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山海:黄金暂时还是震荡走势,但有迹象上破!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 02:15
Group 1 - The recent market performance shows a rebound in gold prices after testing the 4000 level, with a rise to around 4082, indicating potential for further upward movement this week [1][2] - The daily chart for gold has turned bullish, suggesting that the recent weakness may have bottomed out, with expectations for a continued upward trend if prices stabilize above 4100 [2][3] - Silver prices are also showing signs of strength, maintaining support around 50, with potential for further gains if it breaks above 51.5 [3] Group 2 - International crude oil prices have remained stable, closing around 60.5, with previous recommendations to buy near the 58 support level still valid [4] - Domestic fuel oil has seen slight declines but remains around 2570, with no clear bottom formation, suggesting a cautious approach to new positions [4]
山海:黄金在没有突破关键点前,还是震荡走势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 01:57
Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to experience a breakout in gold prices around Wednesday or Thursday, with a slow upward trend anticipated on Monday and Tuesday [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - On Monday, gold fluctuated significantly within the range of 3960 to 4030, with a clear trend observed [2]. - The recommendation is to maintain a low long strategy, with specific buy targets set at 3985 and 3998, aiming for 4020, while cautioning against excessive expectations of upward momentum until a break above 4050 occurs [2]. - The current market is characterized as a weak oscillation state, requiring a daily close above the Bollinger middle track to establish a strong upward trend [2]. Group 2: Domestic Gold Performance - Domestic gold prices showed minor fluctuations, with the Shanghai gold contract closing at 920 and the Rongtong gold at 912, indicating a recovery from previous declines [3]. - The focus for the week is on breaking key resistance levels at 955 for Shanghai gold and 950 for Rongtong gold to confirm continued upward movement [3]. Group 3: Silver Market Insights - International silver prices have not stabilized above the 49.5 resistance point, indicating a continued oscillation trend [3]. - The strategy for silver remains to adopt a low long approach, with support levels identified at 47.5 and 45.5, waiting for a rebound at these key support points [3][4]. Group 4: Domestic Silver and Oil Market - The Shanghai silver contract is currently in a consolidation phase, with a focus on breaking the 11600 resistance level for potential upward movement [4]. - Oil prices are stable around 61, with expectations for upward continuation if the previous high of 63 is breached, targeting 66 [4].
山海:11月黄金保持多头趋势,周内关注数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 03:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is maintaining a bullish trend in November, with a focus on data impacts throughout the week [1][2][3] - October saw significant fluctuations in gold prices, with a peak at 4380 and a drop to 3888, leading to a consolidation phase entering November [2][3] - Key economic indicators such as PMI, ADP, unemployment claims, and non-farm payroll data are expected to influence gold and silver prices in the early part of November [2][3] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading remains bullish, with attention on the Shanghai gold price at 910 and the Rongtong gold price at 905, looking for opportunities in the initial week of November [4] - Silver is also in a consolidation phase, with a focus on maintaining support at 45.5 and potential resistance at 49.5, indicating a range-bound trading strategy [4][5] - The oil market has shown a recovery, with prices rebounding from a low of 59.6 to around 61.2, suggesting a continuation of bullish sentiment if the previous high of 63 is broken [5]
山海:黄金强弱走势变化,关注非农数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 02:18
Group 1 - The focus is on the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which is expected to have a limited impact on gold prices if the actual data aligns closely with market predictions [2][4] - Gold has shown a bullish trend, with a significant increase of over $200, but recent adjustments indicate potential volatility around key support and resistance levels [4][5] - Silver has faced resistance at $41.5, and its future performance will depend on the non-farm data, with a critical support level at $40 [5][6] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has mirrored international trends, with significant price movements in contracts like the Shanghai Gold (2512) and Rongtong Gold, indicating a potential peak in the current uptrend [5] - The strategy for trading gold involves cautious short positions ahead of the non-farm data, with specific price levels to watch for potential reversals [5][6] - The international silver market is also under scrutiny, with a focus on the $41.5 resistance and $40 support, which will dictate future price movements based on the non-farm data [5][6]
山海:黄金周尾盘的表现,关注午后的确定性!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 02:47
Group 1 - The article emphasizes a focus on the potential for a rebound in gold and silver prices, with specific support levels identified at 3330 for gold and 37.8 for silver [1][2][4] - It suggests that gold is expected to experience a range-bound trading pattern, with key levels of 3390/3330 for broader movements and 3375/3350 for narrower fluctuations [2][3] - The analysis indicates that if gold holds above the support level of 3330, it could rise to 3350 and potentially 3365, while a break below 3330 could lead to further declines towards 3310 [2][3] Group 2 - The article notes that international silver prices should not be aggressively pursued after reaching 38.5, but a rebound from 38 is anticipated, with a focus on short-term trading opportunities [4] - Domestic silver (2512 contract) is highlighted as having experienced a significant pullback, currently trading around 9200, with potential for short-term buying opportunities near key support levels [4] - The commentary on international crude oil indicates a rebound from a support level of 62, with a target of 64.5, suggesting a weak upward trend if this level is breached [4][5] Group 3 - Domestic fuel (2512 contract) is mentioned as having some rebound potential, currently around 2750, with expectations for a gradual increase if it can stabilize above 2800 [5] - The overall market sentiment is characterized by a cautious approach, focusing on short-term accumulation rather than long-term directional bets, given the current volatility [3][4][5]
山海:美元走再弱,黄金在强支撑上走出预期的上涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 02:01
Group 1 - The gold market has shown volatility this week, with fluctuations around the 3285 level, indicating a potential upward trend after testing lower levels [2][4] - The highest price reached was 3322, with a trading range of 40 dollars, confirming a bullish sentiment despite some adjustments [2][4] - The focus for Thursday is on whether the upward momentum can continue, with key resistance levels at 3345 and potential targets of 3365 and 3400 if broken [4][5] Group 2 - Silver has not yet shown a significant upward movement, maintaining a support level at 36 and resistance at 37.3, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [2][5] - The domestic gold market has seen a rebound, with specific contracts like the Shanghai Gold (2512 contract) showing potential targets of 785 and 795 [5] - The international oil market has reached a target of 69, with further upward potential if this level is broken, indicating a bullish trend [6]