德国总理默茨：正与美国政府以及欧盟委员会就关税问题进行密切磋商。 ...

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - For the nickel market, with nickel ore prices slightly decreasing, intermediate product supply slightly increasing, recent resurgence of tariff issues, and general market demand, it is expected that nickel prices will be under pressure in the near - term, seeking support downward. The medium - to - long - term strategy remains to sell on rallies for hedging [3]. - For the stainless steel market, due to steel mill production cuts, nickel iron production cuts, a slight decline in nickel ore prices, and the market being in the off - season with general spot transactions, it is expected that stainless steel will oscillate weakly within a range in the near - term, and the medium - to - long - term strategy also remains to sell on rallies for hedging [5]. 3. Summary by Related Contents Nickel Market - **Market Performance**: On July 8, 2025, the main contract 2508 of Shanghai nickel opened at 120,860 yuan/ton and closed at 120,370 yuan/ton, a change of - 0.67% from the previous trading day's close. The trading volume was 88,116 lots, and the open interest was 67,223 lots. The main contract had a small gap - up opening at night, rebounded but was blocked, then oscillated and declined. During the day session, it continued to decline, found support, and then oscillated sideways, closing with a negative line. The trading volume and open interest decreased slightly compared to the previous trading day [1][2]. - **Supply and Demand Factors**: - **Supply**: In the Philippines, rainfall in the Surigao mining area and seasonal typhoons affected shipping efficiency. In Indonesia, the shortage of nickel ore supply was alleviated due to production cuts at local smelters. In June 2025, Indonesia's ferronickel metal production was 24,600 tons, a month - on - month increase of 51.68% and a year - on - year decrease of 29.28%. The estimated production in July was 26,600 tons, a month - on - month increase of 8.00% and a year - on - year decrease of 22.31%. In June, Indonesia's nickel hydrometallurgical intermediate product nickel metal production was 38,500 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.14% and a year - on - year increase of 42.98%. The estimated production in July was 40,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.98% and a year - on - year increase of 48.41% [2]. - **Demand**: In the spot market, Jinchuan nickel's morning quotation was about 900 yuan/ton lower than the previous trading day, and the prices of mainstream brands also decreased accordingly. With the decline in nickel prices on the disk, refined nickel was in sufficient supply, demand did not show significant growth, and downstream enterprises mainly purchased as needed. Spot transactions were average [2]. - **Inventory**: The previous trading day's Shanghai nickel warehouse receipt volume was 20,833 (1.0) tons, and LME nickel inventory was 202,620 (150) tons [2]. - **Strategy**: - **Unilateral**: Mainly conduct range - bound operations. - **Others**: No suggestions for inter - period, inter - variety, spot - futures, or options operations [3]. Stainless Steel Market - **Market Performance**: On July 8, 2025, the main contract 2508 of stainless steel opened at 12,660 yuan/ton and closed at 12,700 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 103,281 lots, and the open interest was 90,238 lots. The main contract had a small gap - up opening at night, rebounded but was blocked, then oscillated sideways. During the day session, it continued to decline, found support, and then rebounded slightly, but declined in the afternoon, closing with a hanging - man positive line. The trading volume increased slightly, and the open interest increased compared to the previous trading day [4]. - **Supply and Demand Factors**: - **Supply**: In the Philippines, rainfall in the Surigao mining area and seasonal typhoons affected shipping efficiency. In Indonesia, the shortage of nickel ore supply was alleviated due to production cuts at local smelters. Indonesian nickel iron production lines were converted to produce ferronickel, and some small smelters cut production. Some domestic smelters also stopped production. On the 8th, a major steel mill in South China inquired at a price of 900 yuan/nickel (including tax at the hold), and several thousand tons of nickel iron were traded. The overall negotiation range of nickel iron prices shifted downward [4]. - **Demand**: In the spot market, stainless steel prices on the disk first rose and then fell. Market inquiry activity was low, and it was difficult to make transactions even with price concessions. The price of stainless steel in Wuxi market was 12,725 yuan/ton, and in Foshan market was also 12,725 yuan/ton. The premium of 304/2B was 105 - 255 yuan/ton [4]. - **Strategy**: - **Unilateral**: Neutral. - **Others**: No suggestions for inter - period, inter - variety, spot - futures, or options operations [5].

