失业率

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澳大利亚失业率意外攀升至近四年高点
news flash· 2025-07-17 02:20
澳大利亚统计局7月17日公布的数据显示,6月失业率升至4.3%,超过预期的4.1%,为2021年11月以来 最高水平。就业人数增加2000个,完全由兼职岗位推动,而经济学家预期为增加2万个。 ...
澳大利亚6月份失业率攀升至三年半以来的最高点
news flash· 2025-07-17 01:48
Core Insights - Australia's unemployment rate rose to its highest level in three and a half years in June, reaching 4.3%, up from 4.1% in May, indicating a significant shift in the labor market [1] - The net employment change in June was an increase of only 2,000 jobs, which fell short of market expectations of a 20,000 increase, following a decrease of 1,100 jobs in May [1] - Full-time employment saw a notable decline, with a loss of 38,200 positions in June, contributing to the overall rise in the unemployment rate [1] Employment Data - The labor force participation rate increased to 67.1%, suggesting a slight uptick in the number of individuals actively seeking work [1] - After a significant rise in working hours in May, there was a decrease of 0.9% in June, indicating potential volatility in labor demand [1]
机构分析:6月失业率大幅上升足以让澳洲联储在8月降息
news flash· 2025-07-17 01:39
金十数据7月17日讯,财经网站Forexlive评澳大利亚6月就业数据:失业率的大幅上升应该足以让澳洲联 储在8月降息。劳动力市场的紧缩是联储在降息周期中行动缓慢的原因之一。 机构分析:6月失业率大幅上升足以让澳洲联储在8月降息 ...
7月17日电,澳大利亚6月季调后失业率为4.3%。
news flash· 2025-07-17 01:33
智通财经7月17日电,澳大利亚6月季调后失业率为4.3%,前值为4.10%,预期为4.10%。 ...
KVB官网:当前限制性货币政策立场“完全恰当”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 01:17
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that tariffs are expected to have an increasingly significant impact on inflation in the coming months, which aligns with the Federal Reserve's current restrictive policy stance [1][3][6] - John Williams predicts that tariffs will raise inflation rates by approximately 1 percentage point from the second half of this year until 2026 [3][6] - The initial effects of tariff increases on core goods prices are already being observed, particularly in categories such as appliances, instruments, luggage, and tableware [4][6] Group 2 - The U.S. economic growth is forecasted to slow to around 1% this year, with the unemployment rate expected to rise to approximately 4.5% [5][8] - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the current interest rate is a balancing act between economic growth and inflation control, as raising rates could further suppress growth while lowering rates could exacerbate inflation [6][7] - Concerns about rising inflation pressures are shared among Federal Reserve officials, indicating a cautious approach to policy-making in light of recent economic data [7][8] Group 3 - The weakening of the dollar may further intensify inflationary pressures, complicating the economic landscape as it affects the prices of imported goods [7][8] - The observed price fluctuations in core goods due to tariffs could lead to changes in consumer behavior and production plans, impacting overall economic performance [7][8]
美联储威廉姆斯:关税对经济影响尚处“初期阶段”
news flash· 2025-07-17 00:27
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's Williams stated that the impact of tariffs on the economy is still in the "early stages" and that tariff measures are expected to raise the inflation rate by one percentage point during the remainder of 2025 and into 2026 [1] - The U.S. economy is projected to grow by approximately 1% this year, with the unemployment rate expected to rise to 4.5% by the end of the year [1] - The overall inflation rate for June is anticipated to be around 2.5%, while the core inflation rate is expected to be approximately 2.75% [1]
启牛学堂解析:美联储政策观望与金融市场展望
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-16 09:33
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in June, reflecting a cautious approach amid uncertainties related to Trump's policies, opting to wait for clearer signals for potential rate cuts [1][3] - The Fed's description of economic uncertainty changed from "further increasing" to "somewhat decreasing but still high," indicating a slightly more optimistic outlook while remaining vigilant [1] - Economic forecasts show a downward revision in GDP, an upward revision in unemployment rate, and an upward revision in inflation, suggesting a more complex financial landscape in the second half of the year [1][5] Group 2 - The dot plot indicates a downward adjustment in the Fed's rate cut expectations for 2026, reflecting a more cautious stance on future economic trends [3] - Fed Chair Powell's post-meeting remarks were hawkish, noting that while job growth has slowed, the unemployment rate remains low, and he anticipates significant inflationary pressures in the coming months [3] - Following the FOMC decision, U.S. Treasury yields rose while the stock market declined, with market expectations for rate cuts in September and December contrasting with the Fed's cautious outlook [3][5] Group 3 - The likelihood of a rate cut in September is considered low, with the Fed likely to maintain a wait-and-see approach due to persistent inflation risks and a slow rise in unemployment [5] - Factors such as tariffs affecting consumer prices and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may contribute to upward pressure on inflation [6] - Despite an upward trend in initial jobless claims, seasonal factors are likely influencing this increase, necessitating close monitoring of future jobless claims data [6]