's regulation capacity, aiming to increase the consumption ratio of non-fossil energy and promote new clean energy generation to meet the growing electricity demand [1] - In 2025, the national industrial power generation increased by 2.2% year-on-year, with solar power generation growing by 18.2% and wind power by 8.9% in December, indicating a positive expansion despite a slowdown in growth rates [1] - The performance of hydropower companies improved significantly in the fourth quarter due to abundant water resources in the Yangtze and Pearl River basins, leading to notable profit increases [1] Group 2 - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Green Power Index accounted for 54.68% of the index, including major companies like China Nuclear Power and Yangtze Power [2] - The Green Power ETF (159625) closely tracks the National Green Power Index, providing a convenient tool for investors to gain exposure to the overall performance of listed companies in the green power sector [2] - Investors can also access investment opportunities through the corresponding Green Power ETF linked fund (017057) [2]
1月21日重要公告一览
Xi Niu Cai Jing· 2026-01-21 03:07
Group 1 - Northeast Securities expects a net profit of 1.477 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 69.06% [1] - Gansu Energy anticipates a net profit of 1.95 billion to 2.1 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.6% to 27.72% [2] - Ningbo Bank reports a projected net profit of 29.333 billion yuan in 2025, with an 8.13% year-on-year increase [3] Group 2 - Qianyuan Power forecasts a net profit of 567 million to 633 million yuan in 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 160% to 190% [5] - Batian Co. expects a net profit of 890 million to 980 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 117.53% to 139.53% [6] - Tongfu Microelectronics anticipates a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 62.34% to 99.24% [7] Group 3 - Zhongyuan Nepe expects a net profit of 368 million to 428 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 80.47% to 109.9% [8] - Huajin Co. predicts a net loss of 1.6 billion to 1.9 billion yuan in 2025, compared to a loss of 2.795 billion yuan in the previous year [9] - Xinghua Co. anticipates a net loss of 420 million to 560 million yuan in 2025, up from a loss of 380 million yuan in the previous year [4] Group 4 - Huayuan Holdings expects a net profit of 107 million to 118 million yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 50.98% to 66.82% [12] - Taishan Petroleum forecasts a net profit of 130 million to 165 million yuan in 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 30.88% to 66.11% [13] - Jiuqi Software anticipates a net profit of 40 million to 60 million yuan in 2025, recovering from a loss of 156 million yuan in the previous year [21] Group 5 - Jin Fang Energy expects a net profit of 109 million to 143 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 123.97% to 193.7% [16] - He Sheng New Materials anticipates a net profit of 152 million to 171 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 55% to 75% [24] - Yuedong Microelectronics predicts a net loss of 340 million to 425 million yuan in 2025 [14] Group 6 - Aibo Medical plans to acquire at least 51% of Demai Medical, with an estimated valuation of the target company not exceeding 1 billion yuan [26] - Zhaoshang Shipping intends to build four 3000TEU container ships with a total investment of no more than 1.324 billion yuan [18] - Zhongtung High-tech's subsidiary has confirmed an increase in mineral resources, adding significant quantities of tungsten and other metals [27]
2025年净利润预计增长160.00%—190.00% 黔源电力下跌5.44%
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2026-01-21 02:37
Group 1 - The stock price of Qianyuan Power has shown unusual movement, with a decline of 5.44% as of 9:51 AM today, trading 5.1362 million shares and a transaction amount of 96.9134 million yuan, resulting in a turnover rate of 1.20% [2] - The company has released its latest earnings forecast, expecting a net profit of 567 million to 633 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 160.00% to 190.00% [2] - In the context of today's earnings forecasts, other companies such as Zhongrong Electric, Xinqi Microelectronics, and Yuheng Pharmaceutical have seen strong stock performance, with increases of 20.00%, 13.35%, and 10.03% respectively [2] Group 2 - Over the past five days, the main funds for Qianyuan Power have shown a net inflow, totaling 37.8493 million yuan, with a net inflow of 8.8855 million yuan on the previous trading day [2] - The latest margin trading data as of January 20 shows a total margin balance of 311 million yuan for the stock, with a financing balance of 311 million yuan, and an increase of 4.0664 million yuan in the financing balance over the past five days, representing a growth of 1.33% [2]