Group 1: Report Information - Report title: Methanol Daily Report, August 13, 2025 [3] - Research area: Commodity research - Energy and chemical industry [1][2] - Researcher: Zhang Mengchao [8] Group 2: Market Review - Futures market: The futures price closed at 2391, up 6 or 0.25% [4] - Spot market: Various regions had different methanol prices, with production areas ranging from 2090 - 2230 yuan/ton, consumption areas from 2230 - 2320 yuan/ton, and ports from 2360 - 2380 yuan/ton [4] Group 3: Important News - Zhejiang Xingxing New Energy Technology Co., Ltd.'s 690,000 - ton/year methanol - to - olefins plant stopped on July 30, and the restart time is to be tracked [5] Group 4: Logic Analysis - Supply side: Coal mine开工率 in the northwest decreased, coal prices rebounded, methanol开工率 was high and stable, and domestic supply was loose [6] - Import side: The US dollar price fell slightly last week, import profit increased, foreign开工率 was high, and Iranian shipments to China increased [6] - Demand side: Traditional downstream entered the off - season, MTO开工率 increased, but some MTO plants had reduced loads or stopped [6] - Inventory: Port inventory increased, and inland enterprise inventory fluctuated slightly [6] - Overall: International装置开工率 was stable, imports recovered, demand was stable, and ports accelerated inventory accumulation. Methanol supply increased, and it was advisable to short at high prices [6] Group 5: Trading Strategies - Single - side: Short at high prices, do not chase short [7] - Arbitrage: Wait and see [7] - Options: Sell call options [10]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report The report is a futures and options daily report from Pioneer Futures on August 12, 2025. It presents volatility data of various option underlying assets and offers trading suggestions for different types of options on multiple exchanges. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Options on the Shanghai Stock Exchange - **1.1 Shanghai 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Shanghai 50ETF options, including call and put option prices at different strike prices. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 945,946 lots, the open interest was 956,178 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.55, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 13.46% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggested selling options in months with higher implied volatility curves and buying those in months with lower curves. For options in the same month, sell options above the curve and buy those below [25]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 6.30% at the settlement price and 0.74% at the counter - price [28][30]. - **1.2 Huatai - Ba瑞 CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Huatai - Ba瑞 CSI 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 694,870 lots, the open interest was 734,255 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.46, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 13.77% [31][34]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to the Shanghai 50ETF, sell options in months with higher curves and buy those in months with lower curves. For the same month, sell options above the curve and buy those below [37]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 8.46% at the settlement price and 0.66% at the counter - price [41][42]. - **1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Southern CSI 500ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 910,867 lots, the open interest was 793,757 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.37, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 15.05% [43][45]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [49]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 43.9% at the settlement price and 9.12% at the counter - price [52][54]. - **1.4 Huaxia Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Huaxia Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 802,085 lots, the open interest was 893,215 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.78, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 24.87% [55][57]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [59]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 20.9% at the settlement price and 1.92% at the counter - price [64][66]. - **1.5 E Fund Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of E Fund Shanghai Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 167,234 lots, the open interest was 249,762 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.91, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 25.13% [67][68]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [72]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 7.11% at the settlement price and 0.99% at the counter - price [75][77]. 3.2 Options on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange - **2.1 Harvest CSI 300ETF** - **Basic Information**: Provided the T - type quotation table of Harvest CSI 300ETF options. The trading volume of the main - contract options was 125,214 lots, the open interest was 152,364 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options was 1.34, and the weighted - average implied volatility was 15.78% [78][81]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar trading suggestions as above [87]. - **Risk - free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized yield of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity was 16.0% at the settlement price and 0.74% at the counter - price [90][92].

