证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 08 月 25 日 猪肉供过于求局面加剧，猪价继续下跌 [Table_Title2] 农林牧渔行业周报第 26 期 [Table_Summary] 本周观点: 种植产业链：8 月 19 日，农业农村部种植业管理司会同全国农 业技术推广服务中心在广西南宁召开全国秋粮作物中后期重大 病虫害防控现场会，组织主产省份观摩重大病虫害绿色防控作 业现场，邀请行业专家重点讲解水稻和玉米病虫害发生规律及 绿色防控技术，动员安排秋粮作物重大病虫害防控工作。会议 指出，秋粮产量占全年粮食产量的四分之三，要完成今年粮食 产量 1.4 万亿斤左右的目标任务，关键看秋粮。把好秋粮病虫 害防控关，对夺取全年粮食丰收意义重大。当前，受降雨偏多 等不利因素影响，秋粮重大病虫害发生重于上年，监测防控任 务仍较为艰巨。8—9 月份是秋粮产量形成的关键时期，也是病 虫害多发重发期。各地要高度重视，突出重点、分类指导、科 学防控，抓住主要作物、重点区域、重大病虫和关键环节，全 力以赴推进"虫口夺粮"保秋粮丰收行动。在粮食安全背景 下，转基因技术在提升单产方面具有革命性作用，我们判断 ...

以下文章来源于RimeData 来觅数据 ，作者来觅研究院 RimeData 来觅数据 . 全面的一级市场数据平台 在政策持续聚焦与推动下，乡村振兴战略稳步迈进，二季度乡村振兴领域呈现出蓬勃发展的态势，在粮食生产、产业发展、农村建设等多方面成果显著， 进一步夯实了 "农业强、农村美、农民富" 的发展根基。种业振兴与智慧农业在二季度持续发力。种业领域，政策持续加持，2025 年中央一号文件首次将 "基因编辑育种产业化攻关" 纳入重点任务，并缩短政策审批周期至 18 个月，极大激发了科研机构与企业的创新活力。在智慧农业方面，各地依托数字技 术，持续推进农业生产智能化。中央一号文件提出支持发展智慧农业，拓展人工智能、数据、低空等技术应用场景，并提升农村地区电信普遍服务水平， 为智慧农业发展筑牢基建根基。 2 2025年二季度乡村振兴领域融资活跃度延续回升态势。据来觅PEVC数据，2025年一季度乡村振兴领域合计发生融资案例46起，较上季度增长2.22%；合 计涉及融资金额16.09亿元，环比增长8.64%。 从获投领域来看， 农产品加工赛道延续热度，本季度发生8起融资案例，仍居细分领域首位，合计融资金额 14.1 ...

Group 1 - A research team from the Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Yazhou Bay National Laboratory has discovered a regulatory gene for "embryo-less" rice, which is expected to enhance the quality and storage capacity of rice [1] - The key regulatory gene OsBZR4 was cloned and its mechanism of action was elucidated, showing that mutations in this gene can produce 60% to 100% embryo-less seeds across different cultivated varieties [1] - The application of transgenic technology is crucial for food security, addressing climate crises, and achieving green agricultural transformation, with a projected 60% increase in global food demand by 2050 due to a population rise to 9.8 billion [1] Group 2 - The Central Document No. 1 emphasizes the industrialization of biological breeding, with policies such as financial subsidies, tax incentives, and market access facilitation to accelerate technology implementation [2] - Future efforts should focus on technological innovation (gene editing, composite traits), policy support (industrial promotion), and public trust (transparent regulation and science popularization) to transition China from a "seed power" to a "strong seed industry" [2] Group 3 - Companies such as Shennong Seed Industry and Beidahuang are mentioned in relation to the advancements in the seed industry [3]

Group 1: Artificial Intelligence - Ant Financial's AI customer service agent passed the evaluation by the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology, achieving a 4+ level, marking it as the first in the industry to do so [1] - CITIC Securities noted that AI large models are evolving towards greater efficiency and reliability, with a significant increase in reasoning model demand expected to drive computational power needs [1] - The AI gaming sector is projected to see substantial growth, with the global mobile and PC game market expected to exceed $120 billion by 2028 [3] - OpenAI is set to launch the GPT-5 model, which integrates multiple technologies to handle text, code, images, and tool calls in a unified system [4][8] Group 2: Solid-State Batteries - SAIC confirmed that the new MG4 electric hatchback will be the world's first mass-produced electric vehicle equipped with semi-solid-state batteries, set to debut on August 5 [2] - Dongfeng's solid-state battery is expected to achieve a density of 350Wh/kg and a range exceeding 1000KM by 2026 [2] - The solid-state battery market is anticipated to reach over 300 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 78% from 2025 to 2030 [2] Group 3: Photovoltaic Glass - The price of single-layer coated photovoltaic glass has increased to 10.5-11.0 yuan per square meter, with some companies quoting as high as 11.5 yuan due to strong order volumes [5] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has raised the new order price for photovoltaic glass to 11 yuan per square meter, indicating a trend towards price recovery [5] Group 4: Genetically Modified Organisms - A research team discovered a key regulatory gene in rice that can lead to the development of higher quality and more storage-resistant rice varieties [6] - The application of genetically modified technology is seen as crucial for food security and addressing climate challenges, with significant government support for its commercialization [6] Group 5: HIV Vaccine Development - China's first clinical trial for an HIV vaccine using a modified smallpox virus has shown promising safety and immune response results [7] - The global HIV vaccine market is projected to exceed $50 billion by 2030, with China expected to capture over 30% of this market share [7] Group 6: SaaS Industry - OpenAI's GPT-5 is expected to revolutionize the SaaS industry, moving competition from feature stacking to deeper technological integration [8] - The enterprise service sector is likely to be one of the first areas to benefit from the deployment of GPT-5 [8]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment outlook for the rural revitalization sector, highlighting significant growth and opportunities in various sub-sectors [6][19]. Core Insights - The rural revitalization strategy is progressing steadily, with notable achievements in grain production, industrial development, and rural construction, reinforcing the foundation for a strong agricultural sector [6]. - The average disposable income of rural residents reached 11,936 yuan, reflecting a real growth of 6.2%, which is higher than urban income growth [7]. - The report emphasizes the integration of digital technology in agriculture, with a focus on smart agriculture and the application of AI and data technologies [7][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The rural revitalization sector is experiencing robust development, particularly in grain production, with summer grain output reaching 2,994.8 billion jin, ensuring food security [6]. - The report outlines the continuous policy support for seed industry revitalization and smart agriculture, with significant investments in technology and infrastructure [7]. Investment Dynamics - In Q2 2025, the rural revitalization sector saw a total of 46 financing cases, with a total financing amount of 1.609 billion yuan, marking an 8.64% increase from the previous quarter [19]. - The financing activity is concentrated in agricultural product processing, with 8 financing cases totaling 1.41 billion yuan, driven by significant financing events [19]. - The report notes a shift towards later-stage financing, with a higher concentration of investments in B rounds and beyond, indicating a cautious approach from investors towards early-stage projects [20]. Key Financing Events - Notable financing events include a 1.3 billion yuan strategic financing for Sheng Tai Chuang Fa, aimed at integrating the grain processing business [32]. - Other significant investments include over 100 million yuan in Zhi Dai Technology and several multi-million yuan investments in various agricultural sectors [32]. Active Investors - The report identifies 13 active investment institutions in the rural revitalization sector, with a focus on smart agriculture and genetically modified organisms [30]. - State-owned funds dominate the financing landscape, with a preference for debt financing due to the long-term nature and high capital requirements of the sector [30]. Policy and Timeline - The report outlines several key policies aimed at enhancing rural health services, promoting high-quality farmer training, and supporting digital rural development [10][11]. - Important milestones include the issuance of various regulations and funding initiatives to bolster rural infrastructure and agricultural productivity [12].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The pork market is experiencing an oversupply, leading to a continued decline in pork prices. The average price of external three yuan pigs is 14.13 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 1.09% [2][12] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs emphasizes the need for quality improvement and efficiency enhancement in the pig industry, suggesting that outdated production capacity will gradually be eliminated [2][13] - The report highlights the potential benefits of genetically modified crops in increasing yield and self-sufficiency rates for key varieties, with specific companies recommended for investment [12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry - A meeting was held to discuss increasing crop yields in Northeast China, which is crucial for national food security. The region has seen improvements in planting density and technology, contributing to stable yield increases [1] - Companies such as Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development are expected to benefit from these developments, along with seed companies like Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][12] Pig Farming - The average price of pigs has shown a downward trend, with the average weight of slaughtered pigs decreasing for eight consecutive weeks. The number of breeding sows has also decreased slightly [2][12] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, including DeKang Agriculture and Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. [13] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2406.65 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.09% [27] - Wheat: The average price is 2440.86 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.08% [30] - Rice: The average price of japonica rice is 2912.00 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.14% [35] - Soybeans: The average price is 3926.32 yuan/ton, remaining stable week-on-week [40] - Cotton: The average price is 15410.00 yuan/ton, with a slight decrease of 0.02% [47] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.73 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.37% [53] - The average price of vitamin E is 68.00 yuan/kg, remaining stable week-on-week [62]

