红利投资

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白酒还有投资价值吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 19:57
看着军工、医药、银行这些板块轮流表现,不少拿着白酒的投资者都纳闷:难道我在白酒里错过了牛 市?但换个角度想,这恰恰说明白酒现在是估值洼地。食品饮料行业的市盈率分位数在主要行业里最 低,而白酒又是这个行业的主力。 最近股市接连突破关键点位,投资者情绪越来越高,但涨了一阵后,不少人都在想:现在还有哪些没被 高估的板块值得关注呢? 看看所有主要行业和宽基指数的市盈率分位数,发现食品饮料(尤其是白酒)的估值分位数在60%以 下,而且是最低的。白酒板块还有没有投资价值? 首先得说,经过这轮上涨,白酒依然处于低估区间。大家对白酒不陌生,它曾经风光无限,龙头股当过 A股市值第一,2020年全行业还涨了一倍多。但今年白酒却逆势下跌,不管是绝对涨幅还是行业排名都 比较靠后,估值甚至跌到了历史上仅2%的分位数,处于极低水平。 三是估值合理。2019年白酒股PE跌到20倍左右,有吸引力。2020年疫情后,投资者更看重确定性,消 费股受到青睐,估值也跟着上升。 四是基金资金推动。2020-2021年公募基金规模大增,白酒作为基金重仓板块,吸引了大量资金流入。 可以说,当年的上涨是宏观、行业、估值和资金多方面因素共同作用的结果。 但好 ...
红利指数基金挑花眼,该选哪个?
Morningstar晨星· 2025-08-21 01:05
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rapid growth of the dividend index fund market, which has become an essential part of asset allocation for investors, despite the complexity and variety of available products [1][2] Group 2 - The dividend index fund market has seen significant development, with the number of products increasing from just 3 between 2006 and 2016 to a record 39 new funds in 2024, and total assets reaching 153.9 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 2211.68% increase since the end of 2007 [3][4] Group 3 - The strong performance of dividend index funds is attributed to their underlying assets, which typically come from companies with good profitability, stable cash flow, and consistent dividends, such as leaders in banking, transportation, and energy sectors. The annualized return of the CSI Dividend Total Return Index from early 2007 to the end of 2024 was 10.32%, significantly outperforming the 5.52% of the CSI 300 Total Return Index [7][8] Group 4 - Dividend index funds are favored for their ability to provide continuous cash flow, acting as "cash cows" for investors. With the decline in yields from government bonds and the scarcity of high-yield, low-risk assets, these funds are increasingly valuable for long-term capital preservation and predictable returns [8][9] Group 5 - Different types of dividend index funds cater to various investor needs. Traditional broad-based funds track indices like the CSI Dividend Index, while Smart Beta funds enhance traditional criteria with factors like low volatility and quality. There are also funds focusing on state-owned enterprises and those that explore dividend opportunities in the Hong Kong market [10][12] Group 6 - When selecting dividend index funds, investors should consider not only the index construction and historical performance but also the fee structure, as seemingly minor fee differences can significantly impact long-term returns. Despite a trend of lowering fees in the broader fund industry, many dividend index funds still maintain relatively high fees [14][15] Group 7 - Overall, investors should choose dividend index funds based on their specific preferences, considering factors such as fund size, liquidity, and tracking error to ensure effective investment outcomes [16]
中金:南下掘金,港股主动量化策略
中金点睛· 2025-08-20 23:31
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the positive performance of the Hong Kong stock market in the first half of 2025, with significant gains across major indices, reflecting investor optimism and market vitality [2][5] - The Hang Seng High Dividend Yield Index has shown superior long-term returns, indicating a recognition of long-term value investing within the Hong Kong market [2][5] - Southbound funds are increasingly favoring high-quality stocks, with stable exposure to quality factors and marginal improvements in exposure to undervalued and high-dividend stocks over the past three years [2][18] Group 2 - The article discusses various active quantitative strategies in the Hong Kong stock market, including value, dividend, quality, and growth strategies, all of which have demonstrated effective stock selection capabilities [3][22] - The value strategy, focusing on risk resilience, has achieved an annualized return of 19.9% since 2012, while the Hong Kong Stock Connect value strategy has realized a 15.6% annualized return since 2016, outperforming the Hang Seng Stock Connect Index by 11.4% [3][42] - The dividend strategy has yielded an annualized return of 19.1% since 2012, with a 7.7% excess return, while the quality strategy has achieved a 16.2% annualized return since 2016, with a 12.3% excess return over the Hang Seng Stock Connect Index [3][42] Group 3 - The growth strategy has achieved a 