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大宗商品接下来路在何方?
对冲研投· 2025-04-30 08:40
小K侃有色 . 我是小K,欢迎大家来扎营、吐槽,集股债商汇于一体,无分析不成文、无数学不乐趣的辣评集中营。 以下文章来源于小K侃有色 ,作者小K侃有色 文 | 小K侃有色 来源 | 小K侃有色 编辑 | 杨兰 审核 | 浦电路交易员 摘要 自4月2日对等关税以来大宗商品跳空暴跌8.88%(最高点到最低点),后随着90天暂停关税市场沿着关税缓和的路径修复了部分 下跌,目前自最低点上涨了3.92%,目前看跳空缺口修复无望。在此期间波动率快速收窄,技术上也面临20日均线的压制,静等 下一步指引。如果从板块上来看,工业品弱于农产品,工业品之于关税作用于需求远大于供给,农产品作用于供给远大于需求。 还有一个现象,这一波下跌实际上是压缩利润的,最明显的例子就是化工品相对于油品来说反弹是更弱的,扒开各个品种细分来 看也大致如此。 接下来大宗市场路向何方?我们也来唠一唠。 一、宏观上,今年也是宏观大年,不过相对于前两年来说是宏观利空年 国际货币基金组织(IMF)当地时间4月22日发布最新一期《世界经济展望报告》,将2025年全球经济增长预期下调至2.8%,较今年1月 预测值低0.5个百分点。IMF预计,2026年全球经济将增 ...
微软(MSFT.O):将在未来两年内将欧洲数据中心的容量增加40%。
news flash· 2025-04-30 08:18
微软(MSFT.O):将在未来两年内将欧洲数据中心的容量增加40%。 ...
新宙邦(300037) - 2025年04月29日投资者关系活动记录表
2025-04-30 07:24
Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of CNY 2.002 billion, a year-on-year increase of 32.14% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 0.39 billion, up 39.30% year-on-year [2] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY 0.22 billion, reflecting a growth of 20.80% [2] Group 2: Product Performance - The shipment volume of battery chemicals significantly increased, driven by a competitive market for lithium battery materials [2] - The electrolyte business saw a nearly 80% year-on-year increase in shipment volume, although prices experienced a decline [5] - The overseas sales of electrolytes accounted for nearly 20% of total sales in Q1 2025 [6] Group 3: Market Outlook - The demand for fluorinated liquids is expected to grow, particularly due to the increasing installation of wafer fabs [3] - The company anticipates stable growth in the fluorinated liquid market, supported by its unique technological advantages [3] - The emerging industries such as new energy and data centers are expected to drive demand for related fluorine materials [2] Group 4: Project Updates - The Haidefu project showed improved sales performance and reduced losses in Q1 2025, with expectations for better performance than in 2024 [4] - The Malaysian electrolyte project is in the early approval and planning stages, with completion expected within two years [7] - The acquisition of Jiangxi Shilei has resulted in good operational performance, with full production capacity achieved [8] Group 5: Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to increase R&D investment to expand its product line and enhance market share [3] - The 2023 stock incentive plan is expected to incur expenses of approximately CNY 60-70 million, to be recognized quarterly [8]
潍柴动力(000338):一季度收入表现稳健 剔除凯傲一次性因素后盈利同比高增
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 06:38
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a stable performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 57.46 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.9% and a year-on-year increase of 6.9%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.71 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 4.3% but a year-on-year decrease of 9.7% [1]. Group 1: Business Performance - The heavy truck industry saw a total sales volume of 265,000 units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.7%. However, the company achieved a revenue increase of 1.9% year-on-year, outperforming the industry [1]. - The company's heavy-duty truck engine market position remains strong, with a high market share in natural gas engines. The sales volume of high-end products, particularly large-bore engines for data center applications, is expected to see significant growth [1]. - The company sold 43,000 vehicles in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, which is better than the industry average [2]. Group 2: Financial Metrics - The company achieved a gross profit margin of 22.2% in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.9 percentage points. The actual gross profit margin showed a more significant improvement compared to the same period last year [2]. - Management expenses reached 7.1% in Q1 2025, with a notable increase due to expenses related to the efficiency plan of the subsidiary KION, impacting the quarter's expenses by approximately 1.47 billion yuan [2]. - After accounting for KION's one-time expenses, the net profit attributable to the parent company was 3.18 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6% [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The heavy truck industry is expected to maintain steady growth, driven by the expansion of domestic scrapping and replacement policies and the continuous growth of non-Russian export markets [3]. - The company anticipates strong growth in its large-bore engine business, with nearly 400 units shipped for data center applications in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 148%. This trend is expected to continue into 2025, significantly enhancing the company's profitability [3]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 240.66 billion yuan, 260.94 billion yuan, and 275.17 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 13.06 billion yuan, 14.85 billion yuan, and 15.97 billion yuan [3].
