Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant decline in the management scale and performance of China’s Jiao Yin Schroder Fund, which has faced challenges in recent years, leading to a loss of its previous status as a leading fund manager in the industry [2][3][5]. Group 1: Management Scale - Jiao Yin Schroder Fund's management scale has decreased to approximately 4687 billion yuan, down from a peak of 5960.85 billion yuan in June 2022, marking a decline of over 1274 billion yuan compared to three years ago [3][4]. - In the first quarter of 2025, the total scale of 133 products was 4686.65 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 687.57 billion yuan, or 12.79%, from the end of 2024 [3][4]. Group 2: Profit Decline - The net profit of Jiao Yin Schroder Fund has dropped to 8.79 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 26.81% compared to 12.01 billion yuan in 2023, marking the third consecutive year of profit decline [5][6]. - The fund's total assets were reported at 83.84 billion yuan, with net assets of 71.35 billion yuan as of the end of 2024 [5]. Group 3: Fund Performance - Various types of funds managed by Jiao Yin Schroder have experienced a downward trend, with stock funds decreasing from 79.98 billion yuan in Q1 2023 to 32.02 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [6]. - Mixed funds have seen a significant drop from 2027.52 billion yuan at the end of 2021 to 872.98 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a 57% decline [6]. Group 4: Fund Manager Performance - The performance of the "Jiao Yin Three Swordsmen," the prominent fund managers, has deteriorated, with their managed funds showing negative returns over the past three years [8][9]. - For instance, He Shuai's managed fund has a three-year return of -26.74%, ranking 2494 out of 2946 in its category [8].

Core Insights - The 12th Fortune Forum focused on new models of active equity investment in the A-share market, emphasizing consumer dynamics and the resilience of the Hong Kong stock market [1] - Key speakers provided forward-looking insights on investment strategies, industry allocation, and market positioning to instill confidence and vitality in the market [1] Group 1: A-share Market Insights - The A-share market is transitioning from a "stock economy" to a "new model," with Q1 2025 marking a turnaround in profit growth after four years of decline [2] - The core drivers of this reversal include low inventory levels triggering a replenishment cycle, companies operating with less burden, and a recovery in the real estate chain due to a rebound in second-hand housing [2] - Return on Equity (ROE) has significantly improved from its bottom, supported by a decrease in expense ratios offsetting operational pressures, and a recovery in asset turnover and leverage [2] - The market sentiment is expected to improve significantly due to the narrative of China's industrial transformation, including breakthroughs in AI and high-end manufacturing [2] Group 2: Consumer Sector Opportunities - The consumer sector is showing structural investment opportunities, with current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios at near ten-year lows and institutional holdings at a bottom [3] - Catalysts for a rebound in the consumer sector include a peak in household savings rates, improved income expectations, and the re-emergence of wealth effects [3] - Investment opportunities include traditional consumer leaders with stable dividends and new consumption trends such as domestic brand growth and service consumption upgrades [3] - The second half of 2025 may present a recovery window for the consumer sector due to supportive consumption policies and a favorable profit base effect [3] Group 3: Hong Kong Market Resilience - Despite facing foreign capital outflow pressures, the Hong Kong stock market shows resilience supported by continuous inflows from southbound funds and increased company buybacks [4] - The Hang Seng Index has achieved a 12% annualized return in RMB terms over the past three years, highlighting the market's value proposition [4] - A GARP (Growth at a Reasonable Price) strategy is recommended, focusing on high-growth sectors like consumer and technology, stable cash flow assets, and companies with low leverage and high governance standards [4][5] Group 4: Long-term Investment Strategy - The company emphasizes a fundamental approach to investment, selecting stocks based on strong earnings and favorable market conditions to achieve sustainable long-term returns [5] - The company has achieved a cumulative return of 953.86% over nearly two decades for its active equity products, positioning itself among industry leaders [5] - Continuous enhancement of professional investment capabilities is crucial for capturing certainty in investment opportunities amid global changes [5]

Core Viewpoint - The public fund market in China has seen significant growth in 2024, with institutional investors increasing their holdings in equity funds, particularly through ETFs, while individual investors continue to dominate in money market funds [1][4][6]. Group 1: Institutional Investor Trends - Institutional investors increased their total holdings in public funds by 3.5 trillion units compared to the end of 2023, with over 40% of their holdings in equity funds, marking a nearly 12 percentage point increase from the end of 2022 [2][5]. - The total size of equity funds rose from 1.88 trillion units at the end of 2022 to 3.03 trillion units by the end of 2024, representing a growth rate of 61% [4]. - The share of equity funds held by institutional investors grew from 5.67 trillion units at the end of 2022 to 12.8 trillion units by the end of 2024, a 126% increase [4][5]. Group 2: ETF Investment - Institutional investors have significantly increased their equity fund holdings primarily through ETFs, participating in market dips and rebounds [6][7]. - In 2024, major ETFs such as Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF and E Fund CSI 300 ETF saw net subscriptions exceeding 10 billion units, with institutional investors accounting for nearly 80% of the net inflows [8][10]. - The largest ETF, Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF, had an institutional ownership increase from 66.04% at the end of 2023 to 83.58% by the end of 2024 [10][11]. Group 3: Shift from Active to Passive Funds - There has been a notable decline in institutional interest in actively managed equity funds, with 40 active funds experiencing net redemptions exceeding 1 billion units in 2024 [12]. - The shift towards passive investment strategies is evident, as passive funds surpassed active equity funds in A-share market capitalization for the first time in history [11]. - Only 11 actively managed funds received over 1 billion units in net subscriptions from institutional investors in 2024, indicating a preference for ETFs and a reduced reliance on actively managed funds [13].