Core Insights - The continuous rise in Australian housing prices has significantly increased the difficulty for young people to purchase homes [1][3] - The analysis by PropTrack reveals that housing costs have outpaced wage growth, creating substantial barriers for first-time buyers [3] Queensland - The difficulty of purchasing a first home in Queensland is now five times greater than in 1980 [1] - In Brisbane, the average house price in 1980 was AUD 32,750, which has increased by 420% when adjusted for inflation, equating to AUD 174,600 today [3] Victoria - In the 1980s, a house in Toorak cost AUD 160,500, equivalent to AUD 824,000 today, while current property values in the area have reached AUD 4.8 million, nearly six times the original price [3] - The median house price in Greater Melbourne is slightly above AUD 900,000, with properties in outer suburbs like Ferntree Gully now exceeding AUD 870,000 [3] South Australia - In Adelaide, the median house price has surged to AUD 832,500, which is 8.49 times the 1990 median price of AUD 98,000, adjusted for inflation [3] Northern Territory - In Darwin, buyers are currently paying 31% less than in 2010, with apartment prices dropping by 54% [4] - Stuart Park is the only area experiencing price increases, with the median house price rising from AUD 786,700 to AUD 891,000 [4] New South Wales - In Sydney, current housing prices are four times higher than in 1980, with an average house price of AUD 147 million projected for 2025 [6] - The average house price in 2010 was AUD 600,000, which, when adjusted for inflation, is approximately AUD 874,300, indicating that even past buyers paid significantly less than current prices [6]

Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Assistant Governor Silk indicates that due to interest rate cuts, house prices are expected to rise moderately [1] Group 1 - The Reserve Bank's decision to lower interest rates is aimed at stimulating the economy [1] - A moderate increase in house prices is anticipated as a direct consequence of the rate cuts [1] - The housing market is expected to respond positively to the changes in monetary policy [1]

虽然降息后房价预计会上涨，但专家认为不太可能重现几年前那种天价般的飙升。 据澳洲九号台新闻5月25日报道，澳联储宣布将现金利率下调至3.85%，这一决定加 上房屋供应严重短 缺的现状，是否会导致房价大幅上涨呢? Cotality研究主管Eliza Owen表示："我们预计2025年房价会继续上涨，但可能不 会像2024年那样强 劲。" 事实上，影响房价的因素不仅仅是利率，尤其是在悉尼和墨尔本以外的地区。 （图片来源：澳洲九号台新闻） Owen指出，历史上利率下调对东海岸高端房产市场影响最大，而西澳、阿德莱德和 昆州部分地区的房 地产市场与利率的相关性较低。 去年全国房价上涨了5%。Owen预计,今年的涨幅可能"与之相当或略低"。 AMP上周也 预测今年房价将上涨3%。 就在澳联储降息一天后，国家住房供给和可负担性委员会发布了年度住房系统状况 报告。 报告内容令人担忧。 虽然报告指出未来四年内房屋可负担性可能有所改善，社会住房和经济适用房存 量 也在增加，但整体供应水平仍然处于糟糕状态。 报告称："2024年完工的住宅为177,000套，远低于同期估计的223,000套的潜在需求。" （图片来源：澳洲九号台新闻 ...

每经记者｜刘颂辉 每经编辑｜陈梦妤 "大连4月新房价格上涨可能是短期反弹，受地方政策、市场热度或季节性因素影响，但整体市场仍处于调整阶段。"5月22日，58安居客研究院院长张波通过 微信向《每日经济新闻》记者表示。 5月19日，国家统计局发布4月份商品住宅销售价格变动情况，70个大中城市中，大连新房价格环比上升0.5%，与上海涨幅相同，并列第一。 同策研究院联席院长宋红卫在接受每经记者微信采访时分析，从上涨幅度来看，大连市场并没有出现明显拉涨，主要原因在于前期新房市场下行调整较大， 现在相当于价格有所回调。 "从项目层面来看，优质项目的入市对市场价格形成一定支撑和带动。"宋红卫认为，在此之前，大连的新房市场存在较大的去化压力，但是从去年开始，包 括第四代住宅在内的高品质项目在市场逐步落地，认购量得到提升，市场认可度高，有效地迎合了市场的改善型需求群体。 新房价格涨幅与上海齐平 回顾今年前4个月，大连新房价格在1月份、2月份连续实现环比涨幅0.2%、0.3%，3月份有所下跌，之后再次出现环比正增长。 中指研究院数据显示，1～4月，大连房地产企业销售额TOP10企业商品房签约金额合计约46.97亿元，TOP10企 ...

