Summary of Jinbo Biological Conference Call Company Overview - Jinbo Biological primarily focuses on medical beauty products, with injectable collagen being the main revenue contributor. The Weimi Beauty 4mg product accounts for nearly 80% of sales, while future growth relies on high-end products like Kenaite and 10mg variants [2][4]. Key Financial Insights - Jinbo Biological reported a revenue of 860 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 42%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 390 million yuan, up approximately 27%. However, the second quarter saw a slowdown in growth, with a net profit growth rate of 7.4% and a 2.3 percentage point impact from asset impairment losses, leading to an overall net profit decline of about 9.7% [3]. Product Structure and Market Strategy - The company’s product structure is heavily weighted towards medical beauty, particularly injectable collagen. The 4mg Weimi Beauty product has a high penetration rate and transparent pricing, ranging from several hundred yuan at the factory level to around 2000 yuan at retail. Jinbo plans to increase the proportion of high-end products like 8mg, 10mg, and 12mg to drive revenue growth [4][6]. Strategic Planning in Medical Aesthetics - Jinbo Biological aims to deepen OEM collaborations with leading medical beauty institutions to enhance customer flow and loyalty. These institutions typically use the 4mg product for customer acquisition but may partner with other manufacturers for lower-margin products [5][6]. Future Development Directions - In the next 1-2 years, existing products will remain the main growth drivers. The company has launched two new support-type products this year, with the gel product expected to reach a scale of 1 billion yuan within three years, targeting the high-end market. The factory price is several thousand yuan, with retail prices potentially exceeding 10,000 yuan [7]. Competitive Landscape - Jinbo Biological is currently the only manufacturer of recombinant collagen but faces potential new entrants by the end of this year or early next year. However, these new players will require time for team building and market promotion, providing Jinbo with a strategic opportunity. The competition in the animal collagen market is limited, with established manufacturers like Changchun Botai and Taiwan Shuangmei having unclear expansion plans [8]. Profit Forecast - The forecast for Jinbo Biological's net profit attributable to shareholders is approximately 1 billion yuan in 2025, 1.42 billion yuan in 2026, and 1.75 billion yuan in 2027. The price-to-earnings ratio is expected to narrow to below 30 times in 2026 and further to below 25 times in 2027. There is optimism regarding the continuation of improvement trends in the third and fourth quarters [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.79 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decline of 7.05%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 110 million yuan, down 15.2% year-on-year [2][4] - In Q2 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 910 million yuan, a decrease of 11.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 57.25 million yuan, down 16.1% year-on-year [2][4] - The cosmetics business, particularly the Yilian brand, showed steady growth, while the Aier Doctor brand is undergoing a phase of adjustment [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the cosmetics, pharmaceutical, and raw materials segments generated revenues of 1.09 billion, 210 million, and 180 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -7.7%, -13.9%, and +4.2% [10] - The Yilian brand achieved a revenue of 550 million yuan, a growth of 23.8% year-on-year, while the Aier Doctor brand saw a revenue decline of 30% to 450 million yuan [10] - The overall gross profit margin slightly improved, with a net profit margin of 6%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [10] Business Segments - The Yilian brand's growth was supported by the announcement of a global spokesperson, leading to a 43% increase in the spray product line [10] - The Aier Doctor brand is in a brand adjustment phase, with new product launches expected to drive future growth [10] - The raw materials business showed stability, with sales of hyaluronic acid reaching 120 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.4% [10] Future Outlook - The company is expected to focus on its main brands, with the Yilian brand showing strong momentum and the Aier Doctor brand undergoing necessary adjustments [10] - The company anticipates improvements in profitability due to optimized channel structures and enhanced gross margins in the raw materials