美元指数
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五矿期货早报有色金属-20250521
Wu Kuang Qi Huo· 2025-05-21 02:50
1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Copper prices rebounded after a decline. The market sentiment was bullish, but the copper price rally was expected to be unsmooth. The expected trading range for the Shanghai copper main contract was 77,400 - 78,500 yuan/ton, and for LME copper 3M, it was 9,400 - 9,650 dollars/ton [1]. - Aluminum prices recovered. The short - term price was expected to be range - bound. The expected trading range for the domestic main contract was 20,000 - 20,280 yuan/ton, and for LME aluminum 3M, it was 2,450 - 2,510 dollars/ton [3]. - The Shanghai lead index was expected to fluctuate within a range of 16,300 - 17,800 yuan/ton in the medium term, and the short - term price showed a strong - side oscillation [4]. - Zinc prices had a certain downward risk in the medium term as the zinc ingot social inventory increased [5]. - Tin supply was expected to loosen. If downstream demand remained weak, the tin price center might decline. The expected trading range for the domestic main contract was 250,000 - 270,000 yuan/ton, and for overseas LME tin, it was 30,000 - 33,000 dollars/ton [7]. - Nickel prices followed a bearish trend. Attention should be paid to the change in LME nickel 0 - 3 month premium. The expected trading range for the Shanghai nickel main contract was 120,000 - 130,000 yuan/ton, and for LME nickel 3M, it was 15,000 - 16,300 dollars/ton [8]. - The lithium carbonate price was likely to oscillate at the bottom. The expected trading range for the Guangzhou Futures Exchange lithium carbonate 2507 contract was 60,000 - 62,000 yuan/ton [10]. - For alumina, short - term waiting and seeing was recommended. The expected trading range for the domestic main contract AO2509 was 2,800 - 3,400 yuan/ton [12]. - The stainless - steel market was expected to maintain a weak - side oscillation in the short term [14]. 3. Summary by Metal Types Copper - Market performance: LME copper closed up 0.4% at 9,554 dollars/ton, and the Shanghai copper main contract closed at 78,140 yuan/ton [1]. - Inventory: LME inventory decreased by 3,575 tons to 170,750 tons, and the Shanghai Futures Exchange copper warehouse receipts decreased by 16,000 tons to 46,000 tons [1]. - Price difference: The cash/3M premium was 3.2 dollars/ton, and the Shanghai spot premium over futures dropped to 390 yuan/ton [1]. Aluminum - Market performance: LME aluminum closed up 1.85% at 2,481 dollars/ton, and the Shanghai aluminum main contract closed at 20,185 yuan/ton [3]. - Inventory: The Shanghai Futures Exchange aluminum weighted contract positions decreased by 6,000 lots to 516,000 lots, and the futures warehouse receipts decreased by 1,000 tons to 61,000 tons. The domestic three - place aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 4,500 tons to 458,000 tons [3]. - Price difference: The East China spot premium over futures was 70 yuan/ton [3]. Lead - Market performance: The Shanghai lead index closed down 0.11% at 16,852 yuan/ton, and LME lead 3S fell 27.5 dollars to 1,971.5 dollars/ton [4]. - Inventory: The Shanghai Futures Exchange lead ingot futures inventory was 45,000 tons, and the domestic social inventory increased to 58,200 tons [4]. - Price difference: The refined - scrap lead price difference was 50 yuan/ton, and the domestic basis was - 150 yuan/ton [4]. Zinc - Market performance: The Shanghai zinc index closed down 0.16% at 22,249 yuan/ton, and LME zinc 3S fell 24.5 dollars to 2,668.5 dollars/ton [5]. - Inventory: The Shanghai Futures Exchange zinc ingot futures inventory was 1,500 tons, and the domestic social inventory slightly decreased to 83,800 tons [5]. - Price difference: The Shanghai basis was 230 yuan/ton [5]. Tin - Market performance: The Shanghai tin main contract closed at 264,760 yuan/ton, down 0.04% [6]. - Inventory: The Shanghai Futures Exchange registered warehouse receipts decreased by 94 tons to 8,025 tons, and the LME inventory decreased by 85 tons to 2,655 tons [6]. - Supply and demand: The mine supply was expected to loosen, and the downstream demand was weak [7]. Nickel - Market performance: The Shanghai nickel main contract closed at 123,540 yuan/ton, down 0.02%, and the LME main contract closed at 15,530 dollars/ton, up 0.19% [8]. - Raw materials: The price of Philippine laterite nickel ore was stable, and the price of high - nickel pig iron decreased [8]. - Inventory: The LME nickel inventory was 202,098 tons, an increase of 90 tons [8]. Lithium Carbonate - Market performance: The Wuganglian lithium carbonate spot index closed at 62,657 yuan, down 1.52%. The LC2507 contract closed at 60,860 yuan, down 0.52% [10]. - Supply and demand: There was a lack of strong drivers on the supply and demand side, and the price was expected to oscillate at the bottom [10]. Alumina - Market performance: The alumina index rose 0.22% to 3,130 yuan/ton [12]. - Spot price: Spot prices in various regions increased [12]. - Inventory: The futures warehouse receipts decreased by 54,000 tons to 190,300 tons [12]. Stainless Steel - Market performance: The stainless - steel main contract closed at 1,2950 yuan/ton, down 0.12% [14]. - Spot price: Spot prices in some markets decreased [14]. - Inventory: The futures inventory decreased by 12,582 tons to 143,780 tons, and the social inventory decreased by 0.42% to 1,108,300 tons [14].