Group 1: Report Information - Report title: Pioneer Futures Options Daily Report [1] - Report date: August 7, 2025 [1] Group 2: Options Volatility Ranking - The report provides the implied volatility, historical volatility, and true range of various option targets, along with their rankings [3][5] - For example, ps2510 has an implied volatility of 3.4% (ranked 1st), a 30 - day historical volatility of 4.4% (ranked 1st), and a true range of 3.8% (ranked 2nd) [3] Group 3: Volatility Analysis and Trading Suggestions - The implied volatility of at - the - money options reflects the market's expectation of future price fluctuations; the 30 - day historical volatility reflects past price movements; and the true range reflects the intraday price movement [6] - Volatility trading suggestions: For different months, sell the options of the month with the curve on top and buy those of the month with the curve below; for the same month, sell the options with points above the curve and buy those with points below the curve [23][37][47] Group 4: Exchange - Specific Option Analysis 4.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 4.1.1 Shanghai 50ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 691,988 lots, the open interest is 938,390 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.35, and the weighted average implied volatility is 13.25% [21] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [23][25][26] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 5.44% at the settlement price and 0.32% at the counter - price [27][29] 4.1.2 Huatai - Berry SSE 300ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 592,003 lots, the open interest is 737,739 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.27, and the weighted average implied volatility is 14.27% [33] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [35][36][39] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 8.66% at the settlement price and 1.47% at the counter - price [40][42] 4.1.3 Southern CSI 500ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 1,067,360 lots, the open interest is 765,766 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.18, and the weighted average implied volatility is 14.92% [45] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [48][49][50] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 63.5% at the settlement price and 13.7% at the counter - price [51][53] 4.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR 50ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 522,602 lots, the open interest is 919,347 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.75, and the weighted average implied volatility is 24.24% [56] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [58][61][62] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 7.67% at the settlement price and 0.87% at the counter - price [63][65] 4.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR 50ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 132,102 lots, the open interest is 251,057 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.94, and the weighted average implied volatility is 25.02% [68] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [70][72][73] - Risk - free arbitrage: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 10.5% at the settlement price, and there is no return at the counter - price [74][76] 4.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 4.2.1 Harvest SSE 300ETF - Basic information: The trading volume of the main options is 118,126 lots, the open interest is 147,672 lots, the volume ratio of call to put options is 1.16, and the weighted average implied volatility is 15.7% [80] - Volatility trading: Based on the implied volatility curves [82][85][87]

Core Viewpoint - The company has successfully integrated financial tools such as futures and options into its operations to manage risks and enhance profitability in the coal chemical industry, particularly in urea and methanol production. Group 1: Company Overview - Anhui Jincheng Coal Chemical Co., Ltd. (referred to as the company) has evolved from Linquan Fertilizer Plant since its establishment in 1970, becoming a comprehensive coal chemical enterprise with a focus on fertilizers, chemicals, and power generation [1] - The company currently has a urea production capacity of 3.6 million tons and methanol production capacity of 700,000 tons [1] Group 2: Risk Management Strategies - The company has actively participated in national fertilizer reserve projects, taking on a task to store 50,000 tons of urea in Anhui for the 2023-2024 period [2] - In January 2024, the company anticipated a price drop in urea due to increased supply from national reserves and utilized futures contracts to hedge against potential losses [2][3] - The company sold 300 contracts of urea futures at an average price of 2,238 CNY/ton, effectively locking in the value of its inventory [2] Group 3: Financial Tool Utilization - The company has successfully implemented a combination of futures and options to enhance its financial strategies, with a focus on selling out-of-the-money call options to increase revenue without affecting hedging effectiveness [4][5] - In June 2024, the company generated additional income of 124,400 CNY through selling out-of-the-money call options [5] Group 4: Methanol Business and Arbitrage - The company has developed a unique risk management model for its methanol business, utilizing futures as the primary tool and options as a supplementary strategy [6] - In December 2024, the company executed an arbitrage operation by shipping methanol to Jiangsu, realizing a profit of 100 CNY/ton before the shipment even arrived at the port [6] Group 5: Industry Collaboration and Market Impact - The company aims to empower the entire industry chain by sharing its risk management experiences with upstream and downstream partners, enhancing overall market stability [8][9] - In November 2024, the company engaged in a hedging operation to lock in costs and mitigate risks during a downward price trend in the urea market [9] Group 6: Future Outlook - The company plans to focus on collaborative risk management, combining various financial tools, and responding quickly to market changes, aiming to enhance the profitability of the entire coal chemical industry [10]

