东吴证券近日发布环保行业跟踪周报：环卫装备：2025M1-10环卫新能源销量同增61.32%，渗透率同比 提升6.33pct至18.02%。25M1-10环卫车销量60675辆（同比+4.61%），其中新能源10931辆（同比 +63.32%））。锂电回收：碳酸锂价格上涨，盈利能力改善。截至2025/11/21，三元电池粉锂系数周环 比上涨，锂/钴/镍系数分别为73.8%/76.0%/76.0%。截至2025/11/21，碳酸锂9.24万（周环比+8.4%），金 属钴40.50万（周环比+2.0%），金属镍11.67万（周环比-2.7%）。 以下为研究报告摘要： 投资要点 个股跟踪：1）高能环境：战略布局金矿，资源化协同打开第二成长曲线。自有资金收购控股3家矿业公 司。拟收购三家公司估值1.4亿元（净资产1.54亿元），公司自有资金出资0.63亿元实现控股，探矿权延 续材料办理中，预计不低于现有条件或保留矿业权。金矿资源优质主要处于详查与普查阶段储量有望增 加。战略进军矿业资源化协同打开第二成长曲线。公司筹划发行H股股票，金矿推进，海外+资源拓展 值得持续期待；资源化技改：运营能力恢复；库存金铜涨价：弹性加速 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Views - Indonesia has launched a $5.6 billion waste-to-energy project, indicating a vast market opportunity for solid waste management companies to expand internationally [11][12]. - The solid waste sector is experiencing strong fundamentals, with a notable increase in free cash flow and improved return on equity (ROE) due to operational efficiencies and reduced capital expenditures [14][15]. - The water services sector is poised for growth, with expectations of increased cash flow and dividend payouts as capital expenditures decline [18][19]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Indonesia's sovereign fund has initiated the first waste-to-energy project tender, with plans for 33 plants and a total investment of approximately 56 billion USD [11]. - The solid waste industry is transitioning to a mature phase, focusing on efficiency improvements and cash flow generation [14]. - The environmental sanitation vehicle market saw a 63.18% increase in new energy vehicle sales, with a penetration rate of 17.40% [20]. Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - **Waiming Environmental**: Selected as a supplier for Indonesia's waste-to-energy projects, with significant operational capacity [13]. - **Green Power**: Strong performance driven by increased heating capacity and cost savings [14]. - **Yongxing Co.**: Notable growth in revenue and profit due to improved operational efficiency [14]. - Companies to watch include **Dayu Water Saving**, **Lian Tai Environmental**, and **Wang Neng Environment** [1]. Financial Performance - The solid waste sector reported a 12% increase in net profit and a 2.7 percentage point rise in gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 [14]. - Free cash flow for the sector reached 13.3 billion CNY, marking a 28% increase year-on-year [14]. - Dividend payouts are expected to rise, with several companies maintaining high payout ratios [15][18]. Market Trends - The water services sector is expected to see a cash flow turnaround, similar to the solid waste sector, with anticipated increases in dividend payouts as capital expenditures decrease [18][19]. - Price reforms in water services are expected to enhance growth and valuation, with cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen implementing price increases [18]. Equipment and Technology - The report highlights the growth in the environmental sanitation vehicle market, particularly in new energy vehicles, which are becoming increasingly prevalent [20]. - The report also notes improvements in the profitability of lithium battery recycling, with a slight decrease in metal prices leading to better margins [34][35].

