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A股跨年行情已经启动,新的主线浮出水面
Group 1 - The article highlights that 39 out of 360 industry/theme ETFs reached new highs in December, with established sectors like telecommunications and non-ferrous metals reflecting North American AI infrastructure and resource logic, while new sectors like commercial aerospace ETFs are gaining attention during market fluctuations [2] - The focus on sectors such as chemicals and engineering machinery indicates a shift in China's manufacturing competitiveness towards pricing power, while sectors related to anti-involution, like new energy and steel, are also showing signs of recovery [2] - The investment strategy suggests a preference for sectors with low heat and concentration but potential for long-term ROE improvement, such as chemicals, engineering machinery, and new energy, alongside a keen observation of the trend of RMB appreciation [3] Group 2 - The article discusses the favorable conditions for the spring market rally, emphasizing liquidity-driven characteristics in the A-share market, with expectations for a surge in the CSI A500 ETF towards year-end [3] - It notes that the spring market is supported by loose liquidity, with private equity making concentrated purchases and the RMB's appreciation benefiting market liquidity [3] - The potential for a spring rally is further supported by upcoming events like the Spring Festival and the Two Sessions, which may enhance risk appetite [3] Group 3 - The article indicates that the RMB's appreciation post "breaking 7" is expected to have a positive impact on both the currency and capital markets, with a potential for a spring rally [4][5] - It outlines four key logic points regarding the impact of RMB appreciation on industry allocation, including benefits for industries with high import reliance, those with significant foreign currency liabilities, and domestic demand-driven sectors [5] - The article suggests that the current market conditions do not show clear signs of a bull market peak, with internal policies remaining supportive and external risks easing [6] Group 4 - The article identifies new investment themes emerging in the commodity market and real industry chains, highlighting the increasing consumption of physical goods in manufacturing sectors and the strengthening of China's manufacturing advantages [7] - It recommends focusing on industrial resource products that resonate with AI investment and global manufacturing recovery, as well as sectors like equipment exports and domestic manufacturing recovery [7] - The article emphasizes the importance of capital market expansion and the potential for non-bank financial sectors to benefit from improving asset returns [7] Group 5 - The article states that the A-share market's cross-year rally has begun, driven by positive signals from the Shanghai Composite Index and optimistic institutional investor expectations [8] - It highlights the importance of sectors like non-ferrous metals and AI computing, with commercial aerospace being a primary market focus [8] - The article suggests that the spring market may see a structural and rapid rotation of sectors, with a recommendation for investors to adopt a low-buying strategy [12]
【人民日报】科学有答案 创新无止境——八位院士眼中的二〇二五
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-12-29 03:02
" 长征五号乙 " 运载火箭。资料图片 回望2025,中国科技创新在广袤天地间书写奋进篇章。科研视野向"四极"拓展,量子科技、月球研 究等领域涌现原创突破;科技创新与产业创新加速融合,人工智能、新能源汽车产业蓬勃发展;全球创 新指数排名中,我国升至第十位,夯实高水平科技自立自强的根基。 "十五五"规划建议中,46次提及"科技",61次强调"创新"。本版推出"院士讲科普·年终特别报道", 让我们在8位院士的答问中,回顾这一年科技创新的坚实脚步,打开面向未来的科学想象,共同奔赴科 技强国新征程。 ——编者 在以克计算的月壤里,能看见怎样的星辰大海 中国工程院院士 吴伟仁 于百万年人类史而言,现代自然科学的诞生与发展,只是历史之一瞬。不少科学知识都是从地球表 面观测自然现象演绎得来。深空探测一般指对月球及其以远的天体和空间开展的探测活动,已成为当今 世界最具挑战性和带动性的高科技领域之一。 2025年,在嫦娥六号取回的月球背面样品里,首次发现大型撞击事件成因的微米级赤铁矿和磁赤铁 矿晶体,揭示了全新的月球氧化反应机制,取得月球科学研究的重大突破;发射的天问二号探测器,将 在距地球远达4200万公里的空间,对一颗高速 ...