Core Insights - Yum! Brands Inc reported second-quarter earnings of $1.44 per share, slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.45, and revenue of $1.93 billion, just under the expected $1.94 billion [1] - The company's underperformance was attributed to weak domestic results from KFC and Pizza Hut, which are facing significant competition [1] Stock Performance - Following the earnings report, Yum! Brands' stock declined by 3.1%, trading at $142.42, although it still maintains a 6.26% year-to-date gain [2] - Support at the $140 level has helped stabilize the stock since February [2] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts show caution towards Yum! Brands, with nine maintaining a "strong buy" rating and 18 a "hold" rating [3] - Options traders have exhibited increased bullish sentiment, with a call/put volume ratio of 1.85, higher than 96% of readings from the past year [3] Options Activity - Options volume is currently five times the typical intraday average, with the most active contract being the monthly 8/15 140-strike call [4]

Core Viewpoint - Caterpillar Inc is set to report its second-quarter earnings, with expectations of a decline in earnings per share but an increase in revenue [1] Group 1: Earnings Expectations - Wall Street anticipates earnings of $4.88 per share, representing an 18.5% decline from the same quarter last year [1] - Revenue is expected to reach $16.35 billion, indicating a 2% year-over-year increase [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Caterpillar's stock has reached an all-time high of $439.95, continuing a trend of record highs [2] - The stock has increased approximately 13% in July, marking its third consecutive month of double-digit percentage gains [2] - Year-to-date, the stock has risen by 21% [2] Group 3: Post-Earnings History - Historically, Caterpillar's stock has shown mixed results post-earnings, finishing four of the last eight sessions higher and four lower [4] - Options traders are anticipating an earnings swing of 4.9%, slightly above the average of 4.4% over the past two years [4] Group 4: Options Activity - There has been a notable increase in call options activity, with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 1.89, ranking higher than 98% of readings from the past year [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report presents the daily option data of various underlying assets, including the implied volatility of at - the - money options, 30 - day historical volatility, and the real amplitude of the day. It also provides T - type quotes, trading volume, open interest, and implied volatility data of major options for different ETFs, along with volatility trading suggestions and risk - free arbitrage information [3][19][21]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Shanghai Stock Exchange Options 3.1.1 SSE 50 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are given. The trading volume of the main SSE 50 ETF options is 1,164,740 lots, the open interest is 874,482 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.39, and the weighted average implied volatility is 15.69% [19][21]. - **Volatility Trading**: Suggestions are to sell the options with curves or points above and buy those below, both for different months and the same month [23]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 5.51% at the settlement price and 1.03% at the counter - price [27][29]. 3.1.2 Huatai - Peregrine CSI 300 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are provided. The trading volume of the main 300ETF options is 1,105,748 lots, the open interest is 687,327 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.14, and the weighted average implied volatility is 16.21% [30][33]. - **Volatility Trading**: Similar to SSE 50 ETF, sell options with curves or points above and buy those below [36]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 3.11% at the settlement price and 0.48% at the counter - price [40][42]. 3.1.3 Southern CSI 500 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are shown. The trading volume of the main 500ETF options is 1,436,251 lots, the open interest is 729,488 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1, and the weighted average implied volatility is 18.4% [43][45]. - **Volatility Trading**: The same trading suggestions as above [49]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 43.0% at the settlement price and 9.76% at the counter - price [52][54]. 3.1.4 Huaxia SSE STAR Market 50 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are presented. The trading volume of the main STAR Market 50ETF options is 784,137 lots, the open interest is 887,492 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.72, and the weighted average implied volatility is 26.74% [55][57]. - **Volatility Trading**: Follow the general volatility trading suggestions [59]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 13.0% at the settlement price and 1.39% at the counter - price [63][65]. 3.1.5 E Fund SSE STAR Market 50 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are given. The trading volume of the main STAR Market 50ETF options is 169,681 lots, the open interest is 259,867 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.78, and the weighted average implied volatility is 27.69% [66][68]. - **Volatility Trading**: Adopt the same volatility trading strategies [70]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 8.56% at the settlement price and 0.53% at the counter - price [74][76]. 3.2 Shenzhen Stock Exchange Options 3.2.1 Harvest CSI 300 ETF - **Basic Information**: The settlement prices of call and put options with different strike prices are provided. The trading volume of the main Shenzhen 300ETF options is 162,970 lots, the open interest is 131,069 lots, the trading volume ratio of call to put options is 1.29, and the weighted average implied volatility is 17.14% [77][80]. - **Volatility Trading**: Use the common volatility trading suggestions [84][85]. - **Risk - Free Arbitrage**: The minimum annualized return of the optimal arbitrage portfolio held to maturity is 11.7% at the settlement price, and there is no return at the counter - price [89][91].

