GDP增长
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铂:继续震荡,白银:窄幅波动
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-08 02:39
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - Platinum is expected to continue oscillating, while palladium is expected to fluctuate within a narrow range [1] Group 3: Summary Based on Related Catalogs Platinum and Palladium Fundamental Data - **Price**: Platinum futures 2606 closed at 442.30 with a 0.60% increase; the gold exchange platinum closed at 435.32 with a 0.26% increase; the New York platinum continuous contract closed at 1655.10 with a -0.32% decrease; the London spot platinum closed at 1635.00 with a -0.41% decrease. Palladium futures 2606 closed at 381.75 with a 0.66% increase; the RMB spot palladium closed at 355.00 with a -4.05% decrease; the New York palladium continuous contract closed at 1502.00 with a 1.25% increase; the London spot palladium closed at 1457.12 with a 0.07% increase [1] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of Guangzhou platinum was 25,037, an increase of 2,466 from the previous day, and the open interest was 65,408, an increase of 53,143. The trading volume of NYMEX platinum was 24,655, an increase of 1,820, and the open interest was 61,853, a decrease of 1,473. The trading volume of Guangzhou palladium was 4,728, a decrease of 4,841, and the open interest was 17,736, an increase of 14,369. The trading volume of NYMEX palladium was 3,606, a decrease of 788, and the open interest was 19,292, an increase of 85 [1] - **ETF Holdings**: The platinum ETF holdings (ounces) (previous day) were 3,124,461, an increase of 2,519. The palladium ETF holdings (ounces) (previous day) were 1,093,932, an increase of 16,431 [1] - **Inventory**: The NYMEX platinum inventory (ounces) (previous day) was 614,713, a decrease of 232. The NYMEX palladium inventory (ounces) (previous day) was 176,705, an increase of 4,315 [1] - **Price Spreads**: The spread of PT9995 to PT2606 was -6.98, an increase of 1.35 from the previous day. The spread of Guangzhou platinum 2606 contract to 2610 contract was -1.05, a decrease of 0.95. The cost of the inter - period arbitrage of buying Guangzhou platinum 2606 and selling 2610 was 5.51, an increase of 0.02. The spread of the gold exchange platinum to London platinum was 63.64, an increase of 11.38. The spread of the RMB spot palladium price to PD2606 was -27, a decrease of 0.25. The spread of Guangzhou palladium 2606 contract to 2610 contract was -0.25, an increase of 0.40. The cost of the inter - period arbitrage of buying Guangzhou palladium 2606 and selling 2610 was 4.79, unchanged. The spread of the RMB spot palladium to London palladium was 24, an increase of 0.67 [1] - **Exchange Rates**: The US dollar index was 98.98, a decrease of 0.08%. The US dollar to RMB (CNY spot) was 7.07, an increase of 0.02%. The US dollar to offshore RMB (CNH spot) was 7.07, an increase of 0.01%. The US dollar to RMB (6M forward) was 7.00, an increase of 0.22% [1] Macro and Industry News - The US September core PCE price index annual rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.8%, hitting a three - month low, while the market expected it to record 2.9% for the third consecutive month [4] - White House Economic Council Director Hassett stated that it was time for the Fed to cut interest rates prudently and that he had not discussed the Fed chairperson candidate with Trump [4] - Bessent said that the US would achieve 3% GDP growth by the end of this year [4] - Trump approved the production of small cars in the US [4] - Trump commented on the Supreme Court tariff case, saying that the US had other ways to impose tariffs, and the current method was much more direct [4] - Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu refused to withdraw from politics in exchange for a pardon [4] - Hamas said it was willing to discuss the issue of disarmament within the framework of promoting the establishment of a Palestinian state [4] Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of platinum is 0, and that of palladium is 0. The trend intensity ranges from -2 to 2, with -2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [3]
欧元区今年第三季度GDP环比增长0.3%
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-12-05 11:00
当地时间12月5日,欧盟统计局公布的数据显示,欧元区国家2025年第三季度实际国内生产总值环比增 长0.3%,同比增长1.4%。(总台记者 朱曦莉) 责编:张青津、王珊宁 ...
Barclays flips December RBI rate call from cut to 'dovish hold'
Youtube· 2025-12-04 11:45
Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to hold interest rates steady in light of unexpectedly high GDP growth of 8.2% and low CPI inflation of 0.3% for October, leading to a reassessment of economic forecasts [1][3][4]. Economic Indicators - The October CPI inflation rate was reported at 0.3%, which is significantly below expectations, indicating a benign inflation environment [1][3]. - The GDP growth rate for the same period was 8.2%, surpassing the RBI's own estimate of 7% and the market expectation of 7.4%, prompting a revision of growth forecasts [3][10]. Monetary Policy Implications - The RBI is likely to revise its GDP growth forecast for the financial year 2026 to an average of 7.2%, which is 40 basis points higher than previous estimates [3][4]. - The inflation forecast for the financial year 2026 is expected to be revised down to around 2%, compared to the current forecast of 2.6% [4][12]. Market Reactions - The RBI is anticipated to adopt a neutral stance with a dovish pause, potentially implementing non-rate measures to ensure bond market stability and liquidity [5][6]. - There is a recognition of the divergence in economic data interpretations among economists, but the RBI will base its decisions on the available data, regardless of its credibility concerns [11][12].
