Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that there are two upcoming employment and inflation reports before the next meeting, which will guide future decisions [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is closely monitoring employment and inflation data [1] - The outcomes of the two reports will influence the direction of monetary policy [1]

Group 1 - The US dollar index is showing an upward trend, currently at 97.59, with a 0.11% increase, stabilizing near a two-week low, and is expected to record the largest weekly decline in a month due to investor focus on US tariff negotiations and upcoming central bank meetings [1] - Both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan are expected to maintain interest rates in their upcoming policy meetings, with traders looking for comments to gauge future actions [1] - The outlook for the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike has improved following a trade agreement with the US that reduced tariffs on Japanese car imports to 15%, with the yen expected to rise by 1% this week, marking its strongest performance since mid-May [1] Group 2 - President Trump’s rare visit to the Federal Reserve was largely overlooked by the market, which is accustomed to his criticisms of Fed Chair Powell and the Fed [2] - Market focus remains on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, where Powell is expected to reiterate a patient, data-driven policy outlook without committing to a rate cut [2] - Technically, the dollar index faced resistance below 97.55 and support above 97.10, indicating potential for an upward trend if it stabilizes above 97.15 [2]

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced a significant drop, trading around $3390.53 per ounce after reaching a high of $3433.37, the highest since June 16, with a closing price of $3431.59, marking a 1% increase [2] - The decline in the US dollar, which fell 0.3% to 97.545, contributed to the rise in gold prices, supported by global trade uncertainties and a decrease in US Treasury yields [2] - The upcoming tariff negotiations and the Federal Reserve meeting at the end of the month are critical variables for gold price movements, with potential for a pullback if negotiations yield positive results [2][3] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold has shown a strong upward trend, with three consecutive days of gains, indicating robust short-term momentum [3] - The market is currently in an overbought state, suggesting a need for price correction, but the lack of orderly trading may suppress short-term demand [3][5] - Key resistance levels are identified at $3410-$3420, while support levels are at $3370-$3360, indicating a complex trading environment [5] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - Brent crude oil prices rebounded to around $69 per barrel, while WTI crude hovered around $66, following positive developments in trade negotiations [6] - The optimism surrounding new tariff agreements has improved market sentiment, although concerns about global economic slowdown continue to weigh on oil demand [6] - The current rebound in oil prices reflects short-term trading sentiment rather than a substantial recovery in demand, with ongoing pressures from weak global consumption and geopolitical risks [6] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Oil - The mid-term outlook for oil remains upward, with the potential to test $78, although short-term momentum indicators suggest a weakening bullish trend [7] - Short-term price movements are expected to be volatile, with resistance levels at $67.5-$68.5 and support levels at $63.5-$62.5 [7]

据美国财经媒体Semafor：美国参议院银行业主席Tim Scott正在考虑参加美联储即将召开的会议。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Governor Waller expressed that he does not wish to pre-commit to any actions before the Federal Reserve meeting [1] Group 1 - Waller's statement indicates a cautious approach by the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy decisions [1]

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Governor Waller refrains from expressing differing opinions regarding the July meeting [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - **Federal Reserve Position** - Waller's stance indicates a unified approach within the Federal Reserve regarding upcoming monetary policy decisions [1]

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Governor Waller declined to disclose whether he would dissent at the July meeting [1] Group 1 - Waller's position on potential dissent at the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting remains unclear [1]

Core Viewpoint - Federal Reserve Governor Waller emphasizes the importance of not making commitments before Federal Reserve meetings, indicating a cautious approach to monetary policy decisions [1] Group 1 - Waller's statement reflects a broader strategy within the Federal Reserve to maintain flexibility in policy-making [1] - The approach suggests that the Federal Reserve is prioritizing data-driven decisions over pre-emptive commitments [1] - This stance may influence market expectations regarding future interest rate changes [1]

美联储哈玛克：以开放的心态参加每一次美联储会议。 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent surge in gold prices followed by a correction, highlighting the influence of geopolitical sentiments and the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting's potential impact on market expectations [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Gold prices experienced a significant increase before undergoing a correction, indicating volatility in the market [1] - Geopolitical tensions are contributing to the upward pressure on gold prices, suggesting a safe-haven demand [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Impact - The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting is anticipated to provide insights into whether the tone will be more hawkish or dovish, which could influence investor sentiment and gold prices [1] - Market participants are closely monitoring the Fed's stance to gauge future trends in gold pricing [1]