黄金多头趋势
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山海:美联储如期降息,黄金反倒再次陷入弱势震荡!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-30 01:45
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates as expected in November, emphasizing a 25 basis point cut, but indicated that there may not be a rate cut in December, leading to a decline in both the US dollar and gold prices [1][2] - Gold experienced a temporary decline from a high of 4030 to a low of 4917, but the overall trend remains bullish, with expectations of a rebound as long as significant declines do not occur [1][2] - Silver's decline has been limited, showing signs of a potential upward movement, with a solid bottom foundation indicating possible gains in the coming days [1][3] Group 2 - Prior to the Federal Reserve's decision, gold was anticipated to rebound to 4020, with potential movements to 4100 or a decline of around 50 dollars depending on market reactions [2] - The domestic gold market showed strong performance, with contracts reaching highs of 922 for Shanghai gold and 917 for Rongtong gold, suggesting opportunities for further long positions [3] - The international silver market remained strong despite the Fed's decisions, with expectations for silver to reach a target of 49.5, maintaining a bullish outlook [3] Group 3 - Crude oil showed unclear performance, fluctuating around 60.3 after a peak of 61, with a focus on the resistance level at 63 for potential adjustments [4] - Domestic fuel oil remains stable, with uncertainty about the continuation of bullish trends, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [4]
山海:市场多重因素影响,金银看涨极强状态不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 02:29
Core Viewpoint - The market remains volatile, influenced by geopolitical situations and trade tariffs, with gold and silver experiencing significant price increases recently. The bullish trend for gold is expected to continue, but attention should be paid to the price fluctuations and market dynamics [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has maintained a bullish trend, with a peak price of 4060 recently. The market experienced a three-day upward trend followed by a correction, but a strong close on Friday suggests potential for further gains early in the week [4][5]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at 3945 and 3900, with a strong bullish outlook as long as prices remain above these levels. A break above 4060 could lead to targets of 4100 and 4500 [5][6]. - Caution is advised against chasing high prices; instead, traders should look for opportunities to buy on dips, particularly around the support level of 4010 [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market has shown a strong bullish trend, with prices reaching a historical high of 51.5. The key support levels for silver are at 48.5 and 47.5, and as long as these levels hold, the outlook remains bullish [6][7]. - Traders are encouraged to wait for price corrections to enter long positions, particularly around the support level of 49.5 [6]. Domestic Fuel Market - The domestic fuel market has shown a bullish trend, with previous recommendations to buy at 2750 leading to significant gains. Current strategies suggest continuing to buy at 2750 with a target of 3000 [8].
江沐洋:9.24今日黄金走势分析日线有转阴风险
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 08:40
Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Spot gold reached a record high of $3,790.97 per ounce on Tuesday, closing at $3,763.93, with an increase of 0.46% [1] - The strong momentum in the gold market is driven by ongoing expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and escalating geopolitical tensions, which have heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets [1] - Market sentiment remains bullish despite cautious remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding the economic outlook, with the focus shifting to the upcoming U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - The current strategy for trading gold is to maintain a bullish outlook without chasing prices, focusing on buying on dips rather than predicting market tops [2] - After reaching a peak of $3,791, gold experienced a significant pullback to a low of $3,752, indicating a potential high-level consolidation rather than a trend reversal [2] - Key support levels are identified at $3,715, and as long as this level holds, a strong shift in trend is unlikely [2][4] Group 3: Silver Market Overview - Spot silver rose to $44.4 before undergoing a correction, with current lows around $44, suggesting a potential buying opportunity on dips [5] - Support for silver is noted at approximately $43.5, with resistance levels identified in the $44.8 to $45 range [5] - Similar to gold, silver trading strategies recommend waiting for price corrections before entering long positions, with a cautionary note regarding potential volatility leading up to the National Day holiday [5]
江沐洋:9.15金价高位整理趋势不变,今日黄金走势操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 08:23
Market Overview - Gold prices increased last Friday, approaching record highs, as signs of a weak U.S. labor market strengthened expectations for the Federal Reserve's first rate cut of the year this week [1] - Spot gold closed at $3648.55 per ounce, up 0.4%, nearing the record high of $3673.95, marking the fourth consecutive week of gains [1] - December futures for U.S. gold rose 0.3%, settling at $3686.40 [1] Economic Indicators - Recent data showed a significant increase in initial jobless claims in the U.S., alongside weak non-farm payroll data, with employment positions revised down by 910,000 over the past 12 months, indicating a cooling economic momentum [1] - The consumer price index in August recorded the largest month-on-month increase in seven months, but investors are focusing more on labor market weakness than persistent inflation when forming interest rate expectations [1] Federal Reserve Expectations - The federal funds futures market fully priced in a 25 basis point rate cut at the September 17 meeting, with bets on a potential 50 basis point cut [1] - President Trump anticipates that the Federal Reserve will implement "significant rate cuts" [1] Technical Analysis - The gold market is currently in a bullish trend, with short-term high consolidation expected [2] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3600 and $3500; a drop below $3600 could indicate a shift in market strength, while a breach of $3500 may signal a change in the bullish-bearish trend [4] - The H4 timeframe shows a more defined consolidation pattern, with a trading range expected between $3615 and $3660 for early this week [4] Domestic Gold Market - The domestic gold market is also experiencing high-level consolidation, with support levels set at 830 for Shanghai gold and 820 for Rongtong gold [5] - The market is expected to maintain a bullish trend in the early part of the week, with potential for a downturn following the Federal Reserve's rate decision [5]