segment [10] - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 0.24, 0.29, and 0.34 yuan per share respectively [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the cosmetics industry [3] Core Insights - The cosmetics industry is experiencing stable growth with a slight improvement in growth rates, while profitability continues to show differentiation among companies [11][16] - The average revenue growth rate for the cosmetics industry in Q1 and Q2 of 2025 was -8.4% and -2.1%, respectively, indicating a slight improvement in the second quarter [16] - Online sales channels, particularly Tmall and Douyin, have shown a year-on-year growth of 13.1% in the first half of 2025, reflecting a recovery in consumer demand [11] Summary by Sections Cosmetics: Stable Growth and Business Adjustments - The cosmetics industry showed a year-on-year growth of 3.1% and 2.6% in Q1 and Q2 of 2025, respectively, with a significant improvement compared to the -1.1% growth in 2024 [11] - The industry is characterized by a slight improvement in growth rates, with the overall growth falling into a stable range [11] Revenue: Differentiation Among Brands - The average revenue growth for the brand segment was 0.4% and 6.5% in Q1 and Q2 of 2025, respectively, indicating stronger resilience compared to upstream and downstream segments [16] - Mid-sized brands like Maogeping and Shangmei have achieved good growth amidst a stable industry backdrop, while leading companies like Proya continue to grow steadily [16] Gross Margin Trends - The average gross margin for the brand segment increased by 1.6 percentage points in the first half of 2025, driven by improved business structures and effective price control by certain brands [21] - Specific brands like Water Sheep and Beitaini have seen significant improvements in gross margins due to product upgrades and price management strategies [21] Product Innovation: Focus on Core Series and Efficacy Expansion - Brands are focusing on upgrading core product lines and expanding efficacy categories, particularly in sunscreen and whitening, with increased competition expected [25] - New product launches include Proya's whitening series and Beitaini's anti-aging products, indicating a trend towards enhancing product offerings [25] Sales Expenses: Rising Industry Rates - The average sales expense ratio for brands in the first half of 2025 was 44.7%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.7 percentage points, influenced by rising competition and platform costs [31] - The narrowing of gross sales margins indicates ongoing pressure on profitability across the industry [31]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the regulatory actions taken against the "Big Mouth Doctor" account for spreading misleading information about companies, particularly targeting Juzi Biological, which faced significant market backlash due to allegations of product falsification [3][4][6]. Summary by Sections Regulatory Actions - The National Internet Information Office announced the second batch of typical cases in the "Clear and Optimized Business Network Environment" campaign, which included the banning of the "Big Mouth Doctor" account for distorting company information and disrupting market order [3][6]. Incident Overview - In May, the "Big Mouth Doctor" account published a report alleging that Juzi Biological's product, Kefu Mei, was fraudulent, claiming it could not detect collagen [4][5]. - Juzi Biological responded with multiple statements asserting the accuracy of their products and the inaccuracy of the claims made by the "Big Mouth Doctor" [5][6]. Market Impact - The controversy led to a significant drop in Juzi Biological's stock price, with a reported decline of 10% over two days [6]. - The incident occurred during the "618" shopping festival, raising concerns about potential consumer backlash and its impact on sales [9]. Company Performance - Despite the controversy, Juzi Biological's financial performance remained strong, with a revenue increase from 2.375 billion to 5.539 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, and net profit rising from 1 billion to 2.062 billion yuan [8]. - The company reported a revenue of 3.113 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, with Kefu Mei contributing significantly to this growth [9]. Industry Context - The collagen market in China is projected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate of 44.93%, reaching an estimated market size of 219.38 billion yuan by 2030 [10]. - Competitors in the beauty industry, such as Marubi and L'Oreal, are also increasing their investments in this segment, indicating a competitive landscape [10].

