Group 1: Monetary Policy and Market Operations - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 131 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40%, with a total bid amount of 131 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 275.5 billion yuan for the day [1] - After the month-end, the overnight pledged repo rate for deposit institutions significantly decreased by over 14 basis points, returning to 1.36%, while the 7-day pledged repo rate fell by over 37 basis points [3] - The latest one-year interbank certificates of deposit (CD) transaction rate for major banks is at 1.62%, showing a decline compared to the previous day [6] Group 2: Bond Market Performance - The majority of government bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.28%, the 10-year main contract increasing by 0.10%, and the 5-year main contract up by 0.06%, while the 2-year main contract slightly decreased by 0.01% [12] - The Ministry of Finance plans to issue 20 billion yuan of 28-day and 20 billion yuan of 63-day discount treasury bonds on July 2 [16] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The Caixin China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June recorded 50.4, an increase of 2.1 percentage points from May, indicating a return above the critical point, with new export orders rebounding significantly [13]

Group 1 - The Central Financial and Economic Commission held its sixth meeting to discuss the deepening of the national unified market construction and high-quality development of the marine economy, emphasizing the need for legal governance of low-price disorderly competition among enterprises and the promotion of integrated development of domestic and foreign trade [2] - The US Senate passed the "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill, which will be sent to the House of Representatives, with President Trump expressing confidence in its passage [2] - The Caixin China Manufacturing PMI for June recorded 50.4, up 2.1 percentage points from May, indicating a return to expansion territory [3] Group 2 - The China Light Industry Federation reported that the added value of large-scale light industry increased by 7% year-on-year in the first five months of this year, with total operating income reaching 9.27 trillion yuan [3] - Internet enterprises above designated size achieved internet business revenue of 773.5 billion yuan from January to May, a year-on-year increase of 0.9%, while total profit decreased by 2.2% [3] - The Ministry of Water Resources announced the start of the main flood season in China from July 1, with forecasts indicating above-normal rainfall in several river basins [3] Group 3 - A-share indices showed divergence, with bank stocks rebounding and the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.39% at 3457.75 points [6] - The IPO acceptance reached a peak in the first half of the year, with 150 companies accepted for IPO in June alone, marking a record for the year [6] - UBS's China equity strategy analyst noted that A-share earnings may gradually recover this year under stable macro conditions [7] Group 4 - Major announcements from listed companies included BYD reporting approximately 2.146 million new energy vehicle sales in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 33.04% [9] - The National Medical Insurance Administration is seeking opinions on the adjustment of the medical insurance drug list for 2025, which will include innovative drugs not covered by basic insurance [11] - The real estate investment by the top 100 property companies increased by 42% year-on-year in the first half of the year, indicating a recovery in investment enthusiasm [11] Group 5 - The domestic retail price of refined oil has seen three consecutive increases, with gasoline and diesel prices rising by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton, respectively [10] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the number of second-hand housing transactions in Beijing reached 90,035 units in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% [12] - The global economic outlook report from the Bank of China Research Institute highlighted that over 99% of stablecoins are pegged to the US dollar, indicating their role as a digital currency [13]

Group 1 - BYD Company reported June sales of new energy vehicles at 382,600 units, an increase from 341,700 units in the same month last year, reflecting a growth of approximately 12.5% year-over-year [2] Group 2 - The U.S. JOLTs job openings unexpectedly rose to the highest level since November of the previous year, leading traders to slightly reduce expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [3] - Oil prices are set to increase, with the cost of filling a tank expected to rise by 9 yuan [4] - The first company, He Yuan Biotechnology, has passed the review for an IPO under the fifth set of standards on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [4]

Marine Economy - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting emphasized the need for top-level design and increased policy support to promote high-quality development of the marine economy, encouraging social capital participation [1][4] - The marine economy's production value is projected to exceed 10 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for 7.8% of the national GDP, with a contribution of 11.5% to economic growth, highlighting its importance as a new growth engine [1][4] Solid-State Batteries - The Chinese Academy of Sciences has developed a new type of sulfide solid electrolyte with high conductivity and water resistance, addressing the interface contact issues in all-solid-state batteries [2] - A new high-entropy lithium alloy anode has also been achieved, enabling all-solid-state batteries to charge and discharge in one minute, with plans to produce samples by August [2] - Sulfide solid-state batteries are seen as a disruptive technology with high energy density and safety, crucial for countries aiming to dominate the electric vehicle market [2][3] Nuclear Fusion - Google has signed a power purchase agreement with Commonwealth Fusion Systems, marking a significant step for the nascent nuclear fusion energy sector [3] - Nuclear fusion is theoretically capable of providing long-term energy without producing nuclear waste or carbon emissions, making it an ideal solution for tech companies seeking to meet high computational demands while achieving carbon neutrality [3]

证券分析师：张冬冬 E-MAIL：zhangdd@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190522040001 证券分析师：吴步升 E-MAIL：wubs@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190524110002 大类资产跟踪 债券市场：利率债涨跌不一，短端几乎持平，长端上涨。股市方面上 证指数放量突破颈线压制，且呈均线排列结构，虽然基本面的疲弱仍将支 撑债市，但股市若继续走强仍将压制债市表现，预计债市后续将高位震荡 运行。后续展望：股市大盘突破，债市预计高位震荡。 2025 年 07 月 01 日 投资策略 策略日报（2025.07.01）：指数分化 相关研究报告 <<策略日报（2025.06.30）：创业板指 领涨>>--2025-07-01 A 股：三大指数分化，沪指领涨，创新药概念爆发。市场全天成交额 1.49 万亿，较前一日缩量 0.02 万亿，个股涨跌分化，2514 只个股上涨， 2394 只个股下跌。沪指技术面上指数突破了 3 月份的高点，上涨空间已 经打开。有三个观察点来判断行情的强弱支撑是否有效：一是前期油价的 高点也是地缘风险消退和指数止稳的起点，因此 6 月 23 日上涨的低 ...

Market Performance - On July 1, 2025, A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.39%, Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.11%, and ChiNext Index down by 0.24%[2] - The total market turnover was 14,658.05 billion CNY, a decrease of 208.32 billion CNY from the previous trading day[2] - A total of 2,664 stocks rose while 2,570 stocks fell across the market[2] Sector and Style Analysis - The top-performing sectors included pharmaceuticals (up 1.74%), banking (up 1.51%), and non-ferrous metals (up 1.51%)[19] - The worst-performing sectors were comprehensive finance (down 2.65%), computer (down 1.28%), and retail (down 0.47%)[19] - In terms of investment style, financials outperformed other styles, with mid-cap value leading large-cap value and small-cap value[19] Capital Flow - On July 1, 2025, the net outflow of main funds was 335.88 billion CNY, with large orders seeing a net outflow of 189.00 billion CNY and small orders continuing to see a net inflow of 294.56 billion CNY[23] - Major ETFs such as the Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and the Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF saw significant decreases in trading volume, with changes of -9.78 billion CNY and -17.49 billion CNY respectively[27] Global Market Overview - Major Asia-Pacific indices closed mixed, with the Nikkei 225 down 1.24% and the Australian S&P 200 down 0.01%[31] - European indices generally fell, with the DAX down 0.51% and the FTSE 100 down 0.43%[31] - In contrast, US indices rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.63% and the S&P 500 up 0.52%[31]

Group 1 - The economic performance of China's light industry has shown signs of recovery in the first five months of the year [8] - The new revised Mineral Resources Law has come into effect today [18] Group 2 - The railway summer transportation season has started, with an expected passenger volume of 953 million [10] - The film box office in China for the first half of 2025 reached 29.231 billion [14]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting emphasizes the need for high-quality development of the marine economy through enhanced top-level design, increased policy support, and encouraging social capital participation [1] Group 1: Marine Economy Development - The focus is on strengthening the independent innovation capability of marine technology and enhancing strategic technological power in the marine sector [1] - The development of leading marine technology enterprises and specialized small and medium-sized enterprises is encouraged [1] - The meeting calls for the promotion of orderly construction of offshore wind power and the modernization of deep-sea fishing [1] Group 2: Marine Industry and Services - There is an emphasis on developing marine biomedicine and biological products, as well as creating marine cultural and tourism destinations [1] - The meeting highlights the need for high-quality development of the shipping industry [1] - Research on the development planning of bay economies and the optimization of coastal port clusters is prioritized [1] Group 3: Environmental Protection and Global Cooperation - Strengthening marine ecological environment protection and implementing comprehensive management of key sea areas is essential [1] - The meeting advocates for layered and three-dimensional utilization of marine areas and exploring marine carbon sink accounting [1] - Deep participation in global marine governance and cooperation in global marine scientific research, disaster prevention, and blue economy is encouraged [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Guangdong Provincial Marine Economy Work Conference aims to promote high-quality development of the marine economy, seizing opportunities to enhance the province's maritime capabilities and contribute to building a strong marine province [1][2]. Group 1: Development Strategy - Guangdong will leverage its maritime advantages and potential, focusing on a balanced development of marine resources while enhancing ecological protection [1]. - The province plans to optimize the layout of marine productivity, develop the Bay Area economy, and strengthen the coordination between land and sea [1][2]. - Guangdong aims to expand its international cooperation in marine economic development, particularly through the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [1]. Group 2: Industrial System Construction - The province will focus on nurturing existing industries while promoting new ones, aiming to build a modern marine industry system with international competitiveness [2]. - Key initiatives include enhancing marine fisheries, developing modern marine ranches, and improving the comprehensive strength of deep-sea fishing [2]. - There will be a strong emphasis on advancing marine manufacturing, particularly in petrochemicals and shipbuilding, while fostering emerging industries like marine renewable energy and marine biomedicine [2]. Group 3: Technological Innovation - Guangdong will adopt an innovation-driven approach to support marine economic development, focusing on building major technological innovation platforms [2]. - The province plans to accelerate the development of key core technologies needed for the industry and cultivate modern marine talent [2]. - Infrastructure improvements, including port resource optimization and the establishment of industrial parks, will be prioritized to enhance the conditions for marine economic development [2].

科股宝VIP是北京商报联合钛媒体共同推出的新闻资讯产品，包括科股一线解读、大事件必读、并购一 线、精华研报等数个栏目，围绕新闻及政策动态，提供媒体视角的解读。 以下是近期复盘及栏目发稿回顾： 1、 AI链、海内外算力链、国产半导体企业IPO迎来集中进展、部分存储产品涨价 （1）6月5日，栏目组发文《市值超越微软！英伟达3.46万亿美元"封王"，AI产业链需求持续爆发丨科 股一线拆解》文章指出： 英伟达市值再度超越微软，重夺全球市值最高上市公司头衔。截至6月4日收盘，英伟达股价报 141.92美元，过去一个月累计涨幅达25.59%，总市值达3.46万亿美元。 这场AI盛宴还惠及更多科技公司。高速连接以及高速串行链路通信解决方案提供商CRDO Credo Technology也于6月3日盘中暴涨30%。 伴随着AI算力需求的结构性爆发，光模块/CPO、液冷服务器、AEC、PCB/CCL等业绩兑现确定性 较强的AI上游算力产业链可能率先响应。 AI中下游领域还需等待边际改善。偏硬件的上游算力和下游端侧AI环节已经率先兑现业绩，中游 软件、下游AI应用等环节则尚未迎来困境反转。 国内来看，未来两周有两个重要议程：6月 ...