Group 1: New IPOs - This week, there are two new stocks available for subscription, one on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and one on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange new stock, Zhongce Rubber, is one of the largest tire manufacturers in China, focusing on the research, production, and sales of all-steel tires, semi-steel tires, bias tires, and automotive tires [2][7] - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange new stock, Guqi Down Material, specializes in high-spec down products, with a focus on the research, production, and sales of down products used in clothing and bedding [3][6] Group 2: Company Performance - Zhongce Rubber's revenue for 2023 to Q1 2025 is projected to be 35.252 billion yuan, 39.255 billion yuan, and 10.641 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 2.638 billion yuan, 3.787 billion yuan, and 1.152 billion yuan [2] - Guqi Down Material's revenue for the same period is expected to be 830 million yuan, 967 million yuan, and 193 million yuan, with net profits of 122 million yuan, 168 million yuan, and 38.1 million yuan [3] Group 3: Fundraising and Projects - Zhongce Rubber plans to raise 4.85 billion yuan through its IPO to fund projects including a high-performance radial tire green 5G digital factory and a production line for 2.5 million sets of all-steel radial heavy-duty tires [3] - Guqi Down Material aims to raise 604 million yuan for projects such as a green manufacturing project for functional down and upgrading its technology and research center [3] Group 4: Regulatory Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has revised the "Regulations on the Supervision of Fundraising by Listed Companies," emphasizing that raised funds should be used specifically for main business operations and improving the efficiency of fund usage [4][5] - The revised regulations also impose stricter supervision on changes in the use of raised funds and require timely disclosure of any related issues [5]

Group 1: Company Overview - Guqi Ruan Material focuses on high-specification down products, with major clients including Hailan Home, Semir Clothing, and Bosideng [1] - Zhongce Rubber is one of the largest tire manufacturers in terms of sales scale, producing a variety of tire products including radial and bias tires [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - Guqi Ruan Material's projected revenues for 2022 to 2024 are 667 million yuan, 830 million yuan, and 967 million yuan, with net profits of 97 million yuan, 122 million yuan, and 168 million yuan respectively [2] - Zhongce Rubber's projected revenues for 2022 to 2024 are 31.889 billion yuan, 35.252 billion yuan, and 39.255 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.225 billion yuan, 2.638 billion yuan, and 3.787 billion yuan respectively [3] Group 3: Fundraising and Investment Plans - Guqi Ruan Material plans to use the raised funds for a 2,800-ton functional down green manufacturing project, upgrading its technology and R&D center, and supplementing working capital [2] - Zhongce Rubber's fundraising will primarily support projects including a high-performance radial tire green 5G digital factory, a production line for 2.5 million sets of all-steel radial tires, and expansion projects in its manufacturing facilities [4]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the new stock market is showing signs of recovery, with a slight increase in trading sentiment, but a complete transformation from quantity to quality is still pending [1][12][24] - The average increase of new stocks listed since 2024 is approximately 1.9%, with about 63.1% of new stocks achieving positive returns [1][27][28] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the consensus rebuilding process in the market, suggesting that a new active cycle for new stocks is anticipated [2][12][40] Group 2 - The report notes that the issuance of new stocks is gradually returning to normal, with the average issuance price-earnings ratio for new stocks remaining low [13][18] - Recent new stocks have shown a significant disparity in performance, with some sectors like new consumption and robotics performing well, while others like military and semiconductor-related stocks have faced declines [6][28][40] - Upcoming new stocks include Weigao Blood Purification and Taili Technology, with their performance metrics indicating potential investment opportunities [3][39][40] Group 3 - The report emphasizes the need to focus on high-quality new stocks that have undergone sufficient consolidation and offer good value, particularly those benefiting from policy expectations [2][12][40] - The report suggests that the new productivity themes, such as robotics and AI, should continue to be monitored for potential investment opportunities [2][12][40] - The average issuance price-earnings ratio for new stocks set to be listed this week is 21.1X, indicating a slight decrease from previous levels [7][34]

01 潘功胜、李云泽、吴清，最新发声！ 5月16日，北京市委书记尹力调研首都金融高质量发展，并召开金融工作座谈会。中央金融办副主任王江，中国人民银行行长潘功胜，国家金融监督管理总局局长 李云泽，中国证监会主席吴清，北京市委副书记、市长殷勇参加。 以下为座谈会上吴清、潘功胜、李云泽的最新发言： 潘功胜：将持续推动强大的中央银行与国家金融管理中心建设互促共进，支持完善首都金融功能布局 潘功胜指出，强化北京国家金融管理中心功能，是党中央交给北京市和金融系统的共同任务。中国人民银行积极支 持北京市经济金融高质量发展，着力营造良好的货币金融环境，支持重点经济领域发展，推动首都金融业平稳健康 发展，优化北京金融营商环境。面向"十五五"，中国人民银行将紧紧围绕金融强国建设，持续推动强大的中央银行 与国家金融管理中心建设互促共进，支持完善首都金融功能布局，支持北京打造科技金融发展高地，推动北京人民 币国际化继续走在全国前列，不断提升北京国家金融管理中心的国际影响力。 李云泽：支持金融政策先行先试，完善首都金融服务体系 02 证监会，最新发布！事关重大资产重组 5月16日，证监会发布修改后的《上市公司重大资产重组管理办法》，建 ...