Core Viewpoint - Peloton Interactive Inc's stock has seen a significant increase following an upgrade from UBS, indicating potential for further bullish sentiment in the market [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Peloton's stock is currently trading at $6.84, up 10.7% after UBS upgraded its rating to "buy" and raised the price target to $11 from $7.50 [1] - Despite the recent gains, Peloton's stock has a year-to-date deficit of 22.4% and has struggled to break resistance at $7 since a bear gap on June 17 [2] - The stock has shown an 84.7% year-over-year lead, indicating strong long-term performance despite recent challenges [2] Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Market Sentiment - Out of 22 analysts covering Peloton, 13 have a "hold" or worse rating, suggesting room for more bullish notes [1] - The stock's short interest is significant, making up 18.7% of its available float, which could lead to a short squeeze [1] Group 3: Options Trading Activity - Options traders are exhibiting a more bullish sentiment, with a 50-day call/put volume ratio of 12.13, higher than 98% of readings from the past year [3] - There has been a notable increase in call options trading, with 19,000 calls traded, which is four times the typical volume, compared to 3,046 puts [4] - The most active options contract is the weekly 8/1 7-strike call, indicating new positions being opened [4]

Call traders were flocking to the equity ahead of earnigns. Novo Nordisk stock's 50-day call/put volume ratio of 2.87 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) ranks higher than all other readings from the past year. Both call and put traders are targeting NVO straight out of the gate this morning, with options volume already at double the amount typically seen in an entire day. The September 45 put is the most popular, with new positions being ...

Core Insights - Centene Corp (NYSE:CNC) stock increased by 3.9% to $27.75 despite reporting an adjusted second-quarter loss of 16 cents per share, which was worse than the projected loss of 11 cents per share. However, revenue exceeded estimates, leading to a recovery in stock price after significant premarket gains [1] - The stock has been recovering from a 55% year-to-date deficit, primarily due to a 40% drop on July 1 when the company withdrew its 2025 forecast. The shares reached an eight-year low of $26.66 but are now testing the 10-day moving average [2] - Options trading activity has shown a strong preference for calls, with 83,508 calls purchased compared to 12,760 puts over the past two weeks, resulting in a call/put volume ratio of 6.53, indicating high call buying activity [3] - Recently, there has been a shift towards puts, with 58,000 puts traded, which is 26 times the average intraday volume and more than double the number of calls. The September 22.50 put is particularly popular, suggesting some traders may be hedging against potential declines [4] - Short interest has increased by 26% in the last two reporting periods, indicating growing bearish sentiment amidst the stock's technical challenges [4]