Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the copper processing industry, with a focus on high-end product development and international expansion, which is expected to drive profit margins higher [4][16]. - The company's single-ton gross profit for copper products is anticipated to continue its upward trend, benefiting from structural optimization and a shift towards high-margin products [1][3]. - The company is expected to see significant growth in gross profit from copper processing products, projected to increase from 2.5 billion yuan in 2024 to 5.3 billion yuan by 2030 [1]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been a leader in the copper processing industry for 39 years, providing essential materials to various sectors, including new energy vehicles and semiconductor industries [16][21]. - It has established a comprehensive product matrix, including copper and copper alloy materials, and has a strong international presence with subsidiaries in over 100 countries [16][24]. Traditional Business - The company has shown resilience in its copper processing business, with single-ton gross profit rebounding after hitting a low in 2022, indicating strong performance despite industry challenges [1][46]. - The company has successfully expanded its international operations, achieving a 21.86% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue in the first half of 2025 [2][46]. Emerging Business - The company is strategically investing in high-end sectors such as new energy vehicles, data centers, and robotics, which are expected to enhance its long-term growth potential [3][4]. - The demand for high-end copper materials is increasing due to the rising penetration of new energy vehicles and the shift towards high-voltage architectures [3][4]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 716 million yuan, 868 million yuan, and 968 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 29.91X, 24.68X, and 22.12X [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong market position and growth prospects, reinforcing the "Buy" rating [4][6].

Core Insights - The 2025 China Recycling Metal Industry High-Quality Development Summit was held in Fengcheng, Jiangxi, where the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's Recycling Metal Branch released the list of the top 30 recycling nonferrous metal enterprises for 2024 [1] - The revenue threshold for entering the top 30 recycling nonferrous metal enterprises is set at 4.144 billion yuan, with 17 companies exceeding 10 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 57% of the total [1] - The total revenue of the top 30 enterprises reached 392.895 billion yuan, with the top 20 enterprises' total revenue increasing to 333.135 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 24% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Among the top 30 enterprises, 11 recycling copper companies generated a combined revenue of 157.609 billion yuan, accounting for 40% of the total [1] - Six recycling aluminum companies reported a total revenue of 60.596 billion yuan, making up 15% of the total [1] - Four recycling lead companies achieved a combined revenue of 36.219 billion yuan, representing 10% of the total [1] - Nine multi-metal recycling enterprises (with two or more varieties) generated a total revenue of 138.471 billion yuan, accounting for 35% of the total [1]

Group 1 - The company held a half-year performance briefing on September 4, 2025, attended by key executives and independent directors to interact with investors [1] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 63.657 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.92%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 30.90% to 1.448 billion yuan [2] - The company’s non-ferrous metal business generated revenue of 51.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14%, accounting for 80% of total revenue, highlighting its significant contribution to overall performance [2] Group 2 - The company is focused on strengthening its core capabilities and enhancing trade and investment operations, with an emphasis on technological empowerment and risk management optimization for high-quality development [2] - The company’s overseas investment projects, particularly the Peru Bamba copper mine, showed stable production with a year-on-year increase in both production and sales exceeding 50%, marking the first dividend since its acquisition in 2014 [2] - The company is committed to green development and has integrated ESG principles into its governance structure, receiving an A rating from institutions like Zhongzheng and WIND, and has been recognized with multiple ESG awards [3]

在泰国春武里府工业区瑞茂通集团的现代化加工厂内，20余名经验丰富的本地工人正高效处理来自德 国、西班牙、澳大利亚、日本等国的高品质含杂废铜原料。通过破碎、分选、净化、烘干等工艺，这些 废旧资源被转化为合格的再生铜原料。完成标准化包装后，原料经国际物流抵达中国，在宁波的铜加工 厂里被进一步加工成铜棒、铜线、铜板材等产品，最终制成各种精密铜部件，广泛应用于风电设备、新 能源汽车、航空航天等高精尖领域。 作为战略布局的关键一环，瑞茂通集团于2021年组建再生资源团队，并于2024年在泰国投建再生铜基 地，成功打通了从海外废铜回收、跨境加工到终端销售的全产业链通道。在全球铜资源争夺日益激烈的 背景下，构建自主可控的再生铜产业体系，已成为保障我国关键金属供应链安全的必由之路。 填补我国用铜缺口 在该团队负责人看来，瑞茂通集团将废铜加工基地设立在泰国春武里府工业区，通过海外产能布局可以 实现双重效益：一方面，将初级加工环节转移至原料集散地，可以获取更多的原料供应并减少国际物流 中的金属损耗；另一方面，可以显著降低国内加工环节的能源消耗与碳排放压力。这种"海外预处理 +国内深加工"的产业协同模式，既符合我国"双碳"战略目标 ...

