商贸零售 2026 年 03 月 01 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2025-03 2025-07 2025-11 商贸零售 沪深300 相关研究报告 《马年春节消费稳健恢复，老铺黄金 宣 布 2 月 底 调 价 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.2.23 投资主线一（黄金珠宝）：关注具备差异化产品力和消费者洞察力的黄金珠宝品 牌，重点推荐潮宏基、老铺黄金、周大福等，受益标的周生生等； 投资主线二（线下零售）：关注顺应趋势变革探索的线下零售企业和 AI 赋能跨 境电商龙头，重点推荐永辉超市、爱婴室、吉宏股份、赛维时代等； 投资主线三（化妆品）：关注满足情绪价值和安全成分创新的国货品牌，重点推 荐毛戈平、珀莱雅、上美股份、巨子生物、润本股份，受益标的林清轩等； 投资主线四（医美）：关注差异化医美产品厂商和持续并购扩张的连锁医美机构， 重点推荐美丽田园医疗健康、爱美客、科笛-B、朗姿股份等。 《美团拟收购叮咚买菜，打造即时零 售供应链优势—行业周报》-2026.2.8 《功效护肤品牌 HBN 母公司护家科 技递表港交所—行业周报》-2 ...

Group 1: Real Estate and Construction - The real estate market continues to show signs of bottoming out, with a weak performance in new home sales during the Spring Festival period, reflecting poor supply and demand dynamics [3][9][12] - The land market has seen a significant decline in both supply and demand, with total land area launched in January 2026 down 16% year-on-year, and total land transaction value down 39% [11][12] - Policy measures such as the reduction of the value-added tax on second-hand housing and the lowering of minimum down payments for commercial properties indicate a generally accommodative policy environment [3][12] Group 2: Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The pig price is under pressure post-holiday due to the end of stocking and limited weight reduction, with the average price of pigs at 11.66 yuan/kg as of February 13, 2026, down 0.40 yuan/kg week-on-week [4][13] - The supply side shows a slight decrease in the average weight of pigs being marketed, indicating ongoing pressure from large pigs and structural pricing risks [13][14] - The overall market sentiment remains weak, with expectations of a seasonal decline in demand in the weeks following the holiday [14] Group 3: Retail and Consumer Services - The retail sector is experiencing a steady recovery in consumption, with payment transactions on the eve of the Spring Festival increasing by 21.64% compared to the previous year [5][19] - Key retail and catering enterprises reported an average daily sales increase of 8.6% during the first four days of the holiday compared to the same period in 2025 [19][25] - Investment recommendations focus on high-quality companies in the consumer sector, particularly those in gold and jewelry, offline retail, cosmetics, and medical aesthetics [26] Group 4: Pharmaceuticals - The company has entered into an exclusive licensing agreement with GSK for two siRNA pipeline products, with potential total transaction value reaching up to $1 billion [6][28] - Revenue forecasts for the company are maintained at 143 million, 169 million, and 201 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a downward adjustment in net profit estimates [6][28] - The collaboration with GSK highlights the company's growing recognition in the small nucleic acid drug development field, paving the way for future global partnerships [28][29]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a steady recovery in consumer spending during the Spring Festival, with significant increases in payment transactions and retail sales compared to the previous year [4][26] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-quality companies in high-growth sectors driven by emotional consumption themes [7][35] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The Spring Festival saw a robust recovery in social consumption, with payment transactions on New Year's Eve reaching 4.931 billion, a 21.64% increase from the previous year [4][26] - Key regions like Hainan and cities such as Tianjin and Zhenjiang showed strong performance in retail and dining, with Hainan's duty-free shopping amounting to 1.03 billion yuan, up 20.9% year-on-year [4][27] - Domestic travel orders surged by 60%, and outbound travel orders increased by over 180% during the holiday period [4][26] Investment Recommendations - Investment Theme 1: Focus on high-end gold and fashion jewelry brands, recommending companies like Laopai Gold and Chaohongji for their differentiated product offerings [7][35] - Investment Theme 2: Emphasize retail companies adapting to trends and AI-enabled cross-border e-commerce leaders, with recommendations for Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [7][35] - Investment Theme 3: Highlight domestic beauty brands that cater to emotional value and innovative safe ingredients, recommending brands like Maogeping and Proya [7][35] - Investment Theme 4: Focus on differentiated medical beauty product manufacturers and leading medical beauty institutions, recommending companies like Meilitiantian Medical Health and Aimeike [7][35] Market Performance - The retail and social service indices reported declines of 1.59% and 0.78% respectively during the week from February 9 to February 13, 2026 [6][15] - The report notes that the education sector saw the highest growth among sub-sectors, while the watch and jewelry sector led the year-to-date performance with an 11.29% increase [6][18] Company Highlights - Laopai Gold reported a significant revenue increase of 250.9% in the first half of FY2025, driven by strong consumer demand and brand expansion [37] - Chaohongji is expected to achieve a net profit growth of 125% to 175% in FY2025, supported by its differentiated product strategy [37] - Maogeping and Proya are highlighted for their strong performance in the beauty sector, with Maogeping achieving a revenue increase of 31.3% in FY2025 [37]

