交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-09-30燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 6、预期：燃料油市场整体呈现区间震荡格局，充足的库存水平可能抑制现货估值的任何大幅上涨，多数码头供 应商正积极出清9月装船及10月供应的月末剩余货物，而上游原油受地缘事件冲击再度下行，对燃油价格带来较 大压力，预计今日低位运行。FU2601：2820-2880区间运行，LU2511：3360-3420区间运行 1、基本面：尽管调油原料供应充足，但贸易商预计符合规格的含硫0.5%低硫燃料油在下游船燃供应领域不会出 现过剩情况。不过自9月初以来，低硫燃料油裂解价差持续表现疲弱；高硫燃料油市场可能面临9月末到10月 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 燃料油周报 （9.22-9.26） 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 周度观点 2 期现价格 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 周度观点 燃料油周评：上周，国际原油整体提升，燃料油价格同时受到俄罗斯出口禁令延期影响上行强劲，高硫 报收2972元/吨，周涨6.29%，低硫报收3525元/吨，周涨3.92%。 当前含硫0.5%船用燃油市场的主要问题仍在于库存充足，在当前市场结构下，低硫燃料油供应难以释放， 因为无人愿意以贴水价格销售。同时，近期低硫燃料油需求将保持温和，询盘量有限。低硫船用燃料油的疲 软走势导致新加坡低硫燃料油与高硫燃料油现货价差（即Hi-5价差）收窄。不过贸易消息人士表示，亚洲地区 炼厂秋季检修可能在未来几周内削减区域供应，或 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-09-29燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 1、基本面：交易商表示，亚洲高硫燃料油供应在套利货流入增加的背景下，近期将保持供应充足，而下游现货 需求在近几个交易日内表现参差不齐；近期低硫燃料油市场在充足库存背景下可能保持健康，相比往常紧张的 即期驳船运力或将为即期交付溢价提供一定短期支撑，由于库存充足，10月供应的低硫燃料油码头交货估值承 压，而买兴总体维持温和水平；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油412.94美元/吨，基差为117元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为483.5美元/吨，基差为64元 /吨，现货升水期货；偏多 3、库存：新加坡燃料油9月24日当周 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-09-26燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 1、基本面：受到稳定的下游船燃活动及炼厂部分原料需求的支撑，亚洲高硫燃料油市场结构微幅走强。此外， 380CST高硫燃料油现货溢价攀升至两个多月来最高水平；一位新加坡燃料油交易商称，当前含硫0.5%船用燃油 市场的主要问题仍在于库存充足，在当前市场结构下，低硫燃料油供应难以释放，因为无人愿意以贴水价格销 售；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油406.76美元/吨，基差为102元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为470.5美元/吨，基差为-6元/ 吨，现货升水期货；偏多 3、库存：新加坡燃料油9月17日当周库存为2315. ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-09-22燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 1、基本面：亚洲低硫燃料油市场结构维持在近期水平，主要因即期供应充足且下游需求疲软。由于实物货品报 价竞争激烈，含硫0.5%船用燃油现货价差四个交易日来首次转为贴水；新加坡380CST高硫燃料油10-11月互换合 约价差报+3.80美元/吨，与18日持平。由于中国石油收盘估价过程中提出更坚挺的买盘， 380CST高硫燃料油现 货价差在一周多来首次转为溢价；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油397.48美元/吨，基差为115元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为475.5美元/吨，基差为73元 /吨，现货升水期货；偏多 3、 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-09-17燃料油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油： 6、预期：油价收盘上涨，乌克兰频繁袭击俄罗斯能源设施以及俄油供应减少的担忧支撑油价，短期高低硫燃油 均有较强上行动力，基本面短期亦有一定助力，低硫供应预期存在小幅紧张，燃油价格偏强运行。FU2601： 2830-2880区间运行，LU2511：3430-3480区间运行 1、基本面：贸贸易消息人士称，虽然秋季炼厂检修季预计将部分收紧亚洲地区低硫燃料油供应，但由于来自苏 伊士以西市场的低硫燃料油调油组分定期流入亚洲，市场在10月前仍将保持相对充足供应；一位新加坡贸易商 表示，高硫燃料油市场从9月到10月变化不大，需求相对稳定，未见显著变化，数据显示，9月15日，新加坡 380CST高硫燃料油现货贴水为1.48美元/吨，较9月12日的1.27美元/吨贴水有所扩大；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油3 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - This week, the cracking of high-sulfur 380cst in Singapore fluctuated, the spread of near-month contracts oscillated, the basis strengthened, the EW spread oscillated at a high level, and the fluctuation of the near-month spread between domestic and foreign FU contracts intensified due to delivery factors. The cracking of low-sulfur fuel oil weakened rapidly, the spread of contracts weakened at an accelerated pace, and the spread between domestic and foreign LU contracts compressed to $6 - 7 per ton, with the basis of MF0.5 oscillating [4]. - Fundamentally, Singapore's residue inventory decreased by 871,000 barrels, floating storage decreased slightly, ARA residue inventory increased significantly, and EIA residue inventory continued to increase. The peak season for high-sulfur fuel oil in the Middle East has passed. Due to the reshaping of logistics, the demand for high-sulfur marine fuel in Singapore provides support, and the EW spread has completed its repair. The spread between domestic and foreign high-sulfur fuel oil has risen again due to the impact of delivery warehouses, with short-term