联邦快递 ( NYSE: FDX ) 近期公布了财报。该公司股价基本持平；然而，其估值较低。该公司的估值，加上其在难以复制的 网络中不断提升的 业绩，使其成为一项不错的投资。 【如需和我们交流可扫码添加进社群】 更重要的是，货运只是公司业务的一小部分，因此风险极小。 联邦快递是一家价值 550 亿美元的公司，其 2026 财年第一季度的收入高达 220 亿美元。 | Q1 FY26 Results | $22.2B | | | --- | --- | --- | | Revenue | 3% YoY | | | $1.30B | Adj. operating income* | 7% YoY | | 5.8% | Adj. operating margin® | 20 bps | | $3.83 | Adj. EPS" | 6% YOY | 该公司收入同比增长3%，调整后营业收入同比增长7%。公司收入和利润率双双增长，支撑了强劲的盈利增长，这在艰难的市场环境下令人印 象深刻。公司实现了2亿美元的成本节约，联邦快递的货运业务也继续表现优异。 最终结果是，该公司调整后每股收益同比增长6%，市盈率却保持在两位数的低 ...

每经编辑｜金冥羽 北京时间9月23日凌晨，美股三大指数全线上涨，截至发稿，道琼斯指数涨0.06%，纳斯达克指数涨0.28%，标普500指数涨0.16%。 大宗商品方面，原油下跌，黄金飙涨，续创历史新高。 特斯拉股价创逾八个月新高 特斯拉最新股价报440.37美元/股，涨3.36%，盘中创逾八个月新高，市值约为1.47万亿美元。值得注意的是，本月特斯拉股价涨幅已超30%。 9月2日，特斯拉在其官方微信公众号上发布了"秘密宏图"第四篇章。在"宏图4.0"发布之际，马斯克重申了机器人业务在特斯拉的战略地位。他表示，FSD 和Optimus的规模化将是最为重要的事项，因为未来特斯拉约80%的价值将来自Optimus机器人。 根据特斯拉当地时间9月5日发布的财务文件，马斯克的一项10000亿美元巨额薪酬计划浮出水面。 该计划显示，如果特斯拉在未来十年内达到某些运营上的里程碑，马斯克将获得12批股票，共计4.23亿股。 假设股票数量保持不变，按照当前股价计算， 最大潜在价值约为9750亿美元（约合人民币近7万亿元）。 而马斯克也将拥有其长期追求的25%的投票权。 大型科技股跌多涨少，截至发稿，苹果涨4.38%，特斯拉涨3 ...

Group 1 - The MSCI China Index has shown strong performance, with a total return of 48% over the past 12 months and 38% year-to-date, ranking second globally after South Korea [1][2] - Structural improvements, including a rebound in return on equity (ROE), continuous capital flow into high-quality large-cap stocks, and increased support for private enterprises and innovation, have contributed to the positive market sentiment and earnings re-rating [1][2] - Earnings growth has been a key driver of the market's performance, with positive contributions from earnings per share (EPS) growth for three consecutive years since 2023, marking the first time since 2010 that EPS growth has consistently contributed positively [2] Group 2 - The forecast for future earnings growth in the Chinese stock market remains optimistic, particularly in core sectors such as internet, technology, pharmaceuticals, and automotive, with market adjustments to earnings predictions [2] - The intense price competition in the domestic e-commerce sector is expected to end this year, leading to a projected acceleration in earnings growth for the sector by 2026, with a temporary slowdown in 2025 viewed as a phase of adjustment [2]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley reports that certain stocks in China's oil service and oil engineering sector have outperformed the industry average and Brent crude oil price increases over the past six months, driven by record new order volumes, stable backlog, strong delivery capabilities, and positive outlooks for capital expenditures from Chinese oil companies and new orders in overseas markets [1] Group 1: Company Recommendations - Sinopec Engineering (02386) is identified as the top pick in the industry, expected to achieve steady revenue and profit growth due to strong order growth momentum, with a projected dividend yield of 6% to 7%. The target price is raised from HKD 7.1 to HKD 8.4, maintaining an "Overweight" rating [1] - CNOOC Services (02883) is expected to see a 20% year-on-year profit growth in FY2025 due to improved capacity utilization and order terms, with the H-share target price adjusted down from HKD 11 to HKD 10.4, also rated "Overweight" [1] - Sinopec Oilfield Services (600871) (01033) and Offshore Oil Engineering (600583) (600583.SH) maintain "Overweight" ratings, with Sinopec Oilfield Services noted for effective cost control and improved shareholder returns. The target price for Sinopec Oilfield Services H-shares is raised from HKD 0.92 to HKD 1, while Offshore Oil Engineering's target price is increased from RMB 6.4 to RMB 7.1 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article suggests that while the profitability growth of listed companies is slow from 2022 to 2024, there will be a recovery in growth rates in 2025, leading to a dual boost of "valuation increase" and "profit growth acceleration" in certain sectors like technology, military, and healthcare in Hong Kong [2] - The funding cycle is influenced by the amount of money in the market, primarily affected by interest rate fluctuations. The first interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September 2024 led to significant increases in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks, with the index rising from 5.9 to 4.8 [2] - The sentiment cycle indicates that market sentiment tends to be overly optimistic during price increases and overly pessimistic during declines. This can lead to misjudgments about market trends, as opportunities often arise during downturns while risks emerge during uptrends [3] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that all three cycles—profitability, funding, and sentiment—are interconnected and can lead to market bull and bear phases when one or two cycles are at their peaks or troughs [4] - It highlights that savvy investors can effectively leverage these cycles to make informed investment decisions [5]

as we're about the midpoint of the day, but we have this very important Fed meeting. We all think we know what's going to happen. Jim, you and I were just talking before the show about the backdrop, about where we're sitting.Um, sort of frame it up for us. I think we all know what we think is going to happen from the meeting. What.Well, you know, we have a Fed chair and a Fed open market committee that doesn't like surprises. So, I think the 25 basis points is is probably baked in at this point in time. It ...

