山海：黄金保持北伐计划，同时等待非农有效冲击！ 国内金上个交易日走出了预期的上涨，沪金（2606合约）最高在1010，融通金最高在1000，前面讲过，本周的短线布局会在非农数据之前获利出局，因此， 本周的第二波沪金1002多单，融通金993多单已经收割一波利润，那么接下来就空仓观望，等待非农数据影响。保持原则不变，国内金依旧看涨，依旧是等 待回落做多，本周沪金最低在998，融通金最低在990，非农数据回落到这两个支撑依旧是可以顺势做多看涨。未来国内金还有较大的上涨空间。 白银这波下跌估计又坑了不少人，这波调整力度过大，最低都跌至74，虽然山海前面讲过回落做多，但也提示过，暂时白银的风险很大，回落的空间和力度 不太好预测，需要边做边看，周四在确定74止跌后，给出了74.5做多看涨，虽然有部分利润，但前最高在77，不过目前还是在反弹走势中，并没有大涨，但 只要趋势不变，止跌明显，就是做多看涨的机会，所以，现在就是一个坚持多，继续看涨的过程，这个周期先看82，再看更高的空间。 国内银这波同步走出了下跌空间，融通银下跌至17.9附近，沪银（2606合约）下跌到17800附近，经过周四的反弹，融通银目前上涨至18.5， ...

山海：黄金陷入震荡上行中，关注看每日数据影响！ 白银的走势比较明确，注意阶段性上涨的调整空间就好。这波从82.5调整到76.5，目前看来调整已经走完了，不会有延续空间，当前收盘再78.8附近，周 四，周五再多以趋势下会继续走高，上方看82，84.5得失，因此，周期性白银还是继续做多上看，并且逐步看到上方高点，破位则不猜顶。 国内银同步上涨，但也有调整空间，融通银调整至18.5附近，沪银（2606合约）调整到18690附近，前面讲过，白银只要是调整就是上车的机会，而且不做 空，这波融通银的调整在18之上就可以上车，沪银选择看的是18300支撑，力度差了一点，所以未能跟上这波上涨力度，那么，下一波维持18500支撑继续看 涨，不建议追多，周四，周五数据比较多，还有机会跟上这波多头的放量空间。 原油在低位走小范围震荡，前面讲过，受国际市场影响，原油是一个空头趋势，原油形成前面的上涨只是反弹，没有形成多头趋势，所以看反弹的话需要注 意上方压制点是否破位，上方60没有破位就是低位震荡，还有下跌空间。因此，本周原油的下跌也算是正常走势。那么，接下来看待的是，原油还是可以继 续看反弹空间，下方支撑在56附近，反弹里的大小则 ...

山海：金银看涨趋势不变，耐心等待上行空间！ 原油周二波段不大，收盘在57.8附近，周一回落到56.6后出现上涨，并且上涨没有延续，那么，现在基本可以确定，原油在弱势中走震荡，区间在60/56.5， 只要不破此区间，大概率是无法走出暴涨暴跌的行情，所以，本周看好原油在此区间可以做高空低多，并且只要在关键点位看涨跌的延续即可。 撰文/山海 (以上文章由山海原创，转载请注明出处。山海温馨提示，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。以上仅代表山海个人观点，不作操作依据，据此操作风险自担） 上个交易日黄金在大跌后反涨至4405，这波走势比较符合预期，山海从4340做多看涨到4400，美盘则从4400慢跌，再次回落到起涨点，但在大方向不变的情 况下，未来还是可以站稳到4400之上，并且突破4400，看到4500，因此，尊重市场，目前黄金在4300之上，4400之下，看作是多头趋势下的震荡反弹行情。 需要注意的是，只要大趋势不变，反弹随时会破位区间，并且跟随趋势走出破位力度。那么，周三的看法也是相当简单，在25年最后一个交易日中，继续看 反弹的力度，关注上方4400高点得失。从技术面来看，日线依旧站稳在布林中轨之上，虽然周二没有收强阳， ...

