Group 1: Report Summary - The report is a metal options strategy morning report dated July 24, 2025, covering有色金属, precious metals, and black metals [1][2] - The overall strategy suggestions are to construct a seller neutral volatility strategy for non - ferrous metals, a bull call spread strategy for black metals, and a spot hedging strategy for precious metals [2] Group 2: Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various metal futures contracts are presented, such as copper (CU2509) at 79,680 with a - 0.16% change, and aluminum (AL2509) at 20,750 with a - 0.46% change [3] Group 3: Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - Volume and open interest PCR data for different metal options are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market respectively [4] Group 4: Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels for various metal options are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5] Group 5: Option Factors - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data for different metal options are given, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [6] Group 6: Option Strategies for Different Metals Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Suggest constructing a short - volatility seller option portfolio and a spot hedging strategy [7] - **Aluminum/Alumina**: Recommend a bull call spread strategy and a short - option combination strategy, as well as a spot collar strategy [9] - **Zinc/Lead**: Propose a bull call spread strategy, a short - option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [9] - **Nickel**: Suggest a short - option combination strategy with a short delta and a spot long - position hedging strategy [10] - **Tin**: Recommend a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10] - **Lithium Carbonate**: Propose a short - option combination strategy with a long delta and a spot long - position hedging strategy [11] Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: Suggest a short - volatility option seller combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy [12] Black Metals - **Rebar**: Recommend a bull call spread strategy, a short - option combination strategy, and a spot long - position covered call strategy [13] - **Iron Ore**: Propose a bull call spread strategy, a short - option combination strategy, and a spot long - position collar strategy [14] - **Ferroalloys**: Recommend a bull call spread strategy and a short - volatility strategy [15] - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: Propose a bull call spread strategy, a short - option combination strategy, and a spot long - position hedging strategy [15] - **Glass**: Recommend a bull call spread strategy, a short - volatility strategy, and a spot long - position collar strategy [16] Group 7: Metal Option Charts - Charts for various metal options are provided, including price trend charts, volume and open interest charts, PCR charts, implied volatility charts, historical volatility cone charts, and pressure and support level charts [18][38][57]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report focuses on energy - chemical options, covering various categories such as energy, polyolefins, polyesters, and alkali chemicals. It analyzes the fundamentals, market trends, and option factors of different underlying assets and provides corresponding option strategies and suggestions [3][8][9]. - The overall strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3]. 3. Summary by Category 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interests of 17 energy - chemical futures contracts, including crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), methanol, etc. For example, the latest price of crude oil (SC2509) is 506, with a price increase of 2 and a growth rate of 0.42% [4]. 3.2 Option Factors - **Volume - to - Open - Interest Ratio (PCR)**: It shows the volume and open - interest PCR of different option varieties. For instance, the volume PCR of crude oil is 0.48, with a change of - 0.05, and the open - interest PCR is 0.53, with a change of - 0.02 [5]. - **Pressure and Support Levels**: The report identifies the pressure and support levels of different option underlying assets. For example, the pressure level of crude oil is 640, and the support level is 500 [6]. - **Implied Volatility**: It provides the implied volatility data of different option varieties, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil is 29.785%, and the weighted implied volatility is 33.57%, with a change of 0.94% [7]. 3.3 Strategies and Suggestions - **Energy - related Options (Crude Oil and LPG)**: - **Crude Oil**: OPEC+ will increase oil supply in August. The market shows a short - term weak trend. Option strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - spot collar strategy [8]. - **LPG**: The market is short - term bearish. Strategies involve constructing a bearish short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - spot collar strategy [9]. - **Alcohol - related Options (Methanol and Ethylene Glycol)**: - **Methanol**: The market shows a weak rebound with resistance. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - spot collar strategy [9]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The market shows a weak and narrow - range volatile pattern. Strategies include constructing a short - volatility strategy and a long - spot collar strategy [11]. - **Polyolefin - related Options (Polypropylene, Polyvinyl Chloride, etc.)**: - **Polypropylene**: The market is weak with resistance. Strategies include a long - spot collar strategy using a long - spot position, a long - put option, and a short - call option [11]. - **Rubber - related Options**: - **Rubber**: The market shows a low - level consolidation pattern. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy [12]. - **Polyester - related Options (P - Xylene, PTA, etc.)