【环球财经】宏观利空打压 美元指数20日下跌
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 01:02
新华财经纽约5月20日电(记者刘亚南)由于美国信用评级遭到下调和贸易谈判可能涉及汇率对美元带 来打压,20日美元兑一揽子货币全面走低,美元指数在隔夜市场走低,当日早间一度有所上涨,随后持 续走低,尾盘时美元指数下跌。 衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天下跌0.31%,在汇市尾市收于100.119。 瑞银集团外汇策略师瓦西里·谢瑞布里亚科夫(Vassili Serebriakov)表示,穆迪日前下调美国主权信用评 级是此前美国国债收益率上涨和美元走低的刺激因素。现在,美国国债收益率已经从高点回落,但美元 仍旧在走低。 荷兰国际集团全球市场负责人克里斯·特纳(Chris Turner)表示,笼罩外汇市场的是贸易协议的讨论将 包括一些货币因素。如果确实如此,那将对美元构成利空。因为美国希望美元兑亚洲货币走弱,以缩小 亚洲对美国的贸易顺差。 日本财政大臣加藤胜信(Katsunobu Kato)20日表示,他与美国财长贝森特任何关于汇率的会谈都会基 于双方共同的观点,即过度汇率波动不可取。两人预计本周将在加拿大举行的G7国家财长会议期间见 面。 外汇经纪商嘉盛集团资深分析师Jerry Chen表示,美元兑日元汇率连续 ...
美债再遭大规模抛售 30年期美国国债收益率飙升
news flash· 2025-05-20 05:01
Core Viewpoint - The downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating by Moody's has led to a significant sell-off of U.S. Treasury bonds, resulting in a sharp increase in bond yields [1] Group 1: Impact on U.S. Treasury Bonds - On September 19, the yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds surged, briefly exceeding 5% [1] - The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds also surpassed 4.5% during the same trading session [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Economic Outlook - Financial executive Max Gokhman indicated that the deterioration of the U.S. fiscal situation makes the credit rating downgrade unsurprising [1] - Bloomberg analysis suggests that rising Treasury yields may heighten market concerns regarding the U.S. dollar [1] - The Bloomberg Dollar Index has fallen back to levels close to those seen in April [1] - Sentiment indicators among options traders have dropped to the most pessimistic levels in five years [1]
金荣中国:黄金筑底震荡待走强
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-20 04:57
Group 1 - Gold prices are currently facing resistance and have shown weakness due to overnight fluctuations and pressure from the strengthening US dollar index [1][3] - The US dollar index is maintaining an upward trend, with expectations to reach the 200-day moving average resistance, which adds pressure on gold prices [3] - Despite the current pressure, there is an expectation for gold prices to strengthen after a period of consolidation, as indicated by the recent bottoming patterns [4] Group 2 - The market is awaiting key insights from the upcoming speech by St. Louis Fed's Musalem regarding economic outlook and monetary policy, which may provide support for gold prices [3] - This week has limited impactful data, and gold prices will likely continue to fluctuate based on trade tariffs and geopolitical situations [3] - Gold prices have rebounded from the ascending trend line and the 60-day moving average support, indicating potential for further upward movement if these supports hold [4]
【美元指数19日下跌】5月20日讯,衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天下跌0.66%,在汇市尾市收于100.426。截至纽约汇市尾市,1欧元兑换1.1235美元,高于前一交易日的1.1152美元;1英镑兑换1.3356美元,高于前一交易日的1.3278美元。1美元兑换144.97日元,低于前一交易日的145.90日元;1美元兑换0.8348瑞士法郎,低于前一交易日的0.8390瑞士法郎;1美元兑换1.3959加元,低于前一交易日的1.3985加元;1美元兑换9.6928瑞典克朗,低于前一交易日的9.787
news flash· 2025-05-19 19:20
金十数据5月20日讯,衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数当天下跌0.66%,在汇市尾市收于100.426。 截至纽约汇市尾市,1欧元兑换1.1235美元,高于前一交易日的1.1152美元;1英镑兑换1.3356美元,高 于前一交易日的1.3278美元。1美元兑换144.97日元,低于前一交易日的145.90日元;1美元兑换0.8348瑞 士法郎,低于前一交易日的0.8390瑞士法郎;1美元兑换1.3959加元,低于前一交易日的1.3985加元;1 美元兑换9.6928瑞典克朗,低于前一交易日的9.7871瑞典克朗。 美元指数19日下跌 ...
金荣中国:黄金趋势支撑上方保持看涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-19 04:05
Group 1 - Gold prices are influenced by escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump's criticism of Powell, suggesting that the Federal Reserve should lower interest rates sooner rather than later [1][3] - Moody's downgrade of the U.S. sovereign credit rating has increased market risk aversion [1] - Gold opened approximately $20 higher at $3,218 per ounce, showing a strong rebound despite not filling the gap [3] Group 2 - The dollar index showed a high followed by a retreat, indicating limited rebound strength and suggesting a potential for volatility or decline in the future [3] - The monthly chart indicates that gold is in a downward channel, suggesting a weak outlook that could provide significant support for gold prices [3] - The market is advised to monitor the U.S. Conference Board's leading economic index for April, which is expected to be favorable for gold prices [3] Group 3 - Gold prices have reached support levels at the ascending trend line and the 60-day moving average, indicating a potential for a rebound [4] - Continuous formation of bottoming patterns enhances expectations for a stop in the decline and a potential upward adjustment [4] - The market outlook remains positive for a rebound, with expectations of further upward movement [4]