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山海:本周节假日市场清淡,但金银依旧强势不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-22 05:07
山海:本周节假日市场清淡,但金银依旧强势不变! 原油经过上周的上涨,虽然是起来了点,但还是要强调暂时没有转强,目前保持低位震荡不变,那么,近期就不用过分看其力度,如果以低位震荡来 看,就以低多为主,上方还是关注58,60高点得失,下方依旧维持54.5支撑,因为趋势没变,所以不建议在低位加仓交易,周内重点关注58高点的得 失,破位后方可看大涨空间。 撰文/山海 (以上文章由山海原创,转载请注明出处。山海温馨提示,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。以上仅代表山海个人观点,不作操作依据,据此操作风险自担) 本周的工作开始了,大家注意跟上山海的节奏,做出有效的交易。周内时间比较紧,欧美周三平安夜,周四圣诞节,周五亚欧盘也会受影响,外盘停 盘无法交易,内盘也会受影响,波动不会很大,所以,本周行情主要集中在周一,周二,周五的晚上,大家关注这三个时间点就好。本周市场比较寂 静,没有什么重点数据可关注的。 但也要谨慎对待随时的调整空间。周内的下方支撑在4335,4310,跌破4310或看4250。对于今天行情来讲,黄金直接走高不追高,下方关注回来支持 4335支撑,上方关注4385这4400两个点位压制,尽量在关键点位交易。 白银比山 ...
山海:维持前期观点不变,黄金在强势中实现了调整!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-19 02:49
Core Viewpoint - The article maintains the previous viewpoint that gold is experiencing adjustments within a strong trend, emphasizing the importance of monitoring key support and resistance levels [1][3]. Market Analysis - The market showed minor changes, with fluctuations primarily occurring during the US trading session. Gold's performance was characterized by a drop to 4307 before rebounding to a new high of 4375, confirming the dual focus on bullish trends and potential adjustment spaces [3][5]. - The analysis indicates that as long as gold remains below 4355, bullish sentiment should be tempered, with attention on the support levels of 4300 and 4280 [3][5]. Technical Indicators - The current trading range for gold is identified as 4375/4250, with a smaller range of 4350/4280. The market is expected to remain within this range unless significant breakouts occur [5][6]. - The article notes that the recent high of 4375 is likely to be the peak for December, with expectations of high-level consolidation and adjustments thereafter [5][6]. Silver and Oil Outlook - Silver is also in a bullish trend but is expected to experience adjustments, with a focus on the support level of 64.5. The anticipated trading range for silver is 64.5/66.5, with potential for higher targets if the 66.5 level is breached [6]. - The outlook for crude oil remains bearish, with low-level fluctuations expected. The focus is on maintaining positions around the support level of 54.5, while short-term trades can be considered at 55.5 [6].
山海:维持黄金的强势看法,但也要注意调整的空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-18 02:46
Group 1 - The current market lacks effective stimulus, leading to fluctuations in gold prices without continuity, with a focus on the potential for a downward adjustment in the near term [2][4] - Gold is under pressure at the 4350 level, with expectations of a possible drop to 4280 or even 4250, while silver shows strength but may also experience adjustments [2][5] - The analysis indicates that while the bullish trend for gold remains, caution is advised regarding market changes that could lead to deeper corrections [4][6] Group 2 - The recent trading day saw gold fluctuating between a high of 4348 and a low of 4315, reflecting the current market's volatility [4] - The technical analysis suggests that if gold breaks above 4355, it could target 4385, but failure to maintain support could lead to a drop towards previous lows [5][6] - International crude oil has shown signs of effective rebound, closing at 56.8, with expectations of further upward movement if it stabilizes above 58 [6]
黄金显示多头趋势 进一步强化正向动能
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-17 06:05
从政策角度来看,美联储必须在努力阻止劳动力市场进一步疲软的同时,还要防止居高不下的通货膨胀 进一步恶化,这使得其面临着艰难的抉择。美联储官员一直坚称劳动力市场并非通胀的根源,今天发布 的就业报告也印证了这一说法。 虽然没有官方预测,但华尔街经济学家普遍预计,继9月份意外增加10.8万人之后,10月份就业人数将 出现下降。尽管存在这些复杂情况,但这份报告描绘的劳动力市场状况与以往类似。就业形势仍然是招 聘和裁员人数都较低。 周三(12月17日)亚市盘中,现货黄金走势小幅走高,目前交投于4331.88美元/盎司附近,现货黄金价格 在近期的日内交易中重拾涨势,得益于价格稳固站上4300美元这一主要支撑位,该位置为本轮反弹构筑 了坚实基础;与此同时,相对强弱指标释放出积极信号,进一步强化了市场的正向动能。 CNBC分析称,美国劳工统计局周二公布的数据显示,11月份非农就业人数增幅略高于预期。由于政府 停摆,这些数据发布有所延迟。当月新增就业人数为64,000人,好于道琼斯预期的45,000人。失业率升 至4.6%,高于预期。劳工统计局还发布了简略的10月份数据,显示非农就业人数减少了10.5万人。 从技术面来看,黄金 ...
