图虫创意/供图 证券时报记者 康殷 不少回收企业已敏锐捕捉到这一机遇。2025年9月，格林美与AE公司签署谅解备忘录，共同探索在欧 洲、美国等地区的电池回收机遇，推动全球"电池护照"实施与新能源的绿色发展。2025年9月，天奇股 份旗下天奇金泰阁一批重达13.68吨的锂离子电池用再生黑粉原料，经广州黄埔港顺利通关并运抵工 厂。 价格与供需的双重利好，让一度面临原料供应不足、产能利用率不饱和挑战的回收行业迎来转机。天奇 股份在机构调研中透露："随着黑粉进口放开、主要金属价格呈上行趋势，公司锂电循环板块毛利扭亏 为盈，环比逐步改善。同时，在2025年四季度，铁锂回收产能饱和，实现阶段性稳定批量出货。" 产能扩张与资本运作提速 锂电回收是对"城市矿山"的开发，它将废旧电池中的锂、钴等关键金属转化为可循环利用的宝贵资源。 随着锂、钴等能源金属价格持续走高，锂电回收又热闹了起来。与以往不同的是，在政策的护航下，锂 电回收行业正从粗放发展走向精细化、规范化、全球化发展新阶段。 近期，天奇股份、格林美等头部企业纷纷加码产能布局与资本运作，通过技术升级、产业链延伸构建竞 争壁垒。这场由价格、需求、政策共同驱动的行业变革，正深 ...

锂电回收是对"城市矿山"的开发，它将废旧电池中的锂、钴等关键金属转化为可循环利用的宝贵资源。 随着锂、钴等能源金属价格持续走高，锂电回收又热闹了起来。与以往不同的是，在政策的护航下，锂 电回收行业正从粗放发展走向精细化、规范化、全球化发展新阶段。 近期，天奇股份（002009）、格林美（002340）等头部企业纷纷加码产能布局与资本运作，通过技术升 级、产业链延伸构建竞争壁垒。这场由价格、需求、政策共同驱动的行业变革，正深刻重塑新能源产业 资源供给格局，一个规模超千亿元的绿色循环市场已然成型。 锂电回收业务利润上升 2025年以来，受全球矿产开发周期滞后、下游储能需求二次爆发的影响，锂、钴、镍等关键金属价格维 持高位震荡。这种价格红利不仅改善了回收企业的现金流，更彻底扭转了行业的盈利预期。 "公司动力电池回收业务在2025年前三季度表现亮眼，回收拆解量达到3.6万吨，同比激增59%。"格林美 相关负责人在接受采访时表示："公司回收业务利润相应有所提升，主要受益于两方面因素：一是退役 量增加，二是锂、钴等金属年内价格持续上升。公司以相对较低的价格回收废旧电池，再加工成附加值 更高的新能源材料、梯次利用产品销售出 ...

"智能装备提供稳定现金流和资源支撑，锂电循环抢占绿色低碳风口，机器人布局未来工业场景，三者 相互赋能，推动公司向绿色智能新赛道迈进。"黄斌的话语中，透出对公司未来发展的坚定信心。 12月16日，江西天奇金泰阁集团（简称"天奇金泰阁"）资本赋能发展大会在江西龙南举行。会上，天奇 股份董事长黄斌表示，公司旗下锂电循环业务核心平台——天奇金泰阁将启动资本运作进程，迈向"产 业+资本"深度融合新阶段。 在新能源产业浪潮与制造业智能化升级的双重机遇下，作为80后"创二代" ，黄斌自2018年接过公司发 展"接力棒"以来，立足智能装备主业，着力布局锂电循环与机器人两大新兴板块，构建起"新老产业并 驾齐驱"的三大产业矩阵。 "三大产业并非孤立存在，而是基于原有主业的延伸与升级，协同效应是贯穿始终的核心逻辑。"黄斌日 前在接受上海证券报记者专访时表示，随着动力电池规模化退役潮来临，叠加全球新能源产业持续升 温，公司产业矩阵的协同效应有望进一步释放，为中长期业绩提供坚实支撑。 产业协同为核 构建三大主业生态闭环 20世纪80年代起步于乡镇企业的天奇股份，以装备制造为立业之本，于2004年6月在深交所上市。上市 后，公司继续深耕 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the successful launch of capital operations by Tianqi Jintai Ge Group, marking a new phase of deep integration between industry and capital in the lithium battery recycling sector, which is undergoing significant restructuring and growth opportunities [2][4]. Industry Overview - The global energy transition and "dual carbon" goals are driving the importance of lithium battery recycling as a key component for national resource security and sustainable industrial development [4]. - The era of retiring batteries is approaching, with approximately 4 million new energy vehicles added in China from 2018 to 2020, leading to a significant number of batteries expected to retire between 2025 and 2027 [4]. Market Potential - Predictions indicate that the volume of retired power batteries will exceed 1 million tons by 2025, and by 2030-2032, the annual retirement scale could soar to 3.5 million tons, corresponding to a market size exceeding 100 billion yuan [5]. - The industry faces a "bad money drives out good" dilemma, with nearly 190,000 battery recycling companies in China, but only 156 recognized as compliant by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [5]. Company Positioning - Tianqi Jintai Ge has been a key player in the lithium battery recycling industry since 2004, evolving from a regional player to a leading enterprise after strategic control by Tianqi Co. in 2020 [5][6]. - The company is listed in the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's compliance list and has established four production bases in Ganzhou, capable of processing hundreds of thousands of tons of waste lithium batteries annually [6]. Technological and Resource Advantages - Tianqi Jintai Ge demonstrates core competitiveness through self-developed recycling technology, achieving efficient recovery of cobalt, nickel, manganese, lithium, phosphorus, and iron [7]. - The company has built a global recycling network covering Japan, South Korea, Europe, the United States, and Southeast Asia, creating a dual-track resource recycling system [7]. Collaborative Ecosystem - The company has established long-term partnerships with major automotive manufacturers and battery material leaders, creating a closed-loop lithium battery recycling industry chain [7]. - The chairman of Tianqi Co. emphasized that the initiation of capital operations is a significant milestone in the company's development and a strategic move towards deep integration of "industry + capital" in lithium battery recycling [7]. Future Outlook - With the impending wave of over 1 million tons of retired batteries, the lithium battery recycling industry is poised for a golden period of scaled development [9]. - Tianqi Jintai Ge aims to leverage this capital operation to enhance technological innovation and deepen collaboration across the industry chain, contributing to sustainable development in the global energy system [9].

