太平洋证券股份有限公司郭梦婕,林叙希近期对迎驾贡酒（603198）进行研究并发布了研究报告《迎驾贡 酒：二季度业绩继续承压，静待行业复苏》，下调迎驾贡酒目标价至52.02元，给予增持评级。 风险提示:食品安全风险、渠道开拓不及预期、行业竞争加剧风险。 最新盈利预测明细如下： | 报告日期 | 机构简称 | 研究员 | 近三年业绩 | 研报数 | 覆盖时长 | 2025预测 | 2026预测 | 2027预测 | 目标价 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 预测准确度 | | | 净利润(元) | 净利润(元) | 净利润(元) | (70) | | 2025-08-26 | 东吴证券 | 亦饿 | r | -- | 1 | 21.67 Z | 23.49 Z | 27.07亿 | 75 | | 2025-08-26 | 招商证券 | 陈书慧 | -- | -- | - | 22.26 Z | 24.56 Z | 26.80 Z | -- | | 2025-08-26 | 中等公司 | 壬文丹 | -- ...

瑞银将2026年3月底的黄金目标价从3500美元/盎司上调至3600美元/盎司，将2026年6月底目标价从3500美元/盎司上调至3700美元/盎司，给出2026年9月底目标价3700美元/盎司。None (@None):None ...

Group 1: Stock Performance - Xiaomi Group-W (1810.HK) experienced a significant drop, with the stock price falling over 5% during trading on August 7, reaching a two-month low [1] - The stock closed down 4.35% at HKD 51.65 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - Daiwa reported a slight downward revision in Xiaomi's smartphone shipment forecast for Q2 2025, primarily due to a 25% year-on-year decline in the Indian market [4] - Canalys data indicated a 1% year-on-year decline in global smartphone shipments for Q2 2025, marking the first drop in six consecutive quarters [4] - Despite a historical high global market share of 15% in Q2 2025, Xiaomi's gross margin decreased [4] Group 3: Financial Projections - Daiwa forecasts Xiaomi's total revenue for Q2 2025 to be RMB 112.6 billion, slightly below market expectations, with adjusted net profit at RMB 10.2 billion, in line with market expectations [4] - Due to the downward revision of smartphone gross margin forecasts, Daiwa lowered Xiaomi's earnings per share estimates for 2025 to 2027 by 2% to 7%, and reduced the target price from HKD 78 to HKD 72 [5] Group 4: Electric Vehicle Business - Xiaomi's electric vehicle deliveries are expected to reach 82,000 units in Q2 2025, with an average selling price of RMB 242,000 and an improved gross margin of 25% [4] - The company’s electric vehicle business is narrowing losses, with the second phase of the factory expected to commence production by the end of September [4][6] - Guosen Securities anticipates Xiaomi's vehicle sales to reach 400,000 to 500,000 units in 2025, and potentially exceed 800,000 units in 2026 [6] Group 5: Analyst Ratings - Nomura raised Xiaomi's target price by 79% to HKD 61 based on SOTP valuation but downgraded the rating from "Buy" to "Neutral" due to limited upside potential [6] - Analysts expect Xiaomi to face challenges in the upcoming quarters, including lower-than-expected smartphone shipments and high market expectations for the electric vehicle business [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for WEB Travel Group (WEB.AX) with a 12-month target price of A$7.10, representing a potential upside of 35% from the current price of A$5.26 [1][3]. Core Insights - WEB's total transaction value (TTV) reached A$4.9 billion for FY25, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22%. Revenue increased by 1% year-on-year, with EBITDA reported at A$121 million [1][2]. - Management provided guidance for FY26 EBITDA margin between 44% and 47%, down from a previous estimate of 48%, due to investments in hotel contracting teams in the Asia-Pacific and Americas regions. Despite this, confidence in a 6.5% revenue/TTV margin for the medium term remains [3][12]. - The report highlights a strong performance in the first eight weeks of FY26, with TTV and order volume growing by 28% and 29% respectively, driven by a 36% increase in the Americas [1][2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY25, FY26, FY27, and FY28 are A$328.4 million, A$386.0 million, A$450.3 million, and A$507.2 million respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.6% expected [4][11]. - EBITDA estimates for the same periods are A$120.6 million, A$153.6 million, A$191.2 million, and A$217.5 million, indicating a growth trajectory [4][11]. - The report anticipates a diluted EPS of A$0.20 for FY25, increasing to A$0.44 by FY28, reflecting a strong growth outlook [4][11]. Valuation Methodology - The valuation approach remains unchanged, utilizing an EV/EBITDA multiple adjusted to FY27 EBITDA, with a revised multiple of 12x based on comparable companies [12][15]. - The target price of A$7.10 is derived from a combination of fundamental valuation (85%) and theoretical M&A valuation (15%) [15][12].

Group 1 - Nine brokerages have provided investment ratings and target prices for Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) [1]