（图片来源：《悉尼晨锋报》） 《悉尼晨锋报》5月18日报道，富人越来越富这句谚语是有道理的。如今，房产价格纪录频频被打破， 以至于我们很容易忘记不到50年前，一宗125万澳元的房产交 易就能引起轰动。 1978年，悉尼Elizabeth Bay区的"Boomerang"庄园以125万澳元的价格成交，成为 澳洲首笔百万级别的房 产交易，也为该地区的房地产市场开启了辉煌的篇章。 2023 年，Boomerang再次成为头条新闻，以约8000万澳元的价格易主。 然而，八位数的价格已经不算 什么了，如今，九位数的价格标签正变得愈加常见。 新的突破门槛是超过2亿澳元，这要归功于位于悉尼Point Piper、由房贷商人John Symond拥有的巨型临 港豪宅"Wingadal"的挂牌出售。 按通胀调整后的价格来看，Boomerang最初售价在今天大约为1770万澳元。这一价 格甚至买不到 Wingadal中的一个卧室。 Ray White首席经济学家Nerida Conisbee表示，终有一天，2亿澳元的交易将不再 令人惊讶。 Conisbee说："虽然以2亿澳元价格出售的房产数量不会很多，但随着身家达到10亿 澳元 ...

Core Insights - The purchasing power of 1 million AUD in the Australian property market has significantly decreased over the past decade, with one-third of properties now exceeding this price point [1][4] - The proportion of homes valued at 1 million AUD or more has risen from less than 10% in April 2015 to over 34% in 2025 [1][3] - Major cities have seen a dramatic increase in the percentage of properties exceeding 1 million AUD, with Sydney experiencing the highest increase [3][4] Property Market Trends - Nearly 20% of regions now have properties valued at 1 million AUD or higher, compared to just 0.5% a decade ago [3] - In capital cities, the proportion of million-dollar homes has surged from 14% to approximately 42% [3] - In Sydney, two-thirds of properties have surpassed the million AUD mark, with the median price for all bedroom counts now exceeding this threshold [4] Future Projections - Brisbane is expected to become the next "million-dollar market," with median prices for standalone homes nearing this level, projected to exceed 1 million AUD by the end of 2025 [8] - Melbourne's proportion of properties over 1 million AUD is around 30.9%, showing a significant increase from 12.4% a decade ago, despite a slight decline from its peak in January 2022 [8][9] Regional Disparities - Hobart has a lower proportion of million-dollar properties, which has decreased significantly from its peak in March 2022 due to rising interest rates and weak employment growth [8] - Darwin has the lowest percentage of million-dollar properties, slightly above its 2015 levels [9] Socioeconomic Impact - Rising property prices have marginalized young low-income families, leading to an increase in the average age of first-time homebuyers [9] - Wealthy families are increasingly forced to rent, intensifying competition in the rental market [9] Policy Recommendations - There is a call for a shift in housing policy to view housing as a basic need rather than merely an investment [9][10] - Reducing land costs is seen as crucial to slowing down property price growth, as land value significantly influences overall property prices [9] - Policymakers are urged to focus on lowering residential land costs and increasing land supply to ensure sustainable and affordable housing [10]

RealEstate网站5月9日报道，最新调查显示，澳洲民众对房地产市场的信心在连续 3个季度下跌后出现 大幅反弹。与此同时，澳洲最大银行之一预测利率将回归至疫 情时期水平。 周五发布的NABResidential Property Index指出，今年3月，该指数"大幅上涨至 远超平均水平的40点， 此前连续3个季度呈下降趋势"。 预计未来12个月内该指数将 达到51点，未来两年将达到54点。 澳洲国民银行（NAB）首席经济学家Sally Auld预计，利率下调将支撑经济增长， 澳洲经济将实现'软着 陆'。 今年下半年的通胀率将稳定在澳联储目标区间的中间水 平，失业率将保持在4.5%以下。 （图片来源：RealEstate） "也就是说，全球经济正面临逆风，全球增长放缓可能对澳洲经济增长产生负面影 响，同时也会起到抑 制通胀的作用。这意味着澳联储需要更快实现利率正常化，并 进一步降低利率以提供额外支持。" "因此，我们现在预计澳联储将在8月前将现金利率降至3.1%，并在2026年初降至 2.6%。" （图片来源：RealEstate） 最新调查发现，未来12个月的房价增长预期几乎翻了一番，达到2.3%（此前 ...