Industry Overview - The carbon quota allocation mechanism is linked to production output without a total carbon emission cap, focusing on intensity-based dynamic adjustments [1][2] - The allocation mechanism is based on the experience of the power generation industry, implementing free quota distribution based on carbon emission intensity control, with total quotas dynamically associated with industry production levels [2] - New key emission units in the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries must complete the first quota clearance for 2024 by 2025 [1][2] Company Tracking - Longking Environmental has seen significant shareholding increases from Zijin Mining, with stable leadership transitions expected to enhance Longking's business [3] - China Water Affairs reported a revenue of HKD 5.183 billion for FY26H1, a decrease of 12.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of HKD 571 million, down 24.4% year-on-year, primarily due to a decline in connection and construction activities [3] - The company has reduced capital expenditures by 31.8% to HKD 1.243 billion in FY26H1, while maintaining a dividend of HKD 0.13 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.8% [3] Solid Waste Sector Insights - The solid waste sector has shown strong fundamentals in Q3 2025, with a 12% increase in net profit and a 2.7 percentage point increase in gross margin [3] - Free cash flow in the solid waste sector reached RMB 13.3 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 28%, with capital expenditures down 12% [3] - The average waste incineration companies' output per ton increased by 1.8% year-on-year in H1 2025, indicating operational efficiency improvements [3] Water Sector Insights - The water sector is expected to experience a cash flow turnaround, with significant increases in free cash flow anticipated starting in 2026 [4] - Recent water price reforms in major cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen are expected to enhance revenue and profitability for water companies [5] - Recommended companies in the water sector include Yuehai Investment and Xingrong Environment, with a focus on improving cash flow and dividend payouts [5] Industry Tracking - The sales of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 61.32% year-on-year in the first ten months of 2025, with a penetration rate of 18.02% [6] - The average price of biodiesel remained stable, while net profits per ton have declined [6] - Lithium carbonate prices have risen, improving profitability in lithium battery recycling [6]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant growth in the environmental protection industry, particularly in the sanitation equipment and lithium battery recycling sectors, driven by increasing demand for new energy vehicles and rising lithium prices [1][3][7]. Industry Overview - Sanitation Equipment: In the first ten months of 2025, sales of new energy sanitation vehicles increased by 61.32%, with a penetration rate rising by 6.33 percentage points to 18.02%. Total sanitation vehicle sales reached 60,675 units, a year-on-year increase of 4.61%, with 10,931 units being new energy vehicles, marking a 63.32% increase [1][7]. - Lithium Battery Recycling: The price of lithium carbonate has risen, improving profitability. As of November 21, 2025, the weekly price of lithium carbonate was 92,400 (up 8.4% week-on-week), with cobalt and nickel prices at 405,000 and 116,700 respectively [1][7]. Investment Recommendations - Key Recommendations: Companies such as Hanlan Environment, High Energy Environment, Green Power Environmental Protection, and others are highlighted as key investment opportunities [2][4][5]. - Suggested Focus: Attention is drawn to companies involved in carbon monitoring and CCER asset appreciation, as well as those engaged in plastic recycling and energy-saving projects [3][4]. Financial Performance - Solid Waste Sector: The sector showed a 12% increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with a gross margin improvement of 2.7 percentage points. Free cash flow reached 13.3 billion, up 28% year-on-year [5][6]. - Water Sector: The water sector is expected to see a significant improvement in free cash flow, with a projected increase in dividend payout ratios as cash flow stabilizes [6]. Market Trends - Carbon Emission Quotas: The Ministry of Ecology and Environment has implemented a carbon emission quota scheme for the steel, cement, and aluminum industries for 2024 and 2025, which is expected to enhance the demand for carbon monitoring equipment [3][4]. - Price Adjustments: Recent price adjustments in water services in major cities are anticipated to support revenue growth and improve investment returns [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Views - Indonesia has launched a $5.6 billion waste-to-energy project, indicating a vast market opportunity for solid waste management companies to expand internationally [11][12]. - The solid waste sector is experiencing strong fundamentals, with a notable increase in free cash flow and improved return on equity (ROE) due to operational efficiencies and reduced capital expenditures [14][15]. - The water services sector is poised for growth, with expectations of increased cash flow and dividend payouts as capital expenditures decline [18][19]. Summary by Sections Industry