Report Summary 1. Market Performance Review and Outlook - The price of the main polycrystalline silicon contract continued to fluctuate at a high level. The closing price of PS2511 was 49,665 yuan/ton, down 0.10%. The trading volume was 376,304 lots, and the open interest was 143,912 lots, with a net decrease of 10,625 lots [4]. - The transaction price range of n-type re-feeding polycrystalline silicon was 46,000 - 51,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 47,900 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged week-on-week. The polycrystalline silicon output in August will increase to 125,000 tons, and in September, it will enter the stage of production restriction and sales control, but the monthly output is expected to remain above 120,000 tons. The demand is simply calculated to be 56.8GW, higher than the expected output of solar cells. The downward pressure on terminal demand will gradually be transmitted to the upstream of the industrial chain. The domestic new photovoltaic installed capacity in July was only 11GW, and the fundamentals remained loose. The rigid spot price provides strong support for the futures price, but the implementation of policies has not been significantly reflected in the fundamentals. The weak terminal demand pressure is emerging, and the high-level warehouse receipts continue to increase, so the futures price is under pressure and will mainly fluctuate widely [4]. 2. Market News - On August 28, the number of polycrystalline silicon warehouse receipts was 6,880 lots, unchanged from the previous trading day [5]. - As of August 22, many photovoltaic listed companies, including LONGi Green Energy, Tongwei Co., Ltd., and Trina Solar, released their first-half "report cards". Some photovoltaic module manufacturers such as Aikosolar Co., Ltd. and Hongyuan Green Energy showed signs of performance improvement, achieving loss reduction or turning losses into profits in the first half of the year. Experts believe that in the context of the continuous advancement of the "anti-involution" process in the photovoltaic industry, as the price adjustment in the polycrystalline silicon segment is gradually accepted by the downstream market, the module price will soon return to the cost line. The whole industry maintaining low-load production and low gross profit margins may become the norm. In addition, promoting "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic industry cannot only focus on the manufacturing end, and the role of the asset end is also crucial [5]. - From January to July 2025, the cumulative photovoltaic installed capacity reached 1,109.6GW, and the new installed capacity from January to July was 223.25GW. The new installed capacity in July was 11GW, a year-on-year decrease of 47.7%, hitting a new low in 2025 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic glass industry is experiencing price adjustments and production capacity reductions due to declining sales and increased competition, with leading company Fulete facing significant revenue and profit declines in the first half of 2025 [1][2][3]. Company Summary - Fulete's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 7.737 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.66%, with net profit down 82.58% to 261 million yuan, attributed to falling sales prices and volumes of photovoltaic glass [1]. - The contribution of photovoltaic glass to Fulete's revenue has dropped below 90% for the first time in two years, with 89.76% in the first half of 2025, down from 91.42% in 2023 [2]. - Fulete has reduced its production capacity by cooling three glass furnaces, resulting in a current daily melting capacity of 16,400 tons, down from 19,400 tons at the end of 2024 [2]. Industry Summary - The photovoltaic glass industry has seen a significant reduction in production capacity, with domestic capacity dropping from 100,000 tons per day at the end of May to 89,000 tons per day by the end of July [4]. - The industry is experiencing a rebound in glass prices due to low inventory levels and increased demand from downstream component manufacturers, with the price of 2.0mm glass rising from a low of 10.5 yuan to 11 yuan per square meter [4][6]. - Recent government measures aim to combat below-cost sales, which may help stabilize prices and encourage the exit of less competitive production capacities [4][6].