开盘:三大指数涨跌不一 金属锌板块涨幅居前
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 02:13
Market Overview - The three major indices showed mixed performance, with the metal zinc sector leading in gains. As of the market opening, the Shanghai Composite Index was at 3964.65, up 0.02%, the Shenzhen Component Index was at 13604.30, flat, and the ChiNext Index was at 3237.77, down 0.19% [1] Fiscal Policy - The National Financial Work Conference held on December 27-28 emphasized the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, with a focus on boosting consumption through special actions and financial support for consumer goods [1] - The Ministry of Finance plans to implement measures to enhance consumption, including adjusting and optimizing subsidy ranges and standards [1] Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China released the "China Financial Stability Report (2025)," advocating for more proactive macro policies to mitigate risks in key areas and improve the investment environment for long-term capital in A-shares [1] Industry Developments - The Shanghai Stock Exchange announced refined rules for commercial rocket companies under the fifth set of listing standards for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, emphasizing the importance of industry ranking and recognition from market participants [1] - The establishment of the humanoid robot and embodied intelligence standardization technical committee was announced, focusing on developing industry standards in key technology areas [2] Economic Indicators - Data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicated that from January to November, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 66,268.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.1% [2] Digital Currency - The People's Bank of China is set to introduce an action plan to strengthen the management and service system for digital currency, with a new framework and ecosystem expected to launch on January 1, 2026 [2] Trade Regulations - The National People's Congress Standing Committee passed a revised foreign trade law, effective March 1, 2026, which establishes a trade adjustment assistance system to stabilize supply chains [2] Market Trends - China's ETF market has reached a scale of 6.03 trillion yuan, marking a growth of over 60% from the beginning of the year [4] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange is implementing a series of fee reduction measures for 2026, with an estimated total reduction of approximately 1.113 billion yuan [3] Corporate Announcements - Zhong Aluminum International signed a project contract worth approximately 14 billion yuan with overseas clients [6] - The announcement from Xinyi Solar indicated compliance guidance for the photovoltaic industry to maintain fair competition [4] - The announcement from Xiaomi Group revealed plans for co-founder Lin Bin to sell up to $500 million of Class B common stock every 12 months [10]
股指期货行情前瞻研究
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 01:41
2025 年 12 月 29 日 股指期货将偏强震荡 黄金、白银、铜期货价格再创上市以 来新高 铂期货价格将再创上市以来新高 白银、铂、钯、 碳酸锂期货将震荡偏强 原油、PTA、PX 期货将震荡偏弱 陶金峰 期货投资咨询从业资格号:Z0000372 邮箱:taojinfeng@gtht.com 【正文】 【声明】 本报告的观点和信息仅供风险承受能力合适的投资者参考。本报告难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不 便,敬请谅解。若您并非风险承受能力合适的投资者,请勿阅读、订阅或接收任何相关信息。本报告不构 成具体业务或产品的推介,亦不应被视为相应金融衍生品的投资建议。请您根据自身的风险承受能力自行 作出投资决定并自主承担投资风险,不应凭借本内容进行具体操作。 【期货行情前瞻要点】 通过宏观基本面分析和黄金分割线、水平线、日均线等技术面分析,预期今日期货主力合约行情走势大概率如 下: | 期货品 | 主力合 | 趋势 | | 阻力位 | | 支撑位 | 重点备注 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 种 | 约 | | | | | | | | 股指 | ...