宏观•要闻 央行即将公布5月1/5年期贷款市场报价利率（LPR） 中国人民银行将于5月20日公布1/5年期贷款市场报价利率（LPR），截至目前，1年期LPR为3.1%，5年期以上LPR为3.6%，LPR已连续6个月"按兵不动"。 值得一提的是，为实施好适度宽松的货币政策，加力支持实体经济，从2025年5月8日起，公开市场7天期逆回购操作利率由此前的1.50%调整为1.40%， 预计 将带动LPR下行约0.1个百分点 。 北京市委书记尹力调研并出席金融工作座谈会 5月16日上午，北京市委书记尹力围绕"服务国家金融管理中心建设，推动首都金融高质量发展"调查研究，并召开金融工作座谈会。中央金融办分管日常工作 的副主任王江，中国人民银行行长潘功胜，国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽，中国证监会主席吴清，北京市委副书记、市长殷勇分别参加。 北京市和中国证监会领导来到北京证券交易所，察看企业上市审核流程展示，了解北交所努力打造服务创新型中小企业主阵地等情况。尹力指出，要深化北 交所改革，不断完善制度设计，实现健康快速发展。落实好北交所深改19条，推动上市企业扩围提质。 美国主权信用评级遭下调 国际信用评级机构穆迪5月16日宣 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a rise followed by a decline during the trading week from May 12 to May 16, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a weekly high of 3417 points and closing at 3367.46 points, resulting in a cumulative increase of 0.76% for the week [1][3]. Market Volume and Participation - Market trading volume showed a similar pattern, with an average daily turnover exceeding 1.3 trillion yuan in the first half of the week, but decreasing to around 1.1 trillion yuan in the latter half, with Friday's turnover dropping to 1.09 trillion yuan, indicating a decline in investor participation [3][5]. Sector Performance - There was significant structural differentiation within the market. The shipping, military, chemical, and controllable nuclear fusion sectors performed well, with companies like Chengfei Integration in the military sector achieving a weekly increase of over 60% [3]. Conversely, the precious metals sector saw a slight decline following a drop in gold prices, and ST stocks faced pressure due to potential performance issues, with many ST stocks dropping over 10% [3]. Policy Impact - The recent revision of the "Major Asset Restructuring Management Measures" by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is expected to enhance the efficiency and convenience of mergers and acquisitions for listed companies. The new "2+5+5" simplified review process could lead to a bullish market trend, similar to the one observed in 2014-2015 when restructuring policies were relaxed [4]. Future Market Outlook - The market outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with a focus on trading volume indicators in the upcoming week. If trading volume continues to increase, particularly in the large financial sector, the index may break through the resistance level of 3439 points. Conversely, a decrease in volume could lead to a downward adjustment [5]. Upcoming Events - Key upcoming events include a press conference by the State Council Information Office on May 19 to discuss the national economic operation in April 2025, and the release of the monthly report on residential sales prices by the National Bureau of Statistics [6][7].

