天然气期货

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固收动态报告:国家外汇管理局在16省市开展绿色外债业务试点,资金面缓和,债市有所回暖
Dong Fang Jin Cheng· 2025-08-25 13:37
国家外汇管理局在 16 省市开展绿色外债业务试点;资金面缓和,债市有所回暖 【内容摘要】 8 月 21 日,资金面整体缓和,主要回购利率均下行;债市有所回暖;转债市场 主要指数集体收涨,转债个券多数上涨;各期限美债收益率普遍下行,主要欧洲经济体 10 年 期国债收益率普遍上行。 一、债市要闻 (一)国内要闻 【国家外汇管理局在 16 省市开展绿色外债业务试点】日前,国家外汇管理局决定,在上海、 北京、天津、河北、江苏、浙江、安徽、福建、山东、湖北、广东、四川、宁波、厦门、青岛、 深圳等 16 省市开展绿色外债业务试点,鼓励非金融企业将跨境融资资金用于绿色或低碳转型 项目。据介绍,试点政策主要针对境内非金融企业从非居民融入本、外币资金且专项用于支持 符合央行等部门相关规定条件的绿色或低碳转型项目,允许这类项目更少占用企业全口径跨 境融资风险加权余额,从而扩大投资绿色发展或低碳转型项目企业的跨境融资规模上限,同时 相关外债登记由银行直接办理,提升绿色外债业务办理便利化水平,有利于吸引全球金融资源 向我国绿色低碳发展等领域有序聚集。 【财政部有关负责人就规范政府和社会资本合作存量项目建设和运营答记者问】近日,财政 ...
CME原油、天然气:8月21日成交量与未平仓数据有变动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-22 06:19
Core Insights - The Chicago Mercantile Exchange reported trading volumes and open interest data for WTI crude oil, Brent crude oil, and natural gas on August 21 [1] Group 1: WTI Crude Oil - WTI crude oil futures trading volume was 725,948 contracts, a decrease of 9,228 contracts from the previous report [1] - Open interest for WTI crude oil increased by 6,263 contracts, totaling 1,926,095 contracts [1] Group 2: Brent Crude Oil - Brent crude oil futures trading volume was 155,083 contracts, an increase of 11,589 contracts from the previous report [1] - Open interest for Brent crude oil rose by 1,673 contracts, reaching 209,089 contracts [1] Group 3: Natural Gas - Natural gas futures trading volume was 450,708 contracts, a decrease of 37,978 contracts from the previous report [1] - Open interest for natural gas decreased by 7,515 contracts, totaling 1,613,817 contracts [1]
石油石化行业:天然气价跌,中国天然气单月产量下降明显
Dongxing Securities· 2025-08-21 03:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the oil and petrochemical industry [1] Core Insights - Domestic LNG ex-factory prices have decreased month-on-month, with a notable drop in natural gas production in China for July [3][8] - As of August 8, 2025, the domestic LNG ex-factory price was 4220.00 CNY per ton, down by 205 CNY per ton, a decrease of 4.63% [1][8] - The report highlights significant changes in natural gas inventory levels in the US and Europe, with US LNG/LPG inventory increasing and European natural gas inventory showing a month-on-month rise [3][17][22] Summary by Sections 1. Natural Gas Prices - Domestic LNG ex-factory prices have decreased month-on-month and year-on-year, with a current price of 4220.00 CNY per ton, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 4.63% and a year-on-year decrease of 14.38% [8] - US NYMEX natural gas futures closed at 3.00 USD per million BTU, down 6.55% month-on-month but up 39.15% year-on-year [8][11] 2. Supply and Demand - China's natural gas production in July was 537720.00 tons, showing a month-on-month decrease of 10.89% [16] - The apparent consumption of natural gas in China for June was 348.89 billion cubic meters, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 1.33% but a year-on-year increase of 3.33% [16] 3. Inventory - As of August 8, 2025, US LNG/LPG inventory was 190026 thousand barrels, with a month-on-month increase of 6.13% [17] - European natural gas inventory reached 809.07 billion kWh, showing a month-on-month increase of 15.90% but a year-on-year decrease of 18.20% [22] 4. Imports and Exports - In June, Europe’s cumulative natural gas imports were 175158.71 million cubic meters, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 0.23% but a year-on-year increase of 13.81% [24] - China's natural gas imports in July were 1063.18 million tons, with a month-on-month increase of 0.82% but a year-on-year decrease of 2.09% [29]
CME原油、天然气:8.12成交量及未平仓数据变动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 17:31
Group 1 - The core point of the article is the trading volume and open interest data for WTI, Brent crude oil, and natural gas futures released by CME on August 12 [1] Group 2 - WTI crude oil futures had a trading volume of 897,826 contracts, an increase of 232,289 contracts from the previous day; open interest was 2,011,227 contracts, a decrease of 26,972 contracts [1] - Brent crude oil futures had a trading volume of 136,381 contracts, an increase of 28,541 contracts from the previous day; open interest was 192,141 contracts, an increase of 3,690 contracts [1] - Natural gas futures had a trading volume of 657,992 contracts, an increase of 214,138 contracts from the previous day; open interest was 1,616,354 contracts, an increase of 23,404 contracts [1]