Group 1: Strategic Developments in Recycling Industry - Rui Mei Tong Group has established a comprehensive recycling copper supply chain, including overseas waste copper recovery, cross-border processing, and terminal sales, with a new recycling copper base set to be operational in Thailand by 2024 [2] - The company has adapted to changes in China's waste copper import policies, which now allow the import of compliant recycled copper materials, enhancing its operational capabilities [2][3] - The global competition for copper resources has intensified, with major copper-producing countries facing disruptions, impacting copper supply and pricing [2] Group 2: Environmental and Economic Impact - Recycled copper production consumes only 20% of the energy required for primary copper production and reduces carbon emissions by 65%, aligning with China's carbon neutrality goals [2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims for recycled metal production to account for 30% of total output by 2025, with a target of 4 million tons for recycled copper [2] - Recycled copper offers significant cost advantages over primary copper, driving economic benefits for the industry [2] Group 3: Natural Gas Trading Developments - Tianjin International Oil and Gas Trading Center has launched a new pipeline natural gas trading platform, "PNG Zhou Zhou Purchase," to facilitate market-based bidding for gas resources [3] - This new trading model aggregates gas demand from various regions, allowing companies to secure gas at more competitive prices [3] - The trading center aims to expand its offerings by introducing more oil and gas products in response to market needs [3] Group 4: Electricity Futures Market - There is a growing demand for electricity futures as a risk management tool for renewable energy companies amid increasing price volatility in the electricity market [3][4] - The establishment of a unified national electricity market is creating a solid foundation for the introduction of electricity futures [3] - Experts suggest that renewable energy companies should prepare for participation in the electricity futures market by developing strategies and enhancing risk management capabilities [4][5]

Group 1: Core Insights - The article highlights the strategic importance of recycling copper to ensure the security of China's critical metal supply chain amid increasing global competition for copper resources [1][2][3] - The establishment of a recycling copper base in Thailand by Rui Mao Tong Group is a key step in creating a comprehensive industrial chain from overseas copper recovery to domestic processing and sales [1][2] - The shift in China's waste copper import policy, allowing for the import of high-quality recycled copper with zero tariffs, has opened new opportunities for companies like Rui Mao Tong Group [2][3] Group 2: Industry Context - China consumes over 55% of the world's copper, yet its domestic copper resources are limited, with only 4% of global reserves and an import dependency of 83.7% for refined copper in 2024 [2][3] - The global competition for copper resources has intensified due to disruptions in major copper-producing countries, making the development of the recycled copper industry crucial for China [3][4] - The Chinese government aims to increase the share of recycled metals to 30% by 2025, with a target of producing 4 million tons of recycled copper [5] Group 3: Environmental and Economic Benefits - Recycled copper production consumes only 20% of the energy required for primary copper production and reduces carbon emissions by 65%, aligning with China's carbon neutrality goals [4][6] - The cost advantages of recycled copper, along with its environmental benefits, are driving demand from small and medium-sized enterprises in the copper component manufacturing sector [6][7] - The establishment of a recycling base in Thailand allows for reduced logistics losses and lower energy consumption in domestic processing, supporting China's dual carbon strategy [6][7] Group 4: Future Developments - Rui Mao Tong Group is actively pursuing partnerships with downstream manufacturers to build a green supply chain and enhance the recycling industry's transformation and high-quality development [2][6] - The cooperation mechanism between China and neighboring countries in the recycled non-ferrous metal industry is being accelerated, with preliminary agreements reached with Thailand [7] - The article emphasizes the importance of continuous monitoring of international trade policies and market dynamics to adapt to the evolving landscape of the recycled metal industry [4][7]