repair between domestic and foreign markets. This week, LU prices declined at an accelerated pace, and the basis of the overseas MF0.5 contract was weak. Given the support of gasoline and diesel cracking in Europe and the United States, the opportunity for the spread between low-sulfur and high-sulfur fuel oil to widen in the fourth quarter can be monitored [5]. Group 3: Summary of Related Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, prices of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 fluctuated between $372.49 - $380.24, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 between $429.51 - $439.86, etc., with some prices remaining unchanged on September 11 - 12 [2]. Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, prices of Singapore 380cst M1 fluctuated between $388.46 - $395.14, Singapore 180cst M1 between $397.37 - $399.61, etc., with the spread of Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 decreasing by $0.12 [2]. Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, FOB 380cst prices fluctuated between $388.92 - $396.90, FOB VLSFO between $463.14 - $469.80, etc., with no change in prices on September 11 - 12 [3]. Domestic FU Contract Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, FU 01 prices fluctuated between 2679 - 2802, FU 05 between 2693 - 2754, etc., with changes of -85, -61, -37 for FU 01, FU 05, FU 09 respectively [3]. Domestic LU Contract Prices - From September 8 - 12, 2025, LU 01 prices fluctuated between 3259 - 3385, LU 05 between 3259 - 3347, etc., with changes of -105, -74, -74 for LU 01, LU 05, LU 09 respectively [4].

周度观点 交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 燃料油周报 （9.8-9.12） 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 周度观点 2 期现价格 3 基本面数据 4 5 价差数据 库存数据 燃料油周评：上周，国际原油整体震荡运行，燃料油价格震荡较大，高硫报收2797元/吨，周涨1.38%， 低硫报收3348元/吨，周跌1.30%。 低硫燃料油呈震荡下跌走势，高硫燃料油则震荡上涨。从基本面看，低硫燃料油市场结构走弱，高硫燃 料油市场稍有支撑。具体来看：市场消息人士称，尽管9月西方至亚洲的低硫燃料油套利货量环比下降，但由 于即期供应充足导致码头船燃需求持续疲软，亚洲低硫燃料油市场短期内仍将承压。预计9月新加坡将从西方 接收约240-250万吨低硫燃料油，低于8月的约270-280万吨。 高硫方面， ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - High - sulfur fuel oil: Short - term neutral, medium - term downward [3] - Low - sulfur fuel oil: Short - term neutral, medium - term downward [3] - Cross - variety: None [3] - Cross - period: None [3] - Spot - futures: None [3] - Options: None [3] Group 2: Core View of the Report - The market sentiment has slightly recovered from the news of OPEC's production increase, and oil prices have stabilized. However, due to the unclear situation of the Russia - Ukraine conflict and US sanctions, oil prices may fluctuate repeatedly, providing limited guidance for the unilateral price direction of downstream fuel oil [1] - High - sulfur fuel oil is in a stage of market adjustment and re - balancing, with both long and short factors intertwined. Supply is tightening due to sanctions on Russia and Iran and attacks on Russian refineries, and downstream bunker demand is fair. But Middle East fuel oil exports are increasing, and Singapore's inventory is high [1] - Low - sulfur fuel oil currently has limited market pressure. Domestic production has slightly rebounded but remains at a relatively low level. In the medium - term, it faces the contradiction of demand share being replaced and having more surplus capacity, with upward resistance despite some support at the lower valuation [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Content Market Analysis - The main contract of SHFE fuel oil futures closed up 1.13% at 2,764 yuan/ton, and the main contract of INE low - sulfur fuel oil futures closed up 0.68% at 3,385 yuan/ton [1] - Although OPEC has lifted the second - layer production limit, the increase in quotas does not necessarily mean an increase in actual production, and the short - term pressure on the market is limited [1] - High - sulfur