17.1% annualized return since 2016, with a remarkable 47.2% return this year, showing stable excess returns compared to the Hang Seng Stock Connect Index [4][22] - The article highlights the high proportion of "penny stocks" in the Hong Kong market, which exceeds 50%, necessitating the exclusion of these stocks for effective stock selection [6][45] - The average market capitalization of stocks within the Stock Connect is significantly higher, with a median of approximately HKD 20 billion, compared to below HKD 10 billion for the overall market [6][45] Group 4 - The article presents the performance of various factors within the Stock Connect, noting that value, dividend, quality, and growth factors have shown strong stock selection capabilities, with an average IC of 3.30% for the ROE factor [15][16] - The quality factor has demonstrated stable performance, maintaining an advantage even during periods when growth factors were dominant [15][16] - The article also discusses the correlation between major factors, indicating a high correlation among factors such as net profit growth and operating profit growth [37][38] Group 5 - The value strategy is constructed based on a "PB-ROE" framework, focusing on undervalued stocks with strong risk resilience, achieving significant long-term excess returns [24][39] - The article emphasizes the importance of cash flow stability in avoiding "value traps" when selecting undervalued stocks [36][39] - The value strategy's holdings are predominantly in large-cap stocks, with a recent concentration in the healthcare sector [45][47]
A股红利板块逆势走强,关注红利低波动ETF(563020)、红利ETF易方达(515180)等投资价值
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-20 05:17
Group 1: Core Insights - The article discusses various dividend ETFs, including E Fund's dividend ETF, which tracks the China Securities Dividend Index composed of 100 high cash dividend yield stocks, primarily from the banking, coal, and transportation sectors, accounting for over 55% of the index [2] - The E Fund's low volatility dividend ETF tracks the China Securities Low Volatility Dividend Index, consisting of 50 stocks with good liquidity and stable dividend payments, with a sector concentration of over 70% in banking, transportation, and construction [2] - The Hang Seng Low Volatility Dividend ETF tracks the Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index, made up of 50 stocks within the Hong Kong Stock Connect that have low volatility and stable dividends, with significant representation from the financial and industrial sectors [2] Group 2: Performance Metrics - As of the latest trading session, the China Securities Dividend Index showed a change of 0.3% with a rolling P/E ratio of 8.2 times and a valuation percentile of 67.9% since its inception in 2013 [2] - The China Securities Low Volatility Dividend Index experienced a change of 0.5% with a rolling P/E ratio of 8.2 times and a valuation percentile of 76.1% since its launch in 2013 [2] - The Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index reported a change of -0.6% with a rolling P/E ratio of 7.2 times and a valuation percentile of 84.2% since its introduction in 2017 [2]
千亿ETF基金公司入局!“红利+低波”新物种今日火爆开售
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-08-18 00:21
"中证A500指数"这个2024年度最火指数,正迎来Pro版本。 近来,沪指升破3700点、时隔10年A股融资余额重返2万亿元,A股市场强势回暖,人气正持续回升。火 爆行情下,今日(8月18日),"ETF头部公司"华宝基金旗下的——华宝中证A500红利低波动ETF(场 内简称:A500红利低波ETF;认购代码:159296)火热开售,该ETF也是全市场首批跟踪中证A500红 利低波动指数的ETF。 青出于A500,而胜于A500 数据如实呈现出这般"如虎添翼"的效果。 中证A500红利低波动指数的分红率(TTM)、股息率(TTM)分别为30.97%、4.17%,显著领先300红 利低波、500红利低波等同类指数。与此同时,该指数还具有波动率低、回撤小的优势:2021年至今, 相较于创业板指、中证A500、沪深300、中证红利等指数,中证A500红利低波动指数几乎每年的波动率 和最大回撤都是最小的。(数据来源:中证指数公司、Wind,截至2025.7.31) 中证A500红利低波动指数是从中证A500指数样本中选取50只连续分红、股息率较高且波动率较低的证 券作为指数样本。高股息、低波动两大选股因子共同把关,有 ...
从险资举牌看AH红利配置走向:AH红利资产的定价模式探索系列(II)
Changjiang Securities· 2025-08-16 15:19
丨证券研究报告丨 战略数据研究丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 从险资举牌看 AH 红利配置走向:AH 红利资产 的定价模式探索系列(II) 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 红利投资源自于宏观不确定性环境下的安全边际追求,也是经济进入平台期资产回报率下滑后 大体量资金的大概率选项。从配置角度看,对于权益投资者,"安全边际"的构建或是依赖于左 侧布局"估值洼地"选择高赔率品种,或是布局"票息资产"。对于固收投资者,面临低利率环 境,收益弹性来源于"固收+"中的"+",传统是通过增加权益类资产,包括其中相对低波的类 债"票息资产"。红利作为两类投资需求的交集,同时具备了类债红利和弹性红利机会,类债红 利主要是选商业模式和较高的股息率带来的安全性,弹性红利机会主要来自于相对高赔率。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈洁敏 SAC:S0490518120005 SFC:BUT348 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 分资产类型看,对于传统稳健红利板块,比如水电、高速、运营商、银行,维持相对具有性价 比的股息率较为重要。横向比较 ...
