欧洲战略自主
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欧洲面临“生死存亡”之际,默克尔站了出来,对外释放信息量大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 20:07
Core Viewpoint - Merkel's recent statements emphasize the need for Europe to assert its independence from the U.S. and to unify in the face of external pressures, particularly regarding trade, security, and immigration issues [1][3][9]. Group 1: U.S. Relations - Merkel expressed a strong stance against U.S. pressure, particularly regarding trade tariffs, indicating that the U.S.-Germany divide has reached a critical point [3]. - She criticized the U.S. for attempting to dominate European security through NATO and emphasized that Germany will not compromise on energy security and industrial interests [3][6]. - Merkel's remarks signal a shift towards European autonomy, urging European nations to resist U.S. bullying and to stand firm on their own interests [3][7]. Group 2: Energy Policy - Merkel addressed the long-standing criticism of Germany's reliance on Russian gas, clarifying that the Nord Stream pipeline agreements were made under previous administrations due to the high costs of alternative fuels [4]. - She defended the use of natural gas as a transitional energy source towards renewable energy, arguing that nuclear energy is not essential for achieving climate goals [4]. Group 3: Immigration Issues - Merkel reiterated her 2015 commitment to managing immigration, stating that Europe must secure its external borders while recognizing that prosperity and rule of law attract migrants [4]. - She warned that merely focusing on immigration issues will not suffice to counter the rise of far-right parties, advocating for practical solutions instead [4]. Group 4: Relations with Russia - Merkel maintained a pragmatic approach towards Russia, acknowledging the importance of dialogue with Putin while cautioning against completely severing ties [6]. - She reiterated her opposition to Ukraine's NATO membership, suggesting that relying on NATO for Ukraine's protection is unrealistic, which serves as a reminder for European diplomacy amid the ongoing conflict [6]. Group 5: European Unity - Merkel's return to the political scene comes at a critical time for Germany and the EU, with internal divisions and external pressures from the U.S. [6][9]. - She emphasized the necessity for Europe to unite and not allow the U.S. to divide individual countries, particularly in areas like AI regulation [6][9]. - Merkel's leadership style, characterized by pragmatism and consensus-building, is seen as essential for navigating the current European challenges [9].
欧洲要出局?俄罗斯眼中的国际秩序,中美俄三强并列!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 14:54
不是欧洲没上桌,而是它的那把椅子早就被人悄悄抽走。 未来世界将由中美俄说了算,听上去像是"口嗨",可你真要拆解一下这盘棋,就发现欧洲掉队,的确是 板上钉钉。 布鲁塞尔和它的盟友们还在高谈"软实力",可冷酷的现实是他们的硬通货,经济、能源与军事实力正在 断崖式滑落。 2025年12月初《美国国家安全战略》全文厚厚几十页,之前好歹还会在序言中象征性地喊欧洲一句"关 键伙伴",现在干脆用"重要盟友"这种模糊词混过去。 欧洲军工行业象征性地保留在全球前十的只剩个把门面;欧盟经济总量下跌严重;绿能投资被美国吸走 不少;连重大科技企业都开始搬去得州和亚利桑那。 华盛顿亮明新牌桌,欧洲发现自己连邀请函都没收到。 第一,战略存在感:俄乌冲突让莫斯科保持了全球焦点地位;逼迫欧盟用真金白银支持乌克兰,但换来 的是内部债务爆炸。 欧洲崛起靠三样东西:廉价俄气、对华出口、大西洋庇护,如今这三条线全断了,而且是自己把剪刀递 上去的。 2022年北溪管道被炸是信号弹也是分水岭,德国化工行业成本飙涨,巴斯夫跑到广东湛江投资新园区, 大众、宝马高端电池打算搬去重庆合肥。 在军工上,欧洲就更干脆地"裸奔"了。俄罗斯高超音速导弹"先锋""匕首" ...