Market Overview - Spot gold is currently trading around $4287 per ounce, having reached a one-and-a-half-month high of $4285.75 on Wednesday, the highest level since October 21 [1] - Gold prices have risen for three consecutive trading days, with a nearly 2% increase this week [1] - The global stock market's strong performance has reduced demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold, despite a mild rebound in the dollar from a two-month low [1] Technical Analysis - Gold broke through the predicted resistance level of $4260, gaining an additional $25, which may indicate the foundation for a strong upward trend [2] - The H4 cycle shows a significant increase in bullish momentum, with potential resistance levels at $4300 and $4350 [2] - Key support levels for trading are identified at $4250 and $4232, with a bullish outlook as long as these levels hold [2] Domestic Market Insights - Domestic gold prices reached a high of 973 for Shanghai gold and 963 for Rongtong gold, with a cautious approach recommended for Friday [4] - In the silver market, international silver has continued to rise, reaching a high of 64.2, with a bullish outlook maintained [4] - The trading strategy for silver suggests waiting for a pullback to around 62.5 to enter long positions, while the domestic silver contract has reached approximately 15000 [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the upward trend of gold remains intact, but it is not extremely strong, suggesting that trading should focus on buying on dips with support levels at 4220 and 4200 [2][4] - Gold's recent performance showed a drop below 4220, reaching a low of 4203, but subsequently rebounded from the 4200 support level, peaking at 4285, indicating potential for further upward movement towards 4300 and 4385 [2][4] - The technical analysis indicates that the H4 cycle shows a strong upward trend, with daily volume increasing, suggesting that gold could continue to rise, with key levels to watch at 4250 and 4232 for potential buying opportunities [5][6] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices did not follow the second wave of increases, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a low of 960 and a high of 973, indicating a cautious approach to trading [6] - International silver continues to show bullish momentum, recently reaching a high of 64.2, with expectations for further increases, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips with support around 62.5 [6][7] - The Shanghai silver contract has also reached new highs around 15000, indicating a strong upward trend, but traders are advised to refrain from chasing prices and instead wait for potential adjustments before entering positions [7]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve has announced a continued interest rate cut of 25 basis points, marking the third cut this year, with indications of a likely additional cut later this year [2] - Market reactions have been significant, with the US dollar experiencing a notable decline and gold prices rising sharply, reaching a peak around 4247 [2] - The bullish sentiment in gold trading has been confirmed, with successful trades noted at 4193 and a high of 4225, indicating a profitable strategy [2][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have mirrored international trends, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of 971, and previous buy signals at 960 and 948 yielding over 10 points in profit [5] - The international silver market continues to show strong bullish trends, nearing 63, although there are concerns about potential market corrections due to speculative trading [5] - The Shanghai silver contract remains in a strong upward trend, currently at 14570, but trading strategies suggest maintaining a cautious stance and waiting for potential pullbacks before entering positions [6] Group 3 - International crude oil prices have stabilized around 58.8, with existing long positions maintained, targeting a breakout above 61 for potential gains up to 65 [6] - Domestic fuel oil is also experiencing a range-bound trading pattern, with a long position held at 2450, aiming for targets of 2600 to 2800 if upward momentum is confirmed [6]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a third consecutive interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which is expected to influence gold and silver prices positively, despite mixed signals from recent economic data [1][6][7]. International Gold and Silver - Gold is expected to maintain a short-term upward trend, with a target of 4230 USD/oz, although it may experience temporary pullbacks [1][7]. - Silver has surged over 4%, breaking the 60 USD/oz mark, reaching a historical high, but traders are advised to avoid chasing the price and instead wait for potential pullbacks to enter long positions [1][9]. Technical Analysis - The daily and H4 charts indicate a bullish trend for gold, with a trading range between 4180 and 4230 USD/oz, suggesting opportunities for both short and long positions within this range [2][8]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at 4200 and 4180 USD/oz, with potential upward targets at 4230 and 4260 USD/oz if the price breaks above 4230 [2][8]. Domestic Gold and Silver - Domestic gold prices have shown slight increases, with Shanghai gold closing at 961 and Rongtong gold at 951, indicating a range-bound market ahead of the Fed's decision [4][10]. - Domestic silver (2606 contract) remains bullish, with support levels at 13650 and 13250, but traders are advised to remain on the sidelines until a pullback occurs [4][10].

Group 1 - Silver has surged to a high of 61, with an increase of 82% this year, indicating a strong bullish trend and a recommendation to avoid short positions [2][5] - Gold is experiencing a fluctuating trend, reaching a peak of 4221, but lacks the same upward momentum as silver, maintaining a bullish outlook with expectations of gradual increases [2][4] - The market is awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to influence gold's performance, with a focus on potential price movements within the range of 4180 to 4230 [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have shown slight increases, with Shanghai gold closing at 961 and Rongtong gold at 951, indicating a range-bound market ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision [5] - International silver has demonstrated significant upward movement, with a recommendation to avoid chasing prices and instead wait for potential pullbacks to enter long positions [5][6] - Crude oil has not stabilized above 61, continuing a slow decline, while domestic fuel oil has shown an upward trend, with expectations of reaching targets of 2600 to 2800 in the long term [6]

Group 1 - The overall market experienced fluctuations on Monday, with a peak at 4218 and a low at 4175, indicating a mixed sentiment in trading [2][4] - The gold market is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with key resistance at 4230 and support at 4175, while the market lacks upward momentum ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision [2][3] - Domestic gold prices showed minor fluctuations, with Shanghai gold closing at 960 and Rongtong gold at 950, indicating a range-bound market ahead of the Fed's decision [3][4] Group 2 - The international silver market is expected to remain in a range between 58.5 and 57.5, with potential for a bullish trend if it holds above the support level of 56.5 [5] - Domestic silver prices are also stable, with support at 13250, and a bullish outlook as long as this level holds [5][6] - The international crude oil market has faced challenges, closing below 60.5, and is expected to remain volatile, with a focus on the 61 resistance level [5][6]

Group 1 - The core focus of the gold and silver market last week was on the concepts of continuation and breakout, with gold experiencing a one-sided movement on Monday but failing to maintain that momentum in the following days, resulting in a range-bound performance [2][4] - The highest price for gold last week reached 4260, while the lowest was around 4170, indicating a trading range of less than 100 USD, with expectations for continued oscillation within this range unless a breakout occurs [4][5] - The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision is expected to add complexity to the market dynamics, with traders advised to follow the established strategies and rhythms [2][4] Group 2 - Silver maintained a range under the pressure of 59, with multiple retreats below this level, indicating a bearish sentiment, while the support level was noted at 56.5, suggesting potential for a bullish trend if this support holds [6] - The domestic silver market also reflected a similar oscillation pattern, with a focus on maintaining positions within established support and resistance levels, particularly around 13250 for potential bullish movements [6] - The international crude oil market showed signs of recovery, closing around 60, with expectations for further upward movement towards 64, while domestic fuel oil also demonstrated a bullish trend, closing at 2510, with targets set for 2600 and 2800 [7]