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar's performance has been significantly impacted by intensified market competition, resulting in a substantial decline in revenue and a shift from profit to loss in the first half of 2025 [1][6][12]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, JinkoSolar reported revenue of 31.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.63% [6][14]. - The company incurred a net loss of 2.91 billion yuan, compared to a net profit of 1.2 billion yuan in the same period last year, marking a significant shift from profit to loss [6][14]. - The basic earnings per share were -0.29 yuan, a decline of 341.67% compared to the previous year [8][14]. - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were 119.1 billion yuan, with a net asset value of 29.4 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 8.99% year-on-year [8][14]. Market Position and Competitors - JinkoSolar's stock price has been on a downward trend since October last year, with a cumulative decline of over 22% year-to-date, making it the worst performer among the top five companies in the photovoltaic equipment sector [2][4][5]. - In comparison, other major players like Tongwei Co., LONGi Green Energy, and Daqo New Energy have shown positive performance, with year-to-date increases of 30.72%, 5.35%, and 21.09% respectively [5]. Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant downturn, with many companies reporting declining revenues and increasing losses. Out of 30 listed photovoltaic companies that have released their half-year reports, 20 reported a year-on-year revenue decline, and 15 reported net losses [12][13]. - The overall market is facing severe supply-demand imbalances and significant price drops, with average prices for mainstream models decreasing by 66.4% to 89.6% since 2020 [15][16]. Future Outlook - JinkoSolar is focusing on technological advancements and operational efficiency to navigate the current challenges in the industry. The company aims to enhance product quality and reduce costs through lean operations [10][19]. - There are signs of potential recovery in the industry, driven by government policies aimed at regulating competition and improving product quality, which may lead to better performance in the second half of the year [19][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.435 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.87%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 181 million RMB, down 39.58% year-on-year. The second quarter showed a revenue of 3.441 billion RMB, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.93%, and a net profit of 91.1 million RMB, up 1.51% quarter-on-quarter, aligning with expectations [2]. - The company is focusing on rapid iteration in the photovoltaic paste product development to meet customer demands, achieving significant breakthroughs in various metallization technologies, which have led to a cumulative efficiency gain of 0.2% for the year [3]. - The company is extending its industrial chain and expanding its product matrix, with its subsidiary achieving mass production in non-photovoltaic silver paste fields and developing new generation encapsulation adhesives for photovoltaic modules [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.435 billion RMB, down 4.87% year-on-year, and a net profit of 181 million RMB, down 39.58% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a revenue of 3.441 billion RMB, up 14.93% quarter-on-quarter, and a net profit of 91.1 million RMB, up 1.51% quarter-on-quarter, meeting expectations [2]. Operational Analysis - The industry is experiencing an upward turning point, with a significant reduction in credit impairment provisions. The company's cash flow from operating activities in the second quarter was -979 million RMB, a decrease of 722.69% quarter-on-quarter. The company recorded an impairment loss of 39 million RMB in the second quarter, indicating potential recovery in cash flow and impairment situations as the photovoltaic industry continues to improve [2]. Product Development - The company has established a comprehensive technology matrix in the photovoltaic conductive paste field, achieving breakthroughs in high-performance silver paste and UV-resistant silver paste technologies, contributing to a significant reduction in battery costs [3]. Industry Chain Expansion - The company is expanding its product offerings beyond photovoltaic silver paste, with its subsidiary achieving mass production in various electronic paste products and developing advanced encapsulation adhesives for photovoltaic modules, addressing industry pain points [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 411 million RMB, 506 million RMB, and 604 million RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.70, 2.09, and 2.50 RMB. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 31, 25, and 21 times [5].

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on August 27, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.72% [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission and other government bodies held a meeting on August 19 to discuss the photovoltaic industry, emphasizing four key points: strengthening industry regulation, curbing low-price disorderly competition, standardizing product quality, and supporting industry self-discipline [1] - Longjiang Securities believes that the anti-involution trend in the photovoltaic industry remains the main theme of the market, with stable prices in the supply chain and a focus on price transmission to downstream sectors [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext New Energy ETF Huaxia (159368) is the first ETF in the market tracking the ChiNext New Energy Index, covering various sectors such as batteries and photovoltaics, with strong growth potential [2] - The management fee for the ChiNext New Energy ETF Huaxia (159368) is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, totaling only 0.2%, making it the lowest fee among similar products [2] - Investors are encouraged to continuously monitor investment opportunities in the new energy sector, given the favorable conditions and policies aligning with the industry [2]

