Workflow
沪银(2606合约)
icon
Search documents
杨山海:金银较扯得理由下跌,但仍然是上车的机会!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-13 02:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that despite recent fluctuations in gold prices, the overall bullish trend remains intact, and the recent drop should be viewed as a potential buying opportunity [1][3][4] - Gold prices experienced a significant drop to a low of 4876, influenced by market reactions to artificial intelligence concerns, but this is considered an unfounded reason for such volatility [1][3] - The technical analysis indicates that gold is currently in a consolidation phase, with a trading range between 5100 and 4400, and a breakout above 5100 could lead to a stronger bullish trend [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices are advised to be cautious above 1135, indicating a potential consolidation phase rather than a strong upward movement [4] - Silver prices reached a high of 86, but it is recommended not to chase the price unless it breaks above 90, with a buying opportunity suggested around 75 [4] - The article emphasizes that any adjustments in silver prices could present buying opportunities, with a focus on long-term trends rather than short-term fluctuations [4]
山海:非农延期公布,黄金该何去何从?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 01:36
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold has experienced fluctuations, rising to 5100 before a decline, but is still in a low-level oscillation phase, with significant ranges identified at 5600/4400 and 5100/4600 [1][3] - Gold's recent price movement shows an increase from 4400 to 5100, a rise of 700 USD, followed by a drop to 4650, a decrease of 450 points, suggesting a potential for a rebound towards the upper range [3] - The technical analysis highlights that after testing the low at 4650, gold is expected to rebound, with a target of 5100, indicating a possible upward trend in the coming days [3] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading strategies have yielded profits, with a maximum profit potential of over 120 points, although recent declines have reduced some gains [4] - Silver is described as highly volatile and not suitable for normal trading, with current prices around 70, and a recommendation against trading due to unpredictable movements [4] - The analysis suggests that silver has become more of a speculative tool rather than a reliable investment, with significant risks outweighing potential profits, advising to wait for market stabilization before making any moves [4]
山海:ADP数据利多,黄金走低再次确定底!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-05 01:50
Group 1 - The recent gold price has experienced a significant drop from a high of 5100 to a low of 4850, despite positive ADP employment data which typically supports gold prices [2][4] - The upward trend in gold, which started from 4400, has seen three key support levels at 4400, 4600, and 4850, indicating a strong bullish outlook with a target of 5300 [4] - Silver has also shown signs of recovery, with expectations of reaching a high of 100 after completing its recent adjustments [2][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading strategies have been profitable, with the highest prices for Shanghai gold reaching 1147 and Rongtong gold at 1140, indicating a strong upward momentum [5] - The silver market has seen a three-day upward trend, with expectations of further increases, particularly after a recent low of 84 [5][6] - The Shanghai silver contract has shown significant gains, with a target of 24500, suggesting a strong bullish trend if it maintains above this level [6]
山海:黄金在极强状态下,继续关注调整的可能性!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-15 02:15
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold is experiencing a bullish trend but is showing signs of potential adjustment, while silver is on a stronger upward trajectory [2][3][4] - Gold reached a peak of 4643, facing resistance from an upward trend line, suggesting a possible wedge formation that indicates a loss of upward momentum [3] - The support levels for gold are identified at 4570 and 4520, with a cautionary note to avoid chasing highs due to the potential for a significant pullback [3][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have shown significant movement, with the Shanghai gold contract peaking at 1048, but there is an emphasis on the need for caution and waiting for a potential adjustment [4][5] - Silver has reached a high of 93.7, but there are warnings of a possible sharp decline, with previous drops indicating a risk of falling to around 83.5 or even 80 [4][5] - The domestic silver market is closely monitored, with the Shanghai silver contract reaching 23650, but there is a recommendation to avoid chasing prices and to wait for a correction before entering positions [5] Group 3 - Crude oil has shown volatility, with a recent peak at 61.8 after a drop to 60, indicating a lack of sustained upward momentum and a potential for a sideways trading pattern [5] - Key support for crude oil is noted at 58, with resistance at 62, suggesting a strategy of trading within these levels rather than entering at other points [5]
山海:黄金保持北伐计划,同时等待非农有效冲击!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-09 02:15
Group 1 - The market is showing unclear performance following recent data shocks, with the ADP employment data falling short of expectations, which is bullish for precious metals, yet gold and silver have not seen significant upward movement and instead experienced a reverse adjustment [2] - The unemployment claims data met expectations, which is bearish for precious metals, but gold and silver also did not see significant declines, instead showing a trend upward, reaching a high of around 4485 [4][5] - Attention is now on the upcoming non-farm payroll data, which could provide real guidance for gold prices, with previous values at 64,000 and a market forecast of 60,000 [5] Group 2 - The technical analysis indicates a bullish trend for gold, with a rise from 4300 to 4400 and then to 4500, despite the recent data having limited impact on the overall bullish outlook [4][5] - The market is expected to remain in a bullish trend as long as it does not fall below 4400, with potential fluctuations between 4500 and 4400 [5] - Domestic gold prices have shown expected upward movement, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 1010, and the market is advised to wait for the non-farm data impact before making further moves [6] Group 3 - Silver has experienced significant downward adjustments, with prices dropping to 74, but there are indications of a rebound, and as long as the trend remains positive, there are opportunities for bullish positions [6][7] - The domestic silver market has also seen a decline, with the Shanghai silver contract dropping to around 17800, but after a rebound, it has risen to approximately 18500 [7] - The oil market has been fluctuating between 56 and 60, with recent highs reaching 58.8, and the expectation is for continued range-bound trading unless it breaks above 60 [7]
