推荐（维持） 上海宽松限购，越秀摘得广州马场核心地块 证 券 研 究 报 告 房地产行业周报（2026 年第 9 周） 行业研究 房地产 2026 年 03 月 03 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：单戈 邮箱：shange@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360522110001 证券分析师：许常捷 邮箱：xuchangjie@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525030002 证券分析师：杨航 邮箱：yanghang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525090001 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 107 | 0.01 | | 总市值(亿元) | 12,434.37 | 0.96 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 11,914.93 | 1.13 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 1.3% | 0.0% | 5.4% | | 相对表现 | -1.3% | -5.3% | -16.1% | -13% -1% 11% 23% 2 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 | 截至月份: | 2026年2月28日 | 狀態: 新提交 | | --- | --- | --- | | 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 | | | | 公司名稱: | 希慎興業有限公司 | | | 呈交日期: | 2026年3月2日 | | | I. 法定/註冊股本變動 不適用 | | | FF301 第 1 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.2.0 FF301 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動及足夠公眾持股量的確認 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00014 | 說明 | 不適用 | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,027,008,223 | | 0 | | 1,027,008,223 | | 增加 / 減少 ...

自2025年次季以来，集团商场的人流及商户销售额均录得超过10%的增长，势头亦延续至今年首两个 月。基于奢侈品牌旗舰店已全面重开，以及利园8期预计于今年第三季落成，该行预期希慎的商户销售 额在未来数年将持续跑赢大市，并于2027年增加派息。 里昂发布研报称，希慎置业(00014)2025年基本溢利同比上升28.3%，主要受惠于资本循环策略，而租金 收入同比增长1.6%。将希慎的目标价由21.4港元上调至25港元；重申"跑赢大市"评级，续列其为首选股 之一，并将其今明两年的盈利预测各上调16.5%及12.3% ...

智通财经APP获悉，里昂发布研报称，希慎置业(00014)2025年基本溢利同比上升28.3%，主要受惠于资 本循环策略，而租金收入同比增长1.6%。将希慎的目标价由21.4港元上调至25港元；重申"跑赢大市"评 级，续列其为首选股之一，并将其今明两年的盈利预测各上调16.5%及12.3% 自2025年次季以来，集团商场的人流及商户销售额均录得超过10%的增长，势头亦延续至今年首两个 月。基于奢侈品牌旗舰店已全面重开，以及利园8期预计于今年第三季落成，该行预期希慎的商户销售 额在未来数年将持续跑赢大市，并于2027年增加派息。 ...

免责声明：本文内容与数据由观点根据公开信息整理，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。 来源：观点地产网 观点网讯：2月27日，花旗发布研报上调希慎兴业目标价，由17.35港元提升至24.3港元，同时维持"买 入"评级。 研报显示，受融资成本上升影响，希慎兴业2025财年全年基础利润下跌2%，扣除永续资本证券后利润 下跌9%，资产负债比率为32.4%。 花旗认为，利园八期预计将在2026-2027年为客流量带来20%以上的增长潜力，有望推动商户销售增 长，支撑2026年续租租金收入增长2%的预期。此外，办公大楼租占率回升也为后续新供应提供灵活 度。 ...

花旗发表研报指，受融资成本上升影响，希慎兴业2025财年全年基础利润下跌2%，扣除永续资本证券 (PCS)后，利润下跌9%，主要是7.5亿美元PCS再融资率为7.2%。资产负债比率为32.4%，资本循环利用 的部分成效被资本支出部分所抵销。该行指，利园八期预计将在2026-2027年为客流量带来20%以上的 增长潜力，该行认为它有望巩固市场份额，从而推动旗下商户销售增长，这支持了对2026年续租租金收 入增长2%的预期。办公大楼租占率回升部分缓解续租租金下降，并为2026年第三季起新供应提供一定 的灵活度。该行指，将其目标价由17.35港元上调至24.3港元，维持"买入"评级。 ...

美银发表研报指，希慎兴业去年租金收入符合预期，重申"买入"评级。计入竹林苑项目更新后的交付时 间表及较低的资本化利率后，将2026至2027年每股盈利预测分别上调2%及下调9%，目标价微降1%至 24.6港元。该行认为，公司股价于公布业绩后下跌7%为过度反应。该行不认为流动性为主要忧虑，因 公司维持143亿港元的可用流动资金，足以应付即将到期的债务。 ...

