Core Viewpoint - The real estate market is experiencing a decline in sales, with significant year-on-year decreases in sales amounts and areas sold for both TOP10 and TOP100 real estate companies in October 2025 compared to the previous year [4][5]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In October 2025, the TOP10 real estate companies reported total sales of 139.9 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 38.7%, but a month-on-month increase of 6.4% [4]. - For the period from January to October 2025, the total sales for TOP10 companies reached 1.35 trillion, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 15.6% [4]. - The TOP100 real estate companies had total sales of 276.6 billion in October 2025, down 40.6% year-on-year, but up 3.9% month-on-month [5]. - From January to October 2025, the total sales for TOP100 companies amounted to 2.77 trillion, showing a year-on-year decrease of 16.7% [5]. Group 2: Median Sales Data - The median year-on-year sales change for the TOP50 real estate companies from January to October 2025 was -15% [6]. - In October 2025, among the TOP50 companies, the average year-on-year sales change was -6.7%, with a median of -42.4% [6]. - Only 2 out of 20 major real estate companies reported positive year-on-year sales growth in October 2025, with Greenland Holdings showing a significant increase of 67% [6]. Group 3: Market Concentration - The sales concentration for TOP10, TOP20, TOP50, and TOP100 real estate companies was 13.8%, 18.4%, 24.4%, and 28.8% respectively, all showing a year-on-year decline [7].

从城市层面看，浙江省土地市场仍呈现"杭州单极引领"的格局，但跟1-9月相比，杭州土地成交金额小 幅度下滑，主要由于宁波、金华、绍兴、湖州等城市土地成交金额占比上升，对其形成一定稀释。 截至10月底，至今仍有5个城市土地成交金额未达到去年全年总额的一半，其中衢州土地出让金最低， 仅为去年全年的30%。 潮新闻客户端 记者 郑青青 2025年1-10月，浙江省全省共成交1079宗土地，其中涉宅地279宗（剔除纯租赁、纯安置、出让面积小 于1000㎡的涉宅地，下同），总建面1669.2万㎡，总出让金2073.9亿元，平均楼面价12425元/㎡，平均 溢价率21.6%。 房企投资格局整体稳定，浙江省涉宅地拿地金额TOP10的企业名单仅出现小幅变动：英冠从第13位跃升 至第9，金茂从第9下滑至第10。 值得注意的是，尽管滨江、绿城等头部房企自8月起便处于"静默"状态，未新增宅地；同时期TOP10阵 营的下位排名出现了微小变动。这反映出在整体审慎的市场氛围中，一面是龙头企业的审慎观望，另一 面是部分房企对结构性机遇的逆势布局，策略分化趋势由此凸显。 ...

Macro Analysis - The report indicates that the current macro environment in Japan is conducive to moderate economic growth, with manageable debt sustainability, improving consumer sentiment, and favorable manufacturing investment trends [1] - The report anticipates an upward potential for the yen by 2026, while the Japanese stock market's previous gains have largely reflected policy expectations, suggesting that future market momentum will depend on the effectiveness of policy implementation [1] Financial Engineering - The report predicts a year-on-year decline in profit for the coal, steel, and cement industries, while float glass profitability is expected to show positive growth [2] - A slight decrease in the breeding sow inventory is noted, with stable recovery potential for pork prices expected until Q1 of next year [2] - Weak PMI data and housing sales indicate a need to monitor the potential resumption of infrastructure support expectations [2] Real Estate - In October, the sales of the top 10 and top 100 real estate companies increased by 6% and 4% month-on-month, respectively, but year-to-date sales show a decline of 16% and 17% year-on-year [3] - The report recommends focusing on structurally strong companies with high product reputation and strong sales rankings in core cities, such as China Merchants Shekou and China Jinmao [3] - Long-term growth potential in property services is highlighted, with recommendations for companies like China Merchants Jiyu and Greentown Service [3] Petrochemical - OPEC+ announced a production increase of 137,000 barrels per day in December and a pause in production plans from January to March 2026, which is expected to support oil prices in the short term [4] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the long-term investment value of major oil companies amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [4] Company Research - Sanyou Chemical's profitability has declined due to falling soda ash prices, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [7] - Aokai Co. has seen a continuous improvement in performance, although profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downward due to weaker-than-expected downstream demand [8] - Qiaoyuan Co. has optimized its product structure and expanded its market, resulting in an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2026 [9] - Xiyes Co. reported a 17.81% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a 35.99% increase in net profit [10] - China Metallurgical Group's revenue and net profit have declined significantly, but new contracts have shown positive growth [11] - Times Electric's revenue grew by 14.9% year-on-year, with a stable growth outlook for its rail transit equipment business [12] - Oulutong's revenue reached a record high in Q3, driven by strong demand for high-power server power supplies [13] - Junshi Biosciences has adjusted its profit forecasts downward due to ongoing R&D investments and the gradual ramp-up of product sales [14] - Jinjiang Hotels reported a decline in revenue but an increase in net profit margin, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027 [15]