马来西亚总理：将在与美国国务卿鲁比奥的会晤中提出关税问题。 ...

金十数据7月8日讯，今天，日本贸易谈判代表与美国财政部长贝森特进行了约30分钟的通话。双方同意 继续就关税问题进行积极的磋商。日本继续寻求与美国达成互利共赢的协议。昨日，特朗普宣布将从8 月1日起对日本输美商品加征25%的关税。这为双方在关税正式实施前争取进一步谈判留下了一定空 间，但时间已经再次开始倒计时。 日本继续寻求与美国达成互利共赢的贸易协议 ...

美元兑日元短线走低，现报146.75。报道称，日本首席贸易谈判代表赤泽亮正与美国财长贝森特通了电 话。美国和日本同意继续就关税问题展开积极谈判，日本继续寻求与美国达成互惠互利的协议。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For nickel, with nickel ore prices slightly decreasing, an increase in intermediate product supply, the resurgence of tariff issues, and average market demand, it is expected that nickel prices will face pressure in the near - term and seek support downward. The medium - to - long - term strategy is to sell on rallies for hedging [3]. - For stainless steel, due to steel mill and nickel - iron production cuts, a slight decline in nickel ore prices, and the market being in the off - season with average spot transactions, it is expected that stainless steel will oscillate weakly within a range in the near - term, and the medium - to - long - term strategy is also to sell on rallies for hedging [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Nickel Market Analysis - **Futures Market**: On July 7, 2025, the main contract of Shanghai nickel 2508 opened at 121,730 yuan/ton and closed at 120,540 yuan/ton, a change of - 1.58% from the previous trading day's close. The trading volume was 99,191 lots, and the open interest was 69,366 lots. The contract showed a downward trend with a large negative line on the daily chart, with slightly lower trading volume and slightly higher open interest compared to the previous day [1][2]. - **Macroeconomic Factors**: Trump announced that the US government would release tariff letters or agreements with trading partners at 12:00 noon on July 7, and planned to impose up to 70% tariffs on some countries' goods starting from August 1. Any country aligning with the BRICS anti - US policy would face an additional 10% tariff. In June, the global manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. As of the end of June 2025, China's foreign exchange reserves were 3.3174 trillion US dollars, up 3.22 billion US dollars from the end of May, an increase of 0.98% [2]. - **Supply - Side Factors**: In the Philippines, heavy rainfall and seasonal typhoons in the Surigao mining area slowed down shipping efficiency. In Indonesia, the shortage of nickel ore supply was alleviated due to production cuts at local smelters. In June 2025, Indonesia's ferronickel metal production was 24,600 tons, a month - on - month increase of 51.68% and a year - on - year decrease of 29.28%. The estimated ferronickel metal production in July was 26,600 tons, a month - on - month increase of 8.00% and a year - on - year decrease of 22.31%. In June 2025, Indonesia's nickel wet - process intermediate product nickel metal production was 38,500 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.14% and a year - on - year increase of 42.98%. The estimated production in July was 40,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 3.98% and a year - on - year increase of 48.41% [2]. - **Spot Market**: Jinchuan nickel's morning quotation was about 1,500 yuan/ton lower than the previous trading day, and the prices of mainstream brands in the market also decreased accordingly. The spot supply of refined nickel was sufficient, and downstream enterprises mainly purchased as needed, with average spot transactions. Jinchuan nickel's premium changed by - 50 yuan/ton to 2,050 yuan/ton, imported nickel's premium remained at 300 yuan/ton, and nickel beans' premium was - 450 yuan/ton. The previous trading day's Shanghai nickel warehouse receipts were 20,832 (- 227.0) tons, and LME nickel inventory was 202,470 (0) tons [2]. 3.2 Nickel Strategy - **Unilateral**: Mainly operate within a range. - **Cross - period**: None. - **Cross - variety**: None. - **Futures - Spot**: None. - **Options**: None [3]. 3.3 Stainless Steel Market Analysis - **Futures Market**: On July 7, 2025, the main contract of stainless steel 2508 opened at 12,760 yuan/ton and closed at 12,640 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 111,639 lots, and the open interest was 90,442 lots. The contract showed a downward trend with a medium - sized negative line on the daily chart, with slightly higher trading volume and open interest compared to the previous day [4]. - **Supply - Side Factors**: Similar to the nickel market, heavy rainfall and typhoons in the Philippines' Surigao mining area affected shipping. In Indonesia, the nickel ore supply shortage was alleviated by production cuts. Some nickel - iron production lines in Indonesia were converted to produce ferronickel, and some small smelters cut production. Some domestic smelters also stopped production. Nickel - iron quotes were mainly in the range of 915 - 920 yuan/nickel (including bottom - hold tax) [4]. - **Spot Market**: The stainless - steel futures market was weak, with low market inquiry activity and insufficient transaction follow - up. The stainless - steel price in Wuxi market was 12,725 yuan/ton, and in Foshan market was also 12,725 yuan/ton. The premium of 304/2B was 125 - 275 yuan/ton. The ex - factory tax - included average price of high - nickel pig iron remained unchanged at 907.5 yuan/nickel point [4]. 3.4 Stainless Steel Strategy - **Unilateral**: Neutral. - **Cross - period**: None. - **Cross - variety**: None. - **Futures - Spot**: None. - **Options**: None [5].