机构观点 根据机构整合数据（截至2026年2月11日），爱婴室机构综合目标价为21.59元，较当前股价潜在上涨空 间17.34%。机构预测2025年净利润同比增长25.93%，2026年增长18.41%，反映市场对业绩稳健增长的 预期。 2026年2月10日，国家卫健委发布《关于实施2026年卫生健康系统为民服务实事项目的通知》，明确新 增1000家基层医疗机构提供儿科服务，并优化生育支持政策，包括提升托育供给和生育津贴发放。该政 策可能对母婴零售行业产生长期积极影响，但需关注具体落地效果。 经济观察网 截至2026年2月10日收盘，爱婴室（603214）（603214）股价报收18.68元，当日微跌 0.05%，成交额8536.87万元，换手率3.29%。近5日（2月5日至10日）股价区间涨幅2.30%，最高价18.86 元，最低价18.20元。资金流向显示，2月10日主力资金净流出386.73万元，散户资金净流入886.27万 元，反映短期资金分歧。 近期事件 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights Meituan's acquisition of Dingdong Maicai for approximately $717 million, aiming to enhance its instant retail supply chain efficiency. Dingdong Maicai has achieved profitability for 12 consecutive quarters and operates over 1,000 front warehouses in China, with a monthly purchasing user base exceeding 7 million [4][24][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of supply chain efficiency and product quality in the competitive landscape of the instant retail industry, suggesting that the focus will shift towards these aspects post-acquisition [27] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Meituan's acquisition of Dingdong Maicai is expected to create synergies in supply chain, regional layout, and warehouse scale, enhancing operational efficiency in the East China region [24][27] - Dingdong Maicai's established direct sourcing and self-operated production capabilities are anticipated to be preserved and amplified within Meituan's platform [27] Investment Themes - Investment Theme 1: Focus on high-end and fashionable gold jewelry brands, recommending companies like Laopuhuangjin and Chaohongji, which are expected to benefit from the emotional consumption trend [6][29] - Investment Theme 2: Emphasize retail companies adapting to trends and AI-enabled cross-border e-commerce leaders, with recommendations for Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [6][29] - Investment Theme 3: Highlight domestic beauty brands that cater to emotional value and innovative safe ingredients, recommending brands like Maogeping and Pola [6][29] - Investment Theme 4: Focus on differentiated medical beauty product manufacturers and leading chain medical beauty institutions, recommending Meilitiantian Medical Health and Aimeike [6][29] Market Performance - The retail and social service indices reported a slight decline of 0.34% and a slight increase of 0.02% respectively during the week of February 2 to February 6, 2026 [14][15] - The brand cosmetics sector showed the highest weekly increase of 4.99%, while the watch and jewelry sector led with a year-to-date increase of 16.56% [16][19] Company Highlights - Laopuhuangjin reported a significant revenue increase of 250.9% in FY2025H1, driven by brand expansion and customer base growth [31][32] - Chaohongji is expected to achieve a net profit growth of 125% to 175% in 2025, supported by differentiated product strength and multi-channel marketing [31][32] - Meilitiantian Medical Health anticipates a net profit increase of at least 34% in 2025, driven by both internal growth and acquisitions [39][40]