张德盛:9.5黄金今日非农看涨还是跌,积存金行情走势分析操作
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 03:16
Group 1 - The current spot gold price is fluctuating around $3550 per ounce, with a recent drop of 0.4% to $3545.63 per ounce, and a low of $3511.44 per ounce during trading [2] - Investors are focused on the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report, which could influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and subsequently affect gold prices [2] - Weak employment indicators are reinforcing expectations for interest rate cuts, supporting gold's safe-haven demand, while better-than-expected data could put more pressure on gold [2] Group 2 - After a dip, gold rebounded and is currently in a consolidation phase, with key levels to watch being $3575 for resistance and $3510 for support [3] - The $3500 level is identified as the last support for bulls, with a significant upward movement of over $200 observed this week despite a $70 drop on Thursday morning [3] - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend for gold, with the stochastic indicator showing no clear bearish signals and MACD lines trending upwards [3] Group 3 - Domestic gold prices in China are rising in line with international market trends, with potential for a pullback [3] - The suggested trading strategy includes light short positions in domestic gold, with targets around 818 for Shanghai gold and 810 for accumulated gold, depending on the non-farm data impact [3]
张德盛:9.3国际黄金连续破高继续多,积存金行情走势分析操作
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 07:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold has demonstrated its appeal as a safe-haven asset amid global economic uncertainties, with prices surpassing $3500 per ounce for the first time, reflecting a response to weak U.S. economic indicators and geopolitical risks [2] - Gold prices surged over 1% on Tuesday, reaching a high of $3539.88 per ounce and closing at $3533.40, marking a year-to-date increase of 34.5%, significantly outperforming other assets [2] - The backdrop of continuous contraction in U.S. manufacturing, escalating tariff disputes, and strong expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts has contributed to the robust rise in gold prices, indicating investors' instinctive choice for safety [2] Group 2 - The analysis suggests that the bullish trend for gold remains intact, with recommendations to wait for pullbacks to enter long positions, particularly at support levels of 3525 and 3500 [3] - The domestic gold market in China has also seen significant increases, with Shanghai gold reaching around 818 and accumulated gold at approximately 811, reflecting the international market's upward momentum [3] - The strategy emphasizes a cautious approach, advocating for buying on dips rather than chasing prices higher, as the current market dynamics are driven by major players and not purely technical analysis [3]
山海:多方面因素影响,推动黄金无脑上涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 03:11
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The bullish trend for gold remains unchanged, with a focus on waiting for pullbacks to enter long positions, particularly at support levels of 3525 and 3500 [4][5] - Recent price movements show a significant increase from 3410 to 3550, indicating strong market momentum that is difficult to analyze through technical means [5] - The domestic gold market has mirrored international trends, with significant price increases observed, and the recommendation is to maintain a bullish stance without shorting [5][6] Group 2: Silver Market Insights - International silver experienced a predicted pullback, with key support at 40; a break below this level could signal a shift in market strength [6] - The upper resistance levels for silver are noted at 41 and 41.5, with expectations of another upward movement before potentially reaching a peak [6] - Domestic silver also showed a pullback, with a focus on resistance at 9950 and support at 9700, indicating a cautious approach to trading [6] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - The oil market is currently observing upward momentum, with support at 62.5 and potential for further increases if the price breaks above 65 [6] - Recent trading has seen oil prices close at around 66, suggesting a stronger performance compared to gold [6] - The recommendation is to continue a bullish outlook on oil, with a target of reaching 68 to 70 [6] Group 4: Fuel Oil Market Commentary - Domestic fuel oil has shown a successful rise, with current prices around 2840; however, it is advised to take profits and remain cautious [7] - The market is expected to oscillate between 2700 and 3000, indicating a non-trending environment where traders should wait for pullbacks to enter long positions [7]
香港第一金PPLI金评:关税与降息刺激黄金 伦敦金多头趋势未改
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 07:41
Group 1: Market Influences - The U.S. President's rare visit to the Federal Reserve headquarters highlights a public disagreement with Chairman Powell over the rising costs of a renovation project, which has escalated to $3.1 billion [1] - The U.S. has imposed a 15% tariff on Japanese goods, while Japan has committed to invest $550 billion in the U.S. [1] - The escalating conflict between Cambodia and Thailand has resulted in at least 33 deaths and 28 injuries, impacting regional stability [1] Group 2: Gold Market Insights - The gold jewelry market is still expected to grow, despite concerns about market saturation, with over 80% of Chinese consumers owning gold jewelry [2] - A significant 67% of surveyed individuals expressed intentions to purchase gold jewelry within the next 12 months as a means of preserving value [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The daily trend for gold remains bullish, with strong support around $3,320 per ounce, despite a recent drop to $3,323 per ounce [4] - The four-hour chart indicates a double bottom formation, suggesting a potential upward movement, with a target price of $3,350 per ounce [4] - The current investment strategy recommends a bullish outlook on gold at $3,310 per ounce, with a target of $3,350 per ounce [4]
黄金多头目标顺利到达!趋势结束后为何暴跌?当下仍有其他趋势机会!最新一期《Steven趋势方程式》栏目已经更新,点击即可把握全新趋势机会>>
news flash· 2025-07-24 13:09
Group 1 - The bullish trend in gold has successfully reached its target, indicating a potential end to the upward movement [1] - Following the completion of the bullish trend, a significant drop in gold prices has been observed, raising questions about the reasons behind this decline [1] - Despite the end of the gold bullish trend, there are still other trend opportunities available in the market [1]
黄金能否冲上3425?新的多头趋势已经开启?3400整数关口不是强阻力?金十研究员Steven正在直播,点击进入直播间观看>>
news flash· 2025-07-22 12:48
Group 1 - The article discusses the potential for gold prices to rise above 3425, indicating the beginning of a new bullish trend [1] - It suggests that the 3400 psychological level is not a strong resistance point for gold [1]