债市早报:国家育儿补贴方案公布;资金面均衡偏松,债市延续暖势
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-29 03:00
Group 1: Domestic News - The China-US economic talks commenced in Stockholm on July 28, aiming to translate important consensus into specific policies and actions to advance bilateral economic relations [2] - The National Taxation Administration announced that during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, the cumulative new tax cuts and fee reductions are expected to reach 10.5 trillion yuan, significantly promoting economic and social development [2] Group 2: Industrial and Economic Policies - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized eight key areas for the second half of the year, including expanding domestic demand, promoting high-quality development of key industrial chains, and enhancing technological innovation [3] - A new childcare subsidy plan was announced, providing 3,600 yuan per child annually for children under three years old starting from January 1, 2025 [3] Group 3: International News - The U.S. Treasury Department projected a net borrowing of 1.007 trillion dollars for the third quarter, significantly higher than previous estimates due to the increase in the debt ceiling [4] - The U.S. government is accelerating bond issuance to replenish cash reserves after the debt ceiling was raised by 5 trillion dollars [4] Group 4: Financial Market Dynamics - On July 28, the central bank conducted a 4.958 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, resulting in a net cash injection of 3.251 billion yuan for the day [6][7] - The bond market showed a warming trend, with the yield on the 10-year government bond falling by 1.75 basis points to 1.7150% [8] Group 5: Commodity Market - International crude oil prices rose, with WTI crude oil futures increasing by 2.38% to 66.71 dollars per barrel [5] - Natural gas prices fell by 2.04% to 3.032 dollars per million British thermal units [5] Group 6: Credit Market - Several corporate bonds experienced significant price deviations, with "24远洋控股PPN001" dropping over 13% and "H1碧地04" declining over 10% [10] - Companies such as 景峰医药 and 正邦科技 faced financial difficulties, with the former unable to repay a loan and the latter entering pre-restructuring [11] Group 7: Convertible Bonds - The convertible bond market saw a collective decline, with major indices dropping by 0.70% to 0.81% on July 28 [15] - The trading volume in the convertible bond market decreased by 9.94 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [15]
价格法修正草案公布,强调“反内卷”,资金面进一步收敛,债市延续弱势
Dong Fang Jin Cheng· 2025-07-25 10:21
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - On July 24, the funding situation tightened further, with major repo rates rising significantly. Affected by the increasing expectation of industrial product price hikes, the stock market rally, and the tightened funding situation, the bond market weakened further. The convertible bond market followed the equity market higher, with most convertible bond issues rising. Yields on U.S. Treasuries across all maturities generally increased, and yields on 10 - year government bonds in major European economies mostly rose significantly [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News 3.1.1 Domestic News - President Xi Jinping met with European Council President Costa and European Commission President von der Leyen, emphasizing the importance of China - EU relations and the principles for future development [3]. - The central bank and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs jointly issued an opinion to increase financial resource input in key areas of rural revitalization and improve rural basic financial services [4]. - The draft amendment to the Price Law was open for public consultation, covering aspects such as improving government pricing, clarifying the criteria for identifying improper price behaviors, and strengthening legal responsibilities for price violations [6]. - As of July 24, 735 billion yuan of central budget - internal investment in 2025 had been basically allocated, focusing on multiple fields such as modern industrial systems and infrastructure [7]. - The central bank announced a 400 - billion - yuan MLF operation on July 25, with a net injection of 100 billion yuan, marking the fifth consecutive month of increased roll - overs [8]. 