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【安泰科】工业硅周评—价格上方承压 市场情绪悲观 现货价格下跌(2025年5月7日)
中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会· 2025-05-07 10:12
Core Viewpoint - The industrial silicon market continues to experience price declines due to a combination of increased supply and stable demand, leading to a pessimistic market sentiment [1][2]. Price Trends - The main contract price fluctuated from 8540 CNY/ton to 8290 CNY/ton, a decrease of 2.93% during the week of April 30 to May 7, 2025 [1]. - The national average price for industrial silicon is 9469 CNY/ton, down by 179 CNY/ton [1]. - Specific grades of industrial silicon saw price declines: 553 grade at 9202 CNY/ton (down 200 CNY/ton), 441 grade at 9674 CNY/ton (down 181 CNY/ton), and 421 grade at 10134 CNY/ton (down 122 CNY/ton) [1]. - Regional prices include Xinjiang at 9371 CNY/ton, Yunnan at 10024 CNY/ton, Fujian at 15163 CNY/ton, and Sichuan at 10100 CNY/ton [1]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side is expected to increase due to new production capacities coming online in May, despite some minor production cuts in the north at the end of April [2]. - Demand remains stable with organic silicon monomer plants operating at low utilization rates, and polysilicon plants maintaining steady production levels [2]. - Aluminum alloy manufacturers are purchasing industrial silicon based on demand, contributing to stable demand across the three main downstream sectors [2]. Market Sentiment and Price Pressure - The market sentiment is pessimistic, with a lack of significant demand growth and high inventory levels contributing to downward price pressure [2]. - Current market transactions are light, with downstream purchases primarily driven by immediate needs, limiting upward price momentum [2]. - Prices have fallen below cost levels, suggesting limited downside potential [2].