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to establish a holding subsidiary, Tongshan Shenwu Low Carbon Material Technology Co., Ltd., to advance a 50,000-ton recycled copper circular economy project, enhancing its industry chain and capacity layout, thereby improving profitability and market competitiveness [2][9]. Investment Overview - The total investment for the project is estimated at 120 million RMB, with Shenwu Energy contributing approximately 61.2 million RMB, representing a 51% stake [3][9]. - The subsidiary will be co-established with Tongshan Tongtai Supply Chain Co., Ltd. and Hubei Zhongyi Copper Industry Co., Ltd., with respective contributions of 43.2 million RMB and 15.6 million RMB [3][5]. Financial Structure - The registered capital of the new subsidiary is set at 10 million RMB, with Shenwu Energy contributing 36% in cash and physical assets [2][3]. - Funding sources for the investment include cash and bank loans, with the company having secured bank credit [3][5]. Project Details - The project involves leasing and renovating a 30,000 square meter factory for production [5][9]. - The project company will operate as a limited liability company, with shareholders responsible for their subscribed capital [6][9]. Market and Industry Context - The recycled copper industry faces challenges such as low and volatile profit margins, influenced by global economic conditions and commodity cycles [9][10]. - The company acknowledges potential risks related to copper price fluctuations and market demand, which could significantly impact project returns [10]. Governance and Management - The governance structure includes a board of directors with representatives from each shareholder, and a supervisory board member appointed by one of the partners [7][8]. - Financial management will adhere to the accounting standards applicable to the company, with independent audits conducted by third-party firms [8]. Long-term Impact - The investment is not expected to adversely affect the company's financial status or operations in 2025, but its long-term impact will depend on the project's execution and market conditions [9]. - The establishment of the new subsidiary is seen as a strategic move to leverage resources and enhance sustainable development [9].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoint of the Report - The expansion of the US fiscal deficit and the Fed's potential interest rate cuts, along with disruptions in production or transportation at multiple overseas copper smelters, are countered by the easing of Sino - US tariffs and the traditional off - season for consumption. With the global electrolytic copper inventory starting to accumulate, the upward space for copper prices may be limited. It is recommended that investors hold their previous long positions cautiously and pay attention to the support and resistance levels of Shanghai copper, London copper, and US copper [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content 3.1 Market Data - **Shanghai Copper Futures Active Contract**: On July 3, 2025, the closing price was 80,560, up 20 from the previous day; the trading volume was 83,386 lots, down 18,572; the open interest was 224,672 lots, up 1,550; the inventory was 24,103 tons, down 994 [2]. - **Shanghai Copper Basis and Spot Premium/Discount**: The average price of SMM 1 electrolytic copper was 80,980, down 10; the Shanghai copper basis was 420, down 30; the spot premium/discount in different regions showed various changes, such as a 20 - point decrease in Guangzhou and East China [2]. - **London Copper**: The closing price of LME 3 - month copper futures (electronic trading) was 9,951.5, down 58.5; the total inventory of registered and cancelled warrants decreased by 94,325; the LME copper futures 0 - 3 - month contract spread was 87.61, down 8.59 [2]. - **COMEX Copper**: The closing price of the active copper futures contract was 5.196, up 0.08; the total inventory was 213,171, up 1,962 [2]. 3.2 Important News - **Macro - news**: The US Senate - version "Six - Pretty" bill was passed, planning to raise the debt ceiling to $5 trillion, with potential fiscal deficit expansion. The Trump administration's tariff policy affects consumption, and the US ADP employment number in a certain month was - 33,000, lower than expected and the previous value, reducing the probability of the Fed not cutting interest rates in July, with expected rate - cut months being September, October, or December [3]. - **Industry - specific News**: Some copper mines and smelters faced disruptions. For example, Las Bambas and Constancia had copper concentrate transportation interruptions; several smelters, including Pasar in the Philippines, Rosh Pinah in Namibia, and Altonorte in Chile, had production suspensions. Meanwhile, some new projects were progressing, such as the Jiangxi Copper Hongyuan's projects and other copper - related projects in China [4]. 3.3 Downstream Market - Some copper rod enterprises plan to cut production to reduce inventory in July. The capacity utilization rates of various copper products, including refined copper rods, copper wire and cable, copper foil, and copper pipes, are expected to decline in July, except for the potentially rising capacity utilization rate of electrolytic copper rod production [5]. 3.4 Trading Strategy - Due to the factors mentioned above, it is recommended that investors hold their previous long positions cautiously and pay attention to the support and resistance levels of Shanghai copper (76,000 - 78,000 and 81,000 - 83,000), London copper (9,300 - 9,600 and 9,900 - 10,200), and US copper (4.6 - 4.9 and 5.2 - 5.5) [5].

