Core Viewpoint - Fitch Ratings anticipates that European natural gas prices will continue to experience high volatility, particularly in the context of ongoing adjustments to U.S. tariff policies [1] Group 1 - European natural gas prices are expected to remain highly volatile [1] - The volatility is influenced by the adjustments in U.S. tariff policies [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and natural gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for renewable energy and gas companies [2][10]. Core Insights - The Shandong provincial government has introduced its first local guidelines for the marketization of renewable energy pricing, which is expected to stabilize returns for existing projects and provide a model for other provinces [5][7]. - Global natural gas prices have seen a slight rebound due to tightening supply and increased demand for LNG exports, with specific price movements noted in various regions [10][19]. - The report highlights the potential for LNG import prices to decrease further in the second half of 2025, benefiting downstream gas companies [11][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector: Shandong's New Energy Market Guidelines - Shandong's new energy pricing reform outlines that existing projects will participate in market pricing at a rate of 0.3949 yuan per kWh, aligning with the provincial coal benchmark price [5][6]. - The guidelines emphasize strong connectivity with existing policies, ensuring stability for existing projects while introducing competitive elements for new projects [6][7]. - The implementation of these guidelines is expected to serve as a model for other provinces, enhancing the operational efficiency and market strategies of renewable energy companies [7][8]. 2. Natural Gas: Global Demand and Price Rebound - As of May 9, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price in the U.S. was $3.22/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly increase of 3.84%, while European prices also saw a rise due to supply constraints and seasonal demand [10][19]. - The report notes that the overall LNG import cost in China has remained below 4000 yuan per ton, with a significant decrease of 18.4% from the year's peak [11][29]. - The anticipated decline in international oil prices is expected to further lower LNG import prices in China, benefiting city gas companies [11][29]. 3. Weekly Market Review - The public utilities, environmental protection, power equipment, and gas sectors outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index during the review period [35]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent developments include the issuance of competitive configuration announcements for renewable energy projects in various provinces, indicating ongoing investment and growth in the sector [44][46]. - The report also highlights significant corporate announcements, including financing and profit distribution plans from key players in the energy sector, reflecting a proactive approach to capital management and shareholder returns [48][49].

Group 1 - The natural gas market has experienced significant volatility, with prices dropping over 15% before rebounding sharply due to increased demand from Asia [1][3] - European markets initially showed relief as inventory pressures eased, but this was quickly overshadowed by rising demand from Asia, creating a tug-of-war for global natural gas supplies [3][5] - The fluctuations in natural gas prices reflect the contrasting demand dynamics between different regions, with Europe experiencing reduced demand while Asia's demand surged due to seasonal and economic factors [5] Group 2 - To address the volatility in natural gas prices, companies should consider increasing strategic reserves and enhancing infrastructure flexibility to better respond to sudden market changes [7] - There is a strong recommendation for the development and promotion of renewable energy sources and a diversified energy structure as a long-term solution to reduce dependency on volatile fossil fuel markets [7]