News - Indonesia's sovereign fund has initiated the first waste-to-energy project tender, with plans for 33 plants and a total investment of approximately 56 billion USD [11]. - The solid waste industry is transitioning to a mature phase, focusing on efficiency improvements and cash flow generation [14]. - The environmental sanitation vehicle market saw a 63.18% increase in new energy vehicle sales, with a penetration rate of 17.40% [20]. Key Recommendations - Recommended stocks include: - **Waiming Environmental**: Selected as a supplier for Indonesia's waste-to-energy projects, with significant operational capacity [13]. - **Green Power**: Strong performance driven by increased heating capacity and cost savings [14]. - **Yongxing Co.**: Notable growth in revenue and profit due to improved operational efficiency [14]. - Companies to watch include **Dayu Water Saving**, **Lian Tai Environmental**, and **Wang Neng Environment** [1]. Financial Performance - The solid waste sector reported a 12% increase in net profit and a 2.7 percentage point rise in gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 [14]. - Free cash flow for the sector reached 13.3 billion CNY, marking a 28% increase year-on-year [14]. - Dividend payouts are expected to rise, with several companies maintaining high payout ratios [15][18]. Market Trends - The water services sector is expected to see a cash flow turnaround, similar to the solid waste sector, with anticipated increases in dividend payouts as capital expenditures decrease [18][19]. - Price reforms in water services are expected to enhance growth and valuation, with cities like Guangzhou and Shenzhen implementing price increases [18]. Equipment and Technology - The report highlights the growth in the environmental sanitation vehicle market, particularly in new energy vehicles, which are becoming increasingly prevalent [20]. - The report also notes improvements in the profitability of lithium battery recycling, with a slight decrease in metal prices leading to better margins [34][35].

Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Jingsheng New Energy Co., Ltd. is attempting a second IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange despite facing significant financial challenges, including a cumulative net loss of 959 million yuan over the past two and a half years due to price wars in the lithium and nickel markets [1][2]. Financial Performance - The average selling price of lithium carbonate dropped from 396,000 yuan/ton to 59,000 yuan/ton, and nickel sulfate from 35,000 yuan/ton to 23,000 yuan/ton during the reporting period [2]. - Despite a nearly 200% increase in lithium carbonate sales and over 40% growth in nickel sulfate sales from 2022 to 2024, total revenue fell to 2.157 billion yuan in 2024, approximately 70% of 2022's revenue [2]. - The gross margin for lithium and nickel recycling products turned negative in the second year, with margins of -2.9%, -2.3%, and -0.1% for lithium products from 2023 to the first half of 2025 [2][3]. Cost Structure - Management and R&D expenses have been rising, with management expense ratio reaching 8.52% and R&D expense ratio at 5.59% in the first half of 2025, totaling 14.11% of revenue [3]. - The company’s net profit for the reporting period was 151 million yuan, -471 million yuan, -344 million yuan, and -144 million yuan, leading to a cumulative loss of 959 million yuan over the last two and a half years [3]. Debt and Cash Flow - The company’s cash flow from operating activities was negative for most of the reporting period, with a significant drop of 98.4% in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous year [4]. - The debt-to-asset ratio increased from 48.53% to 73.30% over the reporting period, indicating growing financial pressure [5]. - As of June 2025, the company had 2.1 billion yuan in short-term and long-term loans, while cash and cash equivalents were only 36.61 million yuan [5]. Production Capacity and Market Conditions - The company’s capacity utilization rates were 74.1%, 77.0%, 78.2%, and 53.2% over the reporting period, with a significant drop in the first half of 2025 due to technical upgrades [6]. - The company faces challenges in generating sufficient orders to utilize new production capacity, with contract liabilities at only 1.325 million yuan and accounts payable at 335 million yuan [6]. - The ongoing price pressure in the lithium and nickel markets raises concerns about the economic viability of expanding production under current conditions [6]. Industry Outlook - Strong demand in the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets is expected to drive the demand for lithium iron phosphate materials, with growth rates potentially exceeding the overall lithium battery industry [6]. - The lithium iron phosphate industry is currently at a historical low in profitability, suggesting conditions for recovery may be present [6].