Group 1 - The National Cyberspace Administration of China announced the second batch of typical cases in the "Clear and Optimized Business Network Environment" campaign, addressing multiple accounts involved in coercing companies, distorting information, and malicious defamation [1] - The account "Big Mouth Doctor" was identified as having a commercial interest relationship with a beauty product company and was found to have published misleading evaluation information affecting market competition [1] - The incident involving "Big Mouth Doctor" and the accusations against Juzhi Biotechnology's product led to significant market discussions and scrutiny [2][3] Group 2 - Juzhi Biotechnology's product "Kefumei" faced allegations of false advertising, which the company refuted by stating that all products passed regulatory checks and were verified through a three-step quality control process [2][3] - Following the controversy, Juzhi Biotechnology's stock price experienced a decline of 10% over two days, indicating the impact of the trust crisis on the company's market performance [3] - The company's revenue increased significantly from 2.375 billion yuan in 2021 to 5.539 billion yuan in 2024, with net profit rising from 1 billion yuan to 2.062 billion yuan during the same period [4] Group 3 - Juzhi Biotechnology's major product, "Kefumei," accounted for 79% and 82% of total revenue in 2023 and 2024, respectively, highlighting its importance to the company's financial health [4] - The company reported a revenue of 3.113 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 22.5%, with net profit rising by 20.2% to 1.182 billion yuan [5] - In contrast, Huaxi Biotechnology, which previously supported "Big Mouth Doctor," reported its worst interim results since listing, with a revenue decline of 19.57% [5] Group 4 - The collagen protein market in China is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 44.93%, reaching a market size of 219.38 billion yuan by 2030, indicating strong future growth potential [6] - The market for repair-focused cosmetics is expected to reach approximately 180 billion yuan in 2024, positioning it among the top three efficacy segments in the industry [6]

Company Overview - The company has organized a post-performance NDR communication, indicating that short-term event impacts are gradually dissipating, with self-broadcasting continuing to show healthy and strong growth. Brand acquisition and influencer marketing are gradually recovering, suggesting that the upcoming Double Eleven shopping festival may further restore brand momentum [1][2] - The company is recognized as a leader in collagen products, with a strong outlook for future growth, and is advised to strategically position itself for the recovery opportunities during the Double Eleven season [1] Short-term Performance - In the first half of the year, the company optimized its self-broadcasting matrix and strengthened product selection strategies, maintaining good growth despite short-term event impacts. Monitoring data shows that the brand "可复美" achieved over 50% GMV growth in self-broadcasting and product card sales on Douyin during July and August, with repurchase rates remaining high, indicating limited impact on loyal customers [1] - Influencer marketing faced significant short-term impacts but is gradually recovering, with "可复美" achieving approximately 23% market share in influencer marketing during the industry off-peak period of July and August, showing a rebound from the event impact phase [1][2] Product Development - The company has successfully expanded its brand audience and product efficacy through single product cultivation since its listing. The foundational R&D and enhanced market insights have led to continuous improvement in the product development chain. The "可复美" brand has established multiple product lines, including collagen repair series and focus series, with the collagen repair series performing well in the first half of the year [2] - The core products of the "可丽金" brand also showed strong online growth, indicating a solidified market presence. The company's ability to cultivate single products is expected to continue supporting long-term brand growth [2] Upcoming Opportunities - As the Double Eleven shopping season approaches, the recovery of influencer marketing is expected to drive brand momentum back on track. The company maintains communication with top influencers, which has yielded positive results. Increased influencer marketing frequency is anticipated to boost marketing efforts and accelerate brand acquisition [2] - The company has made positive progress in obtaining certifications for three types of medical devices since the beginning of the year, which is expected to contribute to incremental growth in the future [2] Financial Forecast - The company maintains a profit forecast of 2.5 billion to 3.2 billion CNY for 2025-2026, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 21x for 2025 and 17x for 2026. The company maintains an outperform rating and a target price of 82 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 50% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Giant Bio has seen a significant increase, with a rise of over 5% in early trading, currently priced at 57.80 HKD, with a trading volume of 392 million HKD. The company reported a revenue of approximately 3.113 billion HKD for the first half of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 1.182 billion HKD, up 20.2% year-on-year [1]. Financial Performance - Giant Bio's revenue for the first half of the year is approximately 3.113 billion HKD, representing a year-on-year increase of 22.5% [1]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is around 1.182 billion HKD, showing a year-on-year growth of 20.2% [1]. Analyst Insights - CICC maintains its profit forecast for Giant Bio at 2.5 billion HKD and 3.2 billion HKD for the years 2025 and 2026, respectively [1]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 21x and 17x for the years 2025 and 2026 [1]. - CICC has reiterated its "outperform" rating and target price of 82 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 50% based on a P/E ratio of 32x and 25x for the years 2025 and 2026 [1]. Market Outlook - With the Double Eleven shopping festival approaching, an increase in marketing frequency is expected to drive brand awareness and customer acquisition, potentially restoring growth momentum for the brand [1].