山海:黄金维持极强状态,周内有变盘风险!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 02:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of caution in the gold and silver markets, highlighting the risk of market manipulation and the need for careful analysis before making trades [2] - The analysis indicates that gold is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with a potential breakout above the previous high of 4380, suggesting significant upward movement in the near term [4] - The current trading strategy advises maintaining a bullish outlook on gold while being mindful of key resistance levels at 4350 and 4380, and support levels at 4250, 4285, and 4270 [5] Group 2 - The silver market is also projected to remain bullish, with expectations of reaching around 65, while maintaining a focus on key support levels at 61 and 60 [6] - The analysis of international crude oil indicates a weak and volatile market, with a current price of 57.8, and a cautious approach is recommended, focusing on the resistance level at 61 [6]
山海:黄金出现极强状态,但还是强调回落支撑得失!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 02:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the upward trend of gold remains intact, but it is not extremely strong, suggesting that trading should focus on buying on dips with support levels at 4220 and 4200 [2][4] - Gold's recent performance showed a drop below 4220, reaching a low of 4203, but subsequently rebounded from the 4200 support level, peaking at 4285, indicating potential for further upward movement towards 4300 and 4385 [2][4] - The technical analysis indicates that the H4 cycle shows a strong upward trend, with daily volume increasing, suggesting that gold could continue to rise, with key levels to watch at 4250 and 4232 for potential buying opportunities [5][6] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices did not follow the second wave of increases, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a low of 960 and a high of 973, indicating a cautious approach to trading [6] - International silver continues to show bullish momentum, recently reaching a high of 64.2, with expectations for further increases, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips with support around 62.5 [6][7] - The Shanghai silver contract has also reached new highs around 15000, indicating a strong upward trend, but traders are advised to refrain from chasing prices and instead wait for potential adjustments before entering positions [7]
杨振金:黄金慢涨逼空白银再创新高 今日走势分析及操作策略
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 04:27
新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 新浪声明:此消息系转载自新浪合作媒体,新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同 其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。 市场解读: 12月10日,周二现货白银大涨逾4%,在供应紧张的情况下升破每盎司60美元的里程碑,再度刷新历史 高点,这也带动金价上涨,市场普遍预计美联储周三降息,吸引逢低买盘支撑金价,不过周二出炉的美 国职位空缺数据好于市场预期,美元指数延续反弹走势,美债收益率刷新三个月高点,这令黄金多头有 所顾忌。美联储决议前,黄金市场交投趋于谨慎,投资者需要重点关注美联储点阵图和鲍威尔的新闻发 布会,留意美联储主席候选人人选的相关消息。 黄金技术分析: 目前黄金维持前期的观点不变,继续看多头趋势的震荡上行走势,虽然暂时没有到4230目标点,但阶段 性的上涨没有走完,所以继续看震荡上行走势,因此暂时的行情还是看涨做多,逐步看到预期。另外, 今天凌晨有美联储利率决议,市场会产生一定的影响,所以技术面与消息面相结合看。 从技术面来看,日线,H4周期看不出太大的变化,日线维持多头趋势,H4维持震荡区间,暂时表现是 H4 ...
山海:金银走出了预期上涨,关注美联储利率决议影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 01:38
Group 1 - Silver has surged to a high of 61, with an increase of 82% this year, indicating a strong bullish trend and a recommendation to avoid short positions [2][5] - Gold is experiencing a fluctuating trend, reaching a peak of 4221, but lacks the same upward momentum as silver, maintaining a bullish outlook with expectations of gradual increases [2][4] - The market is awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to influence gold's performance, with a focus on potential price movements within the range of 4180 to 4230 [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have shown slight increases, with Shanghai gold closing at 961 and Rongtong gold at 951, indicating a range-bound market ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision [5] - International silver has demonstrated significant upward movement, with a recommendation to avoid chasing prices and instead wait for potential pullbacks to enter long positions [5][6] - Crude oil has not stabilized above 61, continuing a slow decline, while domestic fuel oil has shown an upward trend, with expectations of reaching targets of 2600 to 2800 in the long term [6]
方华富:黄金继续震荡,短线先空!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 07:40
原油在所讲的60.50阻力承压下跌,这个位置是整体下跌反弹的618位置,震荡的节奏还是不变,今天关 注上升回踩的618支撑58.40做多,止损57.70,目标看59.50。 黄金在美联储消息前会持续走震荡,可以看到波动幅度在收窄,但整体的趋势还是多头,给到调整下来 还是重点布多的机会,本周关注4100/4130两个位置,一旦给到注意埋伏多单,基本面上没有改变,短 时间内还需要蓄力。 小周期当中震荡偏空,日内行情在4198承压走跌,今天进一步向下回落的概率较大,短线建议关注 4188/4200阻力做空,看4150/4160,如果跌下来也有做多的机会,暂时打到4100概率不大,如果下来 4130/4150支撑短多。 ...
山海:在美联储利率决议之前,黄金保持震荡走势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 02:28
Group 1 - The overall market experienced fluctuations on Monday, with a peak at 4218 and a low at 4175, indicating a mixed sentiment in trading [2][4] - The gold market is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with key resistance at 4230 and support at 4175, while the market lacks upward momentum ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision [2][3] - Domestic gold prices showed minor fluctuations, with Shanghai gold closing at 960 and Rongtong gold at 950, indicating a range-bound market ahead of the Fed's decision [3][4] Group 2 - The international silver market is expected to remain in a range between 58.5 and 57.5, with potential for a bullish trend if it holds above the support level of 56.5 [5] - Domestic silver prices are also stable, with support at 13250, and a bullish outlook as long as this level holds [5][6] - The international crude oil market has faced challenges, closing below 60.5, and is expected to remain volatile, with a focus on the 61 resistance level [5][6]