山海:黄金陷入震荡上行中,关注看每日数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-08 01:52
Group 1 - Gold has experienced a significant upward movement after breaking the 4400 level, reaching a high of 4500, but has shown signs of weakening after this peak, indicating a likely range-bound movement between 4400 and 4500 [1] - The upcoming unemployment claims data and non-farm payroll data are expected to influence gold prices, with potential for a breakout above the current range [1][3] - Silver has shown a clear upward trend, currently adjusting from a high of 82.5 to a low of 76.5, with expectations for a continuation of this trend in the coming days [4][5] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has seen the Shanghai gold contract (2606) reaching a target of 1015, with short-term profits realized from previous positions, suggesting a cautious approach ahead of non-farm payroll data [4] - The silver market is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with key resistance levels at 82 and 84.5, indicating a bullish outlook [4] - Crude oil remains in a bearish trend, with recent movements characterized as a rebound rather than a shift to a bullish trend, and support is noted around the 56 level [6]
山海:金银看涨趋势不变,耐心等待上行空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 04:12
Group 1 - The overall trend for gold and silver remains bullish despite recent price fluctuations, with expectations for upward movement continuing into the new year [3][5] - After a significant drop, gold rebounded to 4405, aligning with market predictions, and the focus remains on the resistance level at 4400 and potential breakout towards 4500 [5][6] - Short-term trading opportunities are available, but for medium to long-term positions, it is advised to hold existing long positions and wait for clearer trends post-holiday [6][7] Group 2 - The recent trading day for gold and silver showed expected upward movements, but the market remains in a consolidation phase, suggesting caution for new positions [6] - Silver's price action indicates a potential rise from 73 to 78, with a longer-term view suggesting a target of 80 if the 78 resistance is broken [6] - Crude oil is currently in a weak trend, oscillating within a range of 60 to 56.5, with no significant volatility expected unless these levels are breached [7]
江沐洋:12.12今日国际黄金白银走势分析操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 13:50
Market Overview - Spot gold is currently trading around $4287 per ounce, having reached a one-and-a-half-month high of $4285.75 on Wednesday, the highest level since October 21 [1] - Gold prices have risen for three consecutive trading days, with a nearly 2% increase this week [1] - The global stock market's strong performance has reduced demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold, despite a mild rebound in the dollar from a two-month low [1] Technical Analysis - Gold broke through the predicted resistance level of $4260, gaining an additional $25, which may indicate the foundation for a strong upward trend [2] - The H4 cycle shows a significant increase in bullish momentum, with potential resistance levels at $4300 and $4350 [2] - Key support levels for trading are identified at $4250 and $4232, with a bullish outlook as long as these levels hold [2] Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices reached a high of 973 for Shanghai gold and 963 for Rongtong gold, with a cautious approach recommended for Friday [4] - In the silver market, international silver has continued to rise, reaching a high of 64.2, with a bullish outlook maintained [4] - The trading strategy for silver suggests waiting for a pullback to around 62.5 to enter long positions, while the domestic silver contract has reached approximately 15000 [4]
山海:黄金出现极强状态,但还是强调回落支撑得失!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 02:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the upward trend of gold remains intact, but it is not extremely strong, suggesting that trading should focus on buying on dips with support levels at 4220 and 4200 [2][4] - Gold's recent performance showed a drop below 4220, reaching a low of 4203, but subsequently rebounded from the 4200 support level, peaking at 4285, indicating potential for further upward movement towards 4300 and 4385 [2][4] - The technical analysis indicates that the H4 cycle shows a strong upward trend, with daily volume increasing, suggesting that gold could continue to rise, with key levels to watch at 4250 and 4232 for potential buying opportunities [5][6] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices did not follow the second wave of increases, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a low of 960 and a high of 973, indicating a cautious approach to trading [6] - International silver continues to show bullish momentum, recently reaching a high of 64.2, with expectations for further increases, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips with support around 62.5 [6][7] - The Shanghai silver contract has also reached new highs around 15000, indicating a strong upward trend, but traders are advised to refrain from chasing prices and instead wait for potential adjustments before entering positions [7]
山海:美联储如期降息,黄金上涨但目前并非绝对极强!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 03:31
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has announced a continued interest rate cut of 25 basis points, marking the third cut this year, with indications of a likely additional cut later this year [2] - Market reactions have been significant, with the US dollar experiencing a notable decline and gold prices rising sharply, reaching a peak around 4247 [2] - The bullish sentiment in gold trading has been confirmed, with successful trades noted at 4193 and a high of 4225, indicating a profitable strategy [2][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have mirrored international trends, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 971, and previous buy signals at 960 and 948 yielding over 10 points in profit [5] - The international silver market continues to show strong bullish trends, nearing 63, although there are concerns about potential market corrections due to speculative trading [5] - The Shanghai silver contract remains in a strong upward trend, currently at 14570, but trading strategies suggest maintaining a cautious stance and waiting for potential pullbacks before entering positions [6] Group 3 - International crude oil prices have stabilized around 58.8, with existing long positions maintained, targeting a breakout above 61 for potential gains up to 65 [6] - Domestic fuel oil is also experiencing a range-bound trading pattern, with a long position held at 2450, aiming for targets of 2600 to 2800 if upward momentum is confirmed [6]