**: - **PTA**: The market is weak with resistance. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy [13]. - **Alkali - related Options (Caustic Soda, Soda Ash, etc.)**: - **Caustic Soda**: The market shows a short - term bullish trend. Strategies include a long - spot collar strategy [14]. - **Soda Ash**: The market shows a bullish upward trend. Strategies include constructing a bull - spread call option combination strategy and a long - spot collar strategy [14]. - **Urea Options**: - The market shows a volatile pattern under bearish pressure. Strategies include constructing a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long - spot collar strategy [15].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector includes energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, etc. For each sub - sector, the report analyzes the fundamentals, market trends, option factors, and provides corresponding option strategies and suggestions [3][9] - It is recommended to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various energy - chemical futures contracts such as crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc. For example, the latest price of crude oil (SC2509) is 504, down 3 with a decline of 0.55%, and its trading volume is 14.38 million lots, a decrease of 0.66 million lots [4] 3.2 Option Factors 3.2.1 Volume - to - Open - Interest PCR - The volume - to - open - interest PCR data of different energy - chemical options are provided, including volume PCR and open - interest PCR and their changes. For instance, the volume PCR of crude oil options is 0.53, an increase of 0.04, and the open - interest PCR is 0.56, a decrease of 0.05 [5] 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various option underlying assets are analyzed. For example, the pressure level of crude oil is 640 and the support level is 500 [6] 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different energy - chemical options are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and their changes. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil options is 28.55%, and the weighted implied volatility is 32.63%, an increase of 1.51% [7] 3.3 Strategies and Suggestions 3.3.1 Energy - related Options - **Crude Oil Options**: The OPEC + will increase oil supply by 550,000 barrels per day in August. The crude oil market is short - term weak. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8] - **LPG Options**: The LPG futures are in a short - term bearish market. It is recommended to construct a bearish short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] 3.3.2 Alcohol - related Options - **Methanol Options**: The methanol market shows a weak rebound. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol Options**: The ethylene glycol market is in a narrow - range, weak - bullish oscillation. It is recommended to construct a short - volatility strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.3.3 Polyolefin - related Options - **Polypropylene Options**: The polypropylene market is weak. It is recommended to use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.3.4 Rubber - related Options - **Rubber Options**: The rubber market shows a low - level consolidation. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy [12] 3.3.5 Polyester - related Options - **PTA Options**: The PTA market is weak. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy [13] 3.3.6 Alkali - related Options - **Caustic Soda Options**: The caustic soda market is bullish. It is recommended to use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] - **Soda Ash Options**: The soda ash market is bullish. It is recommended to construct a bull - spread call option strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] 3.3.7 Urea Options - The urea market oscillates under bearish pressure. It is recommended to construct a neutral short - call + short - put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [15]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector includes energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, etc. [9] - For each sub - sector, options strategies are formulated based on fundamental analysis, market trend analysis, and option factor research of underlying assets [9] - The overall strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest changes of various energy - chemical futures contracts are presented, such as the latest price of crude oil SC2509 is 509, down 6 with a decline of 1.20% [4] 3.2 Option Factors 3.2.1 Volume - to - Open - Interest PCR - The volume - to - open - interest PCR of various energy - chemical options is provided, which reflects the strength of the underlying asset's market and the turning point of the market trend. For example, the volume PCR of crude oil options is 0.49, with a change of - 0.00 [5] 3.2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various energy - chemical options are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of crude oil options is 640, and the support level is 500 [6] 3.2.3 Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of various energy - chemical options is presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil options is 27, and the weighted implied volatility is 31.12 [7] 3.3 Strategies and Recommendations 3.3.1 Energy - related Options (Crude Oil, LPG) - **Crude Oil**: OPEC + increases supply, and the US supply rebounds with oil prices. The short - term market is weak. Implied volatility fluctuates around the average, and the short - selling power increases. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8] - **LPG**: The futures price is weak, and the demand side has potential risks. The short - term market is bearish. Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, and the short - selling power increases. Strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option selling combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] 3.3.2 Alcohol - related Options (Methanol, Ethylene Glycol) - **Methanol**: Port inventory increases, and the market shows a weak rebound. Implied volatility is below the historical average, and the market is in a weak shock. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Port inventory decreases in the short term, and the market shows a narrow - range shock. Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, and the market is in a shock. Strategies include constructing a short - volatility strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.3.3 Polyolefin - related Options (Polypropylene, PVC, Plastic, Styrene) - **Polypropylene**: The inventory of traders decreases, and the market is weak. Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, and the market weakens. Strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.3.4 Rubber - related Options - **Rubber**: The production of synthetic rubber and butadiene rubber increases. The market shows a low - level consolidation. Implied volatility fluctuates around the average, and the short - selling power increases. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination [12] 3.3.5 Polyester - related Options (PX, PTA, Short - fiber, Bottle - chip) - **PTA**: The load is stable, and the market is weak. Implied volatility fluctuates around the average, and the market weakens. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination [12] 3.3.6 Alkali - related Options (Caustic Soda, Soda Ash) - **Caustic Soda**: The average utilization rate of production capacity decreases slightly, and the market shows a short - term upward trend. Implied volatility fluctuates around the average. Strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13] - **Soda Ash**: The inventory is at a historical high, and the market shows a short - term upward trend. Implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, and the market is in a weak shock. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13] 3.3.7 Urea Options - The port inventory increases, and the market shows a shock under bearish pressure. Implied volatility fluctuates slightly below the historical average, and the market weakens. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Views of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, which are experiencing a fluctuating decline, it is recommended to construct a seller neutral volatility strategy [2]. - For the black - series, which are gradually consolidating in a range, a seller option neutral portfolio strategy is suitable [2]. - For precious metals, specifically gold, which is consolidating at a high level and showing a weak decline, a spot hedging strategy is proposed [2]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Copper (CU2509) is priced at 79,770, up 510 (0.64%) with a trading volume of 8.75 million lots (up 3.27 million) and an open interest of 15.69 million lots (up 1.52 million) [3]. - Aluminum (AL2509) is at 20,860, up 115 (0.55%), volume 22.07 million lots (up 9.16 million), open interest 31.69 million lots (up 3.43 million) [3]. - Zinc (ZN2509) is at 22,875, up 90 (0.39%), volume 25.14 million lots (up 10.03 million), open interest 13.33 million lots (up 1.73 million) [3]. - And so on for other metals including lead, nickel, tin, etc. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - For copper, the volume PCR is 0.30 (down 0.24), and the open interest PCR is 0.65 (up 0.05) [4]. - For aluminum, the volume PCR is 0.49 (down 0.21), and the open interest PCR is 0.89 (down 0.04) [4]. - Similar data is provided for other metals such as zinc, lead, etc. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - For copper, the pressure level is 82,000 and the support level is 78,000 [5]. - For aluminum, the pressure level is 20,600 and the support level is 20,000 [5]. - For other metals like zinc, lead, etc., their respective pressure and support levels are also given. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - For copper, the at - the - money implied volatility is 13.25%, the weighted implied volatility is 17.34% (up 2.66%), and the difference between implied and historical volatility is - 1.57% [6]. - For aluminum, the at - the - money implied volatility is 11.32%, the weighted implied volatility is 14.28% (up 2.05%), and the difference between implied and historical volatility is 0.57% [6]. - Similar implied volatility data is presented for other metals. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations for Different Metals 3.5.1 Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper Option**: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility seller option portfolio; Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy put option + sell out - of - the - money call option [8]. - **Aluminum/Alumina Option**: Directional strategy: Bull spread call option strategy; Volatility strategy: Sell a combination of call and put options with a long - biased position; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc/Lead Option**: Directional strategy: Bull spread call option strategy; Volatility strategy: Sell a combination of call and put options with a long - biased position; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel Option**: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Sell a combination of call and put options with a short - biased position; Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy put option [10]. - **Tin Option**: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Short - volatility strategy; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Carbonate Lithium Option**: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Sell a combination of call and put options with a long - biased position; Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy put option + sell call option [12]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver Option**: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral short - volatility option seller portfolio; Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy put option + sell out - of - the - money call option [13]. 