博敏电子2024年财报:亏损收窄,高端产品布局初见成效
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 04:32
4月25日,博敏电子发布2024年年报,公司实现营业收入32.66亿元,同比增长12.11%;归属净利润 为-2.36亿元,同比减亏58.29%;扣非净利润为-2.63亿元,同比减亏56.27%。尽管公司仍处于亏损状 态,但通过高端产品布局和产能释放,亏损幅度显著收窄。报告期内,博敏电子在AI数据中心、汽车 电子等领域取得突破,江苏博敏二期工厂产能爬坡顺利,高端产品逐步释放。 尽管博敏电子在2024年实现了营收增长,但归属净利润仍为负值,主要受商誉减值、递延所得税资产冲 减、存货跌价准备等因素影响。报告期内,公司计提商誉减值准备5,390.79万元,主要由于对君天恒 讯、裕立诚、芯舟电子等子公司的未来经营业绩和盈利能力进行了谨慎评估。此外,公司还计提了存货 跌价准备5,276.66万元,反映出公司在存货管理方面存在一定压力。 高端产品布局助力营收增长 2024年,博敏电子通过江苏博敏二期工厂产能爬坡,以及在AI数据中心、AI端侧产品、智能汽车等领 域的拓展,实现了营业收入的稳步增长。报告期内,公司高端产品需求增速超10%,尤其是在AI数据中 心领域,公司获得了超亿元订单,驱动了数据/通讯领域收入的快速增长。此 ...
三星高层承认:NAND缺乏竞争力,需加倍努力
半导体行业观察· 2025-04-30 00:44
来源:内容 编译自 businesskorea ,谢谢。 三星电子 NAND 开发部门负责人呼吁员工加倍努力,在未来技术上重新获得对竞争对手的超强竞 争优势。 目前,三星电子的NAND闪存主要用于智能手机和个人电脑,这些闪存基于三层单元(TLC)技 术,具有良好的耐用性和低延迟性。因此,三星电子正在向TLC技术投入大量资源。许尔认为,只 关注眼前问题可能会导致错失未来的增长引擎。 三星电子内部期待Hur Sung-hoi的彻底反省能为扭转局面创造动力。这是因为,尽管三星电子一 直倾向于掩盖NAND竞争力的下滑,但坦诚地分享这一事实可能会带来整体技术发展的改变。 三星电子相关人士表示,"几年前,包括Hur Sung-hoi在内的高层管理人员对QLC技术也持否定态 度,整个组织的眼光都只着眼于当前",并补充道,"现在高层管理人员已经开始诚实地看待形势, 积极的一面是我们获得了新的发展势头"。 三星正在开发400多层3D NAND 去年,三星表示,正在开发第九代286 层3D NAND ,并正在开发 400 层技术。 据业内人士4月29日透露,三星电子内存业务部闪存开发室室长、负责NAND开发的Hur Sung-h ...
平安证券晨会纪要-20250430
Ping An Securities· 2025-04-30 00:32
其 他 报 告 2025年04月30日 晨会纪要 | 国内市场 | | 涨跌幅(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 上证综合指数 | 3287 | -0.05 | 0.56 | | 深证成份指数 | 9850 | -0.05 | 1.38 | | 沪深300指数 | 3775 | -0.17 | 0.38 | | 创业板指数 | 1932 | -0.13 | 1.74 | | 上证国债指数 | 225 | 0.03 | 0.01 | | 上证基金指数 | 6758 | -0.06 | 0.71 | | | | 资料来源:同花顺iFinD | | | 海外市场 | | 涨跌幅(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘 | 1日 | 上周 | | 中国香港恒生指数 | 22008 | 0.16 | 2.74 | | 中国香港国企指数 | 8068 | -0.15 | 2.32 | | 中国台湾加权指数 | 20233 | 0.99 | 2.46 | | 道琼斯指数 | 40528 | 0.75 ...