Summary of Real Estate Market Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the real estate market in China, particularly focusing on the performance of the top 100 real estate companies in October 2025, highlighting significant challenges and trends in the industry [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Sales Performance**: In October 2025, the total sales of the top 100 real estate companies amounted to 250 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 42%. Cumulatively, sales for the first ten months of the year reached 2.57 trillion yuan, down 16% year-on-year, indicating a significant contraction in the industry [3][4]. 2. **Market Conditions**: The overall real estate market remains sluggish, with key cities experiencing a drop in supply and transaction volumes. The supply in 30 key cities fell by 56% month-on-month, marking the lowest level since 2020, while transaction volumes decreased by 36% year-on-year [5][10]. 3. **New Home Market Pressure**: The new home market in core cities is under considerable pressure, with declining sales rates for high-end projects. For instance, in Shanghai, the sales of luxury projects have slowed significantly, with some projects resorting to discounts to stimulate sales [6][7]. 4. **Inventory and Depletion Rates**: The inventory in 30 key cities stands at 217 million square meters, with a slight month-on-month decrease of 1% and a year-on-year decrease of 7%. The depletion cycle for new homes in Shenzhen exceeds 20 months, indicating ongoing inventory pressure [11]. 5. **Land Market Trends**: The land transaction value in October dropped by 33% year-on-year, with the average premium rate falling to below 3%, the lowest in recent history. This reflects a pessimistic outlook from developers regarding future market conditions [13][14]. 6. **Investment Behavior**: Some companies, such as China Overseas and China Merchants, were active in land acquisition in the first half of the year but have since adopted a more cautious investment strategy, reflecting a shift in market sentiment [1][14]. 7. **Future Market Outlook**: The market is expected to remain weak through the end of the year, with a potential slight recovery in sales as developers push for year-end performance. However, the overall market is projected to continue its downward trend into the next year, with new home prices expected to decline by about 5% [15][16][17]. 8. **Policy Impact**: New policies from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development are anticipated to be implemented, which may challenge cash flow for companies and local governments reliant on land sales [18]. 9. **Risks for Developers**: Developers face significant risks, including the devaluation of existing assets and high-cost land acquisitions that may not yield profitable returns. This is particularly concerning in major cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen [19]. Additional Important Insights - The second-hand housing market is experiencing a notable price decline, with a significant increase in listings, particularly in core cities like Shenzhen, where listings rose by 30% year-on-year [12]. - The performance of second and third-tier cities varies, with some cities like Chengdu and Xi'an maintaining relatively good market conditions, while others face challenges with unsold new products [9]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the real estate market in China.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate sector, indicating optimism about future opportunities despite current challenges [4][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights a transition from the old development model in the real estate sector to new opportunities, particularly through the "Good House" policy, which is expected to create new products, pricing strategies, and business models [4][5]. - The report emphasizes that the real estate sector remains a crucial pillar of the national economy, and stabilizing the sector is essential for overall economic stability [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Revenue and Profit Trends - In Q1-Q3 2025, the overall revenue of the real estate sector decreased by 10.4% year-on-year, with a notable decline in first-tier cities at 15.4% [12][13]. - The net profit for the sector saw a significant drop of 125.1% year-on-year, with first-tier companies experiencing a 144.1% decline [13][16]. 2. Margins and Costs - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was reported at 14.9%, a slight increase from the previous year, with third-tier companies leading at 18.4% [18][19]. - The net margin was negative at -6.6%, although the decline was less severe compared to the previous year, with third-tier companies showing the best performance at -1.1% [22][23]. - The overall expense ratio increased to 11.7%, with first-tier companies maintaining the lowest ratio at 8.2% [26]. 3. Debt and Liquidity - The overall debt-to-asset ratio for the sector was 73.7%, slightly down from the previous year, with first-tier companies at 71.8% [37][38]. - The net debt ratio rose to 89.4%, indicating increased leverage across all tiers of companies [47]. - The cash-to-short-term debt ratio was reported at 0.9, reflecting a slight decline, with first-tier companies at 0.9 and second-tier at 0.6 [54]. 4. Sales and Pre-sales - Sales cash inflow for Q1-Q3 2025 decreased by 15.5% year-on-year, although the decline rate has narrowed [58]. - The pre-sales lock-in rate fell to 0.53, indicating a continued downward trend, with second-tier companies performing better at 0.73 [61]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on quality companies under the "Good House" initiative, including Jianfa International, Binjiang Group, and China Resources Land [4][5]. - It also suggests looking into undervalued commercial real estate firms such as Xincheng Holdings and China Merchants Shekou [4].