Investment Recommendations - Key companies recommended include: Huanlan Environment, Green Power, Green Power Environmental Protection, Conch Venture, Yongxing Shares, Everbright Environment, Junxin Shares, Yuehai Investment, Meike Technology, Jiufeng Energy, Yutong Heavy Industry, Jingjin Equipment, New Energy, Kunlun Energy, Sanfeng Environment, Xingrong Environment, Hongcheng Environment, China Water Affairs, Weiming Environmental Protection, Longjing Environmental Protection, High Energy Environment, Blue Sky Gas, New Energy Shares, Science and Technology, Jinke Environment, Yingke Recycling, and Lude Environment [1] Policy Tracking - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment will release a carbon emission trading market quota plan for the steel, cement, and aluminum smelting industries. The distribution plan continues the framework of the power generation industry, with a full-cycle free allocation from 2024 to 2025, reserving space for a combination of free and paid allocation by 2027. The plan covers quota management for the three industries from 2024 to 2025, adding approximately 1,500 key emission units and shortening the implementation period by two years [1] Company Tracking - High Energy Environment is experiencing price elasticity due to rising metal prices, with stable operations in the resource recycling sector and active overseas expansion. Longjing Environmental Protection is seeing performance contributions from green electricity in mining, accelerating investment in incremental projects, and revitalizing its old and new business [1] Solid Waste Sector Insights - In July-August 2025, national subsidies for recycling accelerated significantly, with Everbright receiving 2.064 billion yuan in subsidies, exceeding the 1.534 billion yuan received in the same period of 2024. The solid waste sector is seeing improvements in return on equity (ROE) and cash flow, with a 1% year-on-year revenue increase and an 8% rise in net profit for the first half of 2025. The sector's operating cash flow net amount reached 6.9 billion yuan, a 9% increase [2] Water Sector Insights - The water sector is expected to see a cash flow turning point, with a projected significant increase in free cash flow starting in 2026. The dividend payout ratio for core companies is expected to rise, with a 34% payout ratio anticipated for 2024. Price reforms in water pricing are expected to enhance growth and valuation [3] Sanitation Sector Insights - The penetration rate of electric sanitation is accelerating, with a significant increase in sales of new energy equipment. In the first half of 2025, the sales of sanitation vehicles reached 49,577 units, a 3.20% year-on-year increase, with new energy vehicles accounting for 8,284 units, a 69.34% increase [6][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights the benefits of rising metal prices for companies like High Energy Environment and the performance contributions from green electricity in mining for Longjing Environmental Protection. It emphasizes the value of water and solid waste dividends [1] Industry Trends - The environmental protection industry is expected to see a significant increase in cash flow and dividends due to reduced capital expenditures and improved operational efficiency. The solid waste sector is entering a mature phase, with free cash flow turning positive in 2023 and continuing to improve in 2024 [18][20] - The report notes that the market for water services is stabilizing, with a focus on cash flow improvements and potential for high dividends, similar to the garbage incineration sector [23][24] Company Tracking - High Energy Environment is benefiting from rising metal prices and is actively expanding its resource recycling operations. Longjing Environmental Protection is seeing performance contributions from new projects in green electricity and storage equipment [5][18] - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Huanlan Environment, Green Power, and Yongxing Co., highlighting their strong dividend potential and operational improvements [5][23] Policy Tracking - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment is set to release a carbon emissions trading market allocation plan for the steel, cement, and aluminum industries, which will cover approximately 1,500 new key emission units and manage a total emission volume of 3 billion tons of CO2 equivalent [10][11]