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Jingsheng New Energy Co., Ltd. is attempting a second IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange despite facing significant financial challenges, including a cumulative net loss of 959 million yuan over the past two and a half years due to price wars in the lithium and nickel markets [1][2]. Financial Performance - The average selling price of lithium carbonate dropped from 396,000 yuan/ton to 59,000 yuan/ton, and nickel sulfate from 35,000 yuan/ton to 23,000 yuan/ton during the reporting period [2]. - Despite a nearly 200% increase in lithium carbonate sales and over 40% growth in nickel sulfate sales from 2022 to 2024, total revenue fell to 2.157 billion yuan in 2024, approximately 70% of 2022's revenue [2]. - The gross margin for lithium and nickel recycling products turned negative in the second year, with margins of -2.9%, -2.3%, and -0.1% for lithium products from 2023 to the first half of 2025 [2][3]. Cost Structure - Management and R&D expenses have been rising, with management expense ratio reaching 8.52% and R&D expense ratio at 5.59% in the first half of 2025, totaling 14.11% of revenue [3]. - The company’s net profit for the reporting period was 151 million yuan, -471 million yuan, -344 million yuan, and -144 million yuan, leading to a cumulative loss of 959 million yuan over the last two and a half years [3]. Debt and Cash Flow - The company’s cash flow from operating activities was negative for most of the reporting period, with a significant drop of 98.4% in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [4]. - The debt-to-asset ratio increased from 48.53% to 73.30% over the reporting period, indicating growing financial pressure [5]. - As of June 2025, the company had 2.1 billion yuan in short-term and long-term loans, while cash and cash equivalents were only 36.61 million yuan [5]. Production Capacity and Market Conditions - The company’s capacity utilization rates were 74.1%, 77.0%, 78.2%, and 53.2% over the reporting period, with a significant drop in the first half of 2025 due to technical upgrades [6]. - The company faces challenges in generating sufficient orders to utilize new production capacity, with contract liabilities at only 1.325 million yuan and accounts payable at 335 million yuan [6]. - The ongoing price pressure in the lithium and nickel markets raises concerns about the economic viability of expanding production under current conditions [6]. Industry Outlook - Strong demand in the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets is expected to drive the demand for lithium iron phosphate materials, with growth rates potentially exceeding the overall lithium battery industry [6]. - The lithium iron phosphate industry is currently at a historical low in profitability, suggesting conditions for recovery may be present [6].

Investment Recommendations - Key companies recommended include: Huanlan Environment, Green Power, Green Power Environmental Protection, Conch Venture, Yongxing Shares, Everbright Environment, Junxin Shares, Yuehai Investment, Meike Technology, Jiufeng Energy, Yutong Heavy Industry, Jingjin Equipment, New Energy, Kunlun Energy, Sanfeng Environment, Xingrong Environment, Hongcheng Environment, China Water Affairs, Weiming Environmental Protection, Longjing Environmental Protection, High Energy Environment, Blue Sky Gas, New Energy Shares, Science and Technology, Jinke Environment, Yingke Recycling, and Lude Environment [1] Policy Tracking - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment will release a carbon emission trading market quota plan for the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries. The distribution plan continues the framework of the power generation industry, with a full-cycle free allocation from 2024 to 2025, reserving space for a combination of free and paid allocation by 2027. The plan covers quota management for the three industries from 2024 to 2025, adding approximately 1,500 key emission units and shortening the implementation period by two years [1] Company Tracking - High Energy Environment is experiencing price elasticity due to rising metal prices, with stable operations in the resource recycling sector and active overseas expansion. Longjing Environmental Protection is seeing performance contributions from green electricity in mining, accelerating investment in incremental projects, and revitalizing its old and new business [1] Solid Waste Sector Insights - In July-August 2025, national subsidies for recycling accelerated significantly, with Everbright receiving 2.064 billion yuan in subsidies, exceeding the 1.534 billion yuan received in the same period of 2024. The solid waste sector is seeing improvements in return on equity (ROE) and cash flow, with a 1% year-on-year revenue increase and an 8% rise in net profit for the first half of 2025. The sector's operating cash flow net amount reached 6.9 billion yuan, a 9% increase [2] Water Sector Insights - The water sector is expected to see a cash flow turning point, with a projected significant increase in free cash flow starting in 2026. The dividend payout ratio for core companies is expected to rise, with a 34% payout ratio anticipated for 2024. Price reforms in water pricing are expected to enhance growth and valuation [3] Sanitation Sector Insights - The penetration rate of electric sanitation is accelerating, with a significant increase in sales of new energy equipment. In the first half of 2025, the sales of sanitation vehicles reached 49,577 units, a 3.20% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicles accounting for 8,284 units, a 69.34% increase [6][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights the benefits of rising metal prices for companies like High Energy Environment and the performance contributions from green electricity in mining for Longjing Environmental Protection. It emphasizes the value of water and solid waste dividends [1] Industry Trends - The environmental protection industry is expected to see a significant increase in cash flow and dividends due to reduced capital expenditures and improved operational efficiency. The