近日，萤石网络(688475.SH)于2024年交出了一份增收不增利的成绩单，其归母净利润同比下滑 10.52%，为5.04亿元。 证券之星注意到，费用激增、毛利率走低影响了公司去年的盈利表现。尽管整体收入保持增长，但多项 业务面临不小压力：核心产品智能家居摄像机销量下滑，表现疲软；作为"第二增长曲线"的智能入户业 务收入规模仍偏小，且所处行业已是一片红海，增长的可持续性仍存不确定性。同时，云服务业务的C 端用户付费率也出现下滑迹象，反映出其增值服务的变现能力趋弱。 核心产品遇冷，智能入户增长持续性待考 公开资料显示，萤石品牌诞生于海康威视（002415）旗下，2015年脱胎开启公司化运营，随后于2022年 登陆科创板上市。目前，萤石网络专注于智能家居和物联网云平台服务两大领域，核心产品包括智能家 居摄像机、智能入户、智能服务机器人、智能穿戴及智能控制五大AI交互类自研产品线。 据2024年年度报告显示，报告期内，萤石网络实现营业收入54.42亿元，同比增长12.41%；归母净利润 为5.04亿元，同比下降10.52%，出现增收不增利的情况。 分业务来看，智能家居摄像机为公司的营收支柱，为公司贡献了超5成的收 ...

Macro and Strategy - The external environment remains severe, with a balanced and slightly loose funding situation observed in the market [8][9] - The monetary market indicators show a slight decrease in interbank and exchange repo rates, indicating a small easing of the funding environment [8] Industry and Company - The transportation industry is facing potential impacts from US-China tariffs, suggesting a focus on domestic demand and high-dividend sectors [12] - The mechanical industry is witnessing advancements in robotics, with notable product demonstrations from companies like Star Motion Era and Yushu Technology [15] - The automotive sector is experiencing a significant increase in retail sales, with March 2025 retail sales of passenger vehicles reaching 1.94 million units, a year-on-year increase of 14.4% [22] - The home appliance industry is under pressure from US tariffs, with the US imposing a 125% tariff on Chinese imports, affecting the export dynamics of Chinese home appliance companies [25][26] - The logistics sector, particularly express delivery, is seeing growth, with Jitu Express reporting a 26.5% increase in delivery volume in China [14] - The AI and robotics sectors are rapidly evolving, with significant investments and partnerships being formed, indicating a strong growth trajectory for humanoid robots and related technologies [21][20] Financial Performance - Haier Smart Home is expected to maintain a strong market position due to its extensive overseas production capabilities, mitigating tariff impacts [26] - The financial performance of companies like SF Express is projected to grow at a rate of 15-20% over the next two years, driven by operational optimizations [14] - The first quarter financial results for companies like Hewei Electric and Wanhu Chemical show promising growth, with significant increases in revenue and profit margins [7][12]

投资要点 萤石网络发布2024A&2025Q1 业绩： 2024 年全年业绩：营收54.42 亿元（同比+12.41%，下同），归母净利润 5.04 亿元（-10.52%），扣非 净利润 4.83 亿元（-12.63%），主要受销售费用增长26.66%（6.97 亿元→8.58 亿元）增加较多拖累。 2024Q4 单季业绩：营收14.79 亿元（+11.05%），归母净利润1.29 亿元（-20.03%），扣非净利润1.15 亿 元（-29.73%）。 2025Q1 单季业绩：营收13.80 亿元（+11.59%），连续 8 个季度保持 10%-15%增速，归母净利润 1.38 亿元（+10.42%），扣非净利润1.38 亿元（+13.24%）。 分业务：智能入户与云平台业务增速亮眼，智能服务机器人实现突破1）智能摄像机：2024 年全年营收 29.48 亿元（同比- 1.38%，下同），收入占比54%，毛利率为 37.19%（同比下降0.97pct），我们预计主 要受消费力不足等因素影响表现相对疲软。2024 年推出多款新品，如带屏视频通话摄像机 S10、超级 夜景室外云台 H8x 系列、TAMO 宠物看护 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][28]. Core Views - The company has shown good revenue growth, with a 12.4% increase in revenue for 2024, reaching 5.44 billion, although net profit decreased by 10.5% to 500 million [1][5]. - The company is a leader in the domestic smart home hardware and software market, with strong growth in secondary and tertiary hardware categories, and the cloud platform is expected to benefit from the AI wave [4][6]. - The company plans to increase marketing investments, which may impact profitability in the short term but is expected to drive long-term growth [4][6]. Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.38 billion, a 11.6% increase, and net profit of 140 million, a 10.4% increase [1]. - The company's camera revenue decreased by 1.4% to 2.95 billion in 2024, while smart home revenue grew by 47.9% to 750 million [2]. - The cloud platform revenue grew by 22.9% to 1.05 billion, with C-end revenue increasing by 19.5% and B-end revenue by 26.3% [3]. Financial Forecasts - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 620 million, 737 million, and 863 million respectively, with growth rates of 22.9%, 19%, and 17% [4][5]. - The projected PE ratios for 2025-2027 are 46, 38, and 33 times [4][5]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.35 per share, with a cash dividend rate of 54.7% [1].