商贸零售 行 业 研 究 2026 年 02 月 08 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 商贸零售 沪深300 相关研究报告 《功效护肤品牌 HBN 母公司护家科 技递表港交所—行业周报》-2026.2.1 《老铺黄金 SKP 活动开启，关注春节 销售超预期催化 — 行 业 周 报 》 -2026.1.25 《2025 年社零同比+3.7%，海南封关 首 月 表 现 亮 眼 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2026.1.19 行业关键词：霸王茶姬、琳朝珠宝、阿嬷手作、壹网壹创、千问等 【霸王茶姬】霸王茶姬开设首家泰国旗舰店。 【琳朝珠宝】琳朝珠宝全国第二家门店落子南京德基广场。 【阿嬷手作】阿嬷手作跨界试水餐饮，推出高端广西风味螺蛳粉。 【壹网壹创】壹网壹创拟并购 AI 营销公司。 【千问】千问 APP 上线 AI 请奶茶活动引爆流量。 板块行情回顾 本周（2 月 2 日-2 月 6 日），商贸零售和社会服务指数分别报收 2426.99 点/9285.47 点，分别下跌 0.34%/上涨 ...

Market Overview - On February 4, the professional chain sector increased by 0.3% compared to the previous trading day, with Ai Ying Shi leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] Stock Performance - Ai Ying Shi (603214) closed at 18.26, with a rise of 1.78% and a trading volume of 78,500 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 144 million yuan [1] - Yuan Shi De (002416) closed at 12.96, up 0.78%, with a trading volume of 157,800 shares and a transaction value of 203 million yuan [1] - Hai Zi Wang (301078) closed at 10.96, up 0.46%, with a trading volume of 398,800 shares [1] - Tian Yin Holdings (000829) closed at 10.35, up 0.10%, with a trading volume of 147,300 shares and a transaction value of 152 million yuan [1] - Bo Shi Eye Glasses (300622) closed at 30.10, down 0.10%, with a trading volume of 54,400 shares and a transaction value of 163 million yuan [1] - Hua Zhi Jiu Hang (300755) closed at 17.58, down 0.40%, with a trading volume of 188,900 shares [1] - Ji Feng Technology (300022) closed at 8.11, down 0.73%, with a trading volume of 131,200 shares [1] Capital Flow - The professional chain sector saw a net inflow of 23.47 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 39.90 million yuan [1] - The capital flow for individual stocks shows that Hai Zi Wang had a net outflow of 26.31 million yuan from institutional investors, while Ai Ying Shi had a net inflow of 15.01 million yuan [2] - Yuan Shi De had a net inflow of 11.15 million yuan from institutional investors, while Bo Shi Eye Glasses experienced a net outflow of 16.16 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The professional chain sector increased by 1.65% on February 3, with Tianyin Holdings leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Key stocks in the professional chain sector showed various performance metrics, with Tianyin Holdings closing at 10.34, up 2.07% [1] Group 2 - The net outflow of main funds in the professional chain sector was 15.20 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 31.09 million yuan [1] - Individual stock fund flows indicated that Jifeng Technology had a main fund net inflow of 5.19 million yuan, while retail investors had a net inflow of 2.57 million yuan [2] - Tianyin Holdings experienced a main fund net outflow of 5.02 million yuan, but retail investors had a significant net inflow of 14.99 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Aiyingshi (603214) reported a total of 22,389 shareholders as of January 30, 2026 [1]

Market Overview - On February 2, the professional chain sector declined by 0.72% compared to the previous trading day, with Tianyin Holdings leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13824.35, down 2.69% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Huazhi Wine Industry (300755) closed at 17.32, up 2.85% with a trading volume of 218,400 shares and a transaction value of 381 million [1] - Kids King (301078) closed at 10.80, up 0.84% with a trading volume of 462,200 shares and a transaction value of 504 million [1] - Aizhi Room (603214) closed at 17.76, up 0.06% with a trading volume of 58,900 shares and a transaction value of 10.6 million [1] - Doctor Glasses (300622) closed at 29.65, down 1.30% with a trading volume of 76,700 shares and a transaction value of 231 million [1] - Aishide (002416) closed at 12.61, down 1.48% with a trading volume of 226,400 shares and a transaction value of 289 million [1] - Jifeng Technology (300022) closed at 8.06, down 2.77% with a trading volume of 111,800 shares and a transaction value of 90.7 million [1] - Tianyin Holdings (000829) closed at 10.13, down 3.06% with a trading volume of 212,200 shares and a transaction value of 219 million [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The professional chain sector experienced a net outflow of 3.58 million from main funds, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 15.05 million [1] - Individual stock capital flows showed varied trends, with Kids King (301078) having a main fund net inflow of 33.33 million, while Tianyin Holdings (000829) faced a net outflow of 19.86 million from main funds [2] - Doctor Glasses (300622) had a significant net outflow of 12.21 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 6.26 million [2]