solid waste sector is entering a mature phase, with free cash flow turning positive in 2023 and continuing to improve in 2024 [18][20] - The report notes that the market for water services is stabilizing, with a focus on cash flow improvements and potential for high dividends, similar to the garbage incineration sector [23][24] Company Tracking - High Energy Environment is benefiting from rising metal prices and is actively expanding its resource recycling operations. Longjing Environmental Protection is seeing performance contributions from new projects in green electricity and storage equipment [5][18] - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Huanlan Environment, Green Power, and Yongxing Co., highlighting their strong dividend potential and operational improvements [5][23] Policy Tracking - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment is set to release a carbon emissions trading market allocation plan for the steel, cement, and aluminum industries, which will cover approximately 1,500 new key emission units and manage a total emission volume of 3 billion tons of CO2 equivalent [10][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The improvement of the near-consumption pricing mechanism for renewable energy will facilitate the direct connection of green electricity, benefiting waste-to-energy projects [9][10] - The price of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) has reached a new high in Europe, positively impacting UCO and SAF producers in China [11][12] - The solid waste sector has seen significant acceleration in national subsidies for recycling, leading to improved cash flow and dividend payouts [15][16] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection industry is experiencing a positive trend with the implementation of new pricing mechanisms for renewable energy, which will enhance the economic viability of waste-to-energy projects [9][10] - The SAF market in Europe is tightening, leading to increased prices and benefiting UCO and SAF producers in China [11][12] Solid Waste Sector - National subsidies for recycling have accelerated significantly, with a reported 2.064 billion yuan received in July-August 2025, surpassing the previous year's figures [15] - The solid waste sector is seeing improvements in return on equity (ROE) and cash flow, with a focus on operational efficiency and reduced financial costs [15][16] Water Sector - The water sector is poised for growth with expected improvements in cash flow and dividend payouts, similar to trends observed in the waste-to-energy sector [19][20] - Recent water price reforms in cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen are anticipated to drive further growth in the sector [19] Sanitation Equipment - The sales of sanitation vehicles have increased, with a notable rise in the penetration rate of new energy sanitation vehicles, reaching 16.14% [22][23] - The market for electric sanitation vehicles is expanding rapidly, with sales growth of 77.55% in the first seven months of 2025 [22][23] Biofuel Sector - The average price of waste cooking oil has decreased, leading to an increase in profit margins for biofuel producers [32] - The biofuel market is expected to remain stable, with ongoing demand for waste oils and limited supply growth [32] Lithium Battery Recycling - The profitability of lithium battery recycling is improving as the prices of lithium carbonate and other materials decline [33][34]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and opportunities faced by Jinsheng New Energy, a leading lithium battery recycling company, as it seeks to go public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange amid financial difficulties and industry fluctuations [3][5][6]. Financial Performance - Jinsheng New Energy's revenue projections for 2022, 2023, and 2024 are approximately 2.9 billion, 2.89 billion, and 2.15 billion yuan respectively, with a profit of 151 million yuan in 2022, followed by losses of 471 million yuan in 2023 and a reduced loss of 344 million yuan in 2024 [3]. - The company's cash and cash equivalents have decreased from 211 million yuan in 2022 to 37 million yuan currently, indicating a significant reduction in liquidity [4]. - The company has a substantial debt obligation, with 1.8 billion yuan in bank loans due within a year, which is not sustainable given its current cash position [4]. Market Conditions - The decline in performance is attributed to market fluctuations affecting product prices, particularly the price of lithium carbonate, which fell from 396,300 yuan per ton in 2022 to 85,800 yuan per ton by the second half of 2024 [3]. - The lithium battery recycling sector is cyclical, with a predicted increase in retired lithium batteries in the coming years due to the surge in electric vehicle sales, which could lead to a recovery in the company's performance [8]. Strategic Moves - Jinsheng New Energy is pursuing a new battery recycling project in Huanggang, Hubei, with an investment exceeding 10 billion yuan and a planned processing capacity of 400,000 tons per year [4][5]. - The company has made multiple attempts to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with the latest application submitted on September 3, following a previous unsuccessful attempt in December 2022 [5][6]. Industry Context - The article highlights the competitive landscape, noting that major battery manufacturers like CATL and EVE Energy are expanding their recycling operations, which may impact Jinsheng New Energy's market position [8]. - The company aims to increase its production capacity to handle 280,000 tons of retired ternary lithium batteries annually by 2025, indicating a long-term growth strategy despite current challenges [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Views - The company is a leading player in the solid waste treatment industry, focusing on expanding its operations both domestically and internationally, while also exploring synergies with data centers [4][9] - The company has a strong operational foundation with a significant increase in revenue and net profit in Q1 2025, indicating a positive trend despite