招商证券预计，受避险情绪的影响，黄金价格会继续维持强势。而中长期内，有三方面因素继续推动黄 金价格中枢上移：（1）全球央行持续购买黄金对冲美元信用风险。（2）全球黄金ETF由黄金净卖出方 转为净买入方。去年三季度至今年二季度，全球黄金ETF和全球央行合计净买入黄金1490吨，相当于过 去5年全球央行净买入黄金规模的34.3%。（3）市场预期今年美联储还有两次降息。另外，明年美联储 主席换人后，降息幅度存在高于当前利率点阵图所反映的情况。也就是说，未来黄金价格至少是两轮驱 动，即货币属性和金融属性共同驱动。预计黄金价格有望在未来继续创新高。 ...

Group 1 - International gold prices have surged, breaking the $4100 per ounce mark, reaching a historical high of $4179.33 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase exceeding 50% [1][4] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also risen, surpassing 1200 RMB per gram, with significant daily increases observed across major brands [1][4] Group 2 - The four core driving factors behind the gold price surge include: 1. Global central banks' gold purchasing spree, with official reserves increasing by 52.9% to $4.64 trillion, and 95% of central banks planning to expand their gold reserves [5] 2. Expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which would lower holding costs and enhance gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset [5] 3. Geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, with global physical gold ETFs attracting $26 billion in a single quarter [5] 4. Structural supply-demand imbalances, with rising production costs and limited mining capacity contributing to a "supply less than demand" scenario [5] Group 3 - Long-term forecasts suggest that gold prices could reach $10,000 per ounce by 2028-2029, with various institutions projecting significant increases in the coming years [8][9] - Short-term risks include potential price corrections of 10%-15% due to market over-optimism and technical adjustments following the recent highs [8][9]

Core Insights - Recent surge in gold prices, with spot gold surpassing $4100 per ounce, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 56.41% [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also risen significantly, with several brands exceeding 1200 RMB per gram [1] - Factors driving gold price increase include U.S. interest rate expectations, government shutdown concerns, and ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions [2] Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Spot gold reached $4104.375 per ounce, with a daily drop of 0.12% and a peak of $4179.748 per ounce [1] - COMEX gold futures reported at $4124.8 per ounce, down 0.20%, with a similar year-to-date increase of 56.28% [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices from brands like Chow Sang Sang and Lao Miao have surpassed 1200 RMB per gram [1] Group 2: Driving Factors - Increased market expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts, with several Federal Reserve officials signaling dovish stances [2] - Concerns over U.S. government shutdown have heightened market fears regarding U.S. fiscal sustainability, boosting safe-haven demand for gold [2] - Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions are further elevating market risk aversion, contributing to the upward trend in gold prices [2] Group 3: Future Outlook - The U.S. fiscal risks and government shutdown concerns are expected to provide core support for gold prices [2] - Continued expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts may pressure the U.S. dollar, further lowering the cost of holding gold [2] - Uncertainties surrounding tariff policies and strong global central bank demand for gold are likely to sustain market interest [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that gold prices have surged significantly, with spot gold rising nearly $15 to surpass $4,130 per ounce for the first time [1][3] - As of October 14, the domestic gold jewelry price from Chow Sang Sang is reported at ¥1,213 per gram, an increase of ¥25 per gram from the previous day [1][2] - Since 2022, the international gold price has seen a cumulative increase of 123%, with a year-to-date rise of over 53% in 2025, indicating a strong upward trend [3] Group 2 - The rapid increase in gold prices is characterized as "rocket-like," with the price crossing the $3,500 per ounce mark on April 22 and reaching $4,000 in just 169 days [3] - The current market dynamics are influenced by multiple global risk factors, contributing to the heightened interest from investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - Spot gold prices have continued to strengthen, reaching $4,150 per ounce for the first time, with a daily increase of nearly 1% and a year-to-date increase of over $1,500 [1] Group 1 - Spot gold has hit a significant milestone, crossing the $4,150 per ounce mark [1] - The daily increase in gold prices is nearly 1% [1] - Year-to-date, gold prices have risen by more than $1,500 [1]

10月14日，现货黄金首次涨至4150美元/盎司关口，日内涨逾1%，年内累计上涨超1500美元。 ...

Core Insights - International gold prices reached new highs on October 14, with COMEX gold futures and London spot gold prices breaking through $4168.4 per ounce and $4149.89 per ounce respectively, setting historical records [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices in China have also surged, with some brands reporting prices exceeding 1200 RMB per gram [1] Price Movements - On October 14, the price of gold jewelry in Shanghai from Lao Miao was 1218 RMB per gram, an increase of 93 RMB per gram since October 1 [1] - The prices for gold from Chow Tai Fook and Luk Fook were reported at 1215 RMB per gram, up by 86 RMB per gram since October 1 [1] - Chow Sang Sang's gold jewelry was priced at 1213 RMB per gram, reflecting an increase of 83 RMB per gram since October 1 [1]

每经AI快讯，10月14日，现货黄金站上4160美元/盎司，日内涨1.18%。 ...

10月14日，现货黄金向上触及4160美元/盎司，再创新高，日内涨1.18%；年内累计上涨超1500美元。 ...

| 伦敦金现 | | | SPTAUUSDOZ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 4152.765 | | | +43.335 +1.05% | | IDC USD 11:11:45 | | | i a + | | 三一 | 4153.455 | | | | 孟一 | 4152.765 | | | | 总量 | | 现手 | | | 持仓 | | 增仓 | | | 均价 | - | 开盘 | 4110.420 | | 最高 | 4153.921 | 最低 | 4106.365 | | 涨停 | | 跌停 | | | 涨跌Close | | 涨跌幅Close | | | 外盘 | - | 内盘 | | | 昨收 | 4109.430 | 振幅 | 1.16% | | 昨结 | 4109.430 | 结算价 | | 10月14日，现货黄金持续走高，截至发稿，报4152.765美元/盎司，首次突破4150美元关口，日内涨超 1%。 今年以来，现货黄金累计上涨超1500美元。 ...