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任莉:泉清果硕忆国斌
中国基金报· 2025-11-09 13:33
以下文章来源于泉果视点 ,作者泉果基金 图1. 泉果基金创始人任莉女士做悼词发言 尊敬的各位来宾朋友们,国斌总的亲友们: 感谢大家从各地赶来,一起追思缅怀我们的国斌总! 我和国斌总是北大同窗,毕业后各奔东西。2006年,国斌总一声召唤,我毫不犹豫,跨洋回国,追随国斌总,一起打造东方红,进而共创泉 果。 泉果视点 . 泉果基金管理有限公司官方订阅号,第一时间分享泉果基金动态。以专业投研+专业服务,与您相伴在长期投资的道路上。 2025年11月9日上午,著名投资人、泉果基金创始人王国斌先生的追思会在上海龙华殡仪馆举行。他生前的家人、同窗、挚 友、伙伴……800余人于潇潇秋雨中静默站立,送了王国斌先生最后一程。 追思会上,王国斌先生的家属代表,母校北京大学的校友代表及好友代表等人,纷纷致辞,缅怀。泉果基金联合创始人任莉女 士,作为王国斌先生事业上的多年战友,亦真挚追忆。 她说: "我和国斌总是北大同窗,毕业后各奔东西。2006年,国斌总一声召唤,我毫不犹豫跨洋回国,追随国斌总,一起打造东方 红,进而共创泉果,30多年相知、相伴、相随,国斌总是我智慧的启迪者,事业的引路人,更是我最亲密的战友!" "国斌总的一生虽短暂 ...
巴菲特:做投资的关键不是聪明,而是敢出手
聪明投资者· 2025-11-09 02:07
本周 推荐阅读 这周有三份聪投的独家放送。 一个是坚持了4年的"老朋友",聪明投资者与国泰基金携手的《深夜食堂》。 想起跟一家银行总行产品经理交流时,他说,最适合银行绝大多数客户的产品还是稳健的,要回撤小、 风险控制好,向上的弹性也不能太差。事实上,经过过去三四年的市场,大家对于回撤的感受都要比过 去来得深刻。 不管科技与能源浪潮如何翻涌,一份安心的投资总是压舱石的存在。 但"稳"常常是一种被低估的力量。 其他值得看 1、 刘煜辉最新发声:A股收官阶段的情绪面大概率不具备进攻性,明年布局最看好四个领域,黄金仍 是最好的定投资产…… 2、 当理性成为稀缺品!从霍华德·马克斯最新备忘录,理解杨东陈光明的"封盘"…… 3、 听一位喜欢研究生意经的价值投资者聊聊,如何做AI时代的好朋友 4、 红利的"老友"时刻:在十月的躁动里,它稳稳当当 点击阅读: 深夜食堂第十三季|在极端市场环境中,如何寻求"稳"的力量 10月28日到30日,毕盛投资(APS)的三十周年庆典论坛上,我们听了全程,各种干货,比如这篇: 一场不容错过的对话!两个"看多中国的人"深谈稀土博弈、制度韧性与中美格局重估…… 以及跟圆桌对话的嘉宾之一张忆东, ...
“投资中国!”王国斌谢幕,如何读懂这位31年投资老将?
券商中国· 2025-11-08 23:39
投资小红书-第255期 "泉果视点"上的那条讣告下,数百条评论寄托了亲朋好友还有那些不曾谋面但深受其思想影响的投资者 的哀思。 泉果基金创始人王国斌,这位有着31年经验的投资老将,憾别了他热爱的人间。他身上最鲜明的 标签是中国资管行业传奇人物,曾一手打造了管理规模超过千亿元的东证资管。但比地位和成绩 更重要的是,他的"立德、立功、立言"让他成为中国资本市场历史上不会被忘却的人物。 就如从容投资吕俊所说:"王国斌的事业也不全是一帆风顺的,也遇到过波折。面对挑战,感觉他 蛮有担当的,钦佩。人的一生不在于长短,在于物质上和精神上是否富足,他过得不差。" 王国斌离开了,但他呕心沥血搭建的投研团队体系和平台还在发挥力量。泉果桃源这只公募专户 产品在机制上安排的是"铁三角"管理模式,投资经理除了王国斌外,还有姜荷泽和周琳两位从业 经验均超过20年的投资老将。今年9月,产品也由原来的三年持有期改为了三个月持有期,更加灵 活。另外,记者在泉果基金官网上看到,其旗下的公募产品净值全部为正,部分产品净值还在创 新高。 为资本市场"立言" 王国斌开始从事券商自营和资管事业的年代,正是中国资本市场的草莽年代,就像19世纪末美国 股市 ...