打破险资举牌同业6年空白,中国平安斥资5584万港元增持中国太保H股至5.04%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-08-15 01:37
Core Viewpoint - Insurance capital has recently increased its stake in China Pacific Insurance (China Taibao), marking a significant event in the insurance sector after a six-year hiatus in such actions [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Actions - On August 11, China Ping An invested HKD 55.84 million to acquire 174,140 shares of China Taibao at an average price of HKD 32.0655 per share, raising its stake to 5.04%, thus triggering the regulatory threshold for a stake increase [1]. - This marks the first instance of insurance capital increasing its stake in an insurance company since 2017, when China Life raised its stake in China Taibao [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the year 2024, China Taibao reported a revenue of CNY 404.09 billion, a year-on-year increase of 24.7%, and a net profit of CNY 44.96 billion, up 64.9% [2]. - The total assets under management for China Taibao reached CNY 35,426.60 billion, reflecting a growth of 21.2% compared to the previous year [2]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Following the announcement of the stake increase, China Taibao's stock price rose by 4.71% on August 14, closing at HKD 36 per share, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 50% [2]. - The rolling dividend yield (TTM) for China Taibao is currently at 3.28% [2]. Group 4: Industry Insights - Analysts suggest that the insurance sector's fundamentals are not as weak as perceived, and the current valuations reflect the pressures on both assets and liabilities [3]. - The insurance stocks are seen as undervalued, with expectations of significant valuation recovery as the economy stabilizes and market conditions improve [3][4]. - The trend of insurance capital increasing stakes has reached a new high this year, with 28 instances recorded so far, indicating a strong preference for undervalued, high-dividend stocks [3].
注意:今日除权!港股红利低波ETF(520550)、中证红利质量ETF(159209)本月同步分红进行时
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 01:33
Core Viewpoint - Two dividend-paying ETFs under China Merchants Fund are distributing dividends, with the CSI Dividend Quality ETF distributing 0.003 yuan per share and the Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF distributing 0.004 yuan per share, both on August 15 [1] Group 1: ETF Details - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF tracks the Hang Seng High Dividend Low Volatility Index, utilizing a "dual-factor" screening strategy focused on defensive sectors like finance and utilities, currently offering a dividend yield exceeding 5% [1] - The CSI Dividend Quality ETF employs a "high dividend + high quality" strategy, selecting premium stocks in consumer and pharmaceutical sectors, maintaining a historical dividend yield of 3%-5% while outperforming broad market indices [1] Group 2: Market Context - In the current market environment, these two products represent "defensive and stable" and "growth and value" investment directions, providing differentiated allocation choices for investors [1] - The design of low fees and a monthly dividend mechanism is expected to enhance the long-term investment experience for holders [1]
财信证券晨会纪要-20250815
Caixin Securities· 2025-08-14 23:30
Market Strategy - The market experienced a pullback after a rise, with digital currency sectors showing activity [4][6] - The overall A-share market index fell by 0.86%, closing at 5751.93 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.46% to 3666.44 points [6][9] - The hard technology sector outperformed, while the innovative small and medium enterprises sector lagged behind [6][9] Industry Dynamics - Over 100 cities have opened road rights for unmanned delivery vehicles, which are expected to become mainstream in the future [5][23] - In July 2025, the national railway passenger and freight volumes showed steady growth, with passenger volume reaching 455 million, a year-on-year increase of 6.6% [5][25] - The insurance sector saw significant activity, with Minsheng Insurance increasing its stake in Zheshang Bank to 5% [5][27] Company Tracking - Shuanghui Development reported a total revenue of 28.503 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.00%, with a net profit of 2.323 billion yuan, up 1.17% [5][32] - Aoshikang achieved a revenue of 2.565 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.43%, although net profit decreased by 11.96% [5][35] - The company’s revenue from meat products declined by 9.42% to 11.207 billion yuan, while slaughtering business revenue increased by 3.33% to 13.769 billion yuan [5][33]
今日分红登记!港股红利低波ETF(520550)、中证红利质量ETF(159209)本月同步分红
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 01:20
Core Viewpoint - Two dividend ETF products under China Merchants Fund have recently announced simultaneous dividends, providing investors with differentiated investment options in the current market environment [1] Group 1: Dividend Distribution - The CSI Dividend Quality ETF (159209) will implement its second dividend distribution of the year, with a payout of 0.003 yuan per share [1] - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF (520550) will have its fourth dividend distribution, with a payout of 0.004 yuan per share [1] - Both products have set the record date for equity registration on August 14 [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The Hong Kong Dividend Low Volatility ETF tracks the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Low Volatility Index, using a "dual-factor" screening strategy focused on defensive sectors like finance and utilities [1] - This index currently has a dividend yield exceeding 5%, combined with the undervaluation of Hong Kong stocks, showcasing strong risk resistance [1] - The CSI Dividend Quality ETF employs a "high dividend + high quality" strategy, selecting quality targets in sectors such as consumer goods and pharmaceuticals [1] Group 3: Market Positioning - Historical performance indicates that the CSI Dividend Quality ETF maintains a dividend yield of 3%-5% while outperforming broad market indices in the long term [1] - Market participants view these two products as representing "defensive and stable" and "growth and value" investment directions, respectively [1] - The design of low fees and a monthly dividend mechanism is expected to enhance the investment experience for long-term holders [1]