Key Insights - The report highlights the evolving factors influencing the 10Y government bond yield in China, indicating a shift from CPI as a primary indicator to a more complex interplay of financial data, real estate prices, and external factors like the USD index [9][10][11] - The export growth of China showed a strong rebound in March, driven by the timing of the Spring Festival, but overall export growth for the first quarter has declined compared to the previous quarter, particularly in sectors like automobiles and electronics, indicating marginal adjustment pressures [4][12][13] - The financial data for March indicates a significant increase in social financing, primarily driven by government bonds and loans, suggesting a proactive fiscal stance, while corporate credit bonds saw a decrease, reflecting rising financing costs [5][14][22][23] Group 1: Bond Market Analysis - The report discusses the iterative exploration of factors affecting the 10Y government bond yield, emphasizing the need for a revised predictive model that incorporates new variables such as the USD index and adjusted financial data [9][10][11] - The analysis suggests that the bond market may experience volatility depending on future monetary policy decisions, particularly regarding interest rate cuts and the overall economic environment [5][14][17] Group 2: Trade and Export Insights - The report notes that the challenges facing China's exports are exacerbated by the cumulative 145% tariffs imposed by the US on many Chinese goods, which could lead to a negative growth rate in exports in the second quarter [4][12][13] - It is projected that if the trend of reduced exports to the US continues, it could significantly impact China's overall export growth, with potential declines in other regions also anticipated [4][12][13] Group 3: Financial Data Overview - The March financial data shows a robust increase in social financing, with a notable contribution from government bonds, indicating a shift towards fiscal stimulus [5][14][22] - The report highlights that corporate short-term loans are on the rise, while long-term loans are decreasing, reflecting a preference for immediate financing solutions amid economic uncertainties [22][23]