日本财务大臣加藤胜信：将与美国就关税问题展开谈判。 ...

尚未决定是否出席下周的二十国集团（G20）会议。 日本政府继续评估关税对经济的影响。 日本财务大臣加藤胜信：将与美国就关税问题展开谈判。 美国关税的最后期限已实际延长。 ...

日本政府也将在东京时间09:10开会。 7月7日，美国总统特朗普宣布，已经发送关税信函给韩国，威胁对方勿要报复。 在美上市韩国ETF美股盘后跌0.6%。 据媒体报道，韩国总统办公室将开会讨论关税问题，韩国提议与美国会谈。 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Hong Kong Consumer Electronics Sector Companies and Industry Involved - **Companies**: Sunny Optical Technology, AAC Technologies, GoerTek, Q Technology, BYD Electronics - **Industry**: Hong Kong Consumer Electronics Sector Key Points and Arguments Market Sentiment and Tariff Impact - The potential re-imposition of tariffs by the U.S. on China could negatively affect market sentiment and valuations of consumer electronics companies [2][4] - Southeast Asian countries must meet a local value-added requirement of over 30% to enjoy lower tariffs, which may lead to increased costs for upstream supply chain companies [2] Sunny Optical Technology - Expected net profit for 2025 is projected at 3.8 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of over 30%, corresponding to an 18x P/E ratio [1][4] - Anticipated average selling price (ASP) for camera modules and lenses to increase by over 20% in the first half of the year, with a gross margin expected to reach 9% [5] - The company is optimistic about the demand for high optical specifications in domestic Android smartphones, with no immediate signs of weak demand for high-end models [6][10] AAC Technologies - Projected net profit for the first half of 2025 is 830 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of over 50% [11] - Full-year net profit is expected to be between 2.4 billion to 2.5 billion RMB, with a growth rate of over 30% [11] GoerTek - The stock price has risen significantly due to easing tariff pressures and a rebound in Apple’s stock price [15] - Expected revenue for 2025 is 3.5 billion USD, with a net profit of approximately 170 million USD, corresponding to an 18x P/E ratio [15] Q Technology - Anticipated net profit growth of over 150% in 2025, with full-year profits expected to exceed 700 million RMB [17] - The company is benefiting from optical specification upgrades and improvements in fingerprint recognition module profitability [18] BYD Electronics - Expected net profit for 2025 is projected at 5 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of about 19% [20] - The automotive business is expected to contribute significantly, with stable growth and a good performance from the metal casing business post-acquisition of Jabil [20][22] Overall Industry Outlook - The consumer electronics sector in Hong Kong has shown slight recovery, with expectations of further valuation improvements as tariff issues evolve [2][32] - Companies with strong performance and high earnings elasticity, such as Sunny Optical and AAC Technologies, are recommended for investment focus [32] Additional Insights - The automotive lens market is expected to grow significantly, with Sunny Optical aiming for a 20-25% increase in shipments [9] - The AI and AR glasses market is seen as a potential growth area for Sunny Optical, although short-term contributions may be limited [30][31] Valuation Context - Current valuations for Hong Kong consumer electronics companies range from 10x to 20x P/E, with potential for further recovery depending on actual performance and market conditions [32]