3.5.3 Black - series - **Rebar Option**: Directional strategy: Construct a bull spread call option strategy; Volatility strategy: Sell a combination of call and put options with a long - biased position; Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold spot long + sell call option [14]. - **Iron Ore Option**: Directional strategy: Bull spread call option strategy; Volatility strategy: Sell a combination of call and put options with a long - biased position; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [14]. - **Ferroalloy Option**: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Short - volatility strategy; Spot long - hedging strategy: None [15]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon Option**: Directional strategy: Construct a bull spread call option strategy; Volatility strategy: Sell a combination of call and put options with a long - biased position; Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy put option + sell call option [15]. - **Glass Option**: Directional strategy: Bull spread call option strategy; Volatility strategy: Short - volatility strategy; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [16].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For non - ferrous metals, they are in a state of fluctuating decline, and a seller's neutral volatility strategy is recommended; for the black series, they are in a state of range consolidation, and a seller's option neutral combination strategy is suitable; for precious metals, gold is in a state of high - level consolidation and weak decline, and a spot hedging strategy is recommended [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - **Copper (CU2509)**: The latest price is 79,140, up 810 with a gain of 1.03%. The trading volume is 5.48 million lots, an increase of 1.91 million lots, and the open interest is 14.18 million lots, an increase of 0.38 million lots [3]. - **Aluminum (AL2509)**: The latest price is 20,770, up 265 with a gain of 1.29%. The trading volume is 12.90 million lots, an increase of 2.69 million lots, and the open interest is 28.27 million lots, an increase of 1.41 million lots [3]. - **Other metals**: Similar data are provided for zinc, lead, nickel, tin, alumina, gold, silver, lithium carbonate, industrial silicon, polysilicon, rebar, iron ore, manganese silicon, silicon iron, and glass [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - **Copper**: The volume PCR is 0.53, down 0.01, and the open interest PCR is 0.61, down 0.02 [4]. - **Aluminum**: The volume PCR is 0.70, down 0.32, and the open interest PCR is 0.93, up 0.01 [4]. - **Other metals**: Volume and open interest PCR data are also provided for other metals [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - **Copper**: The pressure point is 82,000, and the support point is 78,000 [5]. - **Aluminum**: The pressure point is 20,600, and the support point is 20,000 [5]. - **Other metals**: Pressure and support levels are provided for other metals [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - **Copper**: The at - the - money implied volatility is 10.53%, the weighted implied volatility is 14.68%, down 0.36% [6]. - **Aluminum**: The at - the - money implied volatility is 9.09%, the weighted implied volatility is 12.24%, up 0.92% [6]. - **Other metals**: Implied volatility data are provided for other metals [6]. 3.5 Strategy and Recommendations 3.5.1 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: Build a short - volatility seller's option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [8]. - **Aluminum/Alumina**: Use a bullish option bull spread strategy, a short - position call + put option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Zinc/Lead**: Adopt a bullish option bull spread strategy, a short - position call + put option combination strategy, and a spot collar strategy [9]. - **Nickel**: Build a short - position call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [10]. - **Tin**: Use a short - volatility strategy and a spot collar strategy [10]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: Build a short - position call + put option combination strategy and a spot long - hedging strategy [11]. 3.5.2 Precious Metals - **Gold/Silver**: Adopt a neutral short - volatility option seller's combination strategy and a spot hedging strategy [12]. 3.5.3 Black Series - **Rebar**: Use a bullish option bull spread strategy, a short - position call + put option combination strategy, and a spot long - covered call strategy [14]. - **Iron Ore**: Adopt a bullish option bull spread strategy, a short - position call + put option combination strategy, and a spot long - collar strategy [14]. - **Ferroalloys**: Build a short - volatility strategy for manganese silicon [15]. - **Industrial Silicon/Polysilicon**: Use a bullish option bull spread strategy, a short - position call + put option combination strategy, and a spot hedging strategy [15]. - **Glass**: Adopt a bullish option bull spread strategy, a short - volatility call + put option combination strategy, and a spot long - collar strategy [16].