Market Performance - On February 26, the Hang Seng Index closed down 384 points (1.4%) at 26,381 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index falling 151 points (2.9%) to 5,109 points[1] - Total market turnover increased to HKD 259.3 billion from HKD 236.8 billion the previous day[1] - Net outflow of southbound funds was HKD 7.37 billion[1] Sector Highlights - The internet sector led declines, with Alibaba (9988 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), JD.com (9618 HK), and Tencent (700 HK) dropping 2%-4%[1] - The electrical equipment sector saw gains, with Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) rising 15.5%, and Harbin Electric (1133 HK) and Shanghai Electric (2727 HK) increasing by 3%-7%[1] - Hong Kong property stock Hysan Development (14 HK) fell 6.9% after reporting a 1.6% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 1.9% decrease in recurring profit[1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK) reported a 15% year-on-year increase in Q4 net profit, exceeding market expectations, with a full-year net profit growth of 36%[1] U.S. Market Overview - Concerns over excessive AI capital expenditure led to significant declines in tech stocks, with Nvidia (NVDA US) closing down 5.5% despite better-than-expected earnings and outlook[2] - The Dow Jones Index rose 17 points (0.03%) to 49,000, while the Nasdaq Index fell 273 points (1.2%) to 28,878, and the S&P 500 Index dropped 37 points to 6,908[2] Macro Dynamics - During the Spring Festival, major retail enterprises in China reported a 24% year-on-year increase in daily retail sales, indicating sustained consumer potential[3] - Gold and jewelry sales saw a significant increase, with daily retail sales rising 33.4% year-on-year during the same period[3] Industry Insights - The restaurant sector saw a low double-digit same-store sales growth for Guoquan (2517 HK) during the Spring Festival, with expected net profit growth of 84%-92% year-on-year[4] - Macau's gaming sector underperformed, with average daily revenue during the Spring Festival falling below market expectations, leading to declines in stocks like Sands China (1928 HK) and MGM (2282 HK) by 1.2%-1.7%[4] - The healthcare sector faced a 4.5% decline in the Hang Seng Healthcare Index, with concerns over price competition following Novo Nordisk's announcement to reduce wholesale prices of its products in the U.S.[4]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.44% to close at 26,381.02 points, and a total trading volume of 259.27 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index dropped by 2.44%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 2.87% [1] Blue-Chip Performance - Cheung Kong Holdings (00001) saw a notable increase of 4.52%, closing at 64.8 HKD, contributing 12.09 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - The sale of UK Power Networks by Cheung Kong's subsidiaries was valued at over 110 billion HKD, with each company selling their respective stakes [5] - Other blue-chip stocks like Cheung Kong Infrastructure (01038) and Power Assets Holdings (00006) also reported gains, while New Oriental (09901) and Innovent Biologics (01801) faced declines [2] Sector Highlights - Large technology stocks faced pressure, with Alibaba down 3.57% and Tencent down 2.01% [3] - Power equipment stocks performed strongly, with Dongfang Electric (01072) rising by 15.52% and Harbin Electric (01133) increasing by 7.15% [3] - The AI computing sector saw significant gains, with Tensent Intelligence (09903) up 20.27% following strong earnings from Nvidia [4] Lithium Sector - Lithium stocks experienced volatility, with major players like Contemporary Amperex Technology (03750) and Ganfeng Lithium (01772) showing mixed results due to Zimbabwe's export ban on lithium [6] - The ban is expected to tighten lithium supply, potentially driving prices up significantly [6] Notable Stock Movements - MINIMAX (00100) showed strong performance, rising 4.64% amid positive analyst reports [7] - Conch Cement (00914) fell by 6.97% following a significant share sale by a subsidiary [8] - Hysan Development (00014) dropped 6.88% after releasing its annual results, which showed a slight increase in revenue but a decrease in recurring profit [9] - Yancoal Australia (03668) faced pressure post-earnings, with a 5.63% decline in share price due to a significant drop in revenue and profit [10]

希慎兴业(0014.HK)午后跳水一度跌8%，报21.12港元；最终收跌6.88%，报21.38港元；全天成交额放大至1.46亿港元。消息面上，公司午间公布业绩显 示，2025年取得营业额34.64亿港元，同比增加1.6%；经常性基本溢利19.18亿港元，同比减少1.9%；基本溢利25.1亿港元，同比增加28.3%；每股基本盈利 31港仙。维持第二次中期股息每股81港仙。全年总派息每股108港仙，按年持平。 ...