申万宏源证券晨会报告-20251229
Group 1 - The report highlights that Jinma Amusement has achieved significant performance growth through technological breakthroughs and a comprehensive industry chain layout, covering 13 categories of large amusement facilities and 8 series of virtual immersive projects, with exports to nearly 50 countries [1][2][14] - The amusement equipment industry in China is undergoing structural upgrades driven by policy support and market demand, with the global theme park market expected to reach USD 55.9 billion in 2024, growing by 8.21% year-on-year, indicating a strong recovery trend [2][14] - Jinma Amusement is positioned as a benchmark enterprise in the industry, holding over 240 authorized patents and participating in the formulation of 26 industry standards, while continuously enhancing its R&D capabilities and accelerating the application of AI and robotics in the cultural tourism sector [2][14] Group 2 - The company has a broad customer network, deeply binding with leading domestic theme park groups and entering high-end markets in Europe and the "Belt and Road" emerging markets, with new orders expected to grow by over 40% year-on-year in 2024 [3][14] - Jinma Amusement's strategic investment in Shanghai Matrix Super Intelligence aims to promote the implementation of cultural tourism robotics, establishing a joint venture to create a digital service ecosystem [3][14] - The report projects Jinma Amusement's net profit attributable to shareholders to be CNY 1.09 billion, CNY 2.07 billion, and CNY 3.46 billion for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 83, 44, and 26 times, respectively, and assigns a target price of CNY 81.16, indicating a potential upside of 40.7% from the current stock price [3][14]
国家创业投资引导基金正式启动,培育发展战略性新兴产业
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-12-29 01:02
【环球网财经综合报道】近日,国家创业投资引导基金旗下的三只区域子基金,分别在北京、上海、深 圳三地同日完成工商登记,标志着国家创业投资引导基金正式启动。 据介绍,国家创业投资引导基金存续期为20年,将聚焦人工智能、量子科技、氢能储能等前沿领域。通 过市场化方式投资种子期、初创期企业,适当兼顾早中期中小微企业,支撑原创性、颠覆性技术创新和 关键核心技术攻关,培育发展战略性新兴产业和未来产业。 韩联社对此发文称,未来将在这三个地区建立超过600家投资基金,并计划用于半导体、AI、航空航 天、量子技术、生物医学等新兴和未来产业的发展。首先,投资目标是估值低于5亿人民币的初创企 业,单笔投资金额不会超过5000万人民币。 国家创业投资引导基金开创性设立"基金公司-区域基金-子基金"3层架构,在国家层面由财政出资1000 亿元,在区域基金、子基金层面积极鼓励社会资本参与,预计将撬动万亿规模资金。 首批三只区域基金已与49只子基金和27个直投项目签订投资意向,预计近期可完成一批重点子基金和直 投项目投资。未来,引导基金将推动在三个区域设立超过600只子基金,服务新兴产业和未来产业发 展。 ...
万联晨会-20251229
Wanlian Securities· 2025-12-29 00:53
[Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 12 月 29 日 星期一 市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 上周五 A 股三大指数集体收涨,截止收盘,沪指收涨 0.1%,深成指 收涨 0.54%,创业板指收涨 0.14%。沪深两市成交额 21600.31 亿元。 申万行业方面,有色金属、电力设备、钢铁领涨,电子、轻工制造、 通信领跌;概念板块方面,海南自贸区、金属锌、金属铅领涨,科创 次新股、光刻胶、同花顺果指数领跌。港股因圣诞假期休市;海外方 面,美国三大指数集体收跌,道指收跌 0.04%,标普 500 收跌 0.03%, 纳指收跌 0.09%。 【重要新闻】 【全国财政工作会议在北京召开】12 月 27 日至 28 日,全国财政工 作会议在北京召开。会议指出,2026 年继续实施更加积极的财政政 策。扩大财政支出盘子,确保必要支出力度。优化政府债券工具组合, 更好发挥债券效益。提高转移支付资金效能,增强地方自主可用财力。 持续优化支出结构,强化重点领域保障。加强财政金融协同,放大政 策效能。会议要求,2026 ...