跨大西洋关系受“重击”,俄乌“和平计划”又生变,欧洲“强有力”回应特朗普批评
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-12-10 22:52
Core Viewpoint - Trump's harsh criticism of European leaders and their handling of the Ukraine conflict and immigration issues has intensified tensions between the U.S. and Europe, raising questions about the reliability of the U.S. as an ally [1][3][4]. Group 1: Trump's Criticism of Europe - Trump described European countries as "declining" and criticized their "weak" leadership, particularly regarding the immigration crisis and the ongoing Ukraine conflict [1][2]. - He stated that European leaders are merely "talking" without taking decisive action, leading to a prolonged war in Ukraine [2][3]. - Trump emphasized that many European nations may struggle to maintain their national status if current trends continue, labeling their immigration policies as a "disaster" [2]. Group 2: Reactions from European Leaders - European leaders have responded strongly to Trump's comments, with the EU Commission spokesperson asserting the excellence of EU leadership [3][4]. - British Prime Minister Starmer and other officials have expressed confidence in a "strong Europe," countering Trump's narrative [1][3]. - The EU is urged to maintain a united front and assert its independence in defense and geopolitical matters, as highlighted by various European officials [4]. Group 3: Implications for U.S.-Europe Relations - Analysts suggest that Trump's remarks could lead to a decline in the reliability of U.S.-Germany relations, indicating a shift from equal partnership to a more hierarchical alliance [4]. - The ongoing criticism from the U.S. may compel European leaders to adopt a more assertive stance in response to perceived American attempts to undermine traditional alliances [4][5]. - The situation raises concerns about whether the U.S. will continue to support Ukraine and its European allies amid the ongoing conflict [6][7]. Group 4: Ukraine's Position and Peace Negotiations - Trump suggested that Ukraine should hold elections, indicating a shift in the narrative around the war and governance in Ukraine [8]. - Reports indicate that Ukraine is under pressure from the U.S. to respond quickly to peace proposals, with a potential deadline approaching before Christmas [8][9]. - The ongoing negotiations are described as being in a "loop," with persistent discussions around territorial and security issues complicating the peace process [9].
欧洲战略自主,60年努力一场空?从戴高乐到马克龙的未竟之路
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 17:18
文|有风 编辑|有风 柏林峰会上,马克龙又把"欧洲战略自主"挂在嘴边了。 这话听着耳熟,往前数60年,戴高乐就喊过"欧洲人的欧洲"。 半个多世纪过去,欧洲到底能不能自己说了算? 欧洲搞战略自主,就像手里攥着一把沙子,看着挺多,使劲一握全漏了。 从能源到技术,从防务到外交,处处想独立,处处受制于人,这到底是为啥? 能源自主,转型路上的绊脚石 能源这块,欧洲可没少折腾。 俄乌冲突后,大家都说要摆脱对俄依赖,可转头就发现,买天然气还得看美国脸色。 美国的液化天然气倒是管够,就是价格比俄罗斯的贵不少。 冬天供暖、夏天制冷,工业生产要用电,这些基本需求都捏在别人手里,谈自主确实有点底气不足。 技术突围,ASML与大众的双重困境 能源这块还没理顺,技术自主的路也不好走。 荷兰ASML是全球光刻机巨头,听着挺牛,可关键零部件还得靠美国供应。 美国说不准给中国卖高端机型,ASML只能乖乖听话。 德国大众更有意思,跑到中国合肥建研发中心,说是要本土化创新,结果核心技术还是攥在德国总部手 里。 法国道达尔搞的光伏项目,本想在北非建太阳能电站,结果当地政局一不稳,项目就黄了。 德国想多用电,可新能源发电不稳定,碰上个阴天、没风的日 ...
欧洲议会打响主权保卫战:俄乌和谈,欧洲不能再当旁观者!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 06:08
Core Viewpoint - The European Parliament's recent resolution emphasizes the necessity for Europe to have a significant role in negotiations regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, highlighting the impact of the conflict's outcome on European security [1][3]. Group 1: European Role in Negotiations - The resolution asserts that Europe must be included in all levels of negotiations, reflecting a push for strategic autonomy and a response to being marginalized in the mediation process [3][5]. - It calls for a ceasefire agreement that includes verifiable military disengagement clauses, indicating a structured approach to peace [3]. - The establishment of a multilateral security mechanism covering Ukraine and EU member states is proposed, showcasing Europe's concern over post-war order [3][9]. Group 2: Criticism of U.S. Policy - The resolution notably criticizes U.S. policies, suggesting that unilateral actions by the U.S. complicate the situation and may undermine the potential for lasting peace [1][3]. - Critics argue that Europe's military and economic dependence on the U.S. raises questions about its ability to mediate effectively, pointing to internal divisions within the EU regarding sanctions and military aid to Ukraine [5][9]. - Supporters counter that the differences in U.S. and European policies necessitate a balancing role for Europe, as it has become the largest economic aid provider to Ukraine, contributing over 60% of humanitarian assistance [5][9]. Group 3: Public Sentiment and Strategic Autonomy - A significant portion of the European public, 72%, supports a greater role for Europe in the peace process, yet 64% doubt the EU's ability to act independently from U.S. influence, reflecting a complex sentiment towards strategic autonomy [7][9]. - The ongoing war has led to rising energy prices, inflation, and security concerns in Europe, prompting a realization of the risks associated with relying solely on transatlantic alliances [7]. - The debate around the resolution indicates a growing consensus among Europeans about the need for a self-reliant security strategy, transcending traditional political divides [7][9]. Group 4: Future Implications - The resolution, while not legally binding, signals a shift in EU foreign policy direction, aiming to establish an independent crisis mediation mechanism and enhance defense capabilities [9]. - It suggests a potential transformation in long-term relations with Russia, which could alter the global power dynamics [9]. - For the EU to effectively participate in negotiations, it must address internal divisions and demonstrate its capability as a mature political player, beyond its economic strength [9].