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 很多投资者都希望多元化配置自己的资金，想要覆盖人民币资产和外币资产，也想要覆盖股票资产和债券类资产。 美元债就是其中的重要一环，那么美元债券基金该如何投资？ 这里有一门限时免费的福利课程，系统性地介绍了美元债券基金的投资知识。 想要获取这个课程，可以添加下方「课程小助手」，回复「 美元债 」领取哦～ 更有课程笔记、思维导图，帮您快速搞懂课程脉络，学习更高效。 ◆◆◆ A股2025年也是成长比较强势。 原因也是因为A股科技等行业,出现了业绩 复苏。这点跟港股类似。 有区别的是A股的小微盘股上涨也比较多； 而港股没有炒小微盘股的习惯。 2025年以来,港股和A股上涨的品种 有啥不同? 2025年A股和港股都是成长风格比较强势。 原因都是成长风格的部分品种，出现了业绩 复苏，出现了「估值提升」+「盈利增长」 的双击行情。 不过两个市场也有区别，2025年A股的小盘 成长股也大幅上涨，但港股主要是大盘成长 股上涨较多。 港股是欧美投资者为主。涨跌比较现实，主 要基于业绩来。所以最近一年港股的几次上 涨，主要出现在财报更新前后。 上涨的主力品种，主要集中在业绩出现大幅 增长的品种 ...

智通财经APP获悉，瑞银发文称，标普500指数在实现强劲上涨后，进入了股市传统表现疲软的9月。该 指数较2025年4月低点上涨近30%，近期突破6500点关口后，出现小幅回调。过去10年间，9月是标普 500指数表现最差的月份，平均回报率约为-2%，且在过去10年中有6年的9月出现下跌。尽管市场存在 波动和短期回调的可能性，但瑞银认为，股票配置不足的投资者应考虑逐步加仓，并利用市场回调机会 增加股票敞口。瑞银提到，对于青睐黄金的投资者，重申建议将黄金配置比例维持在中等个位数水平。 在基准情景下，瑞银预计标普 500 指数到 2026 年 6 月底将达到 6800 点，意味着仍有约 5% 的上涨空 间。 瑞银的主要依据如下： 1. 盈利增长势头保持强劲 标普 500 指数成分股中，98% 的公司已公布第二季度业绩，其中 81% 的公司盈利超预期(数据来源： FastSet)。第三季度业绩指引同样乐观。瑞银预测，2025 年标普 500 指数成分股每股收益将达 270 美元 (同比增长 8%)，2026 年将达 290 美元(同比增长 7.5%)。尽管标普 500 指数当前远期市盈率约为 22 倍， 处于历史区间 ...

Group 1 - The company conducted investor relations activities from September 2 to 5, including specific research, performance briefings, and strategy meetings, with participation from 18 institutions [1] - The company reported a 129.94% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, with revenue from existing businesses in consumer electronics reaching approximately 156.84 million yuan, a 5.68% increase [1] - New business revenue from industries such as semiconductors and new energy reached approximately 54.67 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 54.66% [1] Group 2 - The company developed PCB separation equipment to meet the upgrading needs of high-end PCBs, with an expected annual order volume of approximately 90 million yuan [2] - The laser business saw a slight decline in revenue year-on-year, primarily due to the introduction of self-developed laser modules and equipment, with significant growth in module business [2] - The company is expanding its global marketing and service support network, with a wholly-owned subsidiary in Japan now operational, focusing on markets in the US, Europe, and Japan [2] Group 3 - The company is actively improving cash flow by enhancing accounts receivable management and will disclose relevant information in periodic reports [3] - Investors inquired about the order scale for TOPCon, HJT, and XBC photovoltaic cell equipment, but specific responses were not disclosed [3] - The company emphasizes the importance of talent incentive mechanisms and will provide updates on stock incentive plans in future announcements [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue growth of +0.8% in the first half of the year, with a net profit growth of +1.6%, ranking among the top two state-owned banks in terms of net profit growth [2][6]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio at the end of the first half was 1.28%, a decrease of 2 basis points from the previous quarter and 3 basis points from the beginning of the year, indicating a significant improvement in asset quality compared to peers [2][6]. - The provision coverage ratio increased by 9 percentage points to 210%, reaching a ten-year high, which supports the stability of net interest margin and profitability [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue growth for the first half was +0.8%, with Q1 showing a decline of -1.0% and Q2 recovering to +2.6%. Net profit growth was +1.6%, with Q1 at +1.5% [2][6]. - The net interest margin decreased by 2 basis points to 1.21% in the first half, with a total decline of 6 basis points expected for the year, the smallest drop among state-owned banks [2][6]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio at the end of the first half was 1.28%, down 2 basis points from the previous quarter and 3 basis points from the start of the year, showing the most significant decline among state-owned banks [2][6]. - The NPL net generation rate was 0.49%, down 4 basis points from the previous year, indicating a positive trend in asset quality [2][6]. Investment Valuation - The current valuation for the company's A-shares and H-shares is approximately 0.56x and 0.47x price-to-book (PB) ratio, respectively, indicating that the stock is significantly undervalued [2][6]. - The company ranks among the top five banks in terms of A-share index weight, with a low institutional allocation ratio, supporting the recommendation to maintain a "Buy" rating [2][6].