Group 1 - The company maintains profit forecasts of 2.5 billion and 3.2 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with current stock price corresponding to 21x and 17x P/E for those years, indicating a 50% upside potential [1] - The company is viewed positively as a leader in collagen protein restructuring, with recommendations to strategically position for the upcoming Double Eleven shopping season [1] - Short-term impacts from events are gradually dissipating, with self-broadcasting continuing to show strong growth and brand acquisition efforts recovering [2][3] Group 2 - The company has successfully optimized its self-broadcasting matrix and product selection strategy, maintaining good growth despite short-term event impacts, with GMV growth exceeding 50% for the 可复美 brand in July and August [3] - The company has established multiple product lines under the 可复美 brand, including collagen repair series and focus series, with strong performance in the collagen repair series [4] - As the Double Eleven shopping season approaches, increased broadcasting frequency is expected to drive brand momentum and recovery in customer acquisition [5]

Group 1 - The company maintains profit forecasts of 2.5 billion and 3.2 billion for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with current stock price corresponding to 21x and 17x P/E for those years, indicating a 50% upside potential [1] - The company is viewed positively as a leader in collagen reconstruction, with a recommendation to strategically position for the upcoming Double Eleven shopping season [1][5] - Short-term impacts from events are gradually dissipating, with self-broadcasting continuing to show strong growth and brand revitalization efforts progressing [2][3] Group 2 - The company has successfully optimized its self-broadcasting matrix and product selection strategy, achieving over 50% GMV growth for the 可复美 brand in July and August [3] - The product innovation and nurturing processes are progressing smoothly, with a strong foundation in R&D and marketing, leading to a rich product matrix that supports long-term growth [4] - As the Double Eleven season approaches, the recovery of broadcasting is expected to drive brand momentum back on track, with positive developments in medical device certifications contributing to incremental growth [5]

Summary of Jinbo Biological Conference Call Company Overview - Jinbo Biological specializes in recombinant type III collagen freeze-dried fibers, which is the first injectable humanized collagen medical material on the market, marking a significant milestone in the industry [2][3] Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - The medical health application of recombinant collagen accounts for nearly 50% of its usage, with the aesthetic medicine penetration rate continuously increasing [2] - The light aesthetic medicine injection market is expected to reach approximately 80 billion yuan by 2024, with collagen accounting for over 8 billion yuan [2][7] Product Innovation and Development - Jinbo Biological has successfully launched a micro-aesthetic collagen freeze-dried fiber product, driving high growth in overall performance [3] - The company has diversified its product forms, achieving approval for type III collagen solutions in 2023 and gel forms in 2025 [3] - The new gel product, approved in 2025, features a hexagonal structure that enhances cell adhesion and promotes tissue regeneration, with over 75% retention of new collagen [17] Competitive Advantages - Jinbo Biological is the only approved recombinant collagen class III medical device company, benefiting from the growth phase of this niche market [3] - The recombinant collagen produced through genetic engineering has significant advantages over traditional animal-derived extraction methods, including reduced immunogenicity and higher production efficiency [6] Financial Performance and Projections - The company maintains a research and development expense ratio above 10%, higher than comparable peers, facilitating rapid commercialization of research outcomes [4][11] - Revenue growth is projected at 44%, 32%, and 28% for 2025-2027, with net profit growth expected to be around 50% during the same period [20] Management and Operational Efficiency - The company has a concentrated shareholding structure, with the controlling shareholder holding 58.89%, which aids in maintaining decision-making efficiency during high growth periods [5] - Jinbo Biological employs a specialized management approach through subsidiaries, enhancing overall operational efficiency [5] International Expansion - The company has made strides in internationalization, obtaining patents in Vietnam and Brazil, and securing registration in the US and Saudi Arabia [16] Market Strategy - The new gel product is branded as "重元" (Chongyuan) to differentiate from the micro-aesthetic line, with a limited number of partnerships to maintain exclusivity [18] - The company is also expanding its functional skincare product line, which has seen rapid growth despite being in a competitive market [19] Risks and Challenges - The traditional animal-derived collagen injection market faces growth limitations due to low material acquisition efficiency and high allergenic rates [13] Additional Insights - Jinbo Biological's focus on research collaboration with universities and medical institutions enhances its innovation capabilities and accelerates the commercialization of new products [11] - The company is exploring applications in gynecology, surgery, and urology, with gynecology identified as a high-growth potential area [18]