欧洲议会打响“主权保卫战”:俄乌和谈,欧洲不能再当旁观者!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-29 06:12
11月27日,欧洲议会通过了一项引人注目的决议,向世界传达了一个明确的信号:在俄乌冲突的谈判过程中,欧洲必须拥有发言权。这项决议不仅强调 了"欧洲在和谈中的参与不可或缺",还指出冲突的最终结果将深刻改变欧洲的安全格局,甚至对美国的政策进行了罕见的批评,认为美国的做法"不利于持 久和平"。决议呼吁欧盟主动发挥领导作用,推动以有效停火和欧美联合安全保障为基础的政治解决方案。这一表决背后,反映了欧洲在地缘政治博弈中的 一次战略觉醒,还是仅仅一次空洞的政治口号? 自俄乌冲突爆发以来,欧洲一直处于一种尴尬的局面中——它是冲突的直接受害方,却在和平调停过程中被边缘化。这次欧洲议会的决议可以看作是对这一 现状的正式反击。决议明确指出,战争的结局将深刻影响欧洲的防御体系、能源结构以及移民政策,任何忽视欧洲声音的和平协议都可能为未来的冲突埋下 隐患。更值得注意的是,这项决议首次系统性地质疑美国在冲突中的角色,认为其单边主义做法可能使局势更加复杂。这种公开批评北约主要盟友的举动, 在欧盟历史上极为罕见。决议的核心内容集中在三大要点:首先,欧洲必须在所有层级的和谈中派代表参与;其次,停火协议必须包含可核查的军事脱离接 触条款;最后 ...
“中企乐意分享技术,为西班牙培训4000名工人”
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-11-27 06:38
Core Points - Spain is actively responding to the electric vehicle industry's transition, aiming to solidify its position as the second-largest automotive producer in the EU, following Germany [1] - CATL's investment in a lithium iron phosphate battery factory in Spain aligns with the country's development goals and strengthens its partnership with China [1] - The joint venture between CATL and Stellantis has commenced construction with a total investment of €4.1 billion, marking the largest single investment by China in Spain [1] - The factory is expected to start production by the end of 2026, with an annual capacity of 50 GWh [1] - The project has received €300 million in funding from the EU, highlighting Europe's reliance on Chinese technology despite potential trade rule tightening [1] Investment and Employment - The factory will train up to 4,000 local workers, with a commitment from CATL to share technology to support Europe's energy transition [1][4] - CATL plans to send 2,000 Chinese employees to Spain in phases for the factory's construction, which is unprecedented for Chinese industrial projects in Europe [4] - The CEO of the Spanish factory indicated that local hiring is a priority, with plans to collaborate with Spanish universities for targeted training [4] Political and Strategic Context - The project has garnered support from both major political parties in Spain, reflecting a strategic ambition to establish Spain as a European battery production hub [5] - Spain offers competitive advantages such as industrial electricity prices 20% lower than the EU average and low labor costs, attracting global capital [5] - Despite a hardening stance from Europe towards China, Spain maintains close trade relations, as evidenced by recent high-level visits and discussions on bilateral cooperation [6]
专访巴黎政治大学校长:我不太喜欢“精英”这个词,它可能会加剧社会分裂
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-23 23:38
Core Viewpoint - The president of Sciences Po, Luis Vassy, emphasizes the importance of "excellence" over "elite," advocating for a commitment to doing one's best to reduce social divisions [1][9]. Group 1: Background of Sciences Po - Founded in 1872, Sciences Po is known as a breeding ground for French political elites, having produced numerous national leaders, including President Emmanuel Macron [3]. - Vassy, a graduate of Sciences Po, previously served as a diplomat and chief of staff for two French foreign ministers, highlighting the importance of international communication in both diplomacy and education [4]. Group 2: Impact of AI on Education - Vassy acknowledges the challenges posed by AI but does not view it as a crisis, noting that the first affected areas are primarily technical fields like programming [7]. - He believes that social sciences and humanities have a unique opportunity to thrive, as human contributions in strategic judgment and critical thinking surpass technical knowledge [7][8]. Group 3: Responsibility of Students - Vassy stresses that students at Sciences Po, which admits only the top 2% of high school graduates in France, have a responsibility to society, as their actions will influence future leaders [8][9]. - He emphasizes the need for students to maintain their ambition and effort, ensuring they can contribute meaningfully even without