Economic Data Release - The National Bureau of Statistics will release key economic data for April on May 19, including industrial added value, fixed asset investment, and retail sales of consumer goods [2] - CICC estimates that the fiscal subsidy scale for the old-for-new policy exceeded 38 billion yuan in April, maintaining a strong impact on retail sales growth at 3.3 percentage points [2] - The retail sales of narrow passenger cars are expected to grow by 14.4% year-on-year in April, with overall retail sales growth projected at around 5.5% [2] Fuel Price Adjustment - The domestic refined oil price adjustment window is set for May 19 at 24:00, with a projected decrease of 240 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel prices [3] - Analysts predict a drop of approximately 0.18 yuan per liter for 92-octane gasoline and 0.2 yuan per liter for 0-octane diesel, resulting in savings of about 9 yuan for a full tank of 50 liters [3] LPR Announcement - The latest 1-year and 5-year LPR will be announced on May 20, with the previous rates at 3.1% and 3.6% respectively [4] - Following a 0.1 percentage point reduction in the policy interest rate, the LPR is expected to decrease by about 0.1 percentage points [4] Stock Unlocking - A total of 40 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked from May 19 to May 23, with 8 stocks having a market value exceeding 1 billion yuan [6] - The top three companies by unlocking market value are: SiTeWei-W (7.007 billion yuan), XinDian Software (4.865 billion yuan), and YanTian Port (4.459 billion yuan) [6][7] New Stock Issuance - Two new stocks will be issued next week: Guqi Wool Materials on May 19 and Zhongce Rubber on May 23 [10]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Neutral" to Zhongce Rubber, with an AHP score of 1.86, placing it in the 25.0% percentile of the non-Science and Technology Innovation Board AHP model [9][10]. Core Insights - Zhongce Rubber is one of the largest tire manufacturers in China, focusing on the research, production, and sales of all-steel tires, semi-steel tires, bias tires, and vehicle tires. The company has achieved significant advancements in technology, particularly in producing heavy-duty tires without inner tubes [4][11]. - The company has a relatively low global market share, with less than 3% from 2021 to 2023, despite being ranked first in the "2024 China Tire Enterprise Rankings" and among the top ten in the "2024 Global Annual Tire Report" [4][14]. - The company has been expanding its overseas presence, with a steady increase in foreign revenue from 14.99 billion yuan in 2022 to 18.90 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 48.32% of total revenue [4][17]. Summary by Sections AHP Score and Expected Allocation Ratio - The AHP score for Zhongce Rubber, after excluding liquidity premium factors, is 1.86, indicating a position in the lower-middle tier of the AHP model [9][10]. Fundamental Highlights and Features - Zhongce Rubber is the largest tire manufacturer in China, with a focus on all-steel and semi-steel tires as its main revenue sources. The company has made significant technological advancements in tire production [4][11]. - The company has been increasing its production capacity utilization, reaching 95.17% in 2024, with plans to expand capacity further through new projects [12][29]. Comparable Company Financial Metrics - From 2022 to 2024, Zhongce Rubber's revenue and net profit are higher than the average of comparable companies, with revenue growth rates of 10.95% and net profit growth of 75.84%, although these rates are lower than the industry average [21][22]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 is expected to be in the upper-middle range compared to peers, with a higher R&D expense ratio [27][28]. Fundraising Projects and Development Vision - The company plans to raise funds through an IPO to invest in several projects, including a high-performance tire digital factory and production line expansions, which will significantly increase its production capacity [29][32].

Core Viewpoint - Zhongce Rubber, a leading domestic tire manufacturer, has officially initiated its IPO process, planning to issue approximately 87.45 million shares, accounting for 10% of the total post-issue share capital, with an expected listing date on May 23, 2025 [1][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - Zhongce Rubber was established in 1958 and has evolved into a major player in the tire industry, providing products for top domestic automakers such as FAW, BYD, and Geely, while also expanding its overseas market presence, with nearly half of its revenue coming from international sales [6][7]. - The company has a diverse brand portfolio, including well-known names like "Chaoyang," "Good Luck," and "Westlake," and has built a robust marketing network that spans most countries and regions globally [7]. Group 2: Financial Performance - From 2021 to 2023, Zhongce Rubber's revenue increased from 30.60 billion yuan to 35.25 billion yuan, while net profit rose from 1.38 billion yuan to 2.64 billion yuan. In 2024, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 39.26 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.17 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 30.73% [6]. - According to the 2023 global tire company rankings published by Tire Business, Zhongce Rubber ranks eighth globally with tire sales amounting to 4.38 billion USD [6]. Group 3: IPO and Fundraising - The IPO is expected to raise approximately 4.85 billion yuan, which will be allocated to five major projects aimed at upgrading the tire industry, including the establishment of a green 5G digital factory for high-performance radial tires and enhancements to the high-end green tire manufacturing chain [11]. - The listing marks a significant milestone in the company's development and signifies a new phase for the Chinese tire industry, with the potential to strengthen Zhongce Rubber's leading position in the global market [13].

Group 1 - The company plans to publicly issue 87.44856 million shares, accounting for 10% of the total share capital after issuance, with the initial inquiry date set for May 20, 2025, and subscription date for May 23, 2025 [1] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of various tire products, including all-steel tires, semi-steel tires, bias tires, and car tires, aiming to provide high-quality, high-performance, and green energy-saving products [1] - The company has established a strong domestic and international marketing network, with its tire products covering most provinces and cities in China and being exported to Europe, America, Africa, Oceania, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East [1] Group 2 - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 1.225 billion yuan, 2.638 billion yuan, and 3.787 billion yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively [2] - The company expects a revenue growth of 8% to 15% for the first half of 2025, with projected revenue reaching 15.56 billion yuan, although profits may slightly decline due to increased raw material prices and external factors affecting overseas sales [2] - The funds raised from the public offering, after deducting issuance costs, will be invested in several projects, including a high-performance radial tire green 5G digital factory project and a production line for 2.5 million sets of all-steel radial heavy-duty tires, totaling an investment of 4.85 billion yuan [2]