【私募调研记录】正圆投资调研同力日升
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-04-30 00:10
根据市场公开信息及4月29日披露的机构调研信息,知名私募正圆投资近期对1家上市公司进行了调研, 相关名单如下: 1)同力日升 (深圳正圆投资参与公司分析师会议&网络互动&电话互动) 调研纪要:同力日升在数据中心储能及源网荷储业务上具备技术优势,通过优化设备配置和提升元器件 可靠性确保供电可靠性达到99.99%。庆阳项目引入绿电加储能形成微网,以提升IDC机房绿电用电占 比,减少或完全替代柴油机配置,降低度电成本。公司关注数据中心的源网荷储及配储需求,将因地制 宜进行定制化设计,聚焦IDC算力中心集群,通过长期协议锁定电价。公司战略锚定长期稳定负荷,重 点布局算力中心,并持续开发储备风储组合的长期优质新能源资产。电梯市场正从增量市场转向存量市 场,2025年轨交扶梯业务表现良好,推进非标轿厢出口欧洲业务,拓展钣金业务至新能源等领域。取消 强制配储政策短期内对储能系统出货量不利,但有利于长期发展,促使储能成为有用资产而非附加成 本。 机构简介: 深圳正圆投资2015年成立于深圳前海自贸区,并于当年获得私募证券投资基金牌照。正圆拥有专业的投 研团队,丰富的投资经验,完善的风险管理制度。 立足于中国经济结构转型升级, ...
绿色数据中心国际合作主题交流活动在福州举办
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-04-29 21:44
Core Viewpoint - The event emphasizes the importance of green data centers as a strategic direction for green upgrading of new infrastructure and a key point for China's participation in global digital governance and multilateral cooperation [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The 8th Digital China Construction Summit's green data center international cooperation theme exchange event was held in Fuzhou, attracting nearly 200 guests from domestic and international industry chains [1]. - The event featured the release of the "Global Green Data Center Development Joint Initiative" and the signing of the "China Telecom Overseas Intelligent Computing Ecological Cooperation" agreement [1]. Group 2: Technological Innovation and International Cooperation - The focus of the event was on technological innovation and international cooperation in green data centers, aiming to build a green development ecosystem for the global data center industry [2]. - The event included various activities such as the Digital China Innovation Competition and interactive experience projects, showcasing over 100 interactive experience items [2].
一季报传暖意:向“新”力十足 内需景气度持续回升
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-04-29 20:02
文旅消费新业态、新场景涌现,成为扩大内需的生动注脚,体现了经济在转型升级中的活力所在。 光线传媒、幸福蓝海、华谊兄弟等传媒公司一季度经营发展实现"开门红"。凭借票房冠军《哪吒之魔童 闹海》和IP衍生品,光线传媒一季度实现营收29.75亿元,同比增长177.87%;实现归母净利润20.16亿 元,同比增长374.79%。 "在电影上映前,公司已提前着手规划,开发潮玩、手办等多元衍生品,并筹划海外发行,致力于进一 步挖掘IP价值,拓宽盈利渠道,构建完整的全产业链变现模式,票房与衍生品收入相辅相成,共同助力 影片的商业价值持续发酵。"光线传媒在一季报中表示。 春节档的火热开局,也让幸福蓝海交出了不俗成绩单。公司一季度实现营收3.32亿元,同比增长 40.40%;实现归母净利润7053.01万元,同比增长694.06%。 5379家A股公司披露2025年一季报(截至4月29日) ◎记者 何昕怡 2025年一季度,A股上市公司以一份稳健的业绩答卷,传递出细分领域的长期向好态势,以及中国经济 高质量发展趋势。 据上海证券报记者不完全统计,截至4月29日,已有5379家A股公司披露2025年一季报。其中,4071家 公司实 ...