technological tools [8]. Group 4: European Strategic Autonomy - Vassy discusses the importance of understanding Europe and its operations, especially in light of current geopolitical tensions, and plans to introduce a mandatory course on Europe for all students [10][11]. - He believes that the concept of "strategic autonomy" for Europe is gaining traction, with a growing commitment to independence and the ability to defend its interests [11]. Group 5: Academic Freedom - Vassy advocates for academic and intellectual freedom, arguing that a competitive society relies on well-functioning universities and the ability to conduct research freely [12].
访问首站选择成都,预计签署合作协议,西班牙国王访华推动中西“更紧密”
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-11-10 23:23
Group 1 - The visit of King Felipe VI of Spain to China from November 10 to 13 marks the first state visit to China since his ascension to the throne and the first by a Spanish king in 18 years, indicating a significant diplomatic engagement between the two nations [1][2] - The visit includes participation in the China-Spain Economic and Trade Forum in Chengdu, followed by meetings in Beijing where several political and economic cooperation agreements are expected to be signed [1][2] - The choice of Chengdu as the starting point for the visit reflects a strategic decision by both governments, highlighting the establishment of a new consulate in the city and increased direct flight connections between Chengdu and Madrid [1] Group 2 - The visit is part of a broader effort to enhance Spain-China relations, with Spain aiming to promote its businesses in China while strengthening political ties without deviating from its EU stance [2] - Expected agreements during the visit may cover various sectors, including agricultural products and cultural exchanges, with a focus on Spanish language education in China and cooperation in marine sciences [2] - Spain's approach to maintaining independent foreign policy amidst global tensions aligns with the EU's advocacy for multilateralism, positioning Spain as a key player in fostering stable relations with China [3]
打了1000多天烧光1690亿欧元,欧洲27国终于集体认怂,开始捡起了中国的老办法
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-17 22:50
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant shift in Europe's stance regarding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, moving from aggressive support for Ukraine to advocating for peace negotiations, highlighting the economic pressures that have influenced this change [1][5][6]. Economic Impact - The economic strain on Europe has been severe, with natural gas prices soaring tenfold and inflation rates in France and the UK reaching alarming levels, leading to public protests over rising living costs [3]. - By mid-2025, the EU's total aid to Ukraine reached an astonishing €169 billion, with Germany contributing €17 billion, surpassing the US's aid of €114 billion, indicating Europe's unexpected role as the largest financial supporter of Ukraine [3]. Political Shift - In August 2025, 26 EU countries and the UK issued a rare joint statement calling for an immediate unconditional ceasefire for 30 days, reflecting a newfound urgency to end the conflict despite still emphasizing the need to prevent Russian success [5]. - The EU has begun utilizing frozen Russian assets to fund aid to Ukraine, indicating a shift from broad financial support to more strategic and limited assistance, demonstrating a pragmatic approach to the ongoing crisis [5]. Strategic Realignment - The article notes a growing realization among European nations that they cannot rely solely on the US for security, prompting calls for greater European strategic autonomy, as seen in France's push for domestic defense procurement and Germany's shift away from US military systems [6][8]. - The current European approach of advocating for dialogue and political solutions mirrors China's long-standing position, suggesting a broader recognition of the value of diplomacy over confrontation [8].