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector is divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. Strategies mainly involve constructing option combination strategies with sellers as the main body, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3][9] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various energy - chemical option underlying futures contracts, including crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc [4] 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - It shows the trading volume, volume change, open interest, open interest change, volume PCR, volume PCR change, open interest PCR, and open interest PCR change of various energy - chemical options, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [5] 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of option underlyings are analyzed, such as the pressure and support levels of crude oil, LPG, etc [6] 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - It provides the at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, weighted implied volatility change, annual average, call implied volatility, put implied volatility, HISV20, and implied - historical volatility difference of various energy - chemical options [7] 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Energy - related Options - **Crude Oil**: Fundamentally, OPEC+ increases supply, and US supply follows the oil price rebound. The short - term market is weak. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, and the short - term short - selling power increases. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [8] - **LPG**: Fundamentally, the futures price is weak, and the supply difference decreases. The demand side has potential risks. The short - term market is bearish. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, and the short - selling power increases. Strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] 3.5.2 Alcohol - related Options - **Methanol**: Fundamentally, port inventory increases, and enterprise inventory is at a relatively low level. The market shows a weak rebound. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates below the historical mean, and the market is in a weak shock. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Fundamentally, port inventory decreases, and the downstream factory inventory days increase. The market shows a weak bearish shock. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, and the market is weak. Strategies include constructing a short - volatility strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.5.3 Polyolefin - related Options - **Polypropylene**: Fundamentally, trader inventory decreases, and port inventory increases. The market shows a weak trend with short - selling pressure. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, and the market weakens. Strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.5.4 Rubber - related Options - **Rubber**: Fundamentally, the domestic synthetic rubber production increases. The market shows a low - level consolidation. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, and the short - selling power increases. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy [12] 3.5.5 Polyester - related Options - **PTA**: Fundamentally, the PTA load is high, and the short - term maintenance plan is less. The market shows a weak trend with pressure. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, and the market weakens. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy [13] 3.5.6 Alkali - related Options - **Caustic Soda**: Fundamentally, the capacity utilization rate of large - scale enterprises changes. The market shows a bullish trend. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates around the mean. Strategies include a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] - **Soda Ash**: Fundamentally, the inventory is at a historical high. The market shows a bullish trend. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates around the historical mean, and the market is in a weak shock. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [14] 3.5.7 Other Options - **Urea**: Fundamentally, port inventory increases, and domestic demand is weak. The market shows a shock under short - selling pressure. Option factors show that implied volatility fluctuates below the historical mean, and the market weakens. Strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [15]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - The agricultural product sector mainly includes beans, oils, agricultural by - products, soft commodities, grains, and others. The overall market shows different trends: oilseeds and oils are in a strong - side shock, oils and agricultural by - products are in a shock, soft commodities like sugar are in a rebound and shock upward, cotton is in a bullish rise, and grains like corn and starch are in a weak and narrow - range consolidation. The strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2][8] Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Futures Market Overview - Different agricultural product futures have different price changes, trading volumes, and open interests. For example, the latest price of soybean No.1 (A2509) is 4,176, down 22 with a decline rate of 0.52%, and its trading volume is 16.04 million lots with a change of 4.99 million lots, and open interest is 17.53 million lots with a change of - 0.70 million lots [3] 2. Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of different agricultural product options show different trends. For example, the volume PCR of soybean No.1 option is 0.57 with a change of 0.12, and the open interest PCR is 0.49 with a change of 0.04 [4] 3. Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - From the perspective of the maximum open interest of call and put options, the pressure and support levels of different agricultural product options are different. For example, the pressure level of soybean No.1 is 4500 and the support level is 4100 [5] 4. Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of different agricultural product options also varies. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of soybean No.1 is 8.81%, and the weighted implied volatility is 10.87% with a change of 0.69% [6] 5. Strategies and Recommendations for Different Agricultural Product Options 5.1 Oils and Oilseeds Options - **Beans (Soybean No.1, Soybean No.2)**: The USDA July report adjusted the supply - demand balance of US soybeans. Soybean No.1 showed a rebound after over - decline. The implied volatility of soybean No.1 option is at a relatively high level compared to the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] - **Bean Meal, Rapeseed Meal**: The purchase volume of bean meal in different months is different. Bean meal showed a rebound after a weak consolidation. The implied volatility of bean meal option is slightly above the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] - **Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, Rapeseed Oil**: The MPOB June report showed the supply - demand situation of palm oil. Palm oil showed a bullish rise. The implied volatility of palm oil option is declining to a level below the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a bullish call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Peanuts**: The price of peanuts showed a weak consolidation. The implied volatility of peanut option is at a relatively low level. The recommended strategies include constructing a bearish put option spread strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 5.2 Agricultural By - product Options - **Pigs**: The domestic pig price was in a downward trend. The implied volatility of pig option is at a relatively high level compared to the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a bearish call + put option selling combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [11] - **Eggs**: The domestic egg price rebounded. Eggs showed a weak - side shock. The implied volatility of egg option is at a relatively high level. The recommended strategies include constructing a bearish put option spread strategy and a bearish call + put option selling combination strategy [12] - **Apples**: The inventory of apples in cold storage is at a low level. Apples showed a weak rebound. The implied volatility of apple option is below the historical average. The recommended strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination strategy [12] - **Jujubes**: The inventory of jujubes decreased slightly. Jujubes showed a rebound and then a decline. The implied volatility of jujube option is declining. The recommended strategies include constructing a bearish wide - straddle option selling combination strategy and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [13] 5.3 Soft Commodity Options - **Sugar**: The shipping data of Brazilian sugar showed a change. Sugar showed a rebound after a decline. The implied volatility of sugar option is at a relatively low level. The recommended strategies include constructing a neutral call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13] - **Cotton**: The operating rates of spinning and weaving mills decreased, and cotton inventory decreased. Cotton showed a rebound. The implied volatility of cotton option is at a relatively low level. The recommended strategies include constructing a bullish call option spread strategy, a bullish call + put option selling combination strategy, and a covered call strategy for spot hedging [14] 5.4 Grain Options - **Corn, Starch**: The spot price of corn was weak, and the futures market was also weak. Corn showed a downward trend. The implied volatility of corn option is at a relatively low level. The recommended strategies include constructing a bearish put option spread strategy and a bearish call + put option selling combination strategy [14]

金属期权 2025-07-18 金属期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 金属期权策略早报概要：（1）有色金属震荡回落，构建卖方中性波动率策略策略；（2）黑色系区间盘整震荡逐 渐，适合构建卖方期权中性组合策略；（3）贵金属黄金高位盘整弱势回落，构建现货避险策略。 | 表1：标的期货市场概况 | | --- | | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | （%） ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The energy and chemical sector is mainly divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. For each sector, option strategies and suggestions are provided for selected varieties. Each option variety's strategy report includes an analysis of the underlying asset's market, research on option factors, and option strategy recommendations [8]. - The overall strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly based on sellers, as well as spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - **Price and Volume Changes**: The report provides the latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various energy and chemical futures contracts, such as crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), methanol, and others [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - **PCR Indicators**: The volume PCR and open interest PCR of various option varieties are presented. These indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying asset's market and the turning point of the underlying asset's market, respectively [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - **Pressure and Support Points**: The pressure points, support points, and their offsets, as well as the maximum open interests of call and put options, are provided for each option variety. These points are determined based on the strike prices with the maximum open interests of call and put options [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - **Volatility Metrics**: The report includes the at-the-money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, change in weighted implied volatility, annual average implied volatility, call and put implied volatilities, historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatilities for each option variety [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Suggestions 3.5.1 Energy - Crude Oil - **Fundamentals**: OPEC+ increased oil supply in July, and the US supply rebounded with rising oil prices [7]. - **Market Analysis**: Crude oil prices showed a short - term weak market trend, rising first and then falling [7]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility fluctuated around the mean, the open interest PCR was below 0.80, indicating increasing short - term bearish power, with a pressure level of 500 and a support level of 510 [7]. - **Strategies**: For volatility, construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy; for spot hedging, construct a long collar strategy [7]. 