电力设备

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思源电气(002028):业绩符合预期 国内海外高景气延续
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 02:43
4 月26 日,公司发布2025 年一季报,2025 年一季度实现实现营收32.3 亿元,同比+21.4%;归母净利润 4.5 亿元,同比+22.9%;扣非归母净利润4.4 亿元,同比+28.1%,业绩符合预期。 业绩简评 经营分析 国内电网投资创新高,变压器出口维持高景气。 1)国内:2025 年一季度,国家电网完成固定资产投资超900 亿元,同比增长近三成,创历史同期新 高。2025 年国网第一批次输变电设备招标152 亿元,同比+23%,创近四年新高,高电压等级产品需求 激增。公司中标10.5 亿元,其中750kvGIS 超预期中标3.5亿元,持续巩固并提升网内市场中标份额、积 极发展发电、轨道交通、石化、冶金等网外业务。 盈利能力基本稳定、费用管控良好。 25Q1 公司综合毛利率30.3%,同比-0.4pct,净利率14.4%,同比+0.8pct,基本保持稳定。费用方面, 25Q1 公司销售/管理/研发费用率分别为5.0%/2.8%/7.9%,同比持平/-0.2/-0.1pct,费用管控良好。 盈利预测、估值与评级 公司发展战略明确、业务规划清晰,在国内电网投资加速、海外电力设备需求持续景气背景下,预 ...
逆变器、光伏和电力设备25M3出口数据解读
2025-04-28 15:33
逆变器、光伏和电力设备 25M3 出口数据解读 20250428 摘要 • 阳光电源一季度业绩超预期,收入达 38 亿人民币,主要受益于美国抢出 口和中东市场。但因去年同期对美出货占比高,预计今年二三季度同比可 能下降,短期股价波动风险较高,长期投资价值仍然存在。 • 欧洲逆变器市场经历补库去库周期后,3 月开始复苏,预计需求将提升。 亚洲和非洲市场呈现稳定增长,3 月亚洲同比增长十几个点,非洲同比增 长 80%。东南亚、南亚缺电加剧,将推动光储系统需求。 • 3 月份光伏组件出口额与去年 8 月持平,约为 24-25 亿元人民币,同比有 所下滑,受春节影响发货延迟。需关注 4 月份数据以准确评估组件业务潜 力。 • 二季度是逆变器及储能板块的投资窗口期,多家公司排产和订单良好。欧 洲需求稳定释放,东南亚、南亚缺电推动光储需求,有望实现环比和同比 双重提升。 • 2025 年 3 月电力设备出口延续高景气,变压器对北美出口因关税政策提 前,同比翻倍增长,亚洲市场表现亮眼。高压开关设备出口加速,电表出 口增速稳定。 Q&A 逆变器和光伏设备在亚非拉市场的出口情况如何? 我们对亚非拉市场的出口前景持乐观态度。尽管 ...
思源电气:业绩符合预期,国内海外高景气延续-20250427
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 03:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [6][12]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.23 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a net profit of 450 million RMB, up 22.9% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [2]. - Domestic investment in the power grid reached a historical high, with the State Grid completing fixed asset investments exceeding 90 billion RMB, a nearly 30% year-on-year increase [3]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with contract liabilities reaching 2.84 billion RMB, a 19.91% increase from the beginning of the year, and aims for new orders of 26.8 billion RMB in 2025, a 25% year-on-year increase [4]. - The company's gross margin stood at 30.3%, with a net margin of 14.4%, indicating stable profitability and effective cost control [5]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.6 billion RMB, 3.2 billion RMB, and 3.97 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 27%, 24%, and 23% [6]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.23 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a net profit of 450 million RMB, up 22.9% [2]. Operational Analysis - Domestic power grid investment reached over 90 billion RMB in Q1 2025, a nearly 30% increase year-on-year, with the company winning contracts worth 1.05 billion RMB [3]. - Transformer exports amounted to 1.82 billion USD in Q1 2025, a 39% year-on-year increase, benefiting from strong demand in international markets [3]. Order Backlog and Targets - The company reported contract liabilities of 2.84 billion RMB, a 19.91% increase from the start of the year, with a target of 26.8 billion RMB in new orders for 2025 [4]. Profitability and Cost Control - The company maintained a gross margin of 30.3% and a net margin of 14.4%, with stable expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.6 billion RMB, 3.2 billion RMB, and 3.97 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 18, and 14 [6].