Core Viewpoint - The Norwegian central bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%, aligning with market expectations [1] Group 1 - The decision to keep the interest rate unchanged reflects the central bank's strategy to stabilize the economy [1]

Group 1 - The Norwegian central bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25% [1]

来源：中国新闻网 编辑：张嘉怡 广告等商务合作，请点击这里 泰国央行将基准利率下调0.25个百分点 中新社曼谷8月13日电 (记者 李映民)泰国央行货币政策委员会13日决定将基准利率下调0.25个百分点， 由1.75%降至1.50%，并即刻生效。 货币政策委员会指出，尽管2025年泰国经济增速与此前预测接近，但美国加征关税将进一步加剧结构性 问题并削弱竞争力，一些经济领域的脆弱性正加深，尤其是中小企业。同时，整体通胀率受供给因素影 响处于低位。在此背景下，委员会决定降息。 数据显示，2025年上半年泰国经济增长主要受益于电子产品出口、对美出口加快以及制造业扩张，但展 望下半年，受美国关税政策直接和间接影响，加之旅游及相关行业面临压力，中小企业、雇员及自由职 业者面临冲击，私人消费增速或将放缓。 货币政策委员会强调，将继续关注信贷扩张及汇率变动对经济活动的影响，并配合采取措施降低融资成 本、缓解弱势群体债务压力。 货币政策委员会重申，将在保持物价稳定的同时，兼顾经济可持续增长和金融体系稳定。未来货币政策 应维持在适度宽松水平，以支持经济增长，同时平衡中期经济金融稳定与有限的政策空间。(完) 本文为转载内容，授权 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Bank of Madagascar (BFM) is adopting a cautious strategy by maintaining the bank's benchmark interest rate at 12% during the monetary policy committee meeting held on August 5 [1] Group 1 - The decision to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged reflects the bank's careful approach to monetary policy [1]

Group 1 - The National Bank of Romania maintained the benchmark interest rate at 6.50%, aligning with market expectations [1]

Group 1 - The median benchmark interest rate of the Russian Central Bank is expected to decrease from the current 18% to 16% by the end of 2025 [1] - The median inflation rate is projected to be 6.7% by the end of 2025, a slight decrease from the previous survey's estimate of 7.0% [1]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive time it has held rates steady [1] - The Fed's statement shifted from indicating steady economic expansion to acknowledging a slowdown in economic growth during the first half of the year [1] - There was a notable dissent in the Federal Open Market Committee, with two members voting against the decision to keep rates unchanged, advocating for a 25 basis point cut [1] Group 2 - The implementation of the "Build Back Better" tax and spending plan may increase the economic and debt costs of maintaining inflation targets, putting more pressure on the Fed's policy stance [2] - Fed Chair Powell tempered expectations for a rate cut in September, emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding tariffs and inflation, and stating that current rates are appropriate [3] - Concerns about the Fed's independence have arisen due to ongoing pressure from the White House, which could impact investor confidence in the U.S. economy and assets [3]

ATFX汇评：美元指数触底反弹，以欧元为代表的非美货币持续暴跌。7月24日至今，美元指数从最低97.08上涨至99.96，涨幅约 2.97%，创出6月份以来新高。同期的欧元从1.1787暴跌至最低1.1399点，累计跌幅3.269%，创出6月12日以来新低。其他非美货币 跌幅通胀较大，比如澳元从0.6623跌至0.6424，幅度3%、日元从145.84至149.52，幅度2.52%等等。 美元为何触底反弹？主要原因在于市场预期的变化。7月24日之前，市场人士对特朗普的关税政策极为焦虑，认为高关税会导致 双输的局面：全球经济衰退，美国短期受益，但长期无法独善其身。7月24日之后，市场人士发现，美国在与各国的贸易谈判中 占据绝对主导地位。美国和日本、英国、韩国、欧盟达成的贸易协议，几乎一边倒地利于美国。所以，市场人士对美国宏观经济 前景的预期，从之前的极度焦虑悲观，转变为现在的乐观。在乐观情绪的带动下，美元指数随之触底反弹。 美联储的货币政策是第二类利多因素。美联储主席鲍威尔和其他理事会成员顶住了美国总统特朗普的压力，在7月份的利率决议 上宣布维持4.25~4.5%的基准利率不变，这显著冲击了市场上关于美联储即将 ...

Summary of FOMC Statement Core Viewpoint - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has decided to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a change, which aligns with market expectations [1] Interest Rate Decision - There was a notable division in the voting, with members Waller and Bowman advocating for a rate cut, marking the first time in over 30 years that two members voted against the majority [2] Inflation Outlook - The FOMC did not alter its inflation language, indicating that inflation remains somewhat elevated [3] Economic Outlook - Economic growth has slowed in the first half of the year, and uncertainty regarding the economic outlook remains high [4] Powell's Press Conference Insights - Current policy stance is considered favorable; no decisions have been made regarding the September meeting, and future decisions will rely on incoming data [5] - Core PCE inflation is projected to rise by 2.7% year-over-year in June, while overall PCE is expected to increase by 2.5%; most long-term inflation expectations align with the Fed's target [6] - The economy is viewed as being in a stable position, although indicators suggest a slowdown in growth; the large infrastructure bill is not seen as particularly stimulative [7] - The labor market remains balanced, but there are evident downside risks [8] - The impact of tariffs on inflation is expected to be temporary, with 30% to 40% of core inflation attributed to tariffs; it is considered premature to assess the full impact of tariffs [9] - The dissenting members are expected to clarify their positions in the coming days, with both advocating for a rate cut [10] Market Reaction - Following the statement, market volatility was minimal; however, during Powell's remarks, gold prices dropped by $50, the dollar strengthened, and U.S. Treasury yields rebounded, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.38% and the 2-year yield approaching 4% [11] - U.S. stock markets faced downward pressure, and Bitcoin briefly fell below $116,000 per coin [12]

Group 1 - The Brazilian central bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 15% [1]