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山海:在美联储利率决议之前,黄金保持震荡走势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 02:28
Group 1 - The overall market experienced fluctuations on Monday, with a peak at 4218 and a low at 4175, indicating a mixed sentiment in trading [2][4] - The gold market is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with key resistance at 4230 and support at 4175, while the market lacks upward momentum ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision [2][3] - Domestic gold prices showed minor fluctuations, with Shanghai gold closing at 960 and Rongtong gold at 950, indicating a range-bound market ahead of the Fed's decision [3][4] Group 2 - The international silver market is expected to remain in a range between 58.5 and 57.5, with potential for a bullish trend if it holds above the support level of 56.5 [5] - Domestic silver prices are also stable, with support at 13250, and a bullish outlook as long as this level holds [5][6] - The international crude oil market has faced challenges, closing below 60.5, and is expected to remain volatile, with a focus on the 61 resistance level [5][6]
山海:注意节奏变化,黄金在多头趋势中有调整!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 02:16
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently experiencing a wide range of fluctuations, indicating a shift in momentum and a potential for a trading range rather than a clear trend direction [1][3]. Technical Analysis - On Tuesday, gold traded within a range of 4235 to 4166, showing a pattern of initial decline followed by a rise, which suggests a lack of strong continuation in either direction [3]. - The daily closing price for gold was 4217, while silver closed at 58.2, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend despite the observed fluctuations [3]. - The H4 timeframe shows a convergence of Bollinger Bands and moving averages around the mid-band, suggesting limited movement within the range of 4260 to 4150 [4]. - The 10-day moving average is a critical support level; if it holds, gold is likely to continue its upward trend, but a break could lead to lower targets around 4120 or lower [4]. Trading Strategy - The domestic gold market has seen two profitable trades this week, with a focus on short-term fluctuations rather than long-term positions due to the high price levels [5]. - For domestic gold, key levels to watch are 970 on the upside and 955 on the downside, while for domestic silver, the focus is on the resistance at 59 and support at 56.5 [5]. - The international silver market remains strong, with a closing price of 58.5, and traders are advised to monitor for potential changes in trend over the coming days [5][6]. Market Conditions - The international crude oil market is currently stable, closing at 58.5, with expectations of potential upward movement if it surpasses the 61 mark [6]. - Domestic fuel oil is trading at 2450, with no significant changes observed, and a focus on establishing a bottom above 2530 is emphasized [6].
山海:黄金暂时还是震荡走势,但有迹象上破!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 02:15
Group 1 - The recent market performance shows a rebound in gold prices after testing the 4000 level, with a rise to around 4082, indicating potential for further upward movement this week [1][2] - The daily chart for gold has turned bullish, suggesting that the recent weakness may have bottomed out, with expectations for a continued upward trend if prices stabilize above 4100 [2][3] - Silver prices are also showing signs of strength, maintaining support around 50, with potential for further gains if it breaks above 51.5 [3] Group 2 - International crude oil prices have remained stable, closing around 60.5, with previous recommendations to buy near the 58 support level still valid [4] - Domestic fuel oil has seen slight declines but remains around 2570, with no clear bottom formation, suggesting a cautious approach to new positions [4]
山海:黄金在没有突破关键点前,还是震荡走势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 01:57
Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to experience a breakout in gold prices around Wednesday or Thursday, with a slow upward trend anticipated on Monday and Tuesday [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - On Monday, gold fluctuated significantly within the range of 3960 to 4030, with a clear trend observed [2]. - The recommendation is to maintain a low long strategy, with specific buy targets set at 3985 and 3998, aiming for 4020, while cautioning against excessive expectations of upward momentum until a break above 4050 occurs [2]. - The current market is characterized as a weak oscillation state, requiring a daily close above the Bollinger middle track to establish a strong upward trend [2]. Group 2: Domestic Gold Performance - Domestic gold prices showed minor fluctuations, with the Shanghai gold contract closing at 920 and the Rongtong gold at 912, indicating a recovery from previous declines [3]. - The focus for the week is on breaking key resistance levels at 955 for Shanghai gold and 950 for Rongtong gold to confirm continued upward movement [3]. Group 3: Silver Market Insights - International silver prices have not stabilized above the 49.5 resistance point, indicating a continued oscillation trend [3]. - The strategy for silver remains to adopt a low long approach, with support levels identified at 47.5 and 45.5, waiting for a rebound at these key support points [3][4]. Group 4: Domestic Silver and Oil Market - The Shanghai silver contract is currently in a consolidation phase, with a focus on breaking the 11600 resistance level for potential upward movement [4]. - Oil prices are stable around 61, with expectations for upward continuation if the previous high of 63 is breached, targeting 66 [4].