Group 1: YingShi Network - YingShi Network has made significant progress in smart home cameras, cloud services, and smart home integration, with smart home integration becoming a second growth curve and profitability gradually improving [1] - The company is increasing its investment in smart home cameras, launching screen cameras and interactive robots, while AI services are gradually being implemented [1] - Despite the downturn in the real estate market, the company's pre-installation business accounts for a low percentage, and its post-installation business is mainly unaffected by new home deliveries [1] Group 2: Lanqi Technology - Lanqi Technology will focus on the research and development of computing power chips for intelligent hardware bases over the next 5-10 years, emphasizing the importance of interconnect chips [2] - The demand for DDR5 memory interface chips is expected to increase significantly due to trends in the AI industry, with the second generation of MRDIMM likely becoming a preferred solution for high-performance computing and AI applications [2] - The company has a strong core business with high-margin products, timely customer payments, and effective cost and inventory management [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price based on the last closing price of 36.40 [1][8] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 54.42 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.04 billion yuan, down 10.52% [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.8 billion yuan, an increase of 11.59%, and a net profit of 1.38 billion yuan, up 10.42% [4][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.5 billion yuan to shareholders, with a payout ratio of 54.70% [4] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue from various segments was as follows: smart home cameras at 29.48 billion yuan (-1.38%), smart entry at 7.48 billion yuan (+47.87%), smart service robots at 1.66 billion yuan (+265.12%), and cloud platform services at 10.52 billion yuan (+22.87%) [5] - Domestic sales reached 34.87 billion yuan (+5.65%), while overseas sales were 19.12 billion yuan (+26.42%), indicating strong growth in international markets [5] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 42.55%, showing a slight decrease of 0.17 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 10.00%, down 0.13 percentage points [6] - The company’s expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs were 14.28%, 3.06%, 14.75%, and -1.64%, respectively, with management expenses showing continuous optimization [6] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 6.91 billion yuan, 8.73 billion yuan, and 10.95 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.88 yuan, 1.11 yuan, and 1.39 yuan [8][9] - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 17.60% for 2025, 17.20% for 2026, and 15.80% for 2027 [9][11] Industry Outlook - The report highlights the potential for growth in the smart home industry, driven by advancements in AI and privacy capabilities, which are expected to enhance the company's competitive edge [6][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price based on the last closing price of 36.40 [1][8] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 54.42 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 5.04 billion yuan, down 10.52% [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 13.8 billion yuan, an increase of 11.59%, and a net profit of 1.38 billion yuan, up 10.42% [4][6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 3.5 billion yuan to shareholders, with a payout ratio of 54.70% [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue from smart home cameras, smart entry, smart service robots, and cloud platform services were 29.48 billion yuan (-1.38%), 7.48 billion yuan (+47.87%), 1.66 billion yuan (+265.12%), and 10.52 billion yuan (+22.87%) respectively [5] - For Q1 2025, the gross margin was 42.55%, and the net margin was 10.00% [6][8] Product and Market Development - The smart entry business is rapidly growing and becoming a cash cow, while the smart service robots are showing impressive growth [5] - The IoT cloud platform's revenue is also growing at a double-digit rate, with a high-margin segment's contribution increasing to 19.33% [5] Future Projections - The company expects net profits of 6.91 billion yuan, 8.73 billion yuan, and 10.95 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.88 yuan, 1.11 yuan, and 1.39 yuan [8][9] - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 17.60% for 2025, 17.20% for 2026, and 15.80% for 2027 [9][11]

萤石网络(688475.SH)2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评 AI+云全面赋能，云 PaaS 模式付费率迎来新高 2025 年 04 月 14 日 ➢ 事件：2025 年 4 月 11 日，萤石网络发布 2024 年度报告及 2025 年一季度 报告，2024 年实现营业收入 54.42 亿元，同比增长 12.41%；归母净利润 5.04 亿元，同比下降 10.52%。2025 年一季度实现营业收入 13.80 亿元，同比增长 11.59%；归母净利润 1.38 亿元，同比增长 10.42%。 ➢ 打造 PaaS 物联网云平台服务模式，用户付费率持续提升。作为全球化物联 网云平台服务提供商，萤石云通过构建多数据中心+就近服务点的方式服务客户。 萤石云聚焦视觉技术，与 B 端开发者客户共创以 AI 音视频为核心的全栈开放的 PaaS 物联网云平台服务模式。2024 年，公司云平台服务实现收入 10.52 亿元， 同比增长 22.87%；月活跃用户数 6552.81 万名，同比增长 20.31%；以月活为 基准人均付费 16.06 元，同比增长 2.12%。其中，C 端增值服务收入 5.16 亿元， ...

公 司 报 告 2025年04月14日 萤石网络(688475.SH) 公司营收实现平稳增长，智能家居产品线持续完善 推荐 ( 维持) 股价:36.4元 行情走势图 证券分析师 事项： 计算机 公司公告2024年年报和2025年一季报。2024年，公司实现营业收入54.42亿 元，同比增长12.41%；实现归母净利润5.04亿元，同比下降10.52%。2025年 一季度，公司实现营业收入13.80亿元，同比增长11.59%；实现归母净利润 1.38亿元，同比增长10.42%。公司发布利润分配预案：拟向全体股东每股派 发现金红利0.35元（含税），派发现金红利275,625,000.00元（含税），占公 司2024年合并报表归属于上市公司股东净利润的54.70%。 平安观点： 公 司 年 报 点 评 研 究 报 告 HUANGWEIHAN235@pingan.com.cn 研究助理 | 王佳一 | 一般证券从业资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060123070023 | | | WANGJIAYI446@pingan.com.cn | | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | ...