作为行情风向标的券商股近期频频异动，除了相关公司股价大幅波动外，整个板块成交量近期也骤然放 大。 另外，值得注意的是，近期多只热门券商股登上龙虎榜，且龙虎榜中普遍出现陆股通专用席位身影，多 空力量"对决"十分激烈。 常被视为A股市场行情风向标的券商板块近期频频异动，成交量亦同步明显放大，其中6月25日整个券 商板块成交额突破1000亿元，为年内首次。 近期券商板块价量齐升 单日成交额年内首超千亿元 不过，券商板块的异动能否真正起到市场"发令枪"作用，还需要其他因素配合。此前年内也有几次券商 板块出现异动，但未能带动A股市场的整体持续上行。 热门券商股背后：陆股通席位多空激烈"对决" 值得注意的是，近期多只大幅上涨的热门券商股还登上龙虎榜，其中多只股票的龙虎榜中除了营业部席 位，还出现陆股通专用席位的身影。 比如天风证券6月27日登上沪市龙虎榜，当天买方前五席位和卖方前五席位中，除了券商营业部席位 外，还出现沪股通专用席位的身影。当天沪股通专用席位买入天风证券约4.42亿元，同时卖出约4.68亿 元。天风证券当天收盘股价大涨7.89%，成交额超过百亿元。 6月26日，国盛金控登上深市龙虎榜，当天深股通专用席位买 ...

6月24日，中国人民银行、中国证监会等六部门联合印发《关于金融支持提振和扩大消费的指导意 见》，金融支持消费《指导意见》有望提高证券公司投行业务景气度，国泰海通香港子公司获虚拟资产 交易服务许可，是内地券商香港子公司开展虚拟资产业务的重大突破之一，证券公司虚拟资产业务开展 有望进入快车道。 智通财经APP获悉，上周刚举行的陆家嘴论坛发布了科创板"1+6"改革措施，制度包容性提升助推市场 活跃度的改善，1.5万亿成交额为券商业绩增长奠定了基础。 港股券商龙头：港交所（00388） 中资券商相关企业： 中金公司(03908)、中国银河(06881)、光大证券(06178)、华泰证券(06886)、中国银河(06881)、广发证券 (01776)、中信证券（06030）、中信建投证券(06066)、东方证券（03958）、国泰君安国际（01788） 等； 东海证券认为券商板块行情持续性主要取决于政策红利的兑现节奏，以及市场活跃度的维持力度。 花旗发布研报称，自去年9月24日中国人民银行推出证券、基金、保险公司互换便利(SFISF)以来，对房 地产市场和消费产生积极影响，该行看到监管机构拟利用股市创造财富效应、促进家 ...

开源证券指出，券商板块估值和机构持仓位于低位，宏观层面稳股市举措延续，叠加业绩持续同比增 长，继续看好板块机会。三条主线：业绩弹性突出的零售券商、金融科技标的，看好受益于港股市场 IPO扩容和活跃度提升的香港交易所。 证券ETF龙头紧密跟踪国证证券龙头指数，为反映沪深市场证券主题优质上市公司的市场表现，并为投 资者提供更丰富的指数化投资工具，编制国证证券龙头指数。 数据显示，截至2025年5月30日，国证证券龙头指数(399437)前十大权重股分别为东方财富(300059)、中 信证券(600030)、国泰海通(601211)、华泰证券(601688)、招商证券(600999)、广发证券(000776)、东方 证券(600958)、兴业证券(601377)、光大证券(601788)、国信证券(002736)，前十大权重股合计占比 80.15%。 截至2025年6月24日 10:07，国证证券龙头指数(399437)强势上涨2.31%，成分股中国银河(601881)上涨 4.60%，东方财富(300059)上涨3.58%，长江证券(000783)上涨3.52%，华林证券(002945)，信达证券 (601059 ...

综合多家机构的策略内容看，尽管当下券商板块二级市场表现与其一季报整体增收态势出现一定背离， 但在多重积极因素叠加下，后市券商板块估值有望持续企稳回升。 随着各大券商陆续召开2025年中期策略会，对于证券行业下半年发展前景和投资布局的研判，也逐渐呈 现在投资者面前。 就下半年券商板块投资而言， 2025年中报有望实现业绩高增长且估值尚在低位的券商、业务结构更为 均衡且专业能力更强的头部综合券商，以及存在并购重组可能性的相关券商，值得投资者关注。 建议把握三条投资主线 对于券商板块后市投资机遇，机构建议把握三条投资主线： 2025年中报有望实现业绩高增长且估值尚 在低位的券商，业务结构更为均衡且专业能力更强的头部综合券商，以及存在并购重组可能性的相关券 商 。 中信证券认为，在降息带来流动性利好，券商板块中期业绩同比增速有望保持优秀表现，一揽子金融政 策落地有望打开增量空间的环境下， 券商板块估值有望持续企稳回升，并有望在基本面、政策面和流 动性利好的支持以及行业并购重组题材的刺激下，持续展现自身弹性。 在具体布局上，中信证券推荐两条投资主线：一是在经纪业务与投资交易业务持续带动整体业绩改善、 投行业务稳步复苏的 ...

6月16日，券商股板块早盘活跃，截至发稿，中证全指证券公司指数涨0.38%，成分股中，东吴证券涨 超2%，华鑫股份、国信证券、东方财富、锦龙股份等跟涨。 国金证券表示，券商板块上半年业绩同比改善趋势明确，高盈利与低估值的显著错配凸显配置性价比， 建议关注2025上半年业绩超预期标的与持仓占比低的低配修复机会；券商并购预期增强，建议关注券商 并购潜在标的机会。 相关ETF中，证券ETF（159841）截至发稿涨0.51%，成交额超5500万元。 （本文机构观点来自持牌证券机构，不构成任何投资建议，亦不代表平台观点，请投资人独立判断和决 策。） 值得关注的是，据Wind金融终端，证券ETF（159841）最新流动规模为59.17 亿元，为深市同标的产品 中规模首位。上周（6月9日-6月13日）成交额超9.7亿元，居深市同标的产品首位。 证券ETF（159841）密切跟踪中证全指证券公司指数，该指数聚焦了A股的大市值证券龙头，而且既有 传统证券龙头，也有金融科技龙头。证券ETF（159841）同时配置场外证券ETF联接基金（A： 008590，C：008591）。 中航证券表示，在政策利好的背景下，券商业务发展迎来 ...

Core Viewpoint - The surge in the securities sector is driven by favorable policies and merger expectations, with significant capital inflow into the A-share market and notable stock price increases among major brokerage firms [1][4][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - Over 2.4 billion in main capital flowed into the securities sector, leading to substantial gains in individual stocks, including a limit-up for Industrial Securities and over 8% increase for Xinda Securities [1]. - In the Hong Kong market, major brokerage stocks also saw significant increases, with Guangfa Securities rising by 6.5% and Huatai Securities by 5% [3]. Group 2: Policy Impact - The recent policy released on June 10 allows companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which is expected to expand the investment banking business for brokerages [4][6]. - This policy is anticipated to enhance market connectivity and trading activity, directly benefiting brokerage businesses [6]. Group 3: Mergers and Acquisitions - The market is optimistic about mergers and acquisitions due to the recent change in control of several brokerages to Central Huijin, which is expected to reduce integration barriers among brokerages [7]. - The trend of mergers is likely to create significant synergies, further driving stock prices upward [7]. Group 4: Stock Buybacks - Several brokerages have announced stock buybacks, signaling confidence in their long-term development and enhancing shareholder returns [8][9]. - The buybacks are seen as a positive signal for the sector's investment attractiveness [9]. Group 5: Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The current valuation of the brokerage sector is considered attractive, with a price-to-book ratio (PB) around 1.33x, indicating potential for investment [10]. - Analysts suggest that the sector's profitability and valuation are expected to rise, driven by improved market conditions and strategic business expansions [11].

Core Viewpoint - The securities sector is experiencing a strong upward trend, with significant increases in stock prices and ongoing share buyback programs indicating confidence in the long-term prospects of the capital market [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 11, 2025, the CSI Securities Company 30 Index rose by 2.36%, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Industrial Securities (up 9.97%) and Xinda Securities (up 9.24%) [1]. - The Securities Company ETF (516730) increased by 2.39%, with a latest price of 0.99 yuan, and has seen a cumulative increase of 1.58% over the past week [1]. - The ETF had a turnover rate of 5.86% during the trading session, with a total transaction value of 4.34 million yuan, and an average daily transaction value of 9.25 million yuan over the past year [1]. Group 2: Buyback Programs - Securities firms are actively disclosing their share buyback plans, with Guojin Securities reporting a total buyback amount exceeding 55 million yuan [1]. - Other firms such as Guotai Junan and Dongfang Securities have also announced their buyback progress, reflecting a strategic decision based on confidence in the capital market's long-term outlook [1]. Group 3: Earnings Outlook - According to Kaiyuan Securities, the mid-year earnings report for securities firms is expected to show continued growth due to low baselines and improving trading volumes [2]. - The current valuation of the Securities Company ETF, tracking the CSI Securities Company 30 Index, is at a low PE-TTM of 17.52, indicating it is below 91.13% of the time over the past year [2]. - The CSI Securities Company 30 Index includes top-performing securities firms based on business ranking, market capitalization, revenue, and profitability, with the top ten stocks accounting for 67.69% of the index [2].

Group 1 - The first meeting of the China-US economic and trade consultation mechanism was characterized by professional, rational, in-depth, and candid communication, with a framework reached to implement the consensus from the June 5 call between the two heads of state [2] - The progress made in the London talks is expected to enhance trust between China and the US, promoting a stable and healthy development of economic and trade relations, and injecting positive energy into global economic development [2] Group 2 - As of June 11, 2025, the CSI All Share Securities Company Index (399975) rose by 2.32%, with notable increases in individual stocks such as Xinda Securities (601059) up by 10.01%, and Xingye Securities (601377) up by 6.59% [3] - The Securities ETF (159841) increased by 2.27%, with a latest price of 0.99 yuan, and a turnover rate of 2.77%, with a transaction volume of 171 million yuan [3] - Shenwan Hongyuan indicated that in 2025, the brokerage sector is expected to see an increase in profitability and valuation due to long-term capital inflows and new public fund regulations, with key competitive factors being proprietary investment, wealth management, and international expansion [3] - Minsheng Securities noted that since the beginning of the year, positive policy signals and liquidity support from interest rate cuts are expected to boost market confidence, with a continued high trading activity anticipated in 2025 [3] Group 3 - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI All Share Securities Company Index (399975) accounted for 59.01% of the index, with CITIC Securities (600030) having the highest weight at 14.26% [4][6] - The top ten stocks include Dongfang Fortune (300059) at 13.86%, Guotai Junan (601211) at 10.23%, and Huatai Securities (601688) at 4.67% [6]

6月10日，三大指数午后盘中均跌逾1%，证券板块震荡走低。相关ETF方面，证券ETF（159841）跌 1.22%，成交额超1.3亿元，当前溢折率0.07%。成分股方面，仅湘财证券及兴业证券两只个股小幅上 涨。 东兴证券指出，近期证券行业相关政策推出的频率下降，板块估值修复缺乏确定性催化剂。但6月18至 19日即将召开的陆家嘴论坛在"全球经济变局中的金融开放合作与高质量发展"的主题下或有重大政策出 台，粤港澳大湾区全方位互联互通、境内企业在港上市、跨境并购重组和境内外投资便利化均可期待。 在当前境内IPO、定增业务增速放缓的情况下，并购重组有望成为券商投行业务的关键增量。同时，伴 随着国家对于科技创新的日益重视，证券行业有望持续受益于科技企业全方位的成长，更多创新业态有 望加速形成，行业ROE提升空间打开。其中，头部券商的资本优势和平台优势在业务和AI高度对接的 时代有望更为充分的体现。 国金证券称，2025Q1上市券商收入利润高增，券商板块的估值与较高的盈利能力产生错配，且资本市 场的利好政策与并购主题有望成为催化剂，券商板块存在较大补涨空间，继续看好券商板块估值修复。 （本文机构观点来自持牌证券机构，不构 ...

Group 1 - The financial sector showed strength on June 3, with the securities company index rising by 1.01%, driven by significant gains in stocks such as Guotai Junan, which increased over 4% [1] - The Securities ETF (159841) rose by 0.85% with a trading volume exceeding 100 million yuan, marking 10 consecutive days of net inflow, accumulating over 150 million yuan [2] - The latest scale of the Securities ETF reached 6.069 billion yuan, making it the largest among similar products in the Shenzhen market [2] Group 2 - Huatai Securities noted that the concentration in the securities industry is accelerating due to reforms in the capital market and restructuring of the competitive landscape, with the industry's revenue and net profit CR10 expected to reach 74% and 63% respectively by 2024, an increase of 22 and 11 percentage points since 2010 [2] - The asset concentration in the industry is also increasing, with leading brokerages expanding their balance sheets more rapidly and maintaining higher leverage [2] - Wengang Securities indicated that the introduction of long-term funds and improved market stability are positively impacting brokerage and proprietary trading businesses, with the brokerage sector's PB at 1.25X, positioned at the 22.41% percentile over the past decade [3]