Core Viewpoint - Gene editing technology is revolutionizing the understanding of life by allowing precise modifications of genetic sequences, akin to using a "molecular scissors" to correct genetic errors [2][3][4] Group 1: Technology Development - The evolution of gene editing technology has progressed rapidly, particularly with the advent of CRISPR technology in 2012, which significantly lowered the technical barriers and costs associated with gene editing [4][5] - Newer techniques such as base editing and guided editing have emerged, providing more precise tools for genetic modifications, enhancing both basic scientific research and translational medicine [5][6] Group 2: Applications in Medicine - Gene editing technology offers innovative treatment methods for genetic diseases, such as using CRISPR to edit hematopoietic stem cells for conditions like thalassemia, leading to significant symptom relief in patients [6] - In cancer treatment, gene editing is utilized in CAR-T therapy, which modifies patients' immune cells to better target and combat cancer cells [6] Group 3: Applications in Agriculture and Bio-manufacturing - In agriculture, gene editing has been used to develop new rice varieties that are resistant to diseases and environmental stressors, contributing to global food security [6] - The technology also plays a crucial role in bio-manufacturing, enhancing the efficiency of biofuel production and reducing costs in the synthesis of scarce drugs [6] Group 4: Ethical Considerations - The advancement of gene editing technology raises significant ethical concerns, particularly regarding the editing of human germline cells, which could permanently alter the human gene pool and pose risks to future generations [7][8] - There is a need for strict ethical guidelines and international collaboration to ensure responsible use of gene editing technologies, prioritizing non-heritable somatic cell editing for therapeutic purposes [7][8] Group 5: Regulatory Framework - In July 2024, the Ministry of Science and Technology released ethical guidelines for human genome editing research, addressing the ethical challenges and promoting healthy development in this field [8]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of the pig farming sector amidst stricter environmental regulations and rising pork prices, suggesting a focus on investment opportunities in this area [2][12] - The report highlights the expected increase in autumn grain production, driven by favorable soil conditions and government initiatives aimed at enhancing crop yields [1][11] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The current main flood season poses risks for agricultural disasters, with regional droughts and floods expected [1] - The Ministry of Agriculture aims to achieve a grain production target of approximately 1.4 trillion jin, focusing on key crops and regions [1][11] - The commercialization of genetically modified crops is anticipated to accelerate, enhancing self-sufficiency in key varieties [1][11] - Recommended stocks include Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development in the planting sector, and leading seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Denge Seed Industry [1][11] Pig Farming - The average price of external three-way cross pigs is 15.17 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 4.97% [2][12] - The number of breeding sows is projected to reach 40.42 million by May 2025, with a slight increase from previous periods [2][12] - The report suggests focusing on companies with significant cost improvements and high future output elasticity, including Dekang Agriculture, Jingji Zhino, Muyuan Foods, and Wen's Foodstuffs [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2435.68 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.37% [24] - Wheat: The average price is 2450.52 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.18% [27] - Rice: The average price is 2892 yuan/ton, remaining stable [32] - Soybeans: The average price is 3926.32 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.30% [39] - Cotton: The average price is 15130 yuan/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.54% [44] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is 2.69 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.75% [50] - Vitamin E averages 69.90 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 5.16% [57]