CCS3535 FSPH_NRH Non-registered holder's information (English Name and Address) 非登記持有人資料（英文姓名及地址） Request Form 申請表格 To: China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (the ''Company'') 致: 中國金茂控股集團有限公司（「本公司」） (Stock Code: 00817) (股票代號：00817) c/o Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited 經香港中央證券登記有限公司 17M Floor, Hopewell Centre 香港灣仔皇后大道東 183 號合和中心 17M 樓 Contact telephone number Signature(s) 聯絡電話號碼 簽名 Notes: 附註： PERSONAL INFORMATION COLLECTION STATEMENT 收集個人資料聲明 閣下有權根據《私隱條例》的條文查閱及╱或修改 閣下的個人資料。任何該等查閱及╱或修改個人資料的要求均須 ...

www.computershare.com/hk/contact Hong Kong 香港 CCS3534 FSPH Change Request Form 變更申請表格 To: China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (the ''Company'') 致: 中國金茂控股集團有限公司（「本公司」） (Stock Code: 00817) (股票代號：00817) c/o Computershare Hong Kong Investor Services Limited 經香港中央證券登記有限公司 17M Floor, Hopewell Centre 香港灣仔皇后大道東 183 號合和中心 17M 樓 183 Queen's Road East, Wanchai, Hong Kong Part A — I/We would like to receive printed version(s) of the Current Corporate Communication of the Company in the manner as indicated below: 甲 部 本人 ...

China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited 中 國 金 茂 控 股 集 團 有 限 公 司 (incorporated in Hong Kong with limited liability) （於香港註冊成立的有限公司） (Stock Code 股票代號 : 00817) NOTIFICATION LETTER 通知信函 Dear non-registered holder(1) , Company Secretary 各位非登記持有人(1)： 中國金茂控股集團有限公司（「本公司」）— 股東特別大會通函及通告（「本次公司通訊文件」）之發佈通知 4 November 2025 China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (the ''Company'') — Publication of Circular and Notice of Extraordinary General Meeting (the ''Current Corporate Communication'') The Extraordinary General Meeting of the ...

China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited 中 國 金 茂 控 股 集 團 有 限 公 司 (incorporated in Hong Kong with limited liability) （於香港註冊成立的有限公司） (Stock Code 股票代號 : 00817) NOTIFICATION LETTER 通知信函 Dear Shareholder, 4 November 2025 China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited (the "Company") — Publication of Circular and Notice of Extraordinary General Meeting and Form of Proxy (the "Current Corporate Communication") The Extraordinary General Meeting of the Company will be held at Salon III-IV, Mezzanine Floor, Grand Hyatt Hong Kong, 1 ...

China Jinmao Holdings Group Limited 中國金茂控股集團有限公司 （於香港註冊成立的有限公司） （股票代號：00817） 股東特別大會適用的代表委任表格 本代表委任表格供股東於2025年11月19日（星期三）上午9時30分假座香港灣仔港灣道1號香港君悅酒店閣樓君悅廳III-IV舉行的股東特別大會（「大 會」）使用。本人╱吾等 （附註1） 地址為 為中國金茂控股集團有限公司（「本公司」）股份共 股 的登記持有人，茲委任大會主席 （附註3） 或 地址為 請於適當方格內以「3」號指示 閣下於表決時投票的意向。 | | 普通決議案 | 贊成 （附註4） | 反對 （附註4） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. | 「動議： | | | | | (a) 批准、確認及追認中化金融服務框架協議補充協議二（定義及詳情見日期為2025年11月4日致本公司 | | | | | 股東的通函（「通函」），註有「A」字樣並由股東特別大會主席簽署以資識別的副本已呈交股東特別大 | | | | | 會）； | | | | | (b) 批准、確認及追認中化財務（定義見通函）根據中 ...