BTSG vs. MEDP: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 17:40
Core Insights - BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. (BTSG) is currently rated as a Strong Buy (1) while Medpace (MEDP) is rated as a Buy (2), indicating a more favorable earnings outlook for BTSG [3] - Value investors utilize various traditional metrics to identify undervalued stocks, including P/E ratio, P/S ratio, earnings yield, and cash flow per share [4] Valuation Metrics - BTSG has a forward P/E ratio of 30.66, compared to MEDP's forward P/E of 40.04, suggesting that BTSG may be undervalued relative to MEDP [5] - The PEG ratio for BTSG is 0.58, indicating a more attractive growth valuation compared to MEDP's PEG ratio of 2.71 [5] - BTSG's P/B ratio stands at 3.23, significantly lower than MEDP's P/B ratio of 56.81, further supporting the argument for BTSG's better valuation [6] Conclusion - Given the stronger estimate revision activity and more attractive valuation metrics, BTSG is positioned as the superior investment option for value investors at this time [7]
LTH vs. ATAT: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-11-07 17:40
Core Insights - Investors in the Leisure and Recreation Services sector may find value in Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) and Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited Sponsored ADR (ATAT) [1] Valuation Metrics - LTH has a forward P/E ratio of 17.44, while ATAT has a forward P/E of 24.16 [5] - LTH's PEG ratio is 0.71, indicating a more favorable valuation compared to ATAT's PEG ratio of 1.25 [5] - LTH's P/B ratio stands at 1.85, significantly lower than ATAT's P/B ratio of 11.71 [6] Investment Grades - Both LTH and ATAT have a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating positive earnings estimate revisions [3] - LTH holds a Value grade of A, while ATAT has a Value grade of C, suggesting LTH is the superior value option based on current metrics [6]
主动优选策略,近年来表现如何,该如何止盈?|第416期直播回放
银行螺丝钉· 2025-11-07 14:01
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and characteristics of the proactive selection strategy in fund management, emphasizing the importance of selecting skilled fund managers and the strategy's ability to achieve higher returns with lower risks compared to the market. Group 1: Fund Manager Selection - The proactive selection strategy focuses on selecting excellent fund managers, as investing in active funds essentially means investing in the fund manager [3][4]. - A strong fund company typically has a complete talent hierarchy of fund managers, including veterans, mid-generation, and new-generation managers [5]. - The first tier consists of veterans who have experienced multiple market cycles and are considered key targets for investment [5][7]. - The second tier includes mid-generation managers who may have less experience but show potential, often trained by veterans [5][7]. - The third tier consists of new-generation managers with less than three years of experience, who have not yet faced significant market downturns [5]. Group 2: Performance of Proactive Selection Strategy - The proactive selection strategy has consistently outperformed the overall market, with a cumulative return exceeding the CSI 300 Index by 7.08% as of October 2025 [17]. - The strategy's maximum drawdown is lower than that of the market, indicating a better risk-return profile [17]. - The strategy has a quarterly performance win rate of 66.67% from 2022 to 2025, demonstrating its effectiveness over time [19]. Group 3: Investment Behavior and Pricing - The article highlights the importance of buying at good prices, as even the best stocks can lead to losses if purchased at high valuations [33]. - The proactive selection strategy encourages investors to buy more during market downturns, effectively lowering their average cost [36]. - A high repurchase rate of 97.2% indicates that most investors continue to invest during bear markets, showing confidence in the strategy [42]. Group 4: Automatic Rebalancing and Profit-Taking - The proactive selection strategy includes an automatic rebalancing feature that helps investors take profits from overvalued assets and reinvest in undervalued ones [45]. - The strategy provides signals for profit-taking when the overall market is overvalued, allowing for a gradual transition to more stable investment options [49][50].
摩根慧启成长混合将于11月17日起正式发行
Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-11-07 07:39
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing significant differentiation, with growth sectors facing both long-term opportunities from industrial upgrades and short-term impacts from macroeconomic fluctuations [1][2] Group 1: Fund Launch and Management - Morgan Huixi Growth Mixed Securities Investment Fund will officially launch on November 17, featuring a new floating management fee model aimed at enhancing investor experience by linking fees directly to fund performance [1] - The fund will be managed by experienced fund manager Li Dehui, who holds a PhD in Biomedical Engineering from Shanghai Jiao Tong University and has 13 years of securities research experience along with nearly 9 years in fund management [1] - Since Li Dehui took over the Morgan Technology Frontier Mixed Securities Investment Fund A-class shares in November 2016, the total return has exceeded 230% as of November 6, 2025, with a one-year return of over 50% [1] Group 2: Research and Market Outlook - Morgan Asset Management has a strong global research platform and deep local investment research capabilities, having been active in the mainland China market for 21 years, with an average of over 12 years of experience among its domestic active equity research team [2] - Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, factors such as expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, continued domestic liquidity, supportive policies, and resilient macroeconomic conditions are expected to benefit the overall A-share market [2] - The ongoing economic transformation in China has shown initial success, with investments in technology and domestic consumption expected to stabilize and drive future economic growth [2]
基金经理请回答 | 价值投资者如何分享AI时代的红利?