Group 1: Interest Rate Predictions - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to lower interest rates four more times this year, potentially bringing the rate down to 3.1% [1][4] - Bendigo Bank's chief economist, David Robertson, indicates that the RBA's focus is shifting from inflation to protecting growth and employment [1][3] - The overall inflation rate remains at 2.4%, but the adjusted mean inflation has decreased from 3.3% to 2.9%, returning to the target range for the first time since December 2021 [3][6] Group 2: Housing Market Trends - Australian house prices have reached a historical high and are expected to accelerate further if the RBA lowers interest rates [1][6] - The annual growth rate of house prices slowed to 3.2% in April, the smallest increase since August 2023, with major cities showing modest monthly increases [8][9] - Despite the anticipated interest rate cuts, house price growth is expected to remain in single digits due to factors like affordability issues and a cautious lending environment [10][9] Group 3: Urban Planning and Housing Supply - The Victorian government has proposed high-density housing plans aimed at increasing apartment construction in affluent areas to address social segregation [12][14] - Critics argue that the planning process has been opaque and may harm Melbourne's cultural heritage and urban character [14][15] - The opposition has formed a committee to investigate the government's urban planning revisions, emphasizing the need for community input [17]

Core Insights - The Australian housing market is expected to continue rising due to anticipated interest rate cuts by the central bank and tight housing supply [1][5] - In April, the national home value index increased by 0.3%, marking the third consecutive month of growth, with the median house value rising approximately AUD 2,720 [3][4] Housing Price Trends - The current national median house price stands at AUD 825,349, with Sydney having the highest median at AUD 1,194,709 and Darwin the lowest at AUD 526,410 [3][4] - All capital cities experienced price increases in April, with Darwin showing the largest growth at 1.1% [3][4] - Over the past year, all states except Melbourne and Canberra saw price increases, with Melbourne experiencing a decline of 2.2% and Canberra a slight drop of 0.6% [4] Regional Performance - Perth recorded the highest annual price increase at 10%, while Brisbane and Adelaide also showed significant growth at 7.8% and 9.8% respectively [5] - Detached houses continue to outperform apartments in value growth, with a 1.1% increase in the last three months compared to 0.5% for apartments [5] Rental Market Insights - The national rental index rose by 0.6% in the quarter, with a seasonally adjusted increase of 0.4% in April, indicating a slowdown compared to previous years [6][7] - Despite high rental prices, the growth rate has significantly decreased from the 8% to 10% increases seen in 2021, 2022, and 2023 [6][7]

根据Domain最新的房地产价格报告： 阿德莱德已经成为澳洲第五个房价中位数达到百万的首府城市。 预计到年底，珀斯也将加入这一行列，这使得年轻的澳洲人愈发难以实现购房梦。此外，阿德莱德的土地价格也达到了惊人的新高度。 一块位于Tennyson的海边地块以235万澳元的高价售出。这块位于8 Estcourt Road的土地面积为582平方米，几乎是普通城市空地面积的两倍，但每平方米 的价格却比常规价格高出近六倍。 澳洲又一个首府城市 房价破百万 住在阿德莱德的Hayley和丈夫在过去的六年里，一直努力攒钱，希望能够买到自己的房子。然而，飞涨的房价让他们的梦想变得越来越难以实现。 据PropTrack报道，这块土地的售价仅比Tennyson房屋的中位价低了40万澳元，即便它还未开发。 中介David Paladino经过几个月的协商，达成了这一交易。他表示，买家和开发商卖家都对这一"非凡"的结果感到非常满意。这块地的成交价格大约是每 平方米4038澳元。 根据最新的房屋产业协会数据，阿德莱德市区一块典型空地（375平方米）的售价可达268,700澳元，约合每平方米691澳元。 同时，整个大阿德莱德地区的带住宅地块 ...