让量子科技更好造福人类
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-29 00:48
2025年即将过去,在这一年波澜壮阔的科学图景中,一个曾深藏于实验室、看似遥不可及的领域——量 子科技,凭借其积蓄已久的磅礴势能,涌向全球科技浪潮的顶端。 今年是联合国正式确定的"国际量子科学与技术年"。这一年,中国科学技术大学与国内多家科研机构研 制的"祖冲之三号",突破了超导系统量子计算优越性的世界纪录;这一年,谷歌公司的"量子回声"实 验,在特定任务中速度达经典超算的13000倍,对全球量子计算研发产生深远影响。 量子世界也促使我们放弃"非黑即白"的传统思维,接受万物在微观尺度上的模糊。这种思维的革新,孕 育着极富生命力的技术突破。新型超导材料的探索设计,即源于对低温下电子量子行为的深刻理解。而 我们"墨子号"量子科学实验卫星,则将量子行为转化为对通信安全的保障。 正因如此,多国才会将量子研究提升至国家战略高度。美国出台《国家量子倡议法案》,并对量子研究 持续投入巨资;欧盟启动规模宏大的十年期"量子旗舰计划";加拿大、日本、韩国、澳大利亚均不甘落 后推出本国量子技术蓝图。在我国"十五五"规划建议稿中,推动量子科技成为新的经济增长点亦列入其 中。 莫道量子远,已在指掌前。在日益紧密的全球格局中,秉持开放包 ...
具身智能+量子科技+脑机接口+6G,未来产业潜力股来了
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-29 00:45
今年以来,未来产业备受资金青睐。 "十五五"规划建议提出,培育壮大新兴产业和未来产业。前瞻布局未来产业,探索多元技术路线、典型 应用场景、可行商业模式、市场监管规则,推动量子科技、生物制造、氢能和核聚变能、脑机接口、具 身智能、第六代移动通信等成为新的经济增长点。 多地积极培育未来产业 作为引领经济社会变革的前沿力量,近年来,全国各地积极支持未来产业的发展。公开报道显示,北京 自去年7月启动的"创赢未来"公开路演活动目前已举办9场,累计支持83家未来产业潜力企业,推动60家 企业获得融资超20亿元、36家企业获得银行信贷19.8亿元。 今年上半年,深圳提出15条金融措施,全力支持未来产业高质量发展。9月,上海印发的《关于加快推 动前沿技术创新与未来产业培育的若干措施》提出,支持未来产业生态主导型科技企业前瞻谋划新赛 道,加速投资、孵化未来产业创新主体。 10月,《广州市关于加快培育发展未来产业的实施意见》提出,到2029年,未来产业技术创新、产业培 育全面发展,突破一批重点领域关键核心技术,场景示范效应深度拓展,创新主体活力充分,产业竞争 力加速跃升,基本形成未来产业集聚发展态势。 在政策红利的推动下,自去年 ...
十大券商一周策略:A股跨年行情已经启动,新的主线浮出水面
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-12-28 22:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the A-share market is experiencing a cross-year rally, driven by liquidity and positive policy expectations, with a focus on sectors like AI, commercial aerospace, and materials [9][10][11] - 39 out of 360 industry/theme ETFs reached new highs in December, with established sectors like telecommunications and non-ferrous metals leading, while new sectors like commercial aerospace are gaining traction [1] - The market consensus is shifting towards sectors representing competition in next-generation infrastructure between China and the US, with a focus on manufacturing and pricing power in the global market [1][2] Group 2 - The strategy emphasizes structural opportunities in a volatile market, with a preference for sectors with low concentration but rising attention and long-term ROE potential, such as chemicals and engineering machinery [2] - The outlook for the RMB is positive, with expectations of appreciation driven by improved domestic conditions and external factors, which could lead to significant capital inflows and asset revaluation [4][5] - The spring market is expected to benefit from favorable conditions, including liquidity support and upcoming policy events, with a focus on technology and cyclical sectors [3][10][12] Group 3 - The investment focus is on sectors that benefit from RMB appreciation, such as those with high import material dependency and those that can leverage increased domestic purchasing power [5] - The market is characterized by a structural rotation, with a focus on technology themes and sectors like commercial aerospace, nuclear power, and robotics [12][14] - The overall sentiment is optimistic, with expectations of a continued upward trend in the market leading up to the Spring Festival, supported by strong institutional buying and favorable policy expectations [11][13][14]