Group 1: Company Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 23.905 billion CNY and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -2.580 billion CNY during the reporting period [2] - The total assets at the end of the reporting period were 105.598 billion CNY, with net assets attributable to shareholders amounting to 24.800 billion CNY [2] - The battery module shipment volume reached 33.79 GW, with overseas shipments accounting for approximately 45.93% [2][3] Group 2: Innovation and R&D - R&D investment for the first half of 2025 was 1.388 billion CNY, representing 5.81% of revenue [4] - The company holds a total of 2,072 valid patents, including 1,109 invention patents [4] - New product solutions were launched for various extreme environments, including "Desert Blue" and "Ocean Blue" products, enhancing product competitiveness [5] Group 3: Cost Management - The company established teams focused on cost reduction and efficiency improvement across various operational aspects [6] - Strategies include optimizing design costs, improving manufacturing costs, and enhancing supply chain collaboration [6] Group 4: Capacity and Technology Development - Current module capacity stands at 100 GW, with silicon wafer and battery capacities exceeding 80% and 70% of module capacity, respectively [7] - The N-type Bycium+ battery has achieved a maximum conversion efficiency of 27% [7] - The company is exploring various battery technology paths, including BC and perovskite technologies [7] Group 5: Global Strategy and Supply Chain - The company is optimizing its global logistics network to mitigate risks associated with international trade policies [8] - An international capital operation platform is being developed to enhance the company's global brand image and capital strength [9] Group 6: Market Outlook and Pricing - The overall component order prices are on an upward trend, with strategies tailored to different markets and scenarios [11] - The global installation demand is expected to increase by 15-18% in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily driven by China [12] - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in performance as the industry shifts towards high-quality development [14]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on August 26, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.28%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.08%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.45% [1] - The performance of the photovoltaic component manufacturers has shown signs of improvement, with several companies, including Longi Green Energy, Tongwei Co., and Trina Solar, reporting better results for the first half of the year [1] - Some photovoltaic component manufacturers, such as Aiko Solar and Hongyuan Green Energy, have either reduced losses or turned profitable in the first half of the year [1] Group 2 - Huatai Securities noted that the photovoltaic industry is beginning to see the effects of "anti-involution," with significant price increases in silicon materials and wafers since early July, along with a rebound in battery and component prices [1] - The supply-side reform in the photovoltaic industry is expected to deepen, focusing on controlling energy consumption and restricting outdated production capacity in the silicon material segment [1] - The introduction of new technologies is anticipated to accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity, with a recommendation to pay attention to the BC industry chain, leading TOPCon companies, and key auxiliary material leaders [1] Group 3 - The Huaxia New Energy ETF (159368) is the first ETF in the market tracking the ChiNext New Energy Index, covering various sectors within the new energy and electric vehicle industries, including batteries and photovoltaics [2] - The fund has a management fee rate of 0.15% and a custody fee rate of 0.05%, totaling only 0.2%, making it the lowest fee among similar products, facilitating quick investment opportunities [2] - Continuous attention is recommended for those optimistic about future investment opportunities in the new energy sector [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong photovoltaic stocks generally rose, with notable increases including 3.5% for Shanshan New Energy, 2.5% for GCL-Poly Energy, and over 2% for Xinyi Solar [1][1][1] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association recently issued an initiative to strengthen industry self-discipline, advocating for strict compliance with laws and regulations to combat malicious competition through pricing below cost [1][1][1] - Experts believe that as the process of "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic industry continues, the adjustment of polysilicon prices will gradually be accepted by the downstream market, leading to component prices returning to cost levels soon [1][1][1] Group 2 - The entire industry is expected to maintain low production loads and low profit margins as a new norm [1][1][1] - The push for "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic sector should not only focus on manufacturing but also emphasize the importance of the asset side [1][1][1]