fuel oil: Supply is affected by sanctions and attacks on refineries, while Middle East exports are expected to increase, and Singapore's inventory is high [1] - Low - sulfur fuel oil: Domestic production in August was 1.06 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 46,000 tons or 4.51%. There are no obvious signs of increased production in September, and the production trend this year is expected to be more stable than last year. The supply of arbitrage cargoes from the Western region is expected to decrease in September [2] Strategy - High - sulfur: Short - term neutral, medium - term downward [3] - Low - sulfur: Short - term neutral, medium - term downward [3] - Cross - variety: None [3] - Cross - period: None [3] - Spot - futures: None [3] - Options: None [3]

Report Summary Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The Asian high - sulfur fuel oil market structure has weakened. The spot spread of Singapore 380CST high - sulfur fuel oil turned negative again after a two - month premium. The sufficient inventory has been suppressing the market fundamentals, and the premium of Singapore's 0.5% sulfur marine fuel terminal delivery term contract weakened slightly in September. - With OPEC+ not reaching a consensus on whether to increase production before the meeting and market confidence damaged, fuel oil is following crude oil in low - level operation. The expected operating range for FU2510 is 2740 - 2790, and for LU2511 is 3380 - 3430 [3]. Summary by Directory 1. Daily Prompt - **Fundamentals**: The Asian high - sulfur fuel oil market structure is weak, and the low - sulfur fuel oil premium has weakened. The downstream marine fuel demand provides some support, but inventory pressure persists. - **Basis**: Singapore high - sulfur fuel oil basis is 154 yuan/ton, and low - sulfur is 183 yuan/ton, with spot premiums over futures. - **Inventory**: Singapore fuel oil inventory in the week of September 3 was 23.309 billion barrels, an increase of 1.42 billion barrels. - **Market**: Prices are above the 20 - day line, and the 20 - day line is flat. - **Main Positions**: High - sulfur main positions are short with an increase in shorts; low - sulfur main positions are long with a shift from short to long. - **Expectations**: Fuel oil will operate in the range of 2740 - 2790 for FU2510 and 3380 - 3430 for LU2511 [3]. 2. Multi - Short Concerns - **Likely to Rise**: There is a possibility of increased sanctions against Russia. - **Likely to Fall**: The optimism on the demand side remains to be verified, and the upstream crude oil price is weak. The market is driven by the impact of geopolitical risks on the supply side and neutral demand [4]. 3. Fundamental Data - **Futures Quotes**: The price of the FU main contract futures decreased by 13 to 2828, a decrease of 0.46%. The LU main contract futures price decreased by 17 to 3525, a decrease of 0.48%. The basis of FU increased by 25 to 108, an increase of 29.81%. The basis of LU increased by 92 to 132, an increase of 224.99% [5]. - **Spot Quotes**: The price of Zhoushan high - sulfur fuel oil decreased by 5 to 520, a decrease of 0.95%. The price of Zhoushan low - sulfur fuel oil decreased by 18.06 to 187.63, a decrease of 8.78%. The price of Singapore high - sulfur fuel oil increased by 2.29 to 400.92, an increase of 0.57%. The price of Singapore low - sulfur fuel oil increased by 6 to 498.5, an increase of 1.22%. The price of Middle - East high - sulfur fuel oil increased by 1.69 to 379.33, an increase of 0.45%. The price of Singapore diesel increased by 13.78 to 639.02, an increase of 2.20% [6]. 4. Inventory Data - Singapore fuel oil inventory on September 3 was 23.309 billion barrels, an increase of 1.42 billion barrels compared to the previous period. The inventory showed an upward trend in the week of September 3 [3][8].