3.5.2 Energy - Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) - **Fundamentals**: Global supply divergence decreased, but there were uncertainties in demand, and PDH profit recovery might support the operating rate [9]. - **Market Analysis**: LPG showed a short - term bearish market trend, with wide - range fluctuations followed by a decline [9]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility fluctuated around the historical mean, the open interest PCR was below 0.60, indicating increasing bearish power, with a pressure level of 4500 and a support level of 3700 [9]. - **Strategies**: For volatility, construct a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy; for spot hedging, construct a long collar strategy [9]. 3.5.3 Alcohols - Methanol - **Fundamentals**: Domestic methanol production started to recover, and port inventory increased [9]. - **Market Analysis**: Methanol showed a short - term narrow - range oscillating trend [9]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility was below the historical mean, the open interest PCR was around 0.80, indicating a weak - oscillating market, with a pressure level of 2950 and a support level of 2200 [9]. - **Strategies**: For volatility, construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy; for spot hedging, construct a long collar strategy [9]. 3.5.4 Alcohols - Ethylene Glycol - **Fundamentals**: Port inventory increased, and the destocking process would slow down [10]. - **Market Analysis**: Ethylene glycol showed a weak - bearish oscillating trend with pressure above [10]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility fluctuated around the historical mean, the open interest PCR was around 0.70, indicating a weak trend, with a pressure level of 4350 and a support level of 4300 [10]. - **Strategies**: For volatility, construct a short - volatility strategy; for spot hedging, hold a long spot position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. 3.5.5 Polyolefins - Polypropylene - **Fundamentals**: PP trade inventory increased, and port inventory decreased [10]. - **Market Analysis**: Polypropylene showed a weak trend with bearish pressure above [10]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility fluctuated around the historical mean, the open interest PCR decreased below 0.80, indicating a weakening trend, with a pressure level of 7500 and a support level of 6800 [10]. - **Strategies**: For spot hedging, hold a long spot position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. 3.5.6 Rubber - **Fundamentals**: The price of natural rubber rebounded, but downstream demand did not change significantly [11]. - **Market Analysis**: Rubber showed a low - level consolidation trend [11]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility fluctuated around the mean, the open interest PCR was below 0.60, with a pressure level of 15000 and a support level of 13000 [11]. - **Strategies**: For volatility, construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy [11]. 3.5.7 Polyesters - PTA - **Fundamentals**: PTA load increased, and the maintenance season ended [12]. - **Market Analysis**: PTA showed a weak trend with pressure above [12]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility fluctuated around the mean, the open interest PCR was below 0.80, indicating a weakening trend, with a pressure level of 5000 and a support level of 3800 [12]. - **Strategies**: For volatility, construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy [12]. 3.5.8 Alkalis - Caustic Soda - **Fundamentals**: The average utilization rate of caustic soda production capacity changed slightly [13]. - **Market Analysis**: Caustic soda showed a short - term bullish trend [13]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility fluctuated around the mean, the open interest PCR was around 0.80, with a pressure level of 3400 and a support level of 2200 [13]. - **Strategies**: For spot hedging, hold a long spot position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [13]. 3.5.9 Alkalis - Soda Ash - **Fundamentals**: Soda ash inventory increased, and enterprise shipments slowed down [13]. - **Market Analysis**: Soda ash showed a low - level consolidation trend with a bullish bias [13]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility fluctuated around the historical mean, the open interest PCR was below 0.50, indicating a weak - oscillating market, with a pressure level of 2080 and a support level of 1100 [13]. - **Strategies**: For direction, construct a bearish spread combination strategy of put options; for volatility, construct a short - bearish call + put option combination strategy; for spot hedging, construct a long collar strategy [13]. 3.5.10 Urea - **Fundamentals**: Supply - demand difference decreased, and inventory declined. Positive export news boosted the market [14]. - **Market Analysis**: Urea showed an oscillating trend under bearish pressure [14]. - **Option Factors**: Implied volatility was below the historical mean, the open interest PCR was below 0.80, with a pressure level of 1900 and a support level of 1700 [14]. - **Strategies**: For volatility, construct a short - neutral call + put option combination strategy; for spot hedging, hold a long spot position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [14].