Summary of Copper and Recycled Copper Market Analysis Industry Overview - The analysis focuses on the copper and recycled copper market, highlighting supply and demand dynamics, production trends, and pricing factors for 2025 [1][3][40]. Key Points Supply and Demand Dynamics - Copper mine supply growth is projected to be only 1%-2% in 2025, while domestic smelters are expected to add over 1 million tons of new production capacity, leading to a tight supply situation amid increasing demand [1][3]. - In the first four months of 2025, electrolytic copper production increased by approximately 400,000 tons year-on-year, primarily due to the significant contribution of recycled copper anode plates [1][6]. - Domestic recycled copper supply increased by 87,000 tons year-on-year in the first four months of 2025, driven by rising copper prices and policies promoting the replacement of old equipment [1][11]. Production and Profitability - The average processing profit for copper processing and recycled copper industries remains high, encouraging companies to maximize production capacity, particularly for anode plates, which are expected to reach 1.85 to 1.90 million tons in 2024 [1][8][9]. - Current smelting operations are facing challenges, with zero single transactions generally resulting in losses of around 1,500 yuan, reflecting the tough market environment [1][7]. - The processing profit for recycled copper anode plates is notably high, with profits reaching 500 to 600 yuan per ton, driving increased production [5][8]. Regional Development - Key regions for the development of the recycled copper industry include Jiangxi, Anhui, Hubei, and Sichuan, benefiting from tax incentives and attracting significant investment [1][10]. Market Influences - The growth in electric grid investment is expected to boost demand for wires and cables, with a positive outlook for the real estate market in 2025, indicating a narrowing year-on-year decline [2][17]. - The impact of U.S.-China trade tensions has led to fluctuations in the supply of recycled metals, with April 2025 seeing a decrease in supply due to tariffs [14][24]. Price Trends - Copper prices are expected to remain optimistic in 2025, with a support level likely above 70,000 yuan, despite potential volatility due to macroeconomic factors [25][41]. - The price sensitivity of downstream demand is significant, with order volumes increasing when prices drop to around 75,000 yuan [30][31]. Future Outlook - The overall outlook for the recycled copper supply is positive, with expectations of an increase in both imported and domestic supply, driven by policy changes and the aging of equipment [22][35]. - The anticipated stability in the waste copper market suggests that while the second quarter may not show significant growth, the overall demand for copper is expected to rise in the latter half of 2025 [24][40]. Additional Insights - The relationship between electrolytic copper production and recycled copper anode plates is crucial, as the latter helps to fill the production gap caused by slow growth in copper mines [28]. - The competition for waste copper between smelting and processing plants is influenced by market prices, affecting production decisions and supply flows [29]. This comprehensive analysis provides a detailed overview of the current state and future prospects of the copper and recycled copper markets, highlighting key trends, challenges, and opportunities for stakeholders in the industry.

Group 1 - The Peruvian government has implemented a curfew in the Pataz region due to rising crime, suspending all mining activities for 30 days, which may raise concerns about the stability of copper supply from Peru, the world's third-largest copper producer [1] - Peru's copper production for 2024 is projected at 2.736 million tons, accounting for approximately 10% of global output, indicating the significance of any disruptions in this region [1] - The Pataz region primarily produces gold and silver, with limited copper production, suggesting that the impact on precious metal prices may be relatively minor despite the mining suspension [1] Group 2 - The overall weakness in non-ferrous metals is attributed to two main factors: the impact of the trade war initiated by the Trump administration on the US economy and the significant fluctuations in demand expectations due to tariffs [2] - Domestic copper consumption in China exceeded expectations with an 8% growth in apparent consumption in the first quarter, but a seasonal decline is anticipated post-May, which may weaken the demand-side support for copper prices [2] - Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about copper prices in the medium term, despite potential high-level corrections, as the fundamentals appear strong, and the market is currently experiencing low inventory levels [3]