Core Viewpoint - The recent successful application of personalized gene editing therapy on a 6-month-old infant marks a significant milestone in the treatment of genetic diseases, opening new avenues for patients lacking effective treatment options [1] Group 1: Gene Editing Technology Overview - Gene editing technology allows for precise deletion, insertion, or replacement of specific genes, akin to a "molecular scissors" that can correct and modify defective genes [2][4] - Unlike transgenic technology, which randomly integrates foreign genes into an organism's genome, gene editing modifies the organism's own genes without disrupting the overall structure [2][4] - The evolution of gene editing technology has progressed rapidly, particularly since the advent of CRISPR technology in 2012, which has simplified the process and significantly reduced costs [5][6] Group 2: Applications in Medicine - Gene editing technology is being applied in the treatment of genetic diseases, such as thalassemia, where CRISPR can edit a patient's hematopoietic stem cells to restore normal gene expression [7] - In cancer treatment, CAR-T therapy utilizes gene editing to enhance the immune cells' ability to combat cancer cells, demonstrating the technology's potential in oncology [7] - The technology also aids in modeling complex diseases in research, accelerating drug development by allowing scientists to observe disease progression in genetically edited organisms [7] Group 3: Applications in Agriculture and Bio-manufacturing - In agriculture, gene editing has led to the development of new rice varieties that are resistant to diseases and environmental stress, contributing to global food security [8] - In bio-manufacturing, gene editing enhances production efficiency and reduces costs, such as in the production of biofuels and scarce pharmaceuticals [8] Group 4: Ethical Considerations - The advancement of gene editing technology raises ethical concerns, particularly regarding the editing of human germline cells, which could permanently alter the human gene pool [10] - Ethical guidelines emphasize the importance of prioritizing non-heritable somatic cell editing for therapeutic purposes and prohibiting germline editing in clinical applications [10][11] - The establishment of strict technical boundaries and international regulatory frameworks is essential to prevent ethical violations and ensure that gene editing serves societal welfare [10][11]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Insights - The report highlights that the sentiment in the pork market is supporting an upward shift in pork prices, with the average price for external three-line pigs at 14.20 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.43% [2][12] - The report emphasizes the importance of increasing soybean and oilseed production, with a focus on enhancing yield through advanced agricultural practices and the promotion of genetically modified varieties [1][11] - The report suggests that while short-term consumer demand is recovering, supply remains relatively loose, but medium to long-term projections indicate that pork prices may exceed expectations in the second half of 2025 due to slow recovery in production capacity [2][12] Summary by Sections Planting Industry Chain - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs held a meeting to discuss the production and demand situation for soybeans and oilseeds, emphasizing the need to enhance production capacity and implement key measures for yield improvement [1][11] - The report identifies potential beneficiaries in the planting sector, including Beidahuang and Suqian Agricultural Development, and recommends companies with a strong first-mover advantage in the seed industry such as Dabeinong and Longping High-Tech [1][11] Swine Farming - The average price of external three-line pigs is reported at 14.20 CNY/kg, with a significant increase in slaughter volume and consumer demand noted [2][12] - The report indicates that the number of breeding sows has decreased slightly, and the profitability of self-breeding operations has turned positive, suggesting a potential for recovery in the swine sector [2][12] - Recommended stocks in the swine farming sector include companies like Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and DeKang Agriculture [2][12] Key Agricultural Product Data Tracking - Corn: The average price is 2412.94 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.54% [26] - Wheat: The average price is 2440.61 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.46% [29] - Soybeans: The average price is 3946.32 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.21% [40] - Cotton: The average price is 14760.00 CNY/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 0.15% [45] Feed and Vitamin Prices - The average price of pig feed is reported at 2.69 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.75% [51] - Vitamin E prices have decreased by 10.02% to 80.80 CNY/kg [51][59]