国际金融市场早知道:12月4日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-04 03:11
Group 1 - The World Bank reports that developing countries face an unprecedented debt repayment gap and new financing needs totaling $741 billion from 2022 to 2024, with interest payments reaching historical highs [1] - The EU plans to introduce the "Industrial Acceleration Act," which mandates that local content for critical products like cars and batteries must reach up to 70%, supported by government subsidies [2] - The Eurozone's November composite PMI was revised up to 52.8, the highest level in 30 months, driven by growth in the services sector, indicating signs of economic recovery in the region [2] Group 2 - Australia's Q3 GDP grew by 2.1% year-on-year and 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, falling short of market expectations [3] - South Korea's Q3 real GDP grew by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.8% year-on-year, both exceeding expectations [4] Group 3 - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 408.44 points to close at 47,882.90, an increase of 0.86%; the S&P 500 gained 20.35 points to close at 6,849.72, up 0.30%; the Nasdaq Composite increased by 40.42 points to close at 23,454.09, a rise of 0.17% [5] - Light crude oil futures for January 2026 rose by $0.31 to $58.95 per barrel, an increase of 0.53%; February Brent crude oil futures rose by $0.22 to $62.67 per barrel, up 0.35% [5] Group 4 - COMEX gold futures rose by 0.33% to $4,234.8 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures increased by 0.39% to $58.93 per ounce [6] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.51% to close at 98.855, with the euro trading at 1.1672 dollars and the British pound at 1.3350 dollars, both higher than the previous trading day [7]
澳大利亚第三季度GDP环比增长0.4%,预估为0.7%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-03 00:39
每经AI快讯,12月3日,澳大利亚第三季度GDP环比增长0.4%,预估为0.7%;同比增长2.1%,预估为 2.2%。 ...
韩国第三季度GDP同比增长1.8%,预估为1.7%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-02 23:09
每经AI快讯,12月3日,韩国第三季度GDP同比增长1.8%,预估为1.7%。 ...
加拿大9月GDP环比增长0.2%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-28 14:11
(责任编辑:王治强 HF013) 【风险提示】根据外汇管理相关规定,买卖外汇应在银行等国家规定的交易场所进行。私自买卖外汇、 变相买卖外汇、倒买倒卖外汇或者非法介绍买卖外汇数额较大的,由外汇管理机关依法予以行政处罚; 构成犯罪的,依法追究刑事责任。 每日经济新闻 每经AI快讯,11月28日消息,加拿大9月GDP环比增长0.2%,预期增长0.2%,前值由-0.30%修正 为-0.1%。 ...
据瑞典统计局,第三季度GDP同比增长2.6%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-28 07:07
每经AI快讯,11月28日,据瑞典统计局,第三季度GDP同比增长2.6%,高于初步估计的2.4%。 ...
2025年1-10月吉GDP同比增长10%
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-11-26 16:27
Economic Growth - The GDP of Kyrgyzstan reached 14,274 billion som (approximately 16.4 billion USD) from January to October 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10% [1] - The industrial sector grew by 9.8%, while the construction sector saw a significant increase of 27.7% [1] - The agricultural sector experienced a growth of 2%, and the services sector grew by 8.8% [1] Investment and Production - Fixed asset investment increased by 18.9% [1] - The production of goods rose by 11.3%, and net tax revenue grew by 10.8% [1] - The share of the services sector accounted for 49.6%, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year [1] Sectoral Contributions - The share of goods production increased by 1.8 percentage points to 35.4% [1] - The construction sector's share rose by 1.2 percentage points, while the industrial sector's share increased by 1 percentage point [1] - The agricultural sector's share decreased by 0.4 percentage points [1] Trade Performance - The total goods export and import amounted to 11.27 billion USD from January to September, showing a year-on-year decline of 8.3%, with exports down by 25.7% and imports down by 3% [1] - Trade with member countries of the Eurasian Economic Union totaled 3.84 billion USD, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 5.3% [1]
最新数据难改官员立场 美联储12月决策博弈升温
智通财经网· 2025-11-25 22:18
在美联储即将于12月9日至10日召开政策会议之前,最新公布的经济数据似乎难以改变决策者内部的分 歧。尽管CME FedWatch显示市场押注明显偏向鸽派,12月会议降息25个基点的概率高达85%,多位官 员近期讲话显示,他们对于通胀与就业孰为当前最大风险仍存在激烈争论。 受政府停摆影响,美联储一向依赖的数据基础在过去数周变得支离破碎,只能依据有限的经济信息做判 断。周二公布的一批延迟发布的数据虽填补部分空白,却未能提供明确方向。 接下来最有可能影响美联储判断的将是周三公布的褐皮书以及持续更新的初次申请失业救济人数。 LPL Financial首席经济学家Jeff Roach特别关注企业是否继续选择自行吸收关税成本,而非将其转嫁给 消费者。此举曾帮助抑制通胀,若仍持续,可能意味着当前更大的经济风险来自"疲弱的劳动力市场"。 Clark也指出,褐皮书中若出现更多裁员提及,将对部分官员产生影响。由于联邦数据缺失,一些决策 者会比以往更加依赖来自各联储地区的实时企业反馈。 每周失业金申领数据亦至关重要,因为这项高频数据在新冠疫情期间也能保持更新。Clark称:"如果劳 动力市场出现真正显著恶化,我们会在这里看到。但目 ...