中泰证券资管· 2025-11-07 07:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the perceived dichotomy between value investing and technology investing, particularly in the context of the AI era, and explores the reasons behind this stereotype [4][5]. Group 1: Value vs. Technology Investing - The stereotype that value investing and technology investing are oppositional stems from the low proportion of technology investments made by well-known value investors [5]. - Value investors often struggle to share their technology investment cases, reinforcing the stereotype [5]. - A key principle of value investing is that value must be assessable, which is challenging in the rapidly changing technology sector [5][6]. Group 2: Characteristics of Technology Companies - Not all technology companies are unprofitable at inception; some, like Nvidia, can be profitable from the start [6]. - The financial losses of some tech companies do not negate their long-term value, as profitability can be established once business models and payment capabilities are confirmed [6][9]. - Understanding the business model of technology companies often requires specialized knowledge, creating a barrier for value investors [7][13]. Group 3: AI's Impact on Industries - The demand for computing power driven by AI has significantly enhanced the value of the semiconductor foundry industry, which has a stable business model and clear competitive advantages [16][18]. - AI has transformed the storage industry by increasing the demand for storage capacity and bandwidth, leading to supply shortages and rising prices [19][20]. - The shift from traditional computing to AI-driven models has created bottlenecks in storage, as the new computing methods require more frequent data storage [19]. Group 4: Semiconductor Industry Dynamics - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a slowdown in the pace of innovation, as evidenced by the observed deceleration of Moore's Law [25][28]. - Future advancements in semiconductor manufacturing may occur at a slower rate, with increased reliance on chip clusters to enhance computing power [29]. - The competitive landscape in semiconductor manufacturing is evolving, particularly in the context of national policies promoting self-sufficiency in technology [21][24].
能评估价值的领域都是价值投资的范围,科技并不例外
聪明投资者· 2025-11-07 03:05
还有不到两个月的时间, 2025 年即将收官,而主动权益基金首尾显著的业绩差,将今年极致市场行情映照 了出来。 其中,中泰资管很喜欢研究企业生意模式的田瑀这几句话很有意思: 面对这类观点,我们很好奇圈内专业人士的看法,去翻了过去几年比较有"价值投资者"刻板印象但重仓了科 技行业的基金经理最新披露的三季报,也看了很多人的月度观点和投资分享。 "能评估价值的领域都是价值投资的范围,这其中自然包括科技,差别在于不同领域的价值评估所需要的门 槛并不相同。 ……诚然,科技领域中无法评估价值的企业占比更高,但能够评估的领域也不少,有些判断同样确定性极 高,值得价值投资者深耕。 AI 的发展会使得未来很长一段时间内半导体行业的整体需求增速快于过去 10 年,当下我们仍处于这次科技 变革的初期。结合我国半导体产业的长期发展来看,无论贸易摩擦是阶段性缓和还是加剧,国产替代的方向 都不会变。 究其缘由,就是"老登资产"与"小登资产"之间愈加强烈的市场分歧,也将价值投资与成长投资刻板地摆在了 对立的两面。 在这样的背景下,很多生意在进行价值评估时的长期假设就有迹可循,一部分具有护城河的企业也会给股东 创造更加丰厚的回报,这也使得价 ...
创金合信基金魏凤春:传统产业投资与格瓦拉困境
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-11-07 01:57
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of traditional industries in China's economic landscape, particularly in the context of the 14th Five-Year Plan, highlighting their role in stabilizing growth, employment, and income [5][10]. Market Review - The recent market performance indicates a shift from growth stocks to value stocks, with traditional sectors like electric equipment, steel, and coal showing significant gains, while tech sectors faced declines [2][4]. - The "old-style" stocks, characterized by stable earnings and generous dividends, are regaining attention as market dynamics shift [2][4]. Industry Rebalancing - Traditional industries are crucial for short-term demand expansion and are categorized under the 14th Five-Year Plan as essential for economic stability [4][5]. - The plan aims to optimize traditional industries while fostering new and future industries, with traditional sectors accounting for approximately 80% of manufacturing value [5]. Traditional Industries' Role - Traditional industries are seen as the backbone of the economy, essential for maintaining growth, employment, and income levels, especially during economic downturns [5]. - The service sector also plays a vital role in employment, necessitating a shift towards high-quality development [5]. Market Analysis of Traditional Industries - The analysis of operational and financial leverage across traditional industries reveals varying levels of risk and opportunity, with some sectors showing signs of stress due to high leverage [6]. - The first quadrant indicates high non-current asset ratios and debt levels, posing risks in a slowing economy, while the third quadrant shows low leverage, suggesting potential for growth in an upward economic trend [6]. Short-term Trends in Traditional Industries - The Producer Price Index (PPI) data indicates a recent uptick in prices for certain traditional sectors, supporting the profitability of traditional industry stocks [9]. - Specific sectors like coal mining and black metal mining have shown PPI increases, which may enhance their profitability [9]. Investment Strategy for Traditional Industries - The article warns against a rigid investment approach, termed the "Guevara dilemma," advocating for a flexible strategy that adapts to changing market conditions [10]. - Traditional industries must integrate with new technologies and models to achieve high-quality development, emphasizing the need for innovation and transformation [10].