Group 1: Rare Earth - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, and the Ministry of Natural Resources released interim measures for total quantity control management of rare earth mining and smelting separation on August 22 [1] - The new management measures indicate a comprehensive upgrade in the regulatory level and scope of rare earth production control, potentially leading to a tightening of supply and an increase in rare earth prices [1][1] - Analysts predict that the domestic rare earth supply will continue to be tight, driving prices upward [1] Group 2: Innovative Pharmaceuticals - China's pharmaceutical industry ranks second globally, with approximately 30% of innovative drugs under research [2] - Since the 14th Five-Year Plan, 387 children's drugs and 147 rare disease drugs have been approved for market, addressing the medication needs of key populations [2] - Analysts believe that the rise of innovative drugs is sustainable, with significant potential for individual products and companies with leading technology platforms [2] Group 3: Photovoltaics - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association issued an initiative to strengthen industry self-discipline and maintain fair competition, urging downstream enterprises to optimize bidding rules [3] - Analysts expect that the photovoltaic industry will see a recovery in long-term profitability as supply-side policies progress and as the industry addresses current challenges [3][3] - The adjustment of polysilicon prices is anticipated to be accepted by the downstream market, leading to a return of component prices to cost levels [3] Group 4: Carbon Emissions - The Central Committee and the State Council released opinions on promoting green and low-carbon transformation and strengthening the national carbon market [4] - By 2027, the national carbon trading market is expected to cover major industrial sectors, with a significant increase in carbon emission quota prices from 46.60 yuan/ton in 2021 to 91.82 yuan/ton in 2024 [4][4] - The total transaction volume of carbon emission quotas reached 1.89 billion tons in 2024, with a total transaction value of 18.114 billion yuan, marking a new annual high [4] Group 5: Storage - Huawei is set to launch a new AI SSD on August 27, aimed at addressing traditional SSD shortcomings in the AI field [5] - The new SSD is expected to enhance data efficiency, which is crucial for enterprise productivity in the era of AI [5] - Analysts highlight the importance of high-performance storage in the training and inference processes of large models, positioning Huawei as a key player in the infrastructure of computing power [5] Group 6: Brain-Computer Interface - A multi-center clinical trial for brain-machine interface technology focusing on precise diagnosis and treatment of hydrocephalus has been initiated by top medical institutions in China [6] - This project marks a significant advancement in brain-machine interface technology, expanding its applications beyond traditional areas [6] - The integration of brain-machine interface technology into medical services has been facilitated by recent policy support from the National Medical Insurance Administration [6] Group 7: Forestry - The People's Bank of China and other regulatory bodies issued a notification to support high-quality development in forestry through financial measures [7] - The forestry sector is evolving beyond traditional timber production to include carbon sink development and ecological tourism [7] - The industry is expected to cover various fields, employing over 100 million people and contributing significantly to the economy [7]

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is facing significant challenges, with major companies reporting substantial losses in the first half of 2025 despite a positive stock market performance on the same day the financial reports were released [1][2]. Financial Performance - The total market capitalization of five major photovoltaic companies (LONGi Green Energy, Tongwei Co., JA Solar, Trina Solar, and TCL Zhonghuan) is approximately 335.9 billion yuan, with individual market caps of 126.4 billion, 97 billion, 41.5 billion, 36.6 billion, and 34.4 billion yuan respectively [2]. - Collectively, these companies reported a net loss of 17.264 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with Tongwei and TCL Zhonghuan accounting for nearly 10 billion yuan of this loss [2]. - LONGi Green Energy reported a net loss of 2.569 billion yuan, a significant reduction from 5.231 billion yuan in the same period last year, primarily due to improved operational efficiency and reduced expenses [2][3]. - Tongwei Co. experienced a loss of 4.955 billion yuan, up from 3.129 billion yuan year-on-year, while Trina Solar reported a loss of 2.918 billion yuan, marking its first half-year loss since its listing in 2020 [3]. Industry Challenges - The industry is grappling with severe supply-demand imbalances, leading to significant price declines across various segments of the photovoltaic supply chain, which has eroded profit margins [3][4]. - From January to June 2025, the production growth rates for battery cells and modules fell below 15%, with polysilicon and wafer production experiencing negative growth [3]. - Average prices for mainstream products have dropped significantly, with reductions of 88.3%, 89.6%, 80.8%, and 66.4% compared to peak prices in 2020 [3]. Market Dynamics - Over 40 companies have announced delistings, bankruptcies, or mergers since 2024, with the first quarter of 2025 seeing 31 A-share listed photovoltaic companies collectively losing 12.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 274.3% in losses [4]. - The industry consensus indicates that the rapid expansion of production capacity has led to a systemic imbalance, pushing prices below the cost line and resulting in widespread losses [3]. Policy and Regulatory Environment - The domestic market is experiencing significant policy changes that impact industry dynamics, demand, and overall market structure [6][7]. - Companies have expressed concerns about the uncertainties arising from policy changes, particularly regarding land use for photovoltaic projects and market pricing mechanisms [7]. - The industry is currently in a deep adjustment phase, with some companies beginning to exit the market due to outdated production capacities and competitive disadvantages [8]. Future Outlook - There is a growing consensus within the industry for a "de-involution" approach, aimed at achieving high-quality development and maintaining fair competition [8][9]. - Recent trends indicate a potential recovery in prices for crystalline silicon, wafers, and modules, with expectations that prices may return above the industry cost level [9].