Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a significant increase in non-recurring net profit by 29% in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by rising metal prices and improved resource recovery capacity [7] - The company's operating revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 10.16 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 11.28%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 646 million, a year-on-year increase of 15.18% [7] - The report emphasizes the value of recycled resources amid rising metal prices, with the company expanding its resource recovery operations to include a wider range of metals [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, total revenue is projected at 10.58 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 20.58% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A is estimated at 504.64 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 27.13% [1] - The latest diluted EPS for 2023A is 0.33 yuan per share, with a P/E ratio of 23.09 [1] Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 803.26 million, 909.25 million, and 1.05134 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14.51, 12.82, and 11.08 [1][7] - The report anticipates a steady increase in operating cash flow, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 367 million in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 67.29% [7] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 8.02 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 12.22 billion [5] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.28 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 61.57% [6]

Core Insights - A new company named Kaiyuan Runhe Recycling Center has been established, focusing on the recycling of scrap vehicles and electric vehicles [1] Company Overview - The company is a sole proprietorship with a registered capital of 1 million RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Wang Lei [1] Business Scope - The company is authorized to engage in the following licensed activities: - Scrap motor vehicle recycling - Dismantling of scrap electric vehicles - Dismantling of scrap motor vehicles [1] - General business activities include: - Recycling of renewable resources (excluding production waste metals) - Sales of renewable resources - Recycling of production waste metals - Sales of construction materials - Landscaping engineering construction - Recycling of scrap agricultural machinery - Wholesale and retail of motorcycles and their parts - Dismantling of scrap agricultural machinery - Manufacturing of safety and fire metal products [1]

Core Insights - Guangdong Angzhu New Materials Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 10 million RMB and is represented by Lin Yuancai [1] Company Overview - The company focuses on various sectors including emerging energy technology research and development, non-ferrous metal processing, and recycling of used metals and resources [1] - It is involved in the manufacturing and sales of batteries and their components, as well as the recovery and secondary utilization of used power batteries from new energy vehicles [1] Business Scope - The business scope includes general projects such as non-ferrous metal casting, alloy sales, metal cutting services, and the production of synthetic materials [1] - The company also engages in technology services, development, consulting, and import-export activities related to its operations [1]