山海:11月黄金保持多头趋势,周内关注数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 03:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is maintaining a bullish trend in November, with a focus on data impacts throughout the week [1][2][3] - October saw significant fluctuations in gold prices, with a peak at 4380 and a drop to 3888, leading to a consolidation phase entering November [2][3] - Key economic indicators such as PMI, ADP, unemployment claims, and non-farm payroll data are expected to influence gold and silver prices in the early part of November [2][3] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading remains bullish, with attention on the Shanghai gold price at 910 and the Rongtong gold price at 905, looking for opportunities in the initial week of November [4] - Silver is also in a consolidation phase, with a focus on maintaining support at 45.5 and potential resistance at 49.5, indicating a range-bound trading strategy [4][5] - The oil market has shown a recovery, with prices rebounding from a low of 59.6 to around 61.2, suggesting a continuation of bullish sentiment if the previous high of 63 is broken [5]
山海:黄金强弱走势变化,关注非农数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 02:18
Group 1 - The focus is on the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which is expected to have a limited impact on gold prices if the actual data aligns closely with market predictions [2][4] - Gold has shown a bullish trend, with a significant increase of over $200, but recent adjustments indicate potential volatility around key support and resistance levels [4][5] - Silver has faced resistance at $41.5, and its future performance will depend on the non-farm data, with a critical support level at $40 [5][6] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has mirrored international trends, with significant price movements in contracts like the Shanghai Gold (2512) and Rongtong Gold, indicating a potential peak in the current uptrend [5] - The strategy for trading gold involves cautious short positions ahead of the non-farm data, with specific price levels to watch for potential reversals [5][6] - The international silver market is also under scrutiny, with a focus on the $41.5 resistance and $40 support, which will dictate future price movements based on the non-farm data [5][6]
山海:黄金周尾盘的表现,关注午后的确定性!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 02:47
Group 1 - The article emphasizes a focus on the potential for a rebound in gold and silver prices, with specific support levels identified at 3330 for gold and 37.8 for silver [1][2][4] - It suggests that gold is expected to experience a range-bound trading pattern, with key levels of 3390/3330 for broader movements and 3375/3350 for narrower fluctuations [2][3] - The analysis indicates that if gold holds above the support level of 3330, it could rise to 3350 and potentially 3365, while a break below 3330 could lead to further declines towards 3310 [2][3] Group 2 - The article notes that international silver prices should not be aggressively pursued after reaching 38.5, but a rebound from 38 is anticipated, with a focus on short-term trading opportunities [4] - Domestic silver (2512 contract) is highlighted as having experienced a significant pullback, currently trading around 9200, with potential for short-term buying opportunities near key support levels [4] - The commentary on international crude oil indicates a rebound from a support level of 62, with a target of 64.5, suggesting a weak upward trend if this level is breached [4][5] Group 3 - Domestic fuel (2512 contract) is mentioned as having some rebound potential, currently around 2750, with expectations for a gradual increase if it can stabilize above 2800 [5] - The overall market sentiment is characterized by a cautious approach, focusing on short-term accumulation rather than long-term directional bets, given the current volatility [3][4][5]
山海:美元走再弱,黄金在强支撑上走出预期的上涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-10 02:01
Group 1 - The gold market has shown volatility this week, with fluctuations around the 3285 level, indicating a potential upward trend after testing lower levels [2][4] - The highest price reached was 3322, with a trading range of 40 dollars, confirming a bullish sentiment despite some adjustments [2][4] - The focus for Thursday is on whether the upward momentum can continue, with key resistance levels at 3345 and potential targets of 3365 and 3400 if broken [4][5] Group 2 - Silver has not yet shown a significant upward movement, maintaining a support level at 36 and resistance at 37.3, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [2][5] - The domestic gold market has seen a rebound, with specific contracts like the Shanghai Gold (2512 contract) showing potential targets of 785 and 795 [5] - The international oil market has reached a target of 69, with further upward potential if this level is broken, indicating a bullish trend [6]