previous years of decline [4][16] - The company is actively pursuing innovative business models, including collaborations with data centers and international project expansions, which are expected to drive future growth [4][7] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, Wangen Environment, has been deeply involved in the solid waste industry for nearly two decades, with a focus on garbage incineration and kitchen waste treatment [4][9] - As of Q1 2025, the company has an operational garbage incineration capacity of 21,820 tons/day and kitchen waste capacity of 2,810 tons/day, primarily concentrated in Zhejiang Province [4][34] Financial Performance - The company experienced a revenue decline in 2023-2024 due to reduced BOT project construction income and losses in the recycling segment, but it achieved a revenue growth of 11.1% and a net profit growth of 10.62% in Q1 2025 [4][16] - The operational business (garbage incineration and kitchen waste treatment) contributed over 80% of total revenue and 104% of gross profit, highlighting its stable operational attributes [4][20] Profitability and Margins - The company's garbage incineration business has a gross margin of 48% in 2024, which is above the industry average of 43.4%, attributed to high capacity utilization and operational efficiency [4][40] - The company maintains a capacity utilization rate of around 120%, which is among the highest in the industry, supporting its profitability [4][40] Strategic Initiatives - The company is exploring a new model that combines garbage incineration with data centers, having completed the approval for the "Zero Carbon Intelligent Computing Center" in Huzhou [4][7] - The company has signed a contract with the Vietnamese government to build a 600 tons/day waste treatment project, marking a significant step in its international expansion strategy [4][7] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 3.239 billion, 3.406 billion, and 3.631 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 694 million, 760 million, and 809 million yuan [4][6]

Group 1 - The release of DeepSeek V3.1 signifies a breakthrough in the domestic large model and chip ecosystem, utilizing the UE8M0FP8 format specifically designed for next-generation domestic chips, addressing compatibility issues with NVIDIA's FP8 standard, and promoting the autonomy of the domestic computing power ecosystem [1] - The urgent demand for domestic computing power is driven by the discontinuation of NVIDIA's H20 chip, leading to a recommendation for the domestic computing power sector [1] - A joint statement from the US and EU on August 21, 2025, outlines a trade agreement framework covering various sectors, including agricultural products, automobiles, semiconductors, and digital trade barriers, indicating a reduction in global trade risks and a release of overseas computing power demand [1] Group 2 - The solar industry is undergoing optimization with a focus on supply and demand stimulation, as multiple ministries convened to regulate competition and promote industry self-discipline, aiming to curb low-price competition and enhance product quality [2] - The logistics and delivery sectors are also pushing for a shift from low-price competition to high-quality development, with industry associations advocating for compliance with relevant laws to prevent malicious competitive practices [2] - Current market conditions in the takeaway delivery sector remain relatively stable regarding subsidies [2] Group 3 - Key sectors to focus on include computing power, rare earths, Hong Kong securities, and the internet [3]

Core Viewpoint - The retirement of electric vehicle batteries is approaching a critical point, with annual retirement volumes expected to exceed one million tons by 2025, and potentially reach 3.5 million tons by 2030-2032, creating a market worth over 100 billion yuan [3][20]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The battery recycling industry is transitioning from small workshops to large-scale enterprises, with leading companies like Tesla, BYD, and CATL establishing extensive recycling networks that are beginning to show results [4][6]. - The number of battery recycling companies in China is around 190,000, but only 156 are recognized as compliant with industry standards, indicating a significant disparity in operational quality [5]. - The competitive landscape is shifting as large companies leverage their scale and technology to outperform smaller players, which traditionally relied on cost-cutting measures [7][11]. Group 2: Economic and Technical Developments - Leading companies have achieved cost parity with small workshops, allowing them to compete effectively while maintaining higher environmental standards [8]. - Advanced recycling technologies are being adopted, combining various methods to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, which diminishes the competitive edge of smaller operations [9]. - The establishment of regional processing centers and the integration of production and recycling processes are optimizing resource allocation and reducing operational costs [10][19]. Group 3: Regulatory and Market Changes - New regulations are tightening the operational framework for battery recycling, requiring companies to have environmental assessments and digital traceability, which further marginalizes non-compliant small workshops [11][12]. - The acceptance of recycled materials is increasing, driven by regulatory changes in the EU and China, which are pushing for higher standards in battery recycling [16]. - The formation of industry clusters is accelerating, with major players investing in local recycling facilities to create efficient, localized supply chains [17][18]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The impending wave of battery retirements is expected to catalyze a significant shift in the industry, favoring large-scale, compliant operations over smaller, less regulated ones [20]. - The collaboration between large companies and smaller workshops may evolve, allowing the latter to integrate into a more standardized ecosystem while retaining some operational flexibility [15].