Group 1 - A new company named Baoding Jiaxiang Recycling Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 1 million RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Zhang Qian [1] - The company's business scope includes general projects such as recycling of renewable resources (excluding production waste metals), recycling of production waste metals, sales of renewable resources, processing of renewable resources, and sales of metal products [1] Group 2 - The company is involved in the sales of non-ferrous metal alloys, metal ores, and high-performance non-ferrous metals and alloy materials [1] - The company is permitted to conduct business activities independently according to its business license, excluding projects that require approval [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes Tianfulong's commitment to transforming the polyester fiber industry by enhancing the green circularity, differentiation, high performance, and functionality of fiber materials in the context of global green low-carbon initiatives and the rapid development of the recycling industry [2] - Tianfulong's long-term strategic plan is defined as "one core, three highs, and three transformations," focusing on differentiated polyester staple fiber as the core business while aiming for high-quality development, enhanced corporate value, and efficient growth in operations [2] - The company plans to maintain a prudent operational philosophy, manage funding needs appropriately, and adopt financing methods that match its development stages to control debt levels and ensure financial health, thereby creating long-term stable returns for shareholders [2] Group 2 - As the lead underwriter and sponsor for Tianfulong's IPO, the underwriting institution has witnessed the company's impressive achievements and recognizes the management's dedication, professional capabilities, innovative spirit, and strategic vision [3] - The underwriting institution expresses confidence that Tianfulong's listing will bring new development opportunities for the company, investment opportunities for investors, and vitality to the capital market [3] - The institution commits to fulfilling its sponsorship responsibilities and continuous supervision duties, supporting Tianfulong's growth and ensuring satisfactory returns for investors [4]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of casting aluminum alloy futures and options on the Shanghai Futures Exchange marks the first futures product for recycled metals in China, filling a gap in the domestic recycled metal derivatives market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Development - The trading of casting aluminum alloy futures was active on its first day, driven by the robust development of the spot market and increasing demand for price risk management [1]. - In 2024, China's production of casting aluminum alloy is expected to exceed 10 million tons, reflecting the industry's growth and the rising need for risk management tools [1][4]. Group 2: Pricing and Influence - The introduction of aluminum alloy futures is anticipated to enhance China's pricing power in the global market, as it will work in conjunction with existing aluminum and alumina futures [2][3]. - The listing is seen as a significant step towards improving the international influence of China's aluminum industry and establishing a comprehensive risk management system [2][4]. Group 3: Risk Management Tools - The new futures and options will provide more precise risk management tools for enterprises, allowing them to implement composite hedging strategies that include both electrolytic and recycled aluminum [3][6]. - Companies can now better manage price fluctuations and operational risks, with the potential to adjust production based on market conditions [3][6]. Group 4: Circular Economy and Resource Utilization - The launch of casting aluminum alloy futures is expected to promote the development of the circular economy, as it encourages resource recycling and utilization [4][5]. - The recycled non-ferrous metal industry is crucial for ensuring resource security and facilitating a green, low-carbon transition, with recycled aluminum production already surpassing 10 million tons [4][5]. Group 5: Demand and Supply Dynamics - The growth of the new energy industry is creating a "metal hunger," with significant demand for metals like copper and aluminum, while the supply from primary mining is lagging [5]. - The recycling rate of waste metals remains low, and the industry faces challenges such as low profitability and inadequate systems, which the new futures market could help address [5][6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The issuance of the "Ecological Environment Protection Supervision Work Regulations" by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council aims to comprehensively promote the construction of a beautiful China [8] - The solid waste sector is expected to see improved cash flow and increased dividends due to reduced capital expenditures and enhanced operational efficiency [9][12] - The water service sector is experiencing stable growth and high dividends, with water price reforms expected to reshape growth and valuation [12][14] Summary by Sections Solid Waste Management - Capital expenditures are decreasing, leading to significant improvements in free cash flow and increased dividends [9] - Key companies such as Junxin Co. are projected to distribute cash dividends of 507 million yuan in 2024, a 37% increase year-on-year, with a dividend yield of 4.4% [9] - The industry is entering a mature phase, with operational efficiency being enhanced through cost reduction and collaborations in heating and IDC [9][10] Water Services - The water service sector's revenue is projected at 65.5 billion yuan in 2024, with a net profit of 11.2 billion yuan, reflecting a 27% increase [12] - Water price reforms in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen are expected to drive a new round of price adjustments, enhancing profitability and stability [13][14] - Companies such as Yuehai Investment are highlighted for their ability to frequently adjust prices, with an expected dividend yield of 6.9% in 2025 [14] Environmental Equipment - The penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 6.14 percentage points to 14.55% in the first four months of 2025, with sales of new energy sanitation vehicles rising by 73% [29] - The total sales of sanitation vehicles reached 24,542 units, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.2% [29] Biofuels - The prices of biodiesel and waste cooking oil have decreased, leading to negative profit margins [37][38] - The average price of biodiesel was 7,700 yuan per ton, down 5.5% week-on-week, while waste cooking oil averaged 6,018 yuan per ton, down 1.2% [37] Lithium Battery Recycling - The profitability of lithium battery recycling has slightly declined due to fluctuating metal prices and a decrease in discount coefficients [41][42] - The average unit gross profit for waste material is estimated at -0.71 million yuan per ton [41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in Q1 profits, turning losses into gains, with a revenue of 5.576 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 19.0%. However, excluding goodwill impairment of 334 million yuan, the operational performance has greatly improved compared to 2023 [1]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the recycling resource sector, with strong technical and business integration advantages. The recovery of rare earth prices and the subsequent capacity release are expected to drive rapid growth in performance [3]. - The rare earth industry has a promising outlook, with the company expected to produce over 12,000 tons of recycled rare earth oxides in 2024, leading the industry in capacity [2]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 6.6%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -6.3%, down 3.5 percentage points [2]. - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 90 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 83.9% year-on-year, primarily due to increased procurement expenses related to the expansion of rare earth recovery and magnetic material businesses [2]. - The forecast for net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 129 million yuan, 231 million yuan, and 324 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 33.0, 18.4, and 13.1 [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5]. Core Views - The company has shown significant improvement in Q1 profits, turning losses into gains, with a revenue of 5.576 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 19.0%. However, excluding goodwill impairment of 334 million yuan, the operational performance has improved significantly compared to 2023 [1][2]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the recycling resource sector, with strong technical and business integration advantages. The recovery and utilization of rare earth resources present a vast market opportunity, especially as rare earth prices stabilize and production capacity is expected to be released [3][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 6.6%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -6.3%, down 3.5 percentage points [2]. - The company reported a net cash flow from operating activities of 90 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 83.9% year-on-year, primarily due to increased procurement expenses related to the expansion of rare earth recovery and magnetic materials businesses [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 9.2%, an increase of 8.7 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 2.3%, up 3.7 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 129 million yuan in 2025, with projected profits of 231 million yuan in 2026 and 324 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery from previous losses [3][4]. - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 33.0, 18.4, and 13.1, respectively, indicating a potential for growth as the market stabilizes [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The solid waste sector is expected to enhance dividends and return on equity (ROE), supported by decreasing capital expenditures and improving free cash flow as the industry matures [9][10] - The report emphasizes the importance of stable growth, price reforms, and increased dividends, suggesting a comprehensive allocation strategy focusing on domestic demand-driven assets [11][13] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The solid waste sector is entering a mature phase, leading to improved free cash flow and higher dividends. The report highlights that the free cash flow turned positive in 2023 and is expected to continue increasing in 2024 [9] - The report tracks the performance of various companies, noting significant increases in dividends for firms like Junxin Co. and Green Power, with cash dividends of 5.07 billion CNY (+37%) and 4.18 billion CNY (+100%) respectively for 2024 [9][10] Company Tracking - Green Power reported a 33% increase in net profit for Q1 2025, driven by reduced costs and increased heating supply, with a significant rise in free cash flow [9] - Junxin Co. achieved a revenue of 24.31 billion CNY (+31%) for 2024, with a net profit of 5.36 billion CNY (+4%) [9] - The report also highlights the performance of other companies like Jingjin Equipment and Yongxing Co., noting their dividend plans and revenue growth [9] Policy Tracking - The Ministry of Finance allocated over 13.5 billion CNY for energy-saving and emission-reduction subsidies in 2025, indicating government support for the industry [9] - The report discusses the impact of new policies on the solid waste sector, including the push for garbage treatment fee measurement and the promotion of commercial models [9] Market Performance - The report notes a 51% year-on-year increase in sales of new energy sanitation vehicles in the first quarter of 2025, with a penetration rate of 14.36% [27] - The average price of biodiesel remained stable, while the price of waste cooking oil showed a slight increase, reflecting market dynamics [37] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong dividend growth and stable cash flows, such as Huanlan Environment, Green Power, and Yongxing Co. [11][13] - It suggests monitoring companies involved in resource recycling and those benefiting from price reforms and domestic demand [11][13]