3.1.2 International News - The European Central Bank maintained interest rates unchanged, waiting for the clarity of U.S. tariff policies. Since June 2024, it has cut interest rates eight times [9]. - In July, the U.S. Markit manufacturing PMI fell into contraction again, but the recovery of the service sector offset the decline. The composite PMI index rose, but concerns about the business environment persisted [10]. 3.1.3 Commodities - On July 24, international crude oil futures prices turned up, and international natural gas prices rose slightly. COMEX gold futures fell [11]. 3.2 Funding Situation 3.2.1 Open Market Operations - On July 24, the central bank conducted 331 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 119.5 billion yuan due to 450.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchase maturities [13]. 3.2.2 Funding Rates - On July 24, due to continuous net withdrawals by the central bank, the funding situation tightened further, and major repo rates rose significantly. For example, DR001 rose 28.05bp to 1.652%, and DR007 rose 9.33bp to 1.576% [14]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics 3.3.1 Interest - rate Bonds - **Spot Bond Yield Trends**: On July 24, affected by multiple factors, the bond market weakened further. Yields on the 10 - year Treasury bond active issue 250011 and the 10 - year China Development Bank bond active issue 250210 increased [17]. - **Bond Tendering Situation**: Various bonds were tendered on July 24, with details on issuance scale, winning yields, and subscription multiples provided [18]. 3.3.2 Credit Bonds - **Secondary - market Transaction Anomalies**: On July 24, the trading price of one industrial bond, "H0 Zhongnan 02", deviated by more than 10%, falling by over 28% [19]. - **Credit Bond Events**: Multiple events occurred, including some companies being included in the list of dishonest被执行人, delayed rating report disclosures, rating withdrawals, forced interest - payment events, ineffective bondholder meetings, and companies being investigated by the CSRC [20]. 3.3.3 Equity and Convertible Bonds - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indexes**: On July 24, the three major A - share stock indexes had mixed performances, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing above 3600 points. The convertible bond market followed the equity market higher, with most convertible bond issues rising [21]. - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: On July 25, Guanghe Convertible Bond was listed. On July 24, some convertible bonds announced proposals to lower conversion prices or were expected to trigger conditions for lower conversion prices, and some were about to meet early redemption conditions [24]. 3.3.4 Overseas Bond Markets - **U.S. Bond Market**: On July 24, yields on U.S. Treasuries across all maturities generally increased, and the yield spread between 2 - year and 10 - year U.S. Treasuries remained unchanged, while the spread between 5 - year and 30 - year U.S. Treasuries narrowed [25][26]. - **European Bond Market**: On July 24, the yield on the 10 - year British government bond declined, while yields on 10 - year government bonds in other major European economies generally rose significantly [28]. - **Daily Price Changes of Chinese - funded U.S. Dollar Bonds**: As of the close on July 24, price changes of various Chinese - funded U.S. dollar bonds were provided, including those of companies like Sunac China and Lenovo Group [30].
EIA天然气报告:截至7月18日当周,美国天然气库存总量为30750亿立方英尺,较此前一周增加230亿立方英尺,较去年同期减少1530亿立方英尺,同比降幅4.7%,同时较5年均值高1710亿立方英尺,增幅5.9%。
news flash· 2025-07-24 14:34
EIA天然气报告:截至7月18日当周,美国天然气库存总量为30750亿立方英尺,较此前一周增加230亿 立方英尺,较去年同期减少1530亿立方英尺,同比降幅4.7%,同时较5年均值高1710亿立方英尺,增幅 5.9%。 天然气期货 ...
高盛:进入2026年,我们仍认为,为了实现美国天然气产量的持续增长,相对于今年我们所看到的水平,能源钻探活动需要增加。
news flash· 2025-07-24 01:02
高盛:进入2026年,我们仍认为,为了实现美国天然气产量的持续增长,相对于今年我们所看到的水 平,能源钻探活动需要增加。 天然气期货 ...
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC):截至7月15日当周,NYMEX、ICE市场的天然气期货净多头寸增加29,217手至265,390手。
news flash· 2025-07-18 19:34
美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC):截至7月15日当周,NYMEX、ICE市场的天然气期货净多头寸增 加29,217手至265,390手。 ...
贝克休斯:美国天然气钻井数量达到2024年3月以来的最高水平,创下2023年7月以来最大周增幅。
news flash· 2025-07-18 17:11
贝克休斯:美国天然气钻井数量达到2024年